Severe Weather Guide How to Recognize, Identify, and Report Severe Weather Definitions and Terms • Watch: conditions are favorable for severe weather • Warning: severe weather is currently occurring in the area • Watches and warnings are issued for: severe thunderstorms, hail, flash floods, and tornadoes Thunderstorms • Every Thunderstorm Needs: – Moisture – Unstable Air (warm air to rise rapidly) – Lift (cold front) • There are three stages in the life cycle of a thunderstorm – Developing (Cumulus) stage – Mature stage – Dissipating stage Thunderstorms • Developing Stage – Rising cumulus clouds; strong updraft – Little if any precipitation – Lasts about 10 minutes – Occasional lightning Thunderstorms • Mature Stage – Updraft and downdraft – Most likely time for heavy rain, frequent lightning, strong winds, and hail – Tornado development is possible – Averages 10-20 minutes, but can last a few hours Thunderstorms • Dissipating Stage – Weakened updraft – Rainfall lessens in intensity – Lightning and strong winds remain a threat Types of Thunderstorms • Single Cell (Pulse): – Generally weak, short lived, and poorly organized • Multicell Cluster: – Most common type – Series of cells moving as one unit • Multicell Line: – AKA “Squall Line” – Long line of storms with gust front at leading edge • Supercell: – Very strong and produce severe weather Types of Thunderstorms • A thunderstorm is classified as severe if it has any of the following characteristics – Hail greater than 1” in diameter (dime size) – Winds greater than 58 miles per hour – Tornado Single Cell Storm • 20-30 minutes • Rarely turn severe • Heavy rainfall and weak tornadoes are still possible • Poorly organized Single Cell Storm Multicell Cluster Storm • Most common type of thunderstorm • Each cell in the cluster is at a different stage of the thunderstorm life cycle • Each cell may last 20 minutes, but each cluster can last several hours • Heavy rain, downbursts, moderate sized hail, occasional weak tornadoes Multicell Cluster Storm Multicell Cluster Storm Multicell Line Storm • Squall Line • Long line of storms with a continuous, well developed gust front at leading edge of the line • Heaviest rain is at center of line • Produce heavy rain, hail, and tornadoes • Strong downbursts can cause line to bend and become a “bow echo” Multicell Line Storm Multicell Line Storm Multicell Line Storm – Bow Echo Multicell Line Storm – Bow Echo Supercell Thunderstorm • Rarest type of thunderstorm, but the most dangerous • The updraft rotates (called mesocyclone) • Large hail • Heavy downpours • Strong downbursts • Strong to violent tornadoes Supercell Thunderstorm (w/o Tornado) Supercell Thunderstorm (w/Tornado) Supercell Thunderstorm (w/Tornado) Supercell Thunderstorm Dangers of Thunderstorms • • • • • Flash Floods Lightning Hail Downbursts Tornadoes Flash Floods • #1 cause of death associated with thunderstorms • An average of 140 fatalities every year (in US) • Definition: a rapid rise in water (creeks, streams, drainage ditches) within 12 hours of a period of heavy rain – – – – As little as 6 inches can knock a human over Two feet of water can move a car “Turn Around, Don’t Drown” Get to higher ground immediately Lightning • Lightning occurs in all thunderstorms • Causes an average of 80 fatalities and 300 injuries per year (in the US) • Lightning strikes the tallest object – If caught outside crouch down in a ball • 30/30 Rule – Go indoors if you hear thunder before counting to 30 after you see lightning – Wait inside for 30 minutes after you last hear thunder Hail • Rarely causes fatalities, but causes significant damage to property and crops • Can fall at rates up to 100 miles per hour • Created by strong updrafts in thunderstorm Hail • Sizing Chart – – – – – – – – – – – – Pea Penny/Dime (Severe Criteria) Nickel Quarter Half Dollar Ping Pong Ball Golf ball Hen Egg Tennis Ball Baseball Grapefruit Softball http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/?n=events20110523-recordhail 0.25” 0.75” 0.88” 1.00” 1.25” 1.50” 1.75” 2.00” 2.50” 2.75” 4.00” 4.50” Downbursts • A strong downdraft with an outrush of damaging winds at the surface • Winds can reach 100 miles per hour or more • Straight line winds • Winds speed and direction can change rapidly Downbursts Downbursts • Wind Speed Estimates (mph) – 25-31: large branches in motion; whistling in telephone wires – 32-38: whole trees in motion – 39-54: twigs break off of trees; wind impedes walking – 55-72: damage to chimneys and TV antennas; pushes over shallow rooted trees – 73-112: peels surface off roofs; windows broken; trailer houses overturned – 113+: roofs torn off houses; weak building destroyed; large trees uprooted Tornado “Look-A-Likes” • Several cloud formations are associated with a thunderstorm that can be confused with an actual tornado – Wall clouds – Shelf clouds – Roll clouds • A roll cloud is similar to a shelf cloud, but it is detached from the main “parent cloud” whereas a shelf cloud is part of the main storm cloud – Scud Clouds • Detached and wind torn – similar shape to wall/funnel clouds Wall Clouds versus Shelf Clouds Wall Cloud Shelf Cloud Suggest Inflow/Updraft Suggest Outflow/Downdraft Maintain position with respect to rain Move away from rain Slope upward away from Slope downward away precipitation from precipitation Wall Cloud Wall Cloud • What is the tornado potential for a wall cloud? – It will be consistent, lasting 10-20 minutes – It will have persistent rotation – Strong winds will blow into the wall cloud from the south or southeast (25-35 mph) – It will exhibit evidence of rapid vertical motion • These are rules of thumb – there are always exceptions! Shelf Cloud Roll Cloud Scud Cloud Tornadoes • A tornado is a violently rotating column of air in contact with the ground extending from a thunderstorm • May appear transparent until dirt and debris are picked up in the vortex or until a condensation cloud forms • A tornado that forms over a body of water is called a waterspout Tornadoes • Tornadoes can occur at any time, any day, and in any state • They are most common – In tornado alley: Texas north to Nebraska and east to Indiana – During the spring and summer months – During the late afternoon and early evening Average Number of Tornadoes Per Year Average Number of Tornadoes Per Month Tornadoes By Hour of Day Tornado Life Cycle • 1. Funnel Cloud: extending from wall cloud, but not yet in contact with the ground • 2. Mature Tornado • 3. Rope Stage: the dissipating stage • Tornadoes are dangerous during all stages Funnel Cloud Mature Stage Rope Tornado Tornado Characteristics Weak Tornadoes Strong Tornadoes Violent Tornadoes % of Tornadoes 88% 11% <1% % of Tornado Deaths <5% ~30% 70% Duration 1-10+ minutes 20+ minutes Can exceed 1 hour Path Length Up to 3 miles 15+ miles 50+ miles Winds <110 mph 110-205mph >205mph Tornadoes • Tornadoes are always dangerous regardless of shape, size, or color • Large cities and mountains are just as prone to tornadoes as wide open fields • Average tornado speed is 30mph, but they can move as fast as 70mph – Do not attempt to outrun a tornado, find shelter immediately Tornado Fujita Scale F Scale Type Strength Winds 0 Gale Weak 40-72 mph 1 Moderate Weak 73-112 mph 2 Significant Strong 113-157 mph 3 Severe Strong 158-206 mph 4 Devastating Violent 207-260 mph 5 Incredible 261-318 mph http://www.spc.noaa.gov/faq/tornado/efscale.html Violent Severe Weather Alerts • During periods of severe weather it is important to keep an eye on the sky • Local television, radio, and the Internet are vital sources of information • A S.A.M.E NOAA weather radio is essential for immediate watches and warnings