Tom Peters’ Re-imagine! Business Excellence in a Disruptive Age eCustomerServiceWorld/Orlando/03November 2003 Slides at … tompeters.com “Uncertainty is the only thing to be sure of.” –Anthony Muh, head of investment in Asia, Citigroup Asset Management “If you don’t like change, you’re going to like irrelevance even less.” —General Eric Shinseki, Chief of Staff, U. S. Army Re-imagine! Business Excellence in a Disruptive Age 1. It is the foremost task —and responsibility— of our generation to re-imagine our enterprises and institutions, public and private. It is the foremost task— and responsibility— of our generation to re-imagine our enterprises, private and public. —from the cover, Re-imagine Re-imagine! 2. War-making, commerce, politics, and the essential nature of human interchange have come unglued. We are in a … Brawl with No Rules. We have to make it up as we go along. “We are in a brawl with no rules.” Paul Allaire S.A.V. Re-imagine! 3. Incrementalism is .. Out. Destruction is … In. Built to last is … Out. Built to flip is … In. Forbes100 from 1917 to 1987: 39 members of the Class of ’17 were alive in ’87; 18 in ’87 F100; 18 F100 “survivors” underperformed the market by 20%; just 2 (2%), GE & Kodak, outperformed the market 1917 to 1987. S&P 500 from 1957 to 1997: 74 members of the Class of ’57 were alive in ’97; 12 (2.4%) of 500 outperformed the market from 1957 to 1997. Source: Dick Foster & Sarah Kaplan, Creative Destruction: Why Companies That Are Built to Last Underperform the Market “Good management was the most powerful reason [leading firms] failed to stay atop their industries. Precisely because these firms listened to their customers, invested aggressively in technologies that would provide their customers more and better products of the sort they wanted, and because they carefully studied market trends and systematically allocated investment capital to innovations that promised the best returns, they lost their positions of leadership.” Clayton Christensen, The Innovator’s Dilemma Forget>“Learn” “The problem is never how to get new, innovative thoughts into your mind, but how to get the old ones out.” Dee Hock “The difficulties … arise from the inherent conflict between the need to control existing operations and the need to create the kind of environment that will permit new ideas to flourish—and old ones to die a timely death. … We believe that most corporations will find it impossible to match or outperform the market without abandoning the assumption of continuity. … The current apocalypse—the transition from a state of continuity to state of discontinuity—Has the same suddenness [as the trauma that beset civilization in 1000 A.D.]” Richard Foster & Sarah Kaplan, “Creative Destruction” (The McKinsey Quarterly) The Three Levels of Innovation Transformational Substantial Incremental Source: Dick Foster, Business 2.0 (05.01) Note: Each level requires totally different processes! No Wiggle Room! “Incrementalism is innovation’s worst enemy.” Nicholas Negroponte Just Say No … “I don’t intend to be known as the ‘King of the Tinkerers.’ ” CEO, large financial services company Re-imagine! 4. There is no higher priority than the Total Transformation of all business practice to eBusiness practice—encompassing every element of the enterprise and every member of its family of alliances and partners. The Internet changes everything. Now. “The corporation as we know it, which is now 120 years old, is not likely to survive the next 25 years. Legally and financially, yes, but not structurally and economically.” Peter Drucker, Business 2.0 “The organizations we created have become tyrants. They have taken control, holding us fettered, creating barriers that hinder rather than help our businesses. The lines that we drew on our neat organizational diagrams have turned into walls that no one can scale or penetrate or even peer over.” —Frank Lekanne Deprez & René Tissen, Zero Space: Moving Beyond Organizational Limits. “Dawn Meyerreicks, CTO of the Defense Information Systems Agency, made one of the most fateful military calls of the 21st century. After 9/11 … her office quickly leased all the available transponders covering Central Asia. The implications should change everything about U.S. military thinking in the years ahead. “The U.S. Air Force had kicked off its fight against the Taliban with an ineffective bombing campaign, and Washington was anguishing over whether to send in a few Army divisions. Donald Rumsfeld told Gen. Tommy Franks to give the initiative to 250 Special Forces already on the ground. They used satellite phones, Predator surveillance drones, and GPS- and laser-based targeting systems to make the air strikes brutally effective. “In effect, they ‘Napsterized’ the battlefield by cutting out the middlemen (much of the military’s command and control) and working directly with the real players. … The data came in so fast that HQ revised operating procedures to allow intelligence analysts and attack planners to work directly together. Their favorite tool, incidentally, was instant messaging over a secure network.”—Ned Desmond/“Broadband’s New Killer App”/Business 2.0/ OCT2002 OODA Loop/Boyd Cycle “Unraveling the competition”/ Quick Transients/ Quick Tempo (NOT JUST SPEED!)/ Agility/ “So quick it is disconcerting” (adversary over-reacts or under-reacts)/ “Winners used tactics that caused the enemy to unravel before the fight” (NEVER HEAD TO HEAD) BOYD: The Fighter Pilot Who Changed the Art of War (Robert Coram) Re-imagine! 5. Ninety percent of white-collar jobs (90 percent of all jobs) as we know them will be disemboweled in the next 15 years. Done. Gone. Kaput. E.g. … Jeff Immelt: 75% of “admin, back room, finance” “digitalized” in years. Source: BW (01.28.02) Re-imagine! 6. “Winners” (survivors!) will become de facto bosses of Me Inc. Free the Cubicle Slaves! Self-reliance replaces corporate cosseting. Hooray! “If there is nothing very special about your work, no matter how hard you apply yourself, you won’t get noticed, and that increasingly means you won’t get paid much either.” Michael Goldhaber, Wired “Self-reliance never comes ‘naturally’ to adults because they have been so conditioned to think non-authentically that it feels wrenching to do otherwise. … Self Reliance is a last resort to which a person is driven in desperation only when he or she realizes ‘that imitation is suicide, that he must take himself for better, for worse, as his portion.’ ” —Lawrence Buell, Emerson Re-imagine! 7. We must learn to add value through creativity … by inventing … Extraordinary Experiences … which provide scintillating “solutions” to customers’ oft unexpressed desires and dreams. Out: Tangibles. In: Intangibles. “The ‘surplus society’ has a surplus of similar companies, employing similar people, with similar educational backgrounds, coming up with similar ideas, producing similar things, with similar prices and similar quality.” Kjell Nordström and Jonas Ridderstråle, Funky Business Systems Integrator of choice. Global Services: Gerstner’s IBM: $40B. Pledge/’99: Business Partner Charter. 72 strategic partners, aim for 200. Drop many in-house programs/products. (BW/12.01). IBM/Q3/10.15.03/Rev: +5% Services/Consulting: +11% Software: +5% Hardware: -5% PCs: -2% Technology/Chips: -33% WHAT CAN BROWN DO FOR YOU? Experience: “Rebel Lifestyle!” “What we sell is the ability for a 43-year-old accountant to dress in black leather, ride through small towns and have people be afraid of him.” Harley exec, quoted in Results-Based Leadership Moving Companies WSJ/08.2003: “In Texas, They’ll fill your empty fridge with brie and wine. An outfit in New York promises quick high-speed Internet hookup. And when Allied Van Lines finishes unloading your couch, they’ll have a feng shui expert figure out the right spot. …” And the Winners Are … Televisions –12% Cable TV service +5% Toys -10% Child care +5% Photo equipment -7% Photographer’s fees +3% Sports Equipment -2% Admission to sporting event +3% New car -2% Car repair +3% Dishes & flatware -1% Eating out +2% Gardening supplies -0.1% Gardening services +2% Source: WSJ/05.16.03 FEES! FEES! FEES! —Cover Story, BW/09.29.03 It’s All About EXPERIENCES: “Trapper” to “Wildlife Damage-control Professional” Trapper: <$20 per beaver pelt. WDCP: $150/“problem beaver”; $750-$1,000 for flood-control piping … so that beavers can stay. Source: WSJ/05.21.2002 Keep In Mind/Nardelli Customer Satisfaction versus Customer Success “Customer Satisfaction” to “Customer Success” “We’re getting better at [Six Sigma] every day. But we really need to think about the customer’s profitability. Are customers’ bottom lines really benefiting from what we provide them?” Bob Nardelli, GE Power Systems “Experiences are as distinct from services as services are from goods.” Joseph Pine & James Gilmore, The Experience Economy: Work Is Theatre & Every Business a Stage DREAM: “A dream is a complete moment in the life of a client. Important experiences that tempt the client to commit substantial resources. The essence of the desires of the consumer. The opportunity to help clients become what they want to be.” —Gian Luigi Longinotti-Buitoni The marketing of Dreams (Dreamketing) Dreamketing: Touching the clients’ dreams. Dreamketing: The art of telling stories and entertaining. Dreamketing: Promote the dream, not the product. Dreamketing: Build the brand around the main dream. Dreamketing: Build the “buzz,” the “hype,” the “cult.” Source: Gian Luigi Longinotti-Buitoni Trading Up: The New American Luxury Also see: (Michael Silverstein & Neil Fiske) The “Experience Ladder” Experiences Services Goods Raw Materials (Revised) Experience Ladder Dreams Come True Awesome Experiences Solutions Services Goods Raw Materials “… a powerful and madly exuberant work” —LA Times on Frank Gehry’s Walt Disney Concert Hall (10.03) Re-imagine! 8. Design Rules … in an Age of Experiences/ Dream Fulfillment. Design Transforms even the [Biggest] Corporations! TARGET … “the champion of America’s new design democracy” (Time) “Marketer of the Year 2000” (Advertising Age) Westin’s … Heavenly Bed “We don’t have a good language to talk about this kind of thing. In most people’s vocabularies, design means veneer. … But to me, nothing could be further from the Design is the fundamental soul meaning of design. of a man-made creation.” Steve Jobs Re-imagine! 9. Brand Value = All Value = Obeisance to Metaphysical Management. “WHO ARE WE?” “WHAT’S OUR STORY?” “We are in the twilight of a society based on data. As information and intelligence become the domain of computers, society will place more value on the one human ability that cannot be automated: emotion. Imagination, myth, ritual - the language of emotion will affect everything from our purchasing decisions Companies will thrive on the basis of their stories and myths. Companies will need to understand to how we work with others. that their products are less important than their stories.” Rolf Jensen, Copenhagen Institute for Future Studies “Most executives have no idea how to add value to a market in the metaphysical world. But that is what the market will cry out for in the future. There is no lack of ‘physical’ products to choose between.” Jesper Kunde, Unique now ... or never [on the excellence of Nokia, Nike, Lego, Virgin et al.] Re-imagine! 10. WOMEN ROAR. Women buy (ALL) the stuff. Re-imagine the brand itself—and all business practices—around women-aspurchasers. ????????? Home Furnishings … 94% Vacations … 92% (Adventure Travel … 70%/ $55B travel equipment) Houses … 91% D.I.Y. (“home projects”) … 80% Consumer Electronics … 51% Cars … 60% (90%) All consumer purchases … 83% Bank Account … 89% Health Care … 80% $5+T > Japan 10M/28M/$3.6T > Germany 91% women: ADVERTISERS DON’T UNDERSTAND US. (58% “ANNOYED.”) Source: Greenfield Online for Arnold’s Women’s Insight Team (Martha Barletta, Marketing to Women) Read This Book … EVEolution: The Eight Truths of Marketing to Women Faith Popcorn & Lys Marigold “Men and women don’t think the same way, don’t communicate the same way, don’t buy for the same reasons.” “He simply wants the transaction to take place. She’s interested in creating a relationship. Every place women go, they make connections.” EVEolution: Truth No. 1 Connecting Your Female Consumers to Each Other Connects Them to Your Brand “The ‘Connection Proclivity’ in women starts early. When asked, ‘How was school today?’ a girl usually tells her mother every detail of what happened, while a boy might grunt, ‘Fine.’ ” EVEolution “Women don’t buy They join them.” brands. EVEolution 2.6 vs. Editorial/Men: Tables, rankings.* Editorial/Women: Narratives that cohere.* *Redwood (UK) 1. Men and women are different. 2. Very different. 3. VERY, VERY DIFFERENT. 4. Women & Men have a-b-s-o-l-u-t-e-l-y nothing in common. 5. Women buy lotsa stuff. 6. WOMEN BUY A-L-L THE STUFF. 7. Women’s Market = Opportunity No. 1. 8. Men are (STILL) in charge. 9. MEN ARE … TOTALLY, HOPELESSLY CLUELESS ABOUT WOMEN. 10. Women’s Market = Opportunity No. 1. 10A. Duh. Re-imagine! 11. Boomers & Geezers have (ALL) the money. Pay attention! “ ‘Age Power’ will st 21 rule the century, and we are woefully unprepared.” Ken Dychtwald, Age Power: How the 21st Century Will Be Ruled by the New Old 2000-2010 Stats 18-44: -1% 55+: +21% (55-64: +47%) Aging/“Elderly” $$$$$$$$$$$$ “I’m in charge!” 50+ $7T wealth (70%)/$2T annual income 50% all discretionary spending 79% own homes/40M credit card users 41% new cars/48% luxury cars $610B healthcare spending/ 74% prescription drugs 5% of advertising targets Ken Dychtwald, Age Power: How the 21st Century Will Be Ruled by the New Old “Marketers attempts at reaching those over 50 have been miserably unsuccessful. No market’s motivations and needs are so poorly understood.”—Peter Francese, founding publisher, American Demographics Re-imagine! 12. Creative Enterprises demand … Awesome (& Creative) Talent. Everywhere. Age of Agriculture Industrial Age Age of Information Intensification Age of Creation Intensification Source: Murikami Teruyasu, Nomura Research Institute “When land was the scarce resource, nations battled over it. The same is happening now for talented people.” Stan Davis & Christopher Meyer, futureWEALTH Message: Some people are better than other people. Some people are a helluva lot better than other people. Model 25/8/53 Sports Franchise GM* *48 = $500M Brand = Talent. Re-imagine! 13. WOMEN RULE. Women are … Tomorrow’s Leaders. (Period.) “AS LEADERS, WOMEN RULE: New Studies find that female managers outshine their male counterparts in almost every measure” Title, Special Report, BusinessWeek, 11.20.00 Lawrence A. Pfaff & Assoc. — 2 Years, 941 mgrs (672M, 269F); 360º feedback — Women: 20 of 20; 15 of 20 with statistical significance, incl. decisiveness, planning, setting stds.) — “Men are not rated significantly higher by any of the raters in any of the areas measured.” (LP) Women’s Strengths Match New Economy Imperatives: Link [rather than rank] workers; favor interactive-collaborative leadership style [empowerment beats top-down decision making]; sustain fruitful collaborations; comfortable with sharing information; see redistribution of power as victory, not surrender; favor multi-dimensional feedback; value technical & interpersonal skills, individual & group contributions equally; readily accept ambiguity; honor intuition as well as pure “rationality”; inherently flexible; appreciate cultural diversity. Source: Judy B. Rosener, America’s Competitive Secret: Women Managers Psssst! Wanna see my “porn” collection? !!!!!!!!!!!!!!! 14 to 168* *Leadership Positions/D&T/1992-2002/WIAR “Are men obsolete?” —Headline, USN&WR/06.03.03 Re-imagine! 14. “Talent Development” rests upon Total Re-imagining of our insipid schools. Those who “color outside the box” and “can’t sit still” are the New Heroes. “My wife and I went to a [kindergarten] parent-teacher conference and were informed that our budding refrigerator artist, Christopher, would be receiving a grade of Unsatisfactory in art. We were shocked. How could any child—let alone our child—receive a poor His teacher informed us that he had refused to color within the lines, which was a state requirement for demonstrating ‘grade-level motor skills.’ ” grade in art at such a young age? Jordan Ayan, AHA! Re-imagine! 15. Weird Wins … in Weird Times. (Innovation = Easy. Hang Out with Weird = Get Weird.) (Q.E.D.) Saviors-in-Waiting Disgruntled Customers Off-the-Scope Competitors Rogue Employees Fringe Suppliers Wayne Burkan, Wide Angle Vision: Beat the Competition by Focusing on Fringe Competitors, Lost Customers, and Rogue Employees “To grow, companies need to break out of a vicious cycle of competitive benchmarking, imitation and pursuit.” —W. Chan Kim & Renée Mauborgne, “Think for Yourself —Stop Copying a Rival,” Financial Times/08.11.03 “Aiming to beat the competition has the opposite effect to the one intended. It keeps companies focused on the competition. When asked to build competitive advantage, managers typically rate themselves against competitors, assess what they do and try to do it better.” —W. Chan Kim & Renee Mauborgne, “Think for Yourself—Stop copying a Rival”/FT/08.11.03 “The Bottleneck is at the Top of the Bottle” “Where are you likely to find people with the least diversity of experience, the largest investment in the past, and the greatest reverence for industry dogma? At the top!” — Gary Hamel, “Strategy or Revolution”/ Harvard Business Review Huh? “Quiet, workmanlike, stoic leaders bring about the big transformations.”—JC Pastels? T. Paine/P. Henry/A. Hamilton/T. Jefferson/B. Franklin A. Lincoln/U. S. Grant/W. T. Sherman TR/FDR/LBJ/RR/JFK M.L. King C. de Gaulle M. Gandhi W. Churchill M. Thatcher Picasso Mozart Copernicus/Newton/Einstein J. Welch/L. Gerstner/L. Ellison/B. Gates/S. Ballmer/S. Jobs/ S. McNealy A. Carnegie/J. P. Morgan/H. Ford/J.D. Rockefeller/T. A. Edison “I’m looking for insane commitment.” —Twyla Tharp, The Creative Habit Audie Murphy was the most decorated soldier in WW2. He won every medal we had to offer, plus 5 presented by Belgium and France. There was one common medal he never won … … the Good Conduct medal. Re-imagine! 16. Leading = Re-imagining = Unleashing Passion in One & All. Winners … Pursue Quests to Places as Yet Unimagined. Leaders applaud their “followers’ ” Quirky Bravery … and egg them on to ever more wild & woolly experiments. “I don’t know.” The Kotler Doctrine: 1965-1980: R.A.F. (Ready.Aim.Fire.) 1980-1995: R.F.A. (Ready.Fire!Aim.) 1995-????: F.F.F. (Fire!Fire!Fire!) “If things seem under control, you’re just not going fast enough.” Mario Andretti “If it works, it’s obsolete.” —Marshall McLuhan “Fail faster. Succeed sooner.” David Kelley/IDEO “Reward excellent failures. Punish mediocre successes.” Phil Daniels, Sydney exec “Management has a lot to do with answers. Leadership is a function of questions. And the first question for a leader always is: ‘Who do we intend to be?’ Not ‘What are we going to do?’ but ‘Who do we intend to be?’” —Max DePree, Herman Miller “Create a ‘cause,’ not a ‘business.’ ” G.H.: Ah, kids: “What is your vision for the future?” “What have you accomplished since your first book?” “Close your eyes and imagine me immediately doing something about what you’ve just said. What would it be?” “Do you feel you have an obligation to ‘Make the world a better place’?” BZ: “I am a … Dispenser of Enthusiasm!” “In Tom’s world it’s always better to try a swan dive and deliver a colossal belly flop than to step timidly off the board while holding your nose.” —Fast Company /October2003 T. J. Peters 1942 – 2--- HE WAS A PLAYER!