BUSINESS ANALYSIS AND FINANCIAL POLICY UPSA – LEVEL 300 Mr. Charles Barnor, Mr. Danaa Nantogmah and Mr. K. Fosu-Boateng 1 Week 1 Introduction to Business Analysis and Financial Policy • • • • • • • • • • • INTRODUCTION BUSINESS STRATEGY ANALYSIS INVESTIGATION TECHNIQUES CONSIDER PERSPECTIVES ANALYSE NEEDS CASE STUDY PRESENTATIONS INTERIM ASSESSMENTS EVALUATE OPTIONS CORPORATE FINANCIAL POLICY DECISIONS DEFINE REQUIREMENTS REVISION Week 1 Week 2&3 Week 4-5 Week 6 Week 7 Week 8 Week 9 Week 10 Week 11 Week 12 Week 13 2 Topic 1 Introduction to Business Analysis and Financial Policy • • • • • • The rationale for business analysis The development of business analysis The scope of business analysis The responsibilities of a business analyst The Business Analysis Maturity Model The competencies of a business analyst 3 Introduction • Business analysis is the set of task and techniques use to work as a liaison among stakeholders in order to understand the structure, policies and operations of an organization, and recommend solutions that will enable an organization to achieve its goals (International institute of business analysis, 2008). • The development of business analysis as a professional discipline has extended the role and responsibilities of the business analyst (BA). Business analysts investigate ideas and problems, formulate options for a way forward and produce business cases setting out their conclusions and recommendations. 4 The development of business analysis Business analysts have responsibility for the following areas: • Identifying the tactical options that will address a given situation and will support the delivery of the business strategy • Defining the tactics that will enable the organization to achieve its strategy • Supporting the implementation and operation of those tactics • Redefining the tactics after implementation to take account of business changes and to ensure continuing alignment with business objectives 5 Setting the scene: scope of the Business Analyst role There is a chain of reasoning that leads from the statement of a problem to the implementation of solutions… …involving up to 10 groups of people… Owners defines measures of success and $targets …Business Analysts confirm & document $Money! Strategists Sponsors establish a Programme that delivers the strategy …Business Analysts document Programme TOR and help build the Business Case determine the strategy to hit the targets …Business Analysts help do market research, create strategy, challenge & document Programme Managers Institute Projects that implement the programme …Business Analysts document the Project TOR Project Stakeholders …Business Analysts specify requirements for Projects (in the Business Model) Solution Builders build solution …Business Analysts protect requirements & document compromises Project managers Implement solution …Business Analysts help with -Process and data migration -Cutover planning -Rollout Design Analysts design solution that satisfies the requirements …Business Analysts write functional specifications, protect requirements & document compromises Solution Builders & Business test solution …Business Analysts ensure tested against requirements Users Accept solution …Business Analysts help with -$MEASURING $BENEFITS $REALISATION POST-IMPLEMENTATION Business Analysts feed back to the Owner how well their measure of success has been achieved 6 Chain Of Reasoning: Stakeholders Drivers Drivers Drivers Objectives Objectives Objectives Objectives Objectives Change Requirements Drivers Stakeholders Change Requirements Change Requirements Change Requirements Change Requirements Change Requirements must be assumed to be wrong until they are proved to be right 7 Fundamental Components of Business Analysis 8 All the Links in the Chain Of Reasoning Description The problems / opportunities that the business face Driver Addressed as measured by The measures and targets that will enable us to declare the change project has been successful business Objective Delivered by Definitions of what changes are required that will affect the measures of success (objectives) sufficiently for the business to be declared successful Change Requirement Enforces What rules must be implemented by the changes specified in the Business requirements Rule 9 Business Analysis 10 Business Analysis • Purpose: – Identify where the business stands in relation to rivals, etc. – Collect and use data to inform business decision making – Identify strengths and weaknesses in the business – Use information to inform strategic planning 11 Business Analysis • Method: • Collection of data from a range of sources: • • • • • Market research Past sales data Market growth data Specialist analyst data Secondary data, e.g. Mintel 12 Data 13 Analysis • Range of methods used to analyse data: • Trends – Growth rates – Nominal – Average • Mean • Median • Mode – Variance • Standard deviation • Range – Time series analysis – Scatter graphs • Correlation 14 Trends • Looking for patterns in data collections • Frequency and reliability of trends • Impact of external factors, e.g. seasonal variation, random events, cyclical trends 15 Averages • Averages are a measure of central tendency – the most likely or common item in a data series • Calculated through 3 measures: – Mean – Median – Mode 16 Averages • Mean = Sum of items in the series/number of items X = Σx x • Median = middle number in a data series – 0.5 (n+1) • Mode = the most frequently occurring value in a data series 17 Variance • Averages have limitations – measures of data spread used to assess width • Range – difference between the highest and the lowest value • Standard Deviation – used to measure the variance of the data set from the mean – can highlight how reliable the mean is as being representative of the data set 18 The Standard Deviation S= Σ (xi – x )2 n 19 Correlation • The degree to which there is a relationship between two or more random variables • The closer the relationship the higher the degree of correlation • Perfect correlation would be where r = 1 20 Time-Series Analysis • Used to analyse movements of a variable over a time period – usually years, quarters, months, etc. • Importance of assessing the: – – – – Trend Seasonality Key moments Magnitude 21 Presentation • • • • Graphs Charts Tables Index numbers – Method of showing average changes in large amounts of data – Laspeyres – Uses a base period weighting measurement – Paasche – Uses a current price weighting measurement 22 Forecasting 23 Qualitative • • • • • Focus groups - a group of individuals selected and assembled by researchers to discuss and comment on, from personal experience, a topic, issue or product User groups – similar to focus groups but consisting of those who have experience in the use of a product, system, service, etc. Panel surveys – repeated measurements from the same sample of people over a period of time Delphi method – calls on the expertise and insights of a panel of experts to help with forecasting – seen as being more reliable than data analysis only – Could be drawn together from around the world as there is no need to have people together at the same time In-house judgements – Use the expertise and judgements of those involved in the business in aiding and making judgements 24 Quantitative • Makes use of all the statistical data collected by the firm and by other firms/organisations to help inform decision making – Surveys – Sales data – Impact on sales • Primary data – collected by the firm themselves • Data collected by others and used by the firm, e.g. Office of National Statistics (ONS), Gallup, Mori, Mintel 25 Forecasting • Advantages and disadvantages: • Data from several years can give accurate guides to future performance • Statistical techniques can make the data informative and useful • All depends on the quality of the data and the accuracy of the techniques used to analyse the data 26 • Q& A • THANK YOU 27