Islamic Finance: Relevance and Growth in the Modern Financial Age Iqbal Khan Founding ex-CEO, HSBC Amanah London School of Economics 1 February 2007 Agenda 1. What is Islamic finance? 2. What relevance does it have in the modern financial system? 3. What are the areas of current growth and initiatives? 4. What does the future hold? Islamic Finance: Relevance and Growth in the Modern Financial Age | 2 Islamic finance is the outcome of religion in banking Banking and finance needs Fiqh al-Muamalaat contracts Shariah sources – Musharaka - Partnership – Quran – Sunnah – Ijma’ (jurist consensus) Shariah filter – Qiyas (analogy) – Ijtihad (reasoning) – Mudaraba - Partnership – Murabaha - Purchase-resale – Ijara - Lease – Istisna’ - Manufacturing contract – Salam - Forward sale Islamic banking and finance solutions • Prohibition on: – Interest – Speculation – Gambling • Prohibition of certain investments: − Sectors (e.g.: alcohol, armaments, financial services, gambling, pork, pornography, tobacco) − Instruments (e.g. no forward transactions, limited option use, no derivatives, short-selling) Islamic Finance: Relevance and Growth in the Modern Financial Age | 3 • Asset-backed transactions with investments in real, durable assets • Credit and debt products are not encouraged Islamic finance is embedded within values – Synthesis of Islamic law and contemporary finance – Widens ownership base of society – Community banking: serving communities, not markets – Offers “success with authenticity” – Ethical investment Client affinity Parallel trends – CSR initiatives Inclusive propositio n Fulfils aspirations – Builds systematic checks on financial providers Responsible finance Alternative paradigm – Restrains consumer indebtedness – Open to all-faith clients – Stability from linking financial services to the productive, real economy – Available to Islamic and conventional issuers – Moral compass for capitalism Islamic finance is more than financial contracts Islamic Finance: Relevance and Growth in the Modern Financial Age | 4 Values of good governance are central to Islam Best practices of corporate governance − Accountability and obligation to shareholders − Integrity and ethical behaviour − Fiduciary role and responsibility of board − Disclosure and transparency Quranic code of ethics − Vicegerent concept of accountability (2:30) − Honest fulfilment of contracts (5:1) − Prohibition against betraying any trusts (8:27) − Prohibition against deriving income from cheating, dishonesty or fraud (4:29) − Prohibition against bribery (2:188) − Prohibition against concealing evidence (2:283) “O ye who believe! Be ye staunch in justice, witnesses for Allah, even though it be against yourselves or (your) parents or (your) kindred…” (4:135) Accountability to God raises level of awareness Islamic Finance: Relevance and Growth in the Modern Financial Age | 5 Islamic Financial Institutions are positioned in a “zone of sustainability” ECONOMIC IMPERATIVE SOCIAL IMPERATIVE ZONE OF SUSTAINABILITY prohibited sectors Islamic businesses NGOs not-for-profits Islamic finance characteristics: • Market-driven yet values-based • Gradualist and evolutionary nature • Symbiotic and synergistic relationship with mainstream finance Islamic Finance: Relevance and Growth in the Modern Financial Age | 6 Industry has advanced from niche to critical mass Young industry − − Mitghamr Savings Associations (1963) & Tabung Hajji Malaysia (1967) Islamic Development Bank (1974) & Dubai Islamic Bank (1975) Market-driven proposition − − − Retail customers historically the backbone of the industry Tipping point in retail sector: Saudi Arabia, UAE, Bahrain and Kuwait Self-regulating organisations, Standards bodies and Research and Training Institutes Islamic banking assets as proportion of total (%) * 45% 40% Market size estimated at USD 750 billion globally1 − − Growing at 15 to 20% per annum1 Within 8-10 years, industry estimated to capture half the savings of the 1.6 billion Muslim world2 Global scale − − − − More than 250 Islamic banks worldwide operating in over 75 countries 3 GCC accounts for two-thirds of global Islamic assets* Malaysia leading industry maturity and sophistication Islamic Development Bank: largest pan-OIC financial institution 40% 33% growth 35% 30% 30% 25% 20% 66% growth 20% 15% 12% 10% 5% 0% 2005 2010e GCC Malaysia Industry is fragmented, with slowly internationalising players Source:1: S&P Report ( 31 Aug 2006); 2: IIR Middle East (Apr 2006); 3 Bursa Malaysia “The Islamic Capital Market” 2005; * HSBC analysis Islamic Finance: Relevance and Growth in the Modern Financial Age | 7 Industry has developed a comprehensive product offering over its young history Development of industry 1950s − − Development of theoretical framework Muslim-majority nation independence 60s − − Egypt and Malaysia pioneering institutions Establishment of OIC (1969) 70s − − Islamic Development Bank (1974) and DIB One country-one bank setup 80s − − Advancement of Islamic products Full “Islamization” of Pakistan, Sudan and Iran − Entry of global institutions, e.g. HSBC − − Tipping point reached in some markets Development of industry-building institutions 90s 00s Evolving richness in products structured products debt issues private equity 2000s 1970s 1990s 1980s insurance syndications project finance equity Industry has near like-for-like parity with conventional offering Islamic Finance: Relevance and Growth in the Modern Financial Age | 8 Islamic finance industry is developing a global reach… Reach and richness Mainstream relevance Niche presence Engaging with regulators Conceptual exploration Islamic Finance: Relevance and Growth in the Modern Financial Age | 9 Source: HSBC Amanah …with worldwide momentum from retail to regulator involvement UK: New legislation for Islamic mortgages (2003) USA: Harvard workshop with six regulators (1995) Germany: Saxony issues E100m Sukuk (2004) Saudi Arabia: 95%+ of new consumer lending is Islamic (2006) • Retail market rapidly converting to Islamic (2006) China: Active member of Islamic Financial Services Board (2004) Bahrain: Leading Islamic financial centre, and housing regulatory bodies UAE: 30% of retail banking is Islamic (2005) • Several institutions have converted from conventional to Islamic Japan: JBIC exploring Islamic financing opportunities (Dec. 2006) Singapore: Active in developing Islamic finance Malaysia: Islamic product and industry, development and sophistication leader Source: HSBC Amanah, Press Reviews Each region is contributing in a unique way Islamic Finance: Relevance and Growth in the Modern Financial Age | 10 Self-regulatory organizations bring credibility through standardization of practices Benchmark of Islamic accounting standards Bahrain − − 56 accounting, auditing, governance and Shariah standards Enhancing clarity, transparency and harmonisation IIFM Development of global Islamic capital and money market Bahrain − − Promoting active and regulated trading and capital flows Catalyzing trading infrastructure, product innovation and information flows GCIBFI Promoting industry in theory and practice Bahrain − − Disseminating Shariah concepts & multilateral understanding between IFIs and public Improving IFI practices, cooperation, professionalism and transparency IFSB Standard-setting body of regulatory and supervisory agencies Malaysia − − Complementing Basel II Capital Accord Key standards: risk management, capital adequacy & corporate governance LMC Creation of active Islamic inter-bank market Bahrain − − Creating secondary market for short-term Shariah-compliant treasury products Enabling IFI management of liquidity mismatch IIRA Reference point for IFI ratings − − Issuing sovereign, credit, Shariah quality and corporate governance ratings Providing effective tool for informed investment decision-making AAO-IFI (1991) (2001) (2001) (2002) (2002) (2005) Bahrain Islamic Finance: Relevance and Growth in the Modern Financial Age | 11 Why Islamic financing is flourishing Strong growth of OIC economies Institutional capital EXPLOSIVE GROWTH OF ISLAMIC FINANCE Innovative product development Resurgence of Muslim cultural values Liberalisation of capital markets Retail customer commitment Industry is driven by fundamental factors Islamic Finance: Relevance and Growth in the Modern Financial Age | 12 Multinational banks have gradually increased their focus on Islamic finance Market entry strategy Evolving commitment Ad hoc participation Defensive strategy Proactive strategy • Service and retain existing Muslim clients • Acquire new customers, especially wealthy locals • Refine current proposition to reflect local needs • Build a sustainable community banking proposition – Particularly important and economic clout of locals increased • Protect and embed the brand • Benefit from higher growth rates of emerging markets – Crucial as developed market growth slows − − Correspondent banking for IFIs Tailored Private Banking services for HNWIs Islamic client services − − Dedicated Relationship Managers for IFIs Dedicated Private bankers for HNWIs Islamic window model − − Committed unit for Islamic financial services Citi Islamic (1996), HSBC Amanah (1998) Dedicated Islamic subsidiary − − Islamic subsidiaries of conventional banks Joint ventures and partnerships Mainstream institutions are embracing Islamic banking Islamic Finance: Relevance and Growth in the Modern Financial Age | 13 Industry is reaching mainstream relevance in global financial system Relevance to OIC countries • Fulfilment of financial needs of Muslims − • • Increases bankable population of economy Increases economic efficiency as a result of society’s increased engagement Enhances stability of financial model − • Asset-based framework links financial services to real economy Reaching a broader market − Islamic finance is the equilibrium choice Widens stakeholder base of society − − Relevance to non-OIC countries • Muslim-minority populations become inclusive, economic, productive agents Alternative source of funding − − • Debt issuance with the widest acceptance Attract “new-to-industry” investors with Shariahcompliant funds and transactions Gateway to OIC markets − − Regional preference of Islamic investors Infrastructure investment opportunities Islamic finance benefits are not exclusive to Muslims Islamic Finance: Relevance and Growth in the Modern Financial Age | 14 The industry has not yet reached its potential Within 8 to 10 years, as much as half the savings of the world’s then 1.6 billion Muslims would be in Islamic banks1 The global Islamic insurance (Takaful) market is estimated to reach USD 14.4 billion by 20101 Most Islamic financial institutions are highly liquid, and seek new asset classes and markets to diversify – Project finance requirements of USD 500 billion in 5 years2 – Capital markets developments: Malaysia – Sukuks account for 71% of 1H06 debt issues3 Islamic finance has also gained popularity in Muslim-minority countries – Germany issued the first Islamic Eurobond (2004) – UK’s first standalone Islamic bank (2004) Trends of convergence and conversion – Ethical investing, community banking – Conversion of banks: e.g. National Bank of Sharjah, Bank al Jazira, Dubai Bank Source: 1: IIR Middle East (Apr 2006); 2 Banker ME (June 2006); 3 RAM Islamic Ratings Services (2006) Islamic Finance: Relevance and Growth in the Modern Financial Age | 15 Islamic framework provides solutions for key limitations of conventional banking system Conventional banking issues • Growing consumer indebtedness − − • TSV maximisation ultimate goal Systemic conflict between shareholders and credit-financed customers Speculation-fuelled crises − − − • • Asset/need-based approach to financing • Check on profit-seeking alone as sole business motive − Collusion between research and M&A teams Enron, WorldCom, Arthur Anderson, Tyco and other collapses Investment channels towards ethical activities • Equitable distribution of risk and reward • Prevention of speculation − − − 1997 East Asia Crisis 1998 Russia 1999 Argentina Regulation often reactive and lagging corporate misbehaviour − − IFI solutions • Ownership is prerequisite of sale Excessive risks are prohibited The case for “Narrow Banking” Shariah-based IFI is Taqwa-based − − Regulation is reactive to corporate innovation Shariah-based system prioritises God over regulators – (SRO) An ethical grounding prevents a wide set of problems Islamic Finance: Relevance and Growth in the Modern Financial Age | 16 Suppliers of capital An alternative banking model in development Deposits Profit, not interest, becomes the basis for financial intermediation Debt financing ijarah, murabaha, salam, istisna‘ Liabilities Assets Investments Equity financing mudaraba & musharaka Key internal issues that need addressing… • Reducing debt-based products − − Islam permits commercial debt for productive ends Debt-based consumer products permitted on basis of need − • More the exception than the desired norm Building income-sharing products − − • Musharaka is true form of financing Develop with “fixed” income payment profile Removing bias towards debt − Current tax, accounting and regulatory systems and risk-weighting promote debt instruments Islamic Finance: Relevance and Growth in the Modern Financial Age | 17 Productive economic actors with capital needs Shariah-based mindset is crucial direction for product development Shariah-based solutions − − Income-sharing products Shift from debt-based product offering Savings & Indebtedness Investments x Shariah-compliant products − − Letter of the law Replicating conventional credit service offering Shariah-based industry is the new vision Islamic Finance: Relevance and Growth in the Modern Financial Age | 18 A number of factors need to be engaged to bring success Key enablers • Dedicated people − − • Greatest intangible to enable Islamic finance and build its future Human capital development: bankers and Shariah scholars Committed sponsorship − − • Academic input to formulate visionary framework and development Capital sponsorship to bring plans to life Change in mindset − • From Shariah-compliant to Shariah-driven products and services Education of all key stakeholders − • To build understanding and awareness Proactive engagement − Regulators, practitioners and Shariah scholars to set a common agenda Need for co-ordination to enable further development Islamic Finance: Relevance and Growth in the Modern Financial Age | 19 Concluding remarks Current expanding reach and richness of Islamic finance – Despite the absence of an enabling framework – But at a cost: culture of exceptions, Shariah credibility, competitive disadvantages To build an enabling framework requires concerted efforts – Collaboration between IFIs, endowed industry institutions and regulators – Exploration of narrow banking principles We must preserve what is distinctive about Islamic finance – Industry regulations and governance heading towards mainstream globalization – Balancing different elements of Shariah credibility Japanese proverb: “Vision without action is a daydream. Action without vision is a nightmare.” Imperative is for moving to Shariah-based services Islamic Finance: Relevance and Growth in the Modern Financial Age | 20 Thank you Iqbal Khan Founding ex-CEO, HSBC Amanah