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SURVIVING THE CRISIS – FINANCIAL RISK

Franco Azzopardi

Twin Cities law firms say they must

shrink

their staffs -

- including attorneys -- to bring expenses in line with decreasing revenue.

The recessionary forces that have battered law firms on the East and West coasts have reached

Minneapolis and St. Paul.

The problem is that clients aren't doing as many transactions, companies are cutting their outside legal expenses, and business is just

drying

up.

StarTribune.com

"In this challenging economic environment, we have got to stay lean, highly productive and focused ”

[Randy King, chief executive and managing director of

Merchant & Gould.]

"Every company in this economy is looking at its

budget and expenses

. We are a revenue business," said Cooper Ashley of

Maslon Edelman Borman & Brand.

[Bill White , publisher of Minnesota Law & Politics]

The current economic downturn poses a dilemma to professional services businesses like yours. Do you wait and see what happens with the recession? or do you

take pro-active measures

to make your business more agile to adapt to market conditions?

• If you're struggling to get the work in, you need to learn more about marketing .

• If you're struggling to keep up with the work you already have, you need to learn more about practice management .

• If you're struggling with attrition rate, unpaid client bills, or unpredictable cash flow, you need to learn more about

financial management

and put systems in place to protect yourself.

Today we touch on

3 key arguments

:

Controlling time is key to effective billing!!??

Feeding the marching army in time of quiet...

Cost or

Investment

???

Big deal...

Budgeting

is after all just transposing numbers in a spreadsheet!!!???

Some background to

tune in...

Traditional paradigms attached to

Law firms

:

We only have

time

to sell

So is this our only income generating asset, or is it our stock in trade???

Profit = Revenue – Personnel costs

– O/heads where

Revenue = Time available x efficiency x charge rate

Some other common metrics...

Charged hours/Paid hours (

efficiency

) 65 – 75%

EBIT / Sales between

15 – 20%

Investment

policy – mainly in office premises

ROIC

– ???

Looks simple...

“Challenge assumed constraints!!.”

[Ken Blanchard, ‘Leading at a higher level’]

...to start with where is the knowledge and the human element in the profit equation??

Hmm! that changes the whole chemistry of financial equations.

Industrial Age or

Information

Age

So how do we integrate

Knowledge

and the

Human element

into our budgets and metrics ?

In actual fact, revenue of a PSF is much more complex than just the above algebraic equation as it involves the interplay of: human capital

(capital that leaves the elevator at night) structural capital

(knowledge repositories, databases etc) and social capital

(customers).

This is the make-up of our

investment

This brings us to

ROI

But how do we assess our RETURNS when we write off our most significant investments immediately!

?

If only we could attach a value to these like a manufacturing business would capitalise assets

Theodore W Schulz, Nobel Prizewinning economist, theorized in

1961 in American Economic Review, that investments in human capital should be accounted for in the same manner as investments in plant and machinery.

Knowledge worker productivity

‘KNOWLEDGE WORKER PRODUCTIVITY

REQUIRES THAT THE KNOWLEDGE WORKER IS

SEEN AND TREATED AS AN ASSET, RATHER

THAN A COST.

[Peter Drucker, 1999, Management challenges for the 21st century]

So the emerging paradigm is:

Profit

is the applause of the level of: motivation of your knowledge workers and the robustness of your client relationships

.

Hence the TRIPLE BOTTOM LINE .

Controlling time is key to effective billing!!!???

Revenue = Time available x efficiency x charge rate

For decades, Law firms have genetically encoded its members with the core belief that they sell only time.

Surely professionals are not successful because they sell hours, since no customer buys hours!

Park your brains at the door dude!!!

[industrial age adage]

...Stick with the time sheet and hang the stopwatch round your neck!!!...

In a PSF it is not ‘working harder that counts, but

WORKING SMARTER...

IT IS NOT HOW LONG IT TAKES BUT WHAT WE

GIVE WITHIN TIME CONSTRAINTS’

Lagging timesheets versus

Project management

Time billing versus

Value based billing

So what leads to effective billing?

Client’s purse?

Client’s requirements?

Matching talent pool?

Brand equity?

Market conditions?

Client’s perceived value

(PV) of service offering?

Ability of firm to quote close to PV?

Clear terms of business?

Hang on!!!!!

What about

time-sheets

?

Surely we can’t just ignore the core of our PM!

Time-sheets are essential for:

Building experience

To administer staff costs

To support in Project Management

To budget for lapsed time

To build job cards

Measure what counts

Select the right KPIs that increase partners’ value ...

focus on Leading rather than Lagging Indicators.

Simplify your dashboard

Timesheets – lapsed time%

SCR = (payroll+o/h)/pd hours x(1-lapsed time)

SRR=(Total costs +profit)/billed hrs

WIP-Debtor-Cash cycle

SNAPSHOT DASHBOARD

Cumulative Costs vs Forecast

$1,60

$1,40

$1,20

$1,00

$0,80

$0,60

$0,40

$0,20

$0,00

$7,00

$6,00

Cumulative Fees vs Forecast

$5,00

$4,00

$3,00

$2,00

$1,00

$0,00

(…CONT)

Monthly Cash Burn

$0 янв.09

$(100 000) фев.09

мар.09

апр.09

май.09

июн.09

июл.09

авг.09

сен.09

окт.09

Budgeted Cash Burn

Actual Cash Burn

Линейная (Budgeted Cash Burn)

Линейная (Actual Cash Burn) ноя.09

дек.09

$(200 000)

$(300 000)

$(400 000)

$(500 000)

$(600 000)

$(700 000)

$(800 000)

$(900 000)

Feeding the marching army...

Cost or Investment???

Only if you think there is a mismatch in the skill sets on inventory and the requirements of both the contracted and pipeline legal work.

Part of staff costs are the

investment

of the firm!

What are the skills that are required?(Brand promise, Market demands)

Personal Competencies Development,

Knowledge Elicitation,

Leadership Development

Budgeting is after all just transposing the numbers in a spreadsheet!!!???

SW OT

Contracted and pipeline projects

Forecast targets and conversions

Expected SRR

Expected level of activity

Investment budget

Dividend policy

Staff costs

Overheads

What about the Support Structures ?

Do we have clear O&M suggesting procedures from

RFP, to Client Acceptance, to Project classification, to Project management procedures, till sign-off, billing and converting to cash?

Support structures should be as robust as the speed that is expected in reducing customer conversion to client and project acceptance to cash.

Administrative departments...

Which functions could be simplified without a loss in performance?

Marketing departments...

“cutting down on marketing to save on costs is like stopping the watch to save on time!!”

(Henry Ford)

Conclusion

People and Knowledge are the revenue generating assets of the firm.

The Client is the BOSS with the purse.

Management seeks to attract and retain both

The

Culture of the firm is the what glues these together.

Drucker’s foresight

‘Knowledge is the business fully, as much as the customer is the business. Physical goods or services are only the vehicle for the exchange of customer purchasing power against business knowledge’.

[Peter Drucker, 1964, Managing for Results]

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