Prof. Phillip J. Bryson Marriott School Brigham Young University Market in Istanbul, Turkey Markets are institutions of buying and selling on the basis of voluntary exchange. Can you draw one? P r i c e 1 2 0 S 1 0 0 8 0 6 0 P * 4 0 2 0 Q * D 0 Q u a n t i t y Supply shows what sellers wish to do, Demand shows what buyers wish to do, and both express the freedom of economic agents to pursue their own interests. Prices and quantities reflect social forces and leave no need for government planning or intervention accept where citizens vote their desires to limit certain markets, such as vice markets. This is the portrait of a free society. Hierarchies are institutions designed to allocate resources without the use of markets. They use strict lines of authority Transactions and Efficiency The fundamental unit of analysis is the transaction. Routine transactions don’t require much organization. (Where parties must bargain particular terms, higher transactions costs are incurred). In both markets and hierarchies, resource allocation should be performed with little waste, so efficiency is an important criterion of success. What is the goal of markets and hierarchies? The greatest possible happiness of the people. (To maximize society’s “utility” or satisfaction.) Why Efficiency is Important Consider the economic notion of efficiency. Usually, for a given collection of resources, numerous efficient allocations will be possible. (Efficiency doesn’t require a unique outcome.) Alternative resource allocation activities offer diverse outcomes. “Pareto optimality” is achieved in the social situation where, given some distribution of incomes or resources, no individual can be made better off without making someone else worse off. Economic Systems An economic system, e.g., capitalist or socialist, must allocate scarce resources through markets or through a central planning agency. Who was the spiritual father of this hostility? Karl Marx. Lenin’s . Contrast to bargaining mentality or to a western sales mentality. Who gains in the normal transaction? Do both gain, or is one party always the sucker, the exploited participant? The Socialist Dilemma The Dilemma is to achieve efficient allocation without markets. All goods need to be produced at the lowest possible cost, The right mix of outputs must be forthcoming for the benefit of consumers, the right levels of savings and investment must be provided, and, in general, The Socialist Dilemma there must be no way to increase consumer satisfaction by any reallocation of society’s resources. Computing an efficient allocation for a complex modern economy is clearly not feasible. Even with only two people, it may be impossible to determine how to arrange their activities to help one without hurting the other. The fundamental planning problem: destroy markets so the property and power (to set prices) is taken away from the capitalists Insufficient information for planners to deal with the tremendous complexity of the economy. How get it? From enterprises. Principle/agent problems. Incentive compatibility problems. Establish quotas: gross output target. (Objective of enterprise: secure soft target.) The Gross Output Target The primary objective: “bury” the capitalists. Frenetic pursuit of growth results in: No quality dimension, No innovation, Environmental degradation. The Information Problem in Central Planning Material Balances, the committee approach to allocation. Half the committee works on sources, the other half on distribution. Send letters to suppliers and buyers for quantities. Make plan and inform enterprises. Hear their problems and revise. 7-13 iterations should do. The Information Solution Input-Output Analysis. Wassily Leontief (St. Petersburg, Nobel 1973) In a matrix of inputs (columns) and outputs (rows) all industries are listed. Invert the matrix to solve for precise planning quantities. But Leontief was promoting bourgeois doctrine. Wait for Kontorovich and linear programming. Planning’s failure to achieve consistency and productive results led to private efforts to meet needs. Extensive growth was possible, especially early on, but intensive growth was not. Productivity stagnation was the nightmare of Brezhnev. Private efforts to manage resources began with the enterprises sending out their Tolkach (expediter, “pusher”) to find the resources the plan had misdirected. From this the second economy developed, and it was huge. How Would You Organize? Let us assume that 2,000 Saints moved to a newly discovered and unpopulated island in the Puget Sound region to start a new life and establish Ytopia? Could this be done even without a government to pass laws? Who would tell the people what to do, what to produce? Without a government and economic plan, why would anyone want to produce anything? How Would You Organize? If whole economies can’t be organized efficiently, can individual economic organizations function efficiently? Some corporations are also extremely large with multiple divisions and widely diverse activities. Like those corporations, an economic community would face the tasks of coordination and motivation. Specialization is the key to societal material wealth. Adam Smith and pins. Milton Friedman and pencils. How Would You Organize? To coordinate effectively, widely dispersed information must be available for planning. Either collect it from lower hierarchical levels of the organization or let those individuals who have it use it with decentralized decision powers to produce and buy, sell and consume. Prices summarize all knowledge and information. What incentives are available to motivate people to act on their information? Adam Smith’s “invisible hand.” Transactions Costs A creative new approach to economic analysis suggests that economic activity and organizations are arranged to minimize transactions costs. Why are some transactions conducted through markets while others are not. Ronald Coase (Nobel, 1991) pointed out that transactions costs depend on the way a transaction is carried out. Transactions Costs Coase taught that transactions agents will tend to adopt institutional arrangements that minimize transactions costs. Generally, they are the costs of running the system, of coordinating and motivating. Coordination costs. It is necessary to determine prices and other details of transactions, to locate and negotiate with potential buyers and sellers. Producers must research buyers’ tastes and determine market demands. Buyers must search for the best prices and characteristics of goods. Transactions costs also include the benefits lost when buyer and seller matching is non-optimal or when worthwhile transactions don’t come about. Transactions Costs Motivation Costs. First, informational incompleteness and asymmetries can cause transactions costs. Second, imperfect commitment causes them when parties are unable to commit themselves to follow and implement the contract. When agents must decide whether to follow through on threats and promises they would like to make, but which, having made, they would later like to renounce, transactions costs must be incurred. Attributes of Transactions The specificity of required investments. High specificity means the investment can’t be Thuan Phuoc Fish Market used in other transactions. The frequency with which transactions occur and their duration. The complexity and the uncertainty (about the transaction’s required performance). The difficulty of measuring performance The connectedness of the transaction to other transactions Viability of the Theory The theory that economic activity and organizations are designed to minimize transactions costs is helpful conceptually, problematic in two ways. First, Production costs = f (technology, inputs) Transactions costs = f(organization of transactions). But both depend on organization and technology; separating and measuring the two is difficult. Viability of the Theory Second, the notion that firms will organize so as to minimize transactions costs (as Coase suggests) is problematic. Why should employers minimize total transactions costs rather than those costs which they themselves must bear? (The standard answer is that employees costs will be taken account of where competition forces employers to do so. But that greatly reduces the range of application of the theory.)