Managerial Economics Dr Nihal Hennayake What is Microeconomics and Macroeconomics ? •Ragnor Frisch : Micro means “ Small” and Macro means “Large” Microeconomics deals with the study of individual behaviour. • It deals with the equilibrium of an individual consumer, producer, firm or industry. Macroeconomics on the other hand, deals with economy wide aggregates. • Determination of National Income Output, Employment • Changes in Aggregate economic activity, known as Business Cycles • Changes in general price level , known as inflation, deflation • Policy measures to correct disequilibrium in the economy, Monetary policy and Fiscal policy What is Managerial Economics? “Managerial Economics is economics applied in decision making. It is a special branch of economics bridging the gap between abstract theory and managerial practice” – Willian Warren Haynes, V.L. Mote, Samuel Paul “Integration of economic theory with business practice for the purpose of facilitating decision-making and forward planning” Milton H. Spencer “Managerial economics is the study of the allocation of scarce resources available to a firm or other unit of management among the activities of that unit” Willian Warren Haynes, V.L. Mote, Samuel Paul “ Price theory in the service of business executives is known as BUSINESS ADMINISTRATION DECISION PROBLEMS TRADITIONAL ECONOMICS : THEORY AND METHODOLOGY DECISION SCIENCES : TOOLS AND TECHNICS MANAGERIAL ECONOMICS : INTEGRATION OF ECONOMIC THEORY AND METHODOLOGY WITH TOOLS AND TECHNICS BORROWED FROM OTHER DECIPLINES OPTIMAL SOLUTIONS TO BUSINESS PROBLEMS Nature, Scope and Significance of Managerial Economics: Managerial Economics – Business Economics Managerial Economics is ‘Pragmatic’ Managerial Economics is ‘Normative’ Universal applicability The roots of Managerial Economics came from Micro Economics Relation of Managerial Economics to Economic Theory is much like that of Engineering to Physics or Medicine to Biology. It is the relation of applied field to basic fundamental discipline Core content of Managerial Economics : Demand Analysis and forecasting of demand Production decisions (Input-Output Decisions) Cost Analysis (Output - Cost relations) Price – Output Decisions Profit Analysis Investment Decisions 1. Demand Analysis : Meaning of demand : No. of units of a commodity that customers are willing to buy at a given price under a set of conditions. Demand function : Qd = f (P, Y, Pr W) Demand Schedule : A list of prices and quantitives and the list is so arranged that at each price the corresponding amount is the quantity purchased at that price Demand curve : Slops down words from left to right. Law of demand : inverse relation between price and quantity Exceptions to the law of demand : Giffens paradox Price expectations Elasticity : Measure of responsiveness - Qd = f (P, Y, Pr W) E = percentage change in DV/ percentage change in IV Concepts of price, income, and cross elasticity Price Elasticity : Ep = Percentage change in QD/Percentage change in P Types of price elasticity : 1. Perfectly elastic demand Ep = ∞ 2. Elastic demand Ep > 1 3. Inelastic demand Ep < 1 4. Unit elastic demand Ep = 1 5. Perfectly inelastic demand Ep = 0 Elasticity and expenditure : If demand is elastic a given fall in price causes a relatively larger increase in the total expenditure. P↓ - TR↑ when demand is elastic. P↓ - TR↓ when demand is inelastic. P↓ ↑ - TR remains same when demand is Unit elastic. Measurement of elasticity : Point and Arc elasticity Elasticity when demand is linear Determinants of elasticity : (1) Number and closeness of its substitutes, (2) the commodity’s importance in buyers’ budgets, (3) the number of its uses. Other Elasticity Concepts Income elasticity Cross elasticity Functions of a Managerial Economists: The main function of a manager is decision making and managerial Economics helps in taking rational decisions. The need for decision making arises only when there are more alternatives courses of action. Steps in decision making : Defining the problem Identifying alternative courses of action Collection of data and analyzing the data Evaluation of alternatives Selecting the best alternative Implementing the decision Follow up of the action Specific functions to be performed by a managerial Economist : 1. Production scheduling 2. Sales forecasting 3. Market research 4. Economic analysis of competing companies 5. Pricing problems of industry 6. Investment appraisal 7. Security analysis 8. Advice on foreign exchange management 9. Advice on trade 10.Environmental forecasting OPTIMIZATION Managerial economics is concerned with the ways in which managers should make decisions in order to maximize the effectiveness or performance of the organizations they manage. To understand how this can be done we must understand the basic optimization techniques. Functional relationships: relationships can be expressed by graphs: P Q This form can be expressed in an equation: Q=f(P) Though useful, it does not tell us how Q responds to P, but this equation do. Q = 200 - 5 p Marginal Analysis The marginal value of a dependent variable is defined as the change in this dependent variable associated with a 1-unit change in a particular independent variable. e.g. units 0 0 marginal profit average profit - 100 1 100 100 150 2 250 125 350 3 600 200 400 4 1000 250 350 5 1350 270 150 6 1500 250 50 7 1550 221 -50 8 1500 188 -100 9 1400 156 Total profit is maximized when marginal profit shifts from positive to negative. Average Profit = Profit / Q PROFITS Slope of ray from the origin: MAX C B Maximizing average profit doesn’t maximize total profit profits Q – Profit / Q = average profit quantity Marginal Profits = /Q Q1 is breakeven (zero profit) maximum marginal profits occur at the inflection point (Q2) Max average profit at Q3 Max total profit at Q4 where marginal profit is zero So the best place to produce is where marginal profits = 0. profits (Figure 2.1) max Q3 Q4 Q2 Q1 Q average profits marginal profits Q Differential Calculus in Management A function with one decision variable, X, can be written as: Y = f(X) The marginal value of Y, with a small increase of X, is My = Y/X For a very small change in X, the derivative is written: dY/dX = limit Y/X X 0 Marginal = Slope = Derivative The slope of line C-D is Y/X The marginal at point C is Y/X The slope at point C is Y over X The derivative at point C is also this slope D Y Y X C X Quick Differentiation Review Name Function Constant Y = c Functions A Line Derivative Example dY/dX = 0 Y=5 dY/dX = 0 Y = c • X dY/dX = c Power Y = cXb Functions Y = 5X dY/dX = 5 dY/dX = b•c•X b-1 Y = 5X2 dY/dX = 10X Quick Differentiation Review Sum of Y = G(X) + H(X) Functions example Y = 5X + 5X2 Product of dY/dX = dG/dX + dH/dX dY/dX = 5 + 10X Y = G(X) • H(X) Two Function dY/dX = (dG/dX)H + (dH/dX)G example Y = (5X)(5X2 ) dY/dX = 5(5X2 ) + (10X)(5X) = 75X2 Quick Differentiation Review Quotient of Two Y = G(X) / H(X) Functions dY/dX = (dG/dX)•H - (dH/dX)•G H2 Y = (5X) / (5X2) dY/dX = 5(5X2) -(10X)(5X) (5X2)2 = -25X2 / 25X4 = - X-2 Chain Rule Y = G [ H(X) ] dY/dX = (dG/dH)•(dH/dX) Y = (5 + 5X)2 dY/dX = 2(5 + 5X)1(5) = 50 + 50X Max of x y Slope = 0 the function Y = -50 + 100X - 5X2 value of x i.e., dy/dx 10 20 x Value of Dy/dx when y is max dY = 100 - 10X dX dY = 0 if dX X = 10 0 Value of dy/dx which Is the slope of y curve i.e., Y is maximized when the slope equals zero. 10 20 x Note that this is not sufficient for maximization or minimization problems. Since y Max value of y dY dX = 0 at two points, we need another condition to distinguish between the maximum and minimum points. Look at the Min value of y dY dX curve * at point 5 the curve is upward, i.e., its slope ( the second derivative (the derivative of the derivative)) is positive. Hence x Dy/dx d 2Y = > 0 dX 2 value of dy/dx d2y/dx2 > 0 ( minimum point ) d2y/dx2 < 0 * at point 10 the curve is downward, i.e., its slope is negative. Hence d 2Y = < 0 dX 2 x ( maximum point ) Optimization Rules Maximization conditions: 1- 2- dY = 0 dX d 2Y = < 0 dX 2 Minimization conditions: 1- 2- dY = 0 dX d 2Y = > 0 dX 2 Applications of Calculus in Managerial Economics maximization problem: A profit function might look like an arch, rising to a peak and then declining at even larger outputs. A firm might sell huge amounts at very low prices, but discover that profits are low or negative. At the maximum, the slope of the profit function is zero. The first order condition for a maximum is that the derivative at that point is zero. If = 50Q - Q2, then d/dQ = 50 - 2·Q, using the rules of differentiation. Hence, Q = 25 will maximize profits where 50 - 2Q = 0. More Applications of Calculus minimization problem: Cost minimization supposes that there is a least cost point to produce. An average cost curve might have a U-shape. At the least cost point, the slope of the cost function is zero. The first order condition for a minimum is that the derivative at that point is zero. If TC = 5Q2 – 60Q, then dC/dQ = 10Q - 60. Hence, Q = 6 will minimize cost Where: 10Q - 60 = 0. Competitive Firm: Maximize Profits – where = TR - TC = P • Q - TC(Q) – Use our first order condition: – d/dQ = P - dTC/dQ = 0. a function of Q – Decision Rule: P = MC. Max = 100Q - Q2 First order = 100 -2Q = 0 implies Q = 50 and; = 2,500 Second Order Condition: one variable If the second derivative is negative, then it’s a maximum . Problem 1 Problem 2 Max = 100Q - Q2 Max= 50 + 5X2 First derivative First derivative 100 -2Q = 0 second derivative is: -2 implies Q =50 is a MAX 10X = 0 second derivative is: 10 implies Q = 10 is a MIN e.g.; 2 3 Y = -1 + 9X - 6X + X Y = 0 at 2 = 9 - 12X + 3X = 0 Quadratic Function 2 Y = aX + bX + c X= b b2 4ac 2a X=3 or X = 1 the second condition d 2Y dX 2 = -12 + 6X at X = 3 d 2Y dX 2 a=3 at X = 1 b = -12 d 2Y dX 2 c=9 =2 1 therefore first condition dY dX X= (12) 122 4(9 3) 6 = -12 + 6(3) = 6 >0 ( minimum point) = -12 + 6(1) = - 6 <0 (maximum point) Partial Differentiation Economic relationships usually involve several independent variables. A partial derivative is like a controlled experiment- it holds the “other” variables constant Suppose price is increased, holding the disposable income of the economy constant as in Q = f (P, I ) then Q/P holds income constant. Sales are a function of advertising in newspapers and magazines ( X, Y) Max S = 200X + 100Y -10X2 -20Y2 +20XY Differentiate with respect to X and Y and set equal to zero. S/X = 200 - 20X + 20Y= 0 S/Y = 100 - 40Y + 20X = 0 solve for X & Y and Sales 2 equations & 2 unknowns 200 - 20X + 20Y= 0 100 - 40Y + 20X = 0 Adding them, the -20X and +20X cancel, so we get 300 - 20Y = 0, or Y =15 Plug into one of them: 200 - 20X + 300 = 0, hence X = 25 To find Sales, plug into equation: S = 200X + 100Y -10X2 -20Y2 +20XY = 3,250 PARTIAL DIFFERENTIATION AND MAXIMIZATION OF MULTIVARIATE FUNCTIONS. = f (Q1 , Q2 ) To know the marginal effect of Q1 on we hold Q2 constant, and vice versa. In order to do that we use partial derivative of Q1 denoted by with respect to ( treating Q2 as constant ) Q1 e.g.; = -20 + 100Q1 + 80Q2 - 10Q12 - 10Q22 - 5Q1Q2; to find the partial derivative of with respect to Q1 we treat Q2 as constant; hence Q1 = 100 - 20Q1 - 5Q2; (1) therefore Q2 = 80 - 20Q2 - 5Q1; setting both simultaneously partial (2) derivatives equal to zero and solve 100 - 20Q1 - 5Q2 =0 80 - 20Q2 - 5Q1 =0 multiply by -4 and add ________________ - 220 + 75Q2 = 0 hence Q2 = 2.933 substitute for Q2 at any of the eq. 1 100 - 20Q1 - 14.665; hence Q1 = 4.267. i.e., profit is maximized when the firm produces 4.267 of Q1 and 2.933 of Q2. CONSTRAINED OPTIMIZATION We assume that the firm can freely produce 4.267 of Q1 and 2.933 of Q2. Quite often this may not be the case. e.g. Minimize TC = 4Q12 + 5Q22 - Q1Q2; subject to: Q1 + Q2 = 30 The constraint function Solution: The lagrangian multiplier: Steps: 1 - set the constraint function to zero 2 - form the lagrangian function by adding the constraint function after multiplication with an unknown factor to the original function. 3 - take the partial derivatives and set them equal to zero 4 - solve the resulting equations simultaneously step 1: 30 - Q1 - Q2 = 0 step 2: L = 4Q 12 + 5Q 22 - Q1Q2 + ( 30 - Q1 - Q2) step 3: L Q1 L Q 2 L = 8Q 1 - Q2 - = -Q1 + 10Q 2 - = -Q1 - Q2 + 30 8Q1 - Q2 - = 0 (1) -Q1 + 10Q2 - =0 (2) -Q1 - Q2 + 30 (3) =0 step 4 multiply eq(2) by -1 and subtract from eq(1) 9Q1 - 11Q2 = 0 (4) multiply (3) by 9 and add to eq(4) -9Q1 - 9Q2 + 270 = 0 9Q1 - 11Q2 =0 ____________________ -20Q2 +270 = 0 Q2 = 270/20 = 13.5 substituting in eq (3) Q1 = 16.5 the values of Q1 and Q2 that minimizes TC are 16.5 and 13.5 respectively. substituting Q1 and Q2 in eq(1) or eq(2) we find that = 118.5 the interpretation of measures the change in TC if the constraint is to be relaxed by one unit. i.e., TC will increase ( has a positive sign ) by 118.5 if the constraint becomes 29 or 31.