Coase-rent/sell Industriøkonomi, uge 6 Christian Schultz 3 år, 2004 1 No commitment • • • • 2 periods, good lasts these 2 periods Zero interest rate, no cost Competitive resale market. (p = pm) In each period, demand for service of good (for instance light, cooling, transport) is • Q(R) = 20 – R 2 If monopolist rents • In each period: max R RQ(R) • = max R R(20-R) • Foc : 20 – 2R = 0 so R = 10, Q = 20-10 = 10 • Profit per period 10*(20-10) = 100 • For two periods 2* 100 = 200 • 3 If mon. sells at start of period 1 • If he can commit not to lower price in period 2. • Set price = 20 sell 10 units earn 200. • In period 2, everybody with reservation price above 10 has bought, so demand in period 2 is • 10 – p 4 If mon cannot commit and sells • Ass: Consumers have rational expectations • Time line • ---- p1 ,Q1 ------ p2 , Q2 • Solve backwards! • Look at period 2, Q1 given • Residual demand: Q2 (p2) = 20 - Q1 – p2 5 Selling no commitment, II • • • • Max p2 p2 (20 - Q1 – p2) p2 = (20 - Q1)/2 , Q2 = (20 - Q1)/2 , 2 = (20 - Q1)2/4 Notice, second period profit depends on how much was sold in first period! 6 Period 1 • Rat exp: consumers know they can buy (or sell if they wish) in next period for p2. • If consumer pays p1 in the first period, she is really paying R1 = (p1 - p2 ) for 1st period use and R2 = p2 for 2nd period use. • So equivalent to renting for R1 = (p1 - p2 ) in first period and for R2 = p2 in second period. • So we can analyze period 1 as if the monopolist sets rent R1 7 Period 1 ,II • • • • • • • 1st period demand is therefore Q1 = 20 - R1 Q1 = 20 - (p1 - p2 ) Remember p2 = (20 - Q1)/2 So Q1 = 20 - p1 + (20 - Q1)/2 Q1 = 20 - (2/3) p1 Total profit Q1p1 + 2 = Q1p1 + (20 - Q1)2/4 = (20- (2/3) p1) p1 + (20 -(20- (2/3) p1))2/4 8 Period 1, III • • • • • • • (20- (2/3) p1) p1 + (20 -(20- (2/3)p1))2/4 Maximize wrt p1 . Foc yields p1 = 18, Q1 = 20- (2/3) p1 = 20-(2/3)18 =8 p2 = (20 - Q1)/2 = (20-8)/2 = 6 Q2 = (20 - 8)/2 = 6 Total profit 18*8 + 6*6 = 180 < 200!!!!! 9 Example end • Profit lower when monopolist sells than when he rents. • Problem: he is his own competitor. • Notice he seeks to mitigate the problem by setting p1 high. But not perfect solution. • Coase’s conjecture • When number of periods go to infinity and there is no discounting (like in ex), then price MC • This has been verified in subsequent research • Examples: Store Danske Encyklopædi ! 10 How to solve problem for mon • • • • Commit not to lower price . DSDE Make good non-durable Fads, fashion Make capacity constraints so expanding output costly • Most favored costumer clause (NB) • Buy back guarantee • Reputation (de Beers) 11