Evaluating the Impacts and Effectiveness of Targeted Sanctions QUALITATIVE DATA BASE This template is the basis of the qualitative data base on UN targeted sanctions. Please complete all fields and analytical categories identified in the template in a concise manner, but with sufficient background and documentation for controversial points. The core units of analysis are sanctions episodes. COUNTRY Haiti AUTHOR(S) Francesco Giumelli 1. BACKGROUND AND OVERVIEW In 1987, a military coup removed Jean Claude Duvalier from power and opened a transitory phase in Haiti that eventually led to the first democratically elected president in the history of the country. The elections held in December 1990 were won by Jean Bertrand Aristide with 67.5% of the votes, which brought a new democratic wave of enthusiasm among Haitians in one of the poorest countries in Central America. However, the rule of Aristide and his Prime Minister, Réné Préval, antagonized the military and part of the business community who supported the previous regimes, so that on 30 September 1991 the military, led by Colonel Raoul Cédras, overthrew Aristide. President Aristide had also been accused of inviting his supporters to use violence against his political opponents, reasons for which he would not receive unconditional support by all the actors in the US administration. Aristide fled from Haiti, but he was encouraged to return and to fight back by President Perez of Venezuela. “Perez was convinced that by mobilizing the international community, notably through the OAS and the UN (where Venezuela would on 1 January 1992 assume a seat on the Security Council), the coup could be reversed. He convinced Aristide to seize these fora to put forward his legitimate claim to the Haitian Presidency as soon as possible. Aristide recognizes the key role of Pérez in mobilizing foreign support for him and in galvanizing him to fight on, and of Canadian Prime Minister Brian Mulroney’s determination to keep his cause alive in Washington. He was also influenced by the strong reaction of the Haitian Diaspora in the USA, Canada and France against the coup.”(Malone 1998:61-62) The Organization of American States (OAS) was the first to react in order to meet the principles established by the Santiago commitment to democracy adopted four months before the coup. After a failed negotiation encouraged by OAS negotiator Ramirez Ocampo the organization decided to impose sanctions on the military junta, which eventually constituted the prelude to sanctions imposed by the United Nations (UN). Among the actors in the international system, there were a few more active on the case of Haiti that were to be known as the Group of Friends. “In order to sustain the momentum, after this initial burst of international activity to counter the coup, France and Venezuela mooted in capitals a meeting of Canada, France the USA and Venezuela to see whether a steering group composed of these countries could be agreed. This grouping was constituted in mid-1992 as the Quadripartite Group, and late that same year as the ‘Group of Friends of the [UN] Secretary-General on Haiti”. (Malone 1998:66) 1 In 1993, Dante Caputo was appointed as Special Envoy to Haiti for both the UN and the OAS, a fact that determined the involvement of the UN in the international community’s efforts to restore the democratically elected President Aristide and a unique arrangement that helped to coordinate the actions of the two international organizations. Caputo was able to convince the military junta to accept an OAS/UN human rights monitoring mission known as the International Civilian Mission in Haiti (MICIVIH), which was led by Colin Granderson of Trinidad and Tobago. After 18 months of OAS voluntary sanctions, Caputo in agreement with Lawrence Pezzullo, Washington’s advisor on Haiti, proposed to impose UN comprehensive sanctions on the country. The Security Council agreed on this proposal and decided to threaten the imposition of sanctions in case the de facto military rulers in Haiti did not accept to negotiate on the return to a constitutional government (the terms de facto and de factos will be used often and they refer to the military junta as de facto rulers of Haiti after the ousting of President Aristide). The request of General Cédras to lift the OAS sanctions before any negotiation could take place convinced the Security Council on the need to adopt a resolution to make the OAS sanctions globally mandatory. Sanctions were imposed with Resolution 841 on 16 June, but the proposal of a naval blockade was dropped due to the opposition of Brazil in the Security Council, and the imposition of a comprehensive embargo was replaced by a milder ban on petroleum and petroleum products, an arms embargo and a freeze of assets. This move by the UN contributed to bring back to the negotiating table the military junta, which eventually led to the Governors Island Accord (GIA) signed on 3 July. The agreement set the terms for the return of President Aristide, although it was an object of great controversy amongst the contracting parties, especially in regards to the terms of the amnesty granted to the military leaders, and to the timing for Aristide’s return. Part of the Accord was for Aristide to prepare for his return by appointing a new Prime Minister while UN sanctions were supposed to be suspended upon the ratification of the new Prime Minister by the Parliament in Haiti. Robert Malval was ratified on 25 August 1993 and sanctions were suspended on 27 August 1993. However, the implementation of the agreement proved to be problematic. The appointment of Malval was accompanied by an increasing number of human rights violations, including the murder of Antoine Izmery and, finally, by the Harlan County incident on 11 October. The wider strategic approach to the resolution of the crisis by the Security Council entailed also the deployment of a UN contingent to assist the parties in the transition. The United Nations Mission in Haiti (UNIMH) was approved by the Council on 23 September and its first large deployment was scheduled to arrive with the USS Harlan County. Nevertheless, the military leaders were already critical of the GIA and instigated a revolt in Port-au-Prince to derail the agreement. On October 11, the first sizeable deployment of UN troops, 200 US and 25 Canadian, was expected to arrive by sea with the USS Harlan County. A mob of Haitians prevented the docking of the ship and in order to avoid further casualties to those that took place a few days before in Somalia, the US administration decided to cancel the mission without consulting with the UN. This led to the re-imposition of sanctions and to their strengthening with resolution 873 and 875. After these events, the international situation began to change. The US administration fell under heavy domestic pressures as well as international constituencies, being consistently urged to stop the flow of refugees towards its shores and to support the democratization efforts in Haiti. In May, the UN decided to expand further sanctions and on 31 July, the Security Council passed Resolution 940, which authorized UN members to use all the necessary means to allow the return of Aristide to Haiti. The Resolution was approved with the abstentions of Brazil and China. 2 In September, when the US had recruited 19 countries for a total of 2000 troops to join the multinational force (MNF), a diplomatic mission led by former President Jimmy Carter was authorized by the Clinton administration. The soldiers were already on their way, when President Carter was able to negotiate the peaceful departure of the military junta and the reestablishment of democracy. Cédras resigned on 10 October 1994 and departed, with other leaders of the Army, a few days later. President Aristide returned to Haiti on 15 October and sanctions were lifted upon his arrival. (Malone 1997:130-133) 2. BEGINNING INCIDENT OR EVENT (of what prompted UNSC action in the first place) General Raoul Cédras and other military leaders overthrew the elected President of Haiti Jean Bertrand Aristide in September 1991. This event occurred four months after the OAS’ adoption of the Santiago Commitment to Democracy in May 1991. (Cortright and Lopez 2000:87-89) The Spring 1993 stalemate and the lack of political will of the military leaders to negotiate with the UN hindered further the return of President Aristide. The UN got involved in the process in December 1992, after the OAS failed to achieve noticeable results and the US administration began to suffer for the pressure of the political refugees coming from Haiti. During the negotiations, Cédras and his supporters showed no intention to leave their posts, being unwilling to make concessions on the return of Aristide, and not manifesting any intention to leave. As a consequence of this behavior, the UN decided to resort to sanctions in order to break the deadlock and to favor the return of Aristide to power. The lack of implementation of the Governors Island agreement and the deteriorating human rights conditions in Haiti are the two main causes that bring about the reimposition of sanctions in the country. 3. GENERAL OBJECTIVE OF SANCTIONS (i.e., counter-terrorism (CT), nonproliferation (NP), conflict prevention (CP), human rights (HR), democracy promotion (DP)) The general of objective of sanctions in the case of Haiti was to promote democracy (DP). Malone talks about a ‘broad range of activities in support of democracy’ from 1990 to 1997 of the UN in Haiti. (Malone 1998:1) 4. IDENTIFICATION OF EPISODES First episode: from threat to sanction (13 Dec 1992 – 27 August 1993). The first episode consists in the first imposition of UN sanctions on Haiti. The Security Council’s decision to impose sanctions on Haiti was preceded by a few months of sanctions being ‘in the air’ from December 1992 to June 1993. Sanctions are “in the air” when the lack of compliance and the lack of impact led to think about making sanctions mandatory and global. The Security Council passed Resolution 841 on 16 June 1993, imposing sanctions on Haiti. The suspension of the measures on 27 August 1993 with SCR 861, almost two months after the signing of the Governors’ Island Agreement, determines the end of the first episode. Second episode: sanctions suspended (27 August 1993 – 13 October 1993). The second episode consists in the period of suspension of the measures after the signing of the GIA, from 27 August 1993 to 13 October 1993. Third episode: sanctions reimposed (13 October 1993 – 6 May 1994). 3 When the Security Council understood that the Governors Island Accords were not being implemented, sanctions were reimposed for the third time on 13 October 1993. The incident of the Harlan County triggered the reimposition. This episode ends with the strengthening of sanctions in May 1994. Fourth episode: sanctions strengthened (6 May 1994 – 31 July 1994). The lack of progress in resolving the crisis combined with a renewed interested of the US to break the deadlock (due mostly to domestic issues) led to a strengthening of the sanctions with the imposition of a nearly comprehensive trade embargo. This episodes ends in July with the authorization of a multinational force (MNF). Fifth episode: sanctions confirmed along with the authorization of MNF (31 July 1994 – 15 October 1994). Finally, the fifth episode of sanctions began with the approval of UNSCR 940 of 31 July 1994, which authorized the creation of a multinational force and the use of “all necessary means” to restore Aristide to power. The episode ends with the lifting of all sanctions on 29 September 1994. 5. SANCTIONS TERMINATION? Sanctions were terminated on the day of Aristide’s return to Haiti, on 15 October 1994. 6. REFLECTIONS (i.e. distinctive or unique aspects of the sanctions, potential lessons) There are two distinctive aspects for the case of Haiti that should be kept in mind during the comparative analysis. First, the escalation of sanctions led the Security Council to the imposition of quasicomprehensive sanctions. Resolution 917 of 6 May 1994 adopted a series of measures that are among the most stringent and non-discriminatory among all the sanctions imposed by the Security Council since the end of the Cold War, with the exception of Iraq in 1991. This aspect should be kept in strong consideration for two reasons. First, the sanctions on Haiti because they suffered from all the weaknesses identified by Galtung in his article on Rhodesia (1967), which eventually strengthened the military junta versus the Haitians. Second, general measures triggered a series of reactions by nation states not to make the sanctions more targeted towards the military junta, but to make sure that certain economic actors (i.e. the US owned assembly factories in the country) were not suffering from the effects of sanctions. Second, strong and heavy sanctions were requested by the de jure leaders of Haiti, who were not living in the country and who had all the advantages to claim that Haiti was in economic disarray because of the poor management of the military junta. The official recounts of the Haiti case do not give too much space to the conduct of President Aristide both before the coup and during the era of the military junta. For instance, President Aristide was accused of instigating violence versus the supporters of the military junta, and he certainly bears part of the responsibility for the derailment of the GIA. The evaluation of sanctions should take into account this element. 7. TIMELINE (provide a general timeline for each case, identifying the origins, episodes, and where relevant, the termination of the sanctions) 1990 4 16 December: Aristide wins the elections 1991 6-7 January: Attempted coup by Roger Lafontant 7 February: Aristide is inaugurated 5 June: the OAS approves the Santiago Declaration 29-30 September: Military coup ousts Aristide from power 8 October: the OAS adopts a sweeping voluntary trade embargo and other measures against Haiti 11 October: UNGA resolution condemns the coup and ask for support of OAS measures 9 November: OAS mission to Haiti with Ramirez Ocampo 15 November: US Coast Guard repatriates 538 Haitian refugees 17 December: A US federal court forbids the forced repatriation of refugees 1992 1 January: a tanker delivers 22000 tons of diesel fuel to Haiti 8 January: both houses accept the proposal of Théodore as Prime Minister 10 January: another tanker delivers fuel to Haiti, highlighting the ineffectiveness of the OAS Hemispheric embargo 3 February: the Supreme Court strikes down the decision of the US Federal Court 4 February: the US announces unilateral exemptions to the embargo, favoring US-owned assembly industries in Haiti, from the OAS embargo 23 February: Washington Protocol (WP) March: more fuel arrives in Port-au-Prince 7 March: Nérette warns Parliamentarians against approving the Washington Protocol 18 March: after Senate’s approval, the lower house is prevented to vote on the WP 27 March: The Constitutional Court in Haiti declares the WP unconstitutional 9 April: Cédras rejects the Washington Protocol 10 April: The US imposes a visa ban on coup supporters 20 April; The US initiates ‘in-country processing’ of Haitian asylum-seekers 27 April: the negotiations for an agreement between the Army, the Parliament and the de facto government are open by the Senate 30 April: The ambassador of the Vatican state, the only one to recognize Haiti, presents his credentials 5 8 May: Tripartite Villa d’Accueuil agreement calls for a Government of Consensus 10 May: pro-Aristide groups reject the agreement 17 May: OAS ministers call for stronger sanctions 24 May: President Bush signs the Kennebunkport Order under which all Haitian refugees will be sent back to Haiti 29 May: Aristide calls the UN for support 2 June: Marc Bazin becomes Prime Minister under the d’Accueuil agreement 3 June: Aristide asks the UN to adopt the OAS sanctions 15 July: Boutros-Ghali informs UNSC that the UN will participate in OAS mission to Haiti 18-21 August: OAS Mission to Haiti 16 September: 18 members of the OAS mission to Haiti, led by Colin Granderson, arrive in Haiti 29 September: Aristide calls for a naval blockade before the UNGA 24 November: UNGA votes to support Aristide 11 December: Boutros-Ghali appoints Dante Caputo (Argentina) as his Special Envoy Episode 1 13 December: OAS ministers call for OAS and UN member states to implement fully the embargo 17-22 December: Caputo holds consultation with Aristide, Cédras and Bazin 18 December: UNGA is concerned about human rights 29 December: Canadian Prime Minister calls for a naval blockade of Haiti 1993 8 January: Aristide requests the deployment of a UN and OAS civilian mission (ICM) to Haiti 13 January: Caputo is appointed as Special Envoy for the OAS as well 16-17 January: Cédras and Bazin accept in principle the ICM 18 January: Elections in Haiti, which are deemed unconstitutional 9 February: Caputo and Bazin agree on ICM 14 February: 40 OAS observers land in Haiti 15 February: UN dispatches an advance team to prepare the mission 7 March: the ICM, known as MICIVIH, begins to deploy throughout the country. It will number 200 international staff, including 133 human rights observers 4 June: The USA announces sanctions against individuals and institutions supporting the 6 coup and the de facto regime 6 June: OAS ministers ask for stronger sanctions 7 June: The legitimate government of Haiti asks the UN to make sanctions universal and mandatory 8 June: Bazin resigns 12 June: Cédras announces that he will participate in negotiations only if the OAS embargo is lifted and he is allowed to address the UNGA 16 June: The UNSC unanimously adopts sanctions on Haiti 21 June: Cédras accept the dialogue 23 June: Sanctions enter into effect 27 June: Negotiations begin 3 July: The Governors Island Agreement is signed 16 July: New York Pact is done 24 July: The Parliament is advised that Aristide’s selection as Prime Minister is Robert Malval 28 July: Aristide requests a UN presence of 600 police officers, 50 to 60 military trainers, and 500 military engineers and experts August: MICIVIH and others report an upsurge in repression 25 August: Malval is ratified by the Parliament Episode 2 27 August: the UNSC suspends the sanctions 8-12 September: Caputo lead the UN advance team 11 September: Antoine Izmery is assassinated 17 September: UN deplores increasing violence in Haiti 23 September: UNMIH is created 29 September: Cédras complains that GIA is not respected 4 October: Michel Françoise, the powerful chief of police, declares to be against the GIA 8 October: the Front for the Advancement and Progress of Haiti (FRAPH) and others demonstrate to ask Caputo to leave 10 October: US Defense Secretary Aspin fends off critics of US participation in UNMIH with fear of another Somalia 11 October: the USS Harlan County arrives in Port-au-Prince with the first personnel of UNMIH, but FRAPH demonstrates against the deployment 7 12 October: the Harlan County leaves Haiti Episode 3 13 October: UNSC reimposes the oil and arms embargo 14 October: Justice Minister Guy Malary is killed. Canada withdraws from UNIMIH 15-16 October: MICIVIH staff withdraws from Haiti 16 October: SCR 875 imposes a naval blockade against Haiti 10 December: UNMIH is renewed until March 1994 15 December: Malval resigns, but he remains as care-taker 1994 14-16 January: Miami Conference convened by Aristide for democratic forces of Haiti 15 January: PAHO humanitarian fuel-delivery programme comes into effect 24 January: Caputo and the Friends of Haiti meet to reconsider strategy. Fuel (and much else) continues to flow across the DR border 26 January: MICIVH staff returns to Port-au-Prince 14 February: American sponsored miniplan, Caputo supports it, Aristide does not 4 April: Aristide gives six-month notice of termination of the 1981 Haiti-USA treaty allowing repatriation of Haitian boat people 21 April: US supports Aristide and drops miniplan Episode 4 6 May: UNSC imposes additional sanctions 8 May: Randall Robinson ends his twenty-seven-day hunger strike over Washington’s Haitian refugee policy 11 May: Judge Emile Jonassaint installed as de facto President of Haiti 9 June; OAS ministers support stronger measures on Haiti 30 June: UNMIH is extended until July 31 11 July: De facto government expels MICIVIH, which departs on July 13 Episode 5 31 July: UNSC authorizes a multinational force (MNF) to employ ‘all necessary means’ to achieve the departure of the military leadership and Aristide’s return. 26 August: Boutros-Ghali informs the UNSC that the situation in Haiti has further deteriorated 28 August: Aristide associated father Jean-Marie Vincent is murdered 8 30 August: Boutros-Ghali abandons efforts to persuade the Military to step down peacefully 15 September: Clinton indicates that the MNF is imminent 18 September: Carter reaches an agreement for the departure of the de factos 19 September: American troops land in Haiti, Caputo resigns 23 September: Lakhdar Brahimi is UN Secretary-General’s special representative for Haiti 24 September: confrontation in Cap Haitien between MNF and Haitian security forces leaves ten Haitians dead 29 September: UNSC says that the embargo will end as soon as Aristide returns 3 October: Michel Françoise flees to the Dominican Republic 6 October: Haitian Parliament passes an amnesty law for crimes connected with the 1991 coup 10 October: the military leadership resigns. Cédras departs Haiti for Panama on October 13 15 October: Aristide returns, sanctions are lifted 16 October: Lift for sanctions enter in effect EPISODES On the following pages we provide a table for each episode you identified. Please complete all fields and analytical categories identified in the template in a concise manner. HOW MANY EPISODES DID YOU IDENTIFY? 5 EPISODE 1 CONTEXT First episode: threat phase (13 Dec 1992 – 27 August 1993). The first episode led to the first imposition of sanctions in June 1993. This episode includes also the threat phase from December 1992 to June 1993. In December, the OAS decided to ask the UNSC to make their sanctions ‘global’, which substantiates the understanding that sanctions are ‘in the air’ at the Security Council. (Malone 1998:79) The UN took the lead in negotiating with the de facto leadership in Haiti in December 1992 and attempted to negotiate the return of Aristide to Haiti. When the UN realized that the military junta was not willing to give up its position of power in Haiti, the UN threatened the use of sanctions. As part of the larger negotiation framework, amnesty was offered to the military junta, but there was a big debate on whether to include also normal crimes in the amnesty or whether to limit it to political behavior. In March, Clinton and Aristide met in Washington and Clinton took a strong stand in favor of the return of Aristide. Plus, Aristide also pointed out that the military leaders could remain in the country and would l not go to jail upon his return. He also did not call for vengeance from his supporters, reason for which he was ousted from power by Raoul Cédras in September 1991. (Malone 1998:81) Caputo sent a letter to the military junta where he offered certain terms for negotiations that, if rejected, would have led to the imposition of 9 targeted sanctions. The US had decided to give another chance to Haiti by offering military assistance in order to guarantee the safety of the negotiations, but when even this failed, the UN decided to resort to sanctions. (Martin 1999:718-719) The lack of cooperation of the military junta led the Security Council to adopt the sanctions of the OAS and to make them global and mandatory. However, humanitarian concerns led the Security Council to impose lighter measures that were limited only to cut off the sale of fuel and arms to Haiti and to establish a sanctions committee to monitor implementation of the sanctions. (Zaidi 1997:195) Sanctions were imposed on 16 June 1993 (entered in force on 23 June) with Resolution 841. Shortly after the imposition of the sanctions, Cédras declared his intention to meet with Aristide and the negotiation was convened at Governors Island in New York on 27 June. On 3 July, the Governors Island Accord (GIA) was signed and stipulated that sanctions would have been lifted upon the ratification of the new Prime Minister indicated by President Aristide. When the Parliament in Haiti ratified the appointment of Malval on 25 August, the Security Council passed resolution 861 suspending the sanctions on 27 August 1993. UNSC DECISION MAKING The US did not have a clear interest on Haiti’s leadership and the administration itself appeared ambiguous on what to do with the crisis. Therefore, the United Nations entered the picture after being called in by the OAS, but with the lack of political will from the US and the absence of interest of the other Permanent members, the action was not trenchant and it was mainly due to the need of showing an active role for the United Nations in international crises and that unconstitutional regime changes could not be tolerated by the international community. Initially, the Security Council was reluctant to intervene due to the opposition of certain members. “The UN Security Council was already seized of the crisis by the Ambassador of Haiti, Fritz Longchamp. The Council President concluded, following bilateral consultations on 30 September, that a majority of Council members – led by India and China – opposed any Council action on what was deemed an “internal matter”. (Morris 1995:3; Malone 1997:129) However, the political stand was taken since the very beginning as “In an unprecedented gesture towards an overthrown leader, however, the UNSC agreed to receive Aristide in a formal session on 3 October. Following Aristide’s brief and dignified appeal for international support, the Council President expressed UNSC support for the OAS resolution and called for restoring the legitimate government in Haiti”. (Malone 1997:129) Moreover, “One week later the coup, on 10 October [1991], the General Assembly of the United Nations (whose resolutions are not legally binding on UN member states) also strongly condemned the violent overthrow of the elected government and urged UN member states to uphold the measures of isolation called for by the OAS”. (Cortright and Lopez 2000:90) In 1992, most Member States in the SC deemed the Haitian crisis as an internal matter and they were decided not to involve the SC in it. China and Brazil were especially eager not to discuss the matter at the UNSC. The group of Friends established in June/July 1992 attempted to involve the SC in the crisis based on the destabilizing effect that the Haitian problem could have had in the area. The USA rejected the idea to discuss and use Chapter VII to deal with the crisis (Malone 1998:74) Towards the end of 1992, the Group of Friends and the OAS achieved some results in bringing the UN on board. The UNGA adopted a resolution on 24 November asking the UN 10 to take a more active role in the Haitian crisis and to participate in the OAS civilian missions. (Malone 1998:75) After the failure of the negotiations led by the OAS, the UN took the lead, moving one step ahead to pressure the de facto government in Haiti. The UN “also saw in the election of Bill Clinton a possibility that had not existed under President Bush of serious US pressure for a solution to the Haitian crisis”. (Ian 1999:715) By the end of 1992, the UN had exhausted most non-Chapter VII measures (Swindells 1996:1916-1917) and in June 1993 the General Assembly “forwarded the issue of the Haitian crisis to the Security Council […]. Following the de jure government’s consent to impose sanctions, the Security Council decided to proceed under Chapter VII of the UN Charter, and unanimously adopted Resolution 841”. (Swindells 1996:1918) At that point, “Sanctions were the only tools available to the United Nations short of the use of force and military intervention to resolve Haiti’s quagmire”. (Swindells 1996:1880-1881) An intense diplomatic activity preceded and accompanied the imposition of sanctions. Earlier, it was the OAS to lead the diplomatic efforts, but they failed and sanctions were imposed. Subsequently, the UN and the OAS appointed a joint mediator in the person of David Caputo who, together with US special envoy Lawrence Pezzullo, suggested to impose sanctions in case of non-compliance from the military junta. Aristide and Lavalas as well were in favor of the sanctions on the military junta”. (Cortright and Lopez 2000:98) Aristide, in a speech to the United Nations General Assembly in September 1992, had called for a stronger embargo and a blockade if necessary. (Swindells 1996:1917) The imposition of sanctions took place with the Security Council Resolution and was approved unanimously, with more skeptical positions from Brazil, China and Pakistan. Indeed, Brazil was concerned about setting a precedent for several further engagement of the Security Council. China moved along similar lines as it considered the regime change in Haiti an internal matter. Finally, Pakistan was not convinced that the crisis in Haiti represented a threat to international peace as necessary condition to adopt a resolution under Chapter VII. (Malone 1997:12; Malone 1998:85) The involvement of the Security Council was requested also by the legitimate government of Haiti. “On 7 June 1993, Aristide officially requested that the UNSC decree a mandatory embargo against Haiti. Although some OAS members – notably Brazil, Colombia and Mexico – resisted involving the UNSC, their position was undermined by the conspicuous failure of OAS strategies. Brazil, then a Council member, convinced the Friends to drop plans for a naval blockade of Haiti. On 16 June, UN Security Council Resolution (UNSCR) 841 was unanimously adopted, imposing an arms and fuel embargo against Haiti. China indicated that it would accept the decision, given the regional sentiment in favor of UNSC action and the ‘unique and exceptional nature’ of the crisis”. (Malone 1997:130) The Security Council set up a Sanctions Committee to monitor and facilitate the implementation of the sanctions called for by the Resolution. The Resolution included a clause to allow for the delivery of fuel for humanitarian purposes. “Resolution 841 was scheduled to go into effect on June 23, 1993 unless the military began negotiations with Dante Caputo. The sanctions imposed pursuant to Resolution 841 came into effect on June 23, 1993, but by June 27, Raoul Cédras, the nominal head of the de facto government, and President Aristide agreed to meet in New York. On July 3, 1993, Cédras and Aristide signed the Governors Island agreement”. (Swindells 1996:1920) 11 POLITICAL WILL Initially, the Organization of American States led the international community in solving the crisis in Haiti. When the efforts of the OAS proved to be in vain, the United Nations was affected by the divergent interests that determined US foreign policy towards Haiti. However, the UN was restrained at the beginning by the need to limit its involvement in democratization processes around the globe. When Haiti asked for electoral observers to monitor the elections in 1990, “There was concern in New York that the Haitian request could lead to a plethora of similar pleas from countries with troubled democratic records”. (Malone 1997:127) The political will of the UN in the case of Haiti was strictly connected to the political will of the United States. Other actors as well can be considered, but the real engine generating support from the UN in Haiti was in Washington. During the first phase of sanctions, the United States was ambiguous towards the crisis. Cortright and Lopez defined US foreign policy as schizophrenic towards Haiti: “the Bush and Clinton administrations officially expressed support for the return of the elected president, but many US policymakers were uncomfortable with Aristide’s radicalism and his redistributive economic policies. The powerful chairman of the Senate Foreign Relations Committee, Senator Jesse Helms (RN.C.), vilified the deposed president, and CIA officials circulated reports of Aristide’s supposed mental instability. This ambivalence about Aristide contributed to Washington’s erratic and inconsistent policies towards Haiti”. (Cortright and Lopez 2000:91) The exemptions granted to US assembly plants “revealed a lack of commitment to real enforcement”. (Werleigh 1995:164) Malone wrote that “Divisions within the Administration over Haiti were to bedevil American Foreign policy until mid-1994”. (Malone 1998:67) The US concern was directed towards the refugee problem. By mid-1992 “Washington’s principal objective remained the ratification of Théodore by the Haitian Parliament. Having reached an agreement with the de facto regime to permit repatriation of Haitian boat people and monitoring of their subsequent fate within Haiti, further to the US Supreme Court’s January 1992 decision, Washington did not seem eager to pick fights with Cédras and his colleagues” (Malone 1998:71). Other states were also interested in Haiti, such as France, Canada and Venezuela due to their historical ties. Venezuela, for instance provided financial support since the time of Simon Bolivar, but they had neither the political will nor the capacity to prevent the military junta from seizing power. (Malone 1997:127) The imposition of sanctions followed along the lines of the first episode, with the OAS’s substantial incapacity to act and the little political commitment of the other actors, in primis the US. UNSCR 841 was adopted unanimously, but it occurred after a long discussion on the final text. There was the understanding that making OAS sanctions global and mandatory would have been too disruptive for Haiti, so the focus went on a ban on petroleum products and weapons, which were thought to be the weak points of the de factos. Brazil’s opposition on legal and humanitarian grounds was able to water down the implementation aspect of the text (the naval blockade was dropped), and the text was approved with skeptical statements from Pakistan, China and Brazil. (Malone 1998: 85) The discussion in the Council lasted for a few 12 months, and the final decision was both far from the original Haitian request (OAS sanctions mandatory and global) and did not go much further in terms of implementation. This seems to be the product of a trade-off between lack of commitment on the US side, fear of violating the principle of non-intervention, and the need to respond to the unconstitutional change of government in the post-cold war scenario. The low degree of implementation did not regard only UN sanctions, but also the US did not intend to play a major role in Haiti with little implementation of the measures. Furthermore, “US measures to freeze financial assets and restrict travel were also very limited, leaving key supporters of the junta, such as the powerful Mev, Brandt, Acra, and Madsen families, exempt from sanctions”. (New York Times 1994; Cortright and Lopez 2000:99) Malone also describes the reluctance of the US to participate in the civilian mission agreed during the GIA negotiations. “Finally, and most importantly, the Pentagon was known not to be keen on participating in UN peacekeeping in Haiti, in part owing to the negative reviews of the American military occupation there from 1915 to 1934, but also because a number of its officials, sympathetic towards the Military in Haiti (many of whom had trained in the USA), believed Aristide was not worth restoring”. (Malone 1998:90) Von Hippel wrote that “[…], the US government also acted in a somewhat unpredictable and bizarre fashion. Historically, the US administration maintained strong ties to the leadership in Haiti – including both Papa Doc and Baby Doc Duvalier – much as it did with Manuel Noriega in Panama. Also reminiscent of Panama, press reports revealed that the CIA had trained many Haitian military officers and kept them on the CIA payroll – even after the 1991 coup – despite documentation that they had been engaged in drug trafficking since the mid1990s. In fact, the major incentive for the junta to cling to power for so long was the huge return on their illegal activities: they were reportedly earning more than $500 million a year. At the same time that these reports were surfacing, there was a growing anti-Aristide movement among senior conservatives in the United States. Henry Kissinger, Jesse Helms, Elliott Abrams, Bob Dole, and Dick Cheney all publicly denounced Aristide. The CIA’s senior Latin America analyst, Brian Latell, testified to Congress that Aristide was mentally unstable and that he had spent time in a psychiatric hospital in Montreal. The Miami Herald received permission from Aristide to check his medical records, and no such stay was in evidence. Other reports revealed that even after the 1991 coup, the CIA had been paying Aristide’s enemies in the military for information on him. In 1992 Latell, who worked directly for former CIA Director R. James Woolsey, met with and praised Marc Bazin, prime minister just after the coup, and Bazin’s team (which included General Cédras), calling them ‘the most promising group of Haitian leaders to emerge since the Duvalier family dictatorship was overthrown in 1986’. He also added that, contrary to popular belief, there was no widespread violence and repression and that ‘Gen. Cédras impressed me as a conscientious military leader who genuinely wishes to minimize his role in politics… I believe he is relatively moderate and uncorrupt”. (Von Hippel 2000:99) A Sanctions committee was created, but annual or any other reports are not available on the website. However, a monitoring team was not established. PURPOSE(S) (coerce, constrain, signal) The principal purpose of this first sanction episode is to coerce the military junta to bring Haiti back within the constitutional boundaries. The initial objective of the UN and the other parties was to favour the return of Aristide in power, and the sanctions aimed at bringing Cédras to the negotiating table. The long term purpose of the United Nations’ policy was to reinstate democracy in Haiti through negotiations. The purpose of the sanctions therefore was 13 to facilitate the negotiation process and give Dante Caputo some leverage with which to force the military to the negotiating table”. (Swindells 1996:1918-1919) There are also constraining and signaling elements to be highlighted. The sanctions certainly aimed at constraining the capacity of the de factos to rule Haiti and to canvass support among the Haitians. The decision to impose sanctions signaled the commitment of the Security Council to get involved in the resolution of the problem. The target was also the international audience, as the United Nations, accepting the OAS request, could not accept a forceful change of regime in the post Cold War system. Furthermore, the United States was also intent to placate the pressures of domestic constituencies to act in Haiti. AUDIENCE[S] SIGNALLED There are two main audiences in this first episode: the military junta, the Haitians and the international community. Primarily, the Security Council hoped that the threat of UN sanctions would bring the military junta to negotiate with Aristide and the international community. Second, the Haitians are relevant in the imposition of sanctions, as the Security Council is responding to the requests of Aristide in the name of the people. President Aristide’s call for sanctions (Cortright and Lopez 2000:99) and the Security Council’s decision to act along this line may have sent the signal to the Haitians that the UN was committed to the return of the democratically elected government and, therefore, to their protection. Finally, the international audience is also a relevant audience to be considered. The OAS reacted to the crisis in Haiti on the bases of the Santiago Declaration, which attempted to rule out unconstitutional change of governments. This, along with the need to prevent human rights violations, motivated the Security Council to take the lead in negotiating with the military junta in Haiti in order to show the international community that a norm could have been established. TYPE OF TARGETED SANCTIONS (the design of the measures) Prevent the sale or supply of: - Petroleum or petroleum products - Arms and related matériel of all types, including weapons and ammunition, military vehicles and equipment, police equipment and spare parts for the aforementioned Decide to freeze funds in their territories available to: - the government of Haiti or to the de facto authorities in Haiti - be controlled directly or indirectly by such Government or authorities or by entities, wherever located or organized, owned or controlled by such Government or authorities. COORDINATION WITHIN THE UN SYSTEM AND RELATED MULTILATERAL INITIATIVES (with other UN Agencies, SRSGs, and UN Peacekeeping forces, if applicable and with IAEA and multi-party talks, if relevant) Before the first episode of the threat of sanctions, the OAS was among the first to react to the military coup in order to implement the newly adopted Santiago declaration on the 14 democratization of Latin America. The forceful seizure of the government in Port-au-Prince represented a direct violation of those principles and the OAS responded by authorizing its members to adopt any measures to end the coup. (Benton and Ware 2001:9) After the first OAS delegation was expelled in October 1991, the OAS imposed an embargo on all commercial trade with Haiti, except for humanitarian supplies, (Ian 1999:714) and an asset freeze on the Haitian State. (Malone 1997:129) “Encouraged by the OAS mediator Ramirez Ocampo, nonstop maneuvering within Haitian political circles throughout 1992 to find a way out of the impasse between Aristide and the increasingly comfortable de facto regime came to nothing”. (Malone 1997:129) In 1991, the understanding was that an immediate return of Aristide would have ended in blood-shed. Thus, the newly appointed Ocampo, in cooperation with President Pérez from Venezuela, attempted to force the appointment of a new prime minister named by Aristide. The agreement was reached on 7 January 1992 to appoint René Théodore, who was also accepted by Aristide even if he would have preferred Victor Benoit. However, the de facto leaders of Haiti thwarted this process by intimidating Aristide supporters in Haiti, as they did when they consented to a military attack on a meeting at Théodore’s house. This led Aristide to more radical requests of not legitimizing the power position of the military junta. (Malone 1998:68) Prime Minister Bazin and the OAS together with Aristide agreed to dispatch “an 18-member International Civilian Mission (ICM), with a mandate defined only in general terms: ‘to help reduce the violence in general and encourage respect for human rights, cooperate in distributing humanitarian assistance and assess the progress made toward a political solution to the Haitian crisis’”. (Ian 1999:715) The negotiation continued with little results and with the military junta intentioned to gain time to consolidate its hold on power. On 23 February, the Washington Protocols were agreed by the President and Parliamentary leaders and it consisted in the ratification of Théodore as Prime Minister and the restoration of the Constitutional order. On 25 February there was an agreement between Théodore and Aristide on a new government, but the negotiations basically ended there. The constitutional Court declared the WP against the constitution and on 8 May the military junta, the Government and parliament agreed to bypass the WP entirely. “The May 8 agreement exemplifies what came to be known as the temporizing tactics (les tactiques dilatoires) of the de factos and their allies throughout much of the crisis”. (Malone 1998:69) marc Bazin became the new Prime Minister on 2 June 1992. “The OAS lacked the resources and political will to enforce trade sanctions or to make a concerted effort to restore Aristide to power”. (Cortright and Lopez 2000:90-91) “By nature, the OAS is a regional organization limited in its geographic and legal scope. As a regional organization, the OAS cannot resort to enforcement action without the consent of the UN Security Council, nor can it use coercive means”. (Swindells 1996:1914) “After 18 months of increasingly ineffective OAS voluntary sanctions, the June 1993 OAS Ad Hoc Meeting adopted a resolution urging OAS and UN member states to strengthen the embargo”. (Malone 1997:130) “Caputo, in conjunction with Washington’s new adviser on Haiti, the highly regarded Lawrence Pezzullo, and the other Friends, had concluded early on that only universal, mandatory sanctions against the de factos were likely to bring them to the negotiating table”. (Malone 1997:131) The UN was then called into action and David Caputo was appointed as Special Representative in the name of the OAS as well. "The UN in effect took over the lead in negotiations when, in December 1992, its Secretary-General appointed a former Argentine 15 Foreign Minister Dante Caputo as his special envoy: the OAS Secretary General was persuaded to designate Caputo as his envoy too, so that for the first time the same envoy acted on behalf of both the UN and the relevant regional organization [OAS]”. ((Ian 1999:715) This appears to be a good precedent of coordination between the UN and regional actors. The threat of sanctions was intertwined with the deployment of personnel in the country in February 1993. “He (David Caputo) convinced the de facto regime to allow the immediate deployment to Haiti of a joint OAS-UN human rights monitoring mission known as the International Civilian Mission in Haiti (MICIVIH). MICIVIH, led with distinction by its Executive Director, Colin Granderson of Trinidad and Tobago, performed with courage and determination in documenting the human rights situation during the de facto repression of 1993-1994. (Malone 1997:129-130) It was also Aristide himself who requested a radically enlarged ICM in January 1993. (Ian 1999:715) This call was received by Dante Caputo who announced, after many protests and resistance by the military junta, that an agreement was reached over the deployment of the 500 monitoring team. (Malone 1998:80) The civilian mission (known as MICIVIH) was a good sign of cooperation between the OAS and the UN. Furthermore, intense diplomatic activity preceded and accompanied the imposition of sanctions. Earlier, it was the OAS to lead the diplomatic efforts, but they failed and sanctions were imposed. Subsequently, the UN and the OAS appointed a joint mediator in the person of David Caputo, who suggested together with Lawrence Pezzullo, the US special envoy, to impose sanctions in case of non-compliance from the military junta. (Malone 1997:130) The United States had a marginal role during the first phases of sanctions, as different factions within the administration had conflicting ideas on how to deal with the regime change in Haiti. The change in administration (from Bush to Clinton) did not contribute to effective, coherent and decisive action in Haiti. INTERACTION WITH OTHER SANCTIONS REGIMES (Unilateral measures, Regional organization measures) The main regimes were the ones imposed by the OAS and the US, but also a series of other actors complemented the OAS embargo. For instance, “[…] the cutting off of aid by the European Economic Community, Venezuela and Canada were applauded by the Haitian masses and the international community.” (Cited in Malone 1998:67). It is important to note that these measures were imposed before ‘sanctions were in the air’ at the UNSC. “Washington did suspend most development assistance and arranged for multilateral assistance to be frozen as well, but it also essentially carried forward its existing policy of relying on the Military to deliver credible elections” (Malone 1998:50). This suspension occurred after the failure of the post-electoral events of 29 November 1987. However, “on 4 February 1992, under very strong pressures from business circles (whose views were pressed within Congress and on the Administration of the Caribbean and Latin American Association), the State Department announced a unilateral American decision to initiate exceptions to the OAS embargo, essentially allowing the US-owned assembly industries in Haiti to continue operation” (Malone 1998:70). “At the same time, the Administration announced that the embargo would be sharpened by subjecting individuals in Haiti who had supported the coup to unspecified sanctions (Thought to include seizure of assets in the USA and suspension of visas for travel to the USA)” (Malone 1998:70). “The OAS Ad Hoc Meeting, which was reconvened on 8 October in Washington, adopted a 16 resolution urging ‘Member States to proceed immediately to freeze the assets of the Haitian State and to impose a trade embargo on Haiti, except for humanitarian aid’. […] At the request of Aristide, received on 7 October from Caracas, it set up a civilian mission” (From Laugerre, The Military and Society in Haiti, note 3, p. 9 cited in Malone 1998:65). The OAS sanctions remains in force. Other actors imposed various sanctions, such as a travel ban and an assets freeze of the US, and the asset freezes imposed by the European economic community, Canada and Venezuela already mentioned above. When the UN imposed sanctions, the US adopted parallel measures and “In early June 1993, the United States froze the assets of members of the military junta and denied them entry visas to the United States. The freeze affected the cash accounts, real estate, and other property of eighty-three individuals and thirty-five institutions”. (Holmes 1993) The US government decided to impose sanctions that went beyond the ones decided by the Security Council, but important exceptions were considered and low enforcement undermined the overall impact. RELATIONSHIP TO OTHER POLICY INSTRUMENTS (Use of force, covert actions, tribunals, referral to ICC) In 1990, the United Nations decided to offer electoral assistance to the transition towards democracy in Haiti. On 26 March 1990, a UN Technical Assistance Mission of Experts, belonging to the UN Mission in Nicaragua (ONUVEN) arrived in Port-au-Prince. There was also an OAS Observer Mission for the December 1990 elections (Malone 1998:51-53). The use of force was contemplated by the USA and the OAS, but it was decided not to proceed under that line as many Latin American countries were against that option, especially in order to avoid the tradition of US interventionism in the hemisphere. (Malone 1998:68-71). In early September 1992, an 18 member OAS civilian mission to Haiti was announced “to help reduce violence and to encourage respect for human rights” (Malone 1998:74) In term of the economic carrot, Malone lists the efforts of the OAS and the UN to launch a multi-million-dollar joint Comprehensive Plan for Humanitarian Action in Haiti, with the UNDP, the World Bank, the IMF, and the Inter-American Development Bank (IADB) involved in ensuring that proper funds would be available to the country upon the return of Aristide (Malone 1998:81-82). The diplomatic efforts leading to the GIA and to its following implementation should be mentioned, along with the joint appointment of a UN/OAS special envoy Dante Caputo. IMPLEMENTATION (assessing monitoring and enforcement) The level of implementation is mixed. On the one hand, Gibbons laments the dreadful effects of the embargo with a particular emphasis on the consequences due to the lack of fuel, while on the other hand, Malone points at the ineffectiveness of the embargo as fuel tankers continued to arrive at Port-au-Prince when the embargo was in place. The impact is treated in further details in the following section, but this contrast of opinion underlines that the opinion on the degree of implementation lies in the eye of the beholder. The overall assessment of the implementation of the OAS embargo is daunting. “At least a dozen countries in Europe, South America and Africa have routinely ignored a trade embargo against Haiti… according to newly released US documents. Ships have delivered steel and barbed wire from Belgium; beer, brewery machinery and tools from Germany; cognac, wine, 17 perfume and cosmetics from France; steel from Brazil; chemicals from Argentina; tires and diesel engines from the neighboring Dominican Republic; steam boilers from Barbados; and consumer goods from the Netherlands, Antilles, Venezuela and Britain. The documents also detail the shipment of nearly a million barrels of petroleum from France, Colombia, Portugal, Senegal and the Netherlands Antilles.” (Associated Press dispatch reproduced in the Washington Post of 31 May 1992, cited in Malone 1998:73). The OAS embargo “is often belittled as porous and ineffective because the OAS had no means at its disposal to force member countries, much less nonmembers, to comply”. (Gibbons 1999:10) Gibbons refers to Domingo E. Acevedo, “The Haitian Crisis and the OAS Response: A Test of Effectiveness in Promoting Democracy,” in Lori Fisler Damrosch, Enforcing Restraint: Collective Intervention in Internal Conflicts (Washington, D.C.: Council on Foreign Relations, 1993) to argue that the results of analysis of General Accounting Office documents show that ‘at least a dozen countries in Europe, Latin America and Africa routinely ignored the embargo and shipped nearly a million barrels of petroleum to Haiti. (Gibbons 1999:113) There is a discussion that a naval US blockade would increase the level of implementation, (Malone 1998:70) and there are many tankers reported to deliver fuel to Haiti. Similarly to OAS measures, the two main measures to ensure the implementation would be a naval blockade, which was opposed by Brazil, and a UN mission on the border with the Dominican Republic. Neither of them was taken. However, a Sanctions Committee to oversee impact and enforcement of sanctions was established. DIRECT IMPACTS The UN sanctions lasted for about two months and the direct impact reported in this section cannot be attributed only to them. There is also evidence that the OAS embargo also impacted Haiti and it is worth to report on this in order to better assess the impact of the UN sanction. As abovementioned, the OAS embargo had several impacts on Haiti. “The OAS embargo was beginning to produce some effects by the end of October 1991, with fuel reserves down to a one-week supply and electricity supplies less dependable than the previous eight to ten hours a day” (Malone 1998:56). Malone wrote in note 56 that “by late October, some in the USA were arguing that labour-intensive assembly industries in Haiti (overwhelmingly US-owned) should not be completely cut off in view of the employment implications for Haitians. They also argued that if these assembly industries closed down, they would never reopen. (there was, as of late 1996, evidence to support this contention, but years ahead may disprove it). A little-noticed US Executive Order of 29 October 1991 provided considerable leeway for import to the USA of the products of these industries”. According to Gibbons, the OAS embargo was largely ineffective in changing the behavior of the military leaders, but had a ‘significant and immediate impact on the economy that disproportionately affected its poorer sectors employed as low-wage, unskilled workers in factories where they assembled component parts for export goods”. (Gibbons 1999:10) From October 1991 to February 1992, 29,780 jobs had disappeared in Haiti; U.S. Department of Commerce showed that between 1990 and 1992 exports to the US of Haitian manufactured shoes plunged 96 percent, clothing 55 percent […]”.(Gibbons 1999:10-11) The OAS included in the embargo the suspension of aid to the water sector, which led to a decrease of potable drinking water output of something between 30 and 50 percent in the first 18 months of the crisis (Gibbons 1999:26). 18 There is a series of negative direct impacts of OAS sanctions. On 31 May 1992, Lee Hockstader wrote in the Washington Post that “The combined effects of a seven-month US ban on trade with Haiti, on top of several years of draught, are producing an ecological and humanitarian disaster. Relief workers are warning of impending mass starvation, infirmaries that are critically short of medicines are deluged with new cases of acute malnutrition and the only thriving commercial endeavor recently is the export of boat people”. (Cited in Malone 1998:72) The OAS embargo also contributes to high inflation. “[…] the complications of evading the embargo sent the prices of imports soaring, including the price of fuel, without which agricultural production could not reach the capital where close to 30 percent of Haitians (1.2 to 2 million) reside. In addition, although food imports (which in 1991 provided 27 of the calories needed by the population) were exempted from the embargo, their delivery was often delayed owing to the shortage of vessels entering Haitian ports.” (Gibbons 1999:11) “In just two months, from September to November 1991, the price of a pound of rice increased 22 percent, from 2.6 to 3.17 gourdes (or approximately 20 percent of the daily minimum wage), the price of a pound of corn 21 percent to 1.79 gourdes”. (Gibbons 1999:12) However, by mid-1992, the dilemma was strong. On the one hand, the maintenance of the embargo as it was could have caused further harm on the civilian population, but on the other hand, allowing for greater shipment of humanitarian goods in Haiti would have strengthened the hold on power of the military junta. (Malone 1998:72-73). Another direct impact was the increased mortality rate for measles epidemic. It was already high before 1991, but it increased steadily to a 58 percent (from 38) in the first quarter of 1993. (Gibbons 1999:25) The relatively short timing of the UN sanctions (a bit over one month) does not allow for an independent evaluation of their direct impact if taken independently from the OAS sanctions. The shortage of fuel caused the increase in prices of foodstuff and medicines in Haiti, and especially in rural areas. (Gibbons 1999:24-25) “In August 1993, almost two years after the embargo’s imposition, the price of basic medicines remained stubbornly high: on the open market, for those unable to obtain humanitarian supplies, penicillin and intravenous fluids cost three times as much as they had in 1991, acetaminophen and antihistamines five times as much”. (Gibbons 1999:24-25) The short span of time in which sanctions were implemented does not make a counterfactual exercise on their impact too useful, but an interesting evaluation could be done on the nature of the measures. Fuel was deemed to be key to the military junta to rule the country, but little attention was given to the adverse impact that such measure could have had. More targeted sanctions could have created similar diplomatic problems (i.e. lack of recognition, visa bans to key supporters and family members, etc) and shed a light on the crisis in Haiti even if sanctions did not have a wider economic impact. More specific measures targeting certain financial transactions, the import-export of certain goods, and especially complementary measures for violators of UNSC resolutions (namely, on the Dominican Republic), would have isolated more effectively Haiti. 19 INDIRECT IMPACTS The indirect impact in this first episode could be similar to the ones that will be reported below for the UN sanctions: higher prices for food stuff and medicines, weaker local institutions and weaker capacity of the civil society to organize a resistance to the military junta. As mentioned above, UN sanctions remained in force for too little to have a real impact, especially since the GIA was signed a few days later the entry into force of the sanctions. EVASION Both OAS and UN sanctions were evaded. “Scepticism over the effectiveness of OAS voluntary sanctions became rife after three tankers docked in Port-au-Prince, one as early as 28 November 1991” (Malone 1998:70). Malone wrote in note 70 how this happened: “According to a Baena Soares briefing of the OAS Council on 8 January 1992, one of these vessels, the Caribou, was owned by an Italian company registered in the Bahamas. The oil was sourced from Colombia but sold to a Panamanian broker with offices in Miami for destination Freeport (Bahamas) and then allegedly re-sold when on the high seas to a Dutch broker who re-directed it to Port-au-Prince. The complexity of this transaction underscored the fact that without a naval blockade, it was extremely difficult to trace the sources of sanctions-bursting. (Confidential Interviews).” Other sources confirm that oil shipments continued unabated during the OAS embargo. (Economic Sanctions Against Haiti; Friedman 1991) There are two loopholes in this first round of UN sanctions. One is the lack of enforcement of the embargo since Brazil did not agree on the establishment of a naval blockade, and the second is the porous border with the Dominican Republic. An article published by the New York Times in November 1993 raised doubts on whether the Dominican Republic was implementing the embargo effectively. (Rohter 1993). Especially, trucks have been reported to cross the Jimani cross point unchecked and only one out of six seen at the border did actually arrive in Port-au-Prince. Although a confirmation is missing and Dominican officials denied all the accusations, it is plausible to still consider the border between Haiti and the Dominican Republic as a weak aspect of the embargo. (French 1994). UNINTENDED CONSEQUENCES There are not unintended consequences recorded due solely to UN sanctions, but the combination of UN and OAS sanctions commenced the process that led to two of them. First, the capacity of civil society to organize itself was weakened by sanctions. Second, sanctions imposed on fuel created the incentive to enter the smuggling business, which was obviously exploited by individuals close to the military junta and by members of the junta as well. The lack of supply of medicines and food caused higher market prices for inelastic goods, which increased the incentives for economic actors in Haiti and for potential exporters to Haiti, in spite of the embargo and potential violations of it. INTEGRATING IMPACTS AND CONSEQS Intended consequences Direct impact Unintended consequences Decision of Cédras to participate Strengthening the relative power of military junta in Haiti by weakening in negotiations with Aristide civil society 20 Indirect impact Higher price for fuel to run Increased price of medicines and military equipment foodstuff EFFECTIVENESS The first use of sanctions was effective in bringing the military junta back to the negotiating table. There is evidence showing that the military junta was keen in avoiding the sanctions, and Cédras was not convinced about the commitment of the US in restoring Aristide in power, but the threat of sanction itself was not sufficient to signal Cédras about the seriousness of the international community. The unanimous adoption of UNSCR 841 was received by the military junta with a positive response to open the negotiation at Governors Island. “The USA asserted publicly that Malval’s ratification showed that sanctions worked” (S/PV.3271 of 27 August 1993, cited in Malone 1998:90). In terms of constraining capability, UN sanctions did not have a noticeable added value to OAS sanctions, but they contributed to an immediate decrease of capacity in ruling the country effectively. The military junta was also forced to the negotiating table because it was not expecting and not prepared for such measures. In terms of signaling, it could be stated that the norm was articulated, penalties were communicated, but it is uncertain whether the message was received or comprehended by target(s). This would make the signaling dimension of sanctions relatively effective. EPISODE 2 CONTEXT Second episode (27 August 1993 – 13 October 1993). The second episode consists in the period of suspension of the measures after the signing of the GIA, from 27 August 1993 to 13 October 1993. Sanctions were suspended, and not lifted, as the Security Council wanted to keep the pressure on the parties to comply with the GIA. “The resolution allowed for immediate reimposition of sanctions were the Secretary-General to report non-compliance with the GIA.” (Malone 1998:90) The GIA was also supported by the New York Pact signed on July 16, which provided for a political truce among the political parties in Haiti and the military junta in order to speed up the ratification process of a new prime minister indicated by Aristide. The ratification of Malval in office and the consequent suspension of the UN sanctions were the highest point of the GIA, which were followed by an increase of human rights violations, by the continuous intimidation of parliamentarians by the de facto leaders, and by the resistance of Aristide to an amnesty that would include also non-political acts. Violence increased and led to the killing of Antoine Izmery, a prominent Aristide supporter, on 11 September. On 17 September, the UNSC threatened the military junta that continuous violations of human rights could be classified as violations of the GIA. (Malone 1998:90). On 23 September the UN created UNMIH, but Cédras began to oppose the GIA. On 29 September, Cédras lamented the lack of implementation of the New York pact on the bases that the character of the Malval cabinet was not in line with the provisions of the pact. Also Aristide was not keen in ensuring full implementation of the GIA, as he authorized the amnesty only on 4 October 1993. (Malone 1998:91) By early October, also Michel Françoise, the powerful chief of police, declared to be against the GIA. Both Cédras and Françoise decided to use the FRAPH, a paramilitary 21 organization supporting the military junta, to prevent the deployment of the UN mission, which eventually led to the impossibility for the USS Harlan County to dock in Port-au-Prince on 12 October. “On 11 October, the first sizeable deployment of UNMIH troops – 200 US and 25 Canadian – was expected by sea. Upon the arrival of the USS Harlan County in Portau-Prince harbor, ‘attaches’ – the de facto regime’s notorious henchmen – launched into a noisy dockside demonstration, screaming, ‘We are going to turn this into another Somalia’ (which had happened a week earlier)”. (Malone 1997:130-131) This attitude was condemned by the Security Council, so sanctions were reimposed on October 13 1993. The campaign of violence against Lavalas’ supporters during the suspension of the sanctions is another element that contributed to convince the international community about the real intention of the military junta. The reign of terror was also confirmed by the killing of relevant people, such as the Justice Minister, Guy Malary, who was gunned down on 14 October. “Buried along with Malary were the last hopes for implementing the Governors Island agreement”. (Cortright and Lopez 2000:94) On 16 October, resolution 875 was approved by the Security Council strengthening the measures with the establishment of a naval blockade. UNSC DECISION MAKING Sanctions would have been suspended when Aristide and Cédras appointed a new prime minister. The Haitian parliament accepted the nominee of Robert Malval on 25 August, and the Security Council suspended sanctions on 27 August with Resolution 861. (Swindells 1996:1920) “The Governors Island Agreement was signed on 3 July 1993, […] but its implementation proved problematic. Despite the appointment and ratification of a new Prime Minister, Robert Malval, in July 1993, leading to the suspension of sanctions through UNSCR 861 of 27 August, neither Aristide nor the de factos showed much enthusiasm for upholding their other commitments. Aristide was slow to submit a reasonable amnesty decree to parliament. Meanwhile, the military increased repression, culminating in the assassination of Antoine Izmery, a prominent Aristide supporter, on 11 September. Nevertheless, the UN pressed on. On 23 September, the UNSC approved deploying the 700 military and 600 police personnel of the United Nations Mission in Haiti (UNMIH). Fifty Canadians and 30 Americans UNMIH staff soon arrived in Port-au-Prince. (Malone 1997:130) The UN decided to send UN personnel to lay the groundwork for UNMIH and to modernize the Haitian armed forces. “By September of that year, the situation in Haiti deteriorated rapidly as the violence increased. On September 17, 1993, the President of the Security Council made a statement condemning the violence and recalling that, should the Secretary General feel it was necessary to re-impose sanctions because of serious noncompliance with the Agreement, the SC was prepared to do so”. (Swindells 1996:1920-1921) POLITICAL WILL The political consensus in this phase was broad in the international community, as the suspension of the measure was voted unanimously, but the inter-agency wrangle over the return of Aristide in Washington undermined the credibility of the implementation process of 22 the GIA. The sanctions were suspended according to the time table set up in the GIA, namely with the ratification of the new Prime Minister Malval. On 31 August, the UNSC passed Resolution 862 authorizing the dispatch of a UN mission to Haiti. After the deterioration of the human rights situation in the country, the US, France and Spain called for a full and immediate deployment of UNMIH. The arrival of the first soldiers escalated the tension that led to the reimposition of sanctions. The inter-agency disagreement in Washington regarded two main points. First, there were agencies (i.e. the CIA) that were operating to undermine the credibility of Aristide. These efforts undermined the activity of those in Washington who were working for the return of Aristide to Port-au-Prince. (Malone 1998: 94-97; Von Hippel 2000: 99) Second, the decision to avoid further casualties after the events in Mogadishu of 3 October led the US to respond firmly to the Haitian opposition to the deployment of UNMIH. This underlined the lacking political will of the US in ensuring the return of Aristide. Finally, the deployment itself (i.e. timing, size, etc) was the product of discussions among UN members as well as in Washington. The SC reacted quite quickly to the deteriorating human rights conditions in Haiti with the deployment of UNMIH, but state members did not succeed in making sure that the deployment took place properly. PURPOSE(S) (coerce, constrain, signal) The decision to suspend the sanctions is to be seen in a wider attempt to coerce the military junta into a negotiated settlement. UNSCR provided for an automatic reimposition of sanctions in case of non-compliance with the GIA. In terms of constraining, the suspension (instead of the lifting) kept the military junta ‘under check’ with a Sword of Damocles on their action. The military junta was limited in what it could have done in their negotiation with Aristide. Finally, the suspension signaled the Haitians that the UN was willing to ease the pressure on the country with a cooperation of the local authorities. The same message went to the international community, which could see that the UN was active on the return to constitutional rule in Haiti. AUDIENCE[S] SIGNALLED The main audience for the second episode is the military junta. As part of the carrot and stick approach, the lifting of the sanctions intended to reward the apparent cooperation of the military leaders with the signing and the implementation of the Governors Island Agreement. The lack of results and the deterioration of the human rights situation in the country contributed to the re-imposition of sanctions. TYPE OF TARGETED SANCTIONS (the design of the measures) Sanctions are suspended. COORDINATION WITHIN THE UN SYSTEM AND RELATED MULTILATERAL INITIATIVES (with other UN Agencies, SRSGs, and UN Peacekeeping forces, if applicable and with IAEA and multi-party talks, if relevant) 23 During the suspension of the sanctions, UN member states and other actors cooperated in order to ensure the implementation of the Governors Island Agreement. During the second episode, the Security Council created the UNMIH and the first contingent arrived in Haiti composed by 50 Canadians and 30 Americans, which would have waited for the arrival of other personnel with the Harlan County. (Malone 1997:130) INTERACTION WITH OTHER SANCTIONS REGIMES (Unilateral measures, Regional organization measures) Sanctions are mostly suspended as agreed with the UN. RELATIONSHIP TO OTHER POLICY INSTRUMENTS (Use of force, covert actions, tribunals, referral to ICC) The main other policy instrument discussed in this phase is the deployment of a UN mission to Haiti. “The escalating violence in Port-au-Prince led several UNSC members, including the USA, France, and Spain, to call for urgent dispatch to Haiti of the full UNMIH” (Malone 1998:90). “On 31 August 1993, the UNSC adopted SCR 862, approving the dispatch of a small team to assess requirements for the UN Mission in Haiti forseen in the GIA, UNMIH” (Malone 1998:90). The advance team recommended to extend the military numbers of the UN Mission from 560 to 700, but confirmed the number of police at 600. The mission was approved on 23 September by SCR 867 to be deployed within 75 days. (Malone 1998:91) IMPLEMENTATION (assessing monitoring and enforcement) Sanctions were suspended by the Security Council. DIRECT IMPACTS The suspension of the measure triggered the military junta to rush in the preparation for future rounds of sanctions. These efforts went in two directions. First, there was an attempt to accumulate resources likely to be targeted, such as fuel and weapons. Second, the tension was increased by the military junta to create the best environment to them upon the return of Aristide. More human rights violations are reported in September than in the previous months, and targeted assaults led also to the murderer of prominent Aristide supporters (11 September) and colleagues (14 October Guy Malary was killed). “Amid nervousness over the return of Aristide, the human rights situation in Haiti deteriorated sharply. On 17 September, the UNSC issued a strongly worded statement deploring ‘the recent upsurge in violence in Haiti, particularly the events of 11 and 12 September, when at least a dozen people were assassinated, including a prominent supporter of President Aristide during a church service… The Council will hold the Haitian military and security authorities personally responsible for the safety of all United Nations personnel in Haiti’ (Cited in Malone 1998:90). Once again, the losers seemed to be the weaker Haitians, which were less prepared to resist long-term sanctions. This also confirms that the direct impact of sanctions could be due more to the way in which the military junta was ruling the country rather than to the type of measures themselves. 24 INDIRECT IMPACTS The suspension of sanctions had direct impact only. EVASION Sanctions were suspended; therefore no evasion technique was necessary. UNINTENDED CONSEQUENCES The military junta used the temporary lifting of the embargo to stockpile resources and to prepare the resistance for re-imposition. INTEGRATING IMPACTS AND CONSEQS Intended consequences Unintended consequences Direct impact Partial improvement of Increase human rights violations and humanitarian conditions due to made easy for the military junta to discover Aristide’s supporters who sanctions came public in the process Indirect impact Partial deployment of UNMIH Weaken position of civil society EFFECTIVENESS Sanctions were suspended, and not lifted, with the explicit clause of being reimposed in case the GIA was not fulfilled. The objective was to favor the implementation of the GIA agreement, which derailed in late September. However, this does not set sanctions as unsuccessful. Indeed, the coercive nature of sanctions was directed mainly at the military junta, but the GIA was signed also by Aristide and there have been accusation of little willingness on the parties’ side to implement the GIA. Pezzullo said it openly in 1993, when he declared that both Aristide and Cédras undermined the agreement. Pezzullo also added that “in the final analysis, the responsibility for bringing Haiti together is Haitian. All the international community can do is use economic bludgeons, such as sanctions, to cajole, to be ready to come in with assistance, with advice, and with help, even to intervene, but it cannot resolve fundamental internal issues.” (cited in Malone 1998: 95) This statement classifies sanctions as partially successful in bringing the Haitian parties to the negotiating table, but the responsibility of the resurgence of military conflict seems to be on the Haitian parties. The will of the military junta was under question, as “they [the military leaders] would accept a return to constitutional forms only if they retained much of their power behind a democratic façade: their parliamentary allies were skilled at designing such façades, but they could not conceal the reality of overwhelming popular support for Aristide and repudiation of any who recognized the coup”. (Ian 1999:731) The actors that pushed for a general amnesty were considered as ‘realistic’, (Ian 1999:728) as no alternatives were expected by a military junta in control of Haiti through the wide adoption of brutal force. During the second episode, it became clearer and clearer that the military leaders were not willing to compromise on their positions of power. The Governors Island Agreement was seen by the military junta as an acceptable compromise 25 to them, but “If they were prepared to envisage Aristide’s return at all, it was a far distant prospect, and their leaders had no intention of leaving – rather than merely sharing – power”. (Ian 1999:715) The constraint determined by sanctions was to limit the alternatives available to Cédras, but the lack or arguable compliance of the GIA by Aristide gave Cédras a strong argument to step back from the GIA. Finally, the suspension of the sanctions certainly signaled the military junta as the UN was willing to negotiate and kept its word. Furthermore, the sanctions signaled the international community that the UN was active and responsive to the changing environment in Haiti. The norm was articulated well and the signal was received, which would explain the partial collaboration with the military junta. EPISODE 3 CONTEXT Third episode (13 October 1993 – 6 May 1994). The third episode began right after the USS Harlan County event of 11 October with SCR 873 on 13 October 1993 and ran until further measures were taken, which determines the beginning of the last episode. “On 13 October 1993 the Security Council declared the situation in Haiti a threat to peace and security in the region and adopted Resolution 873 reimposing the oil and arms embargo. This marked the start of the third phase of sanctions. Three days later the Council passed Resolution 875, calling on member states to enforce the fuel and arms embargo with a naval blockade”. (Cortright and Lopez 2000:94) Sanctions were re-imposed on 13 October with resolution 873, “reversing the suspension of 841 and allowing funds frozen pursuant to Resolution 841 to be released at the request of Aristide or Malval. […]. The assassination of Haitian de jure minister of Justice Guy Malary, in broad daylight on October 14, 1993 prompted Aristide to write a letter on October 15 to the secretary General requesting that the United Nations strengthen the provisions already in place under Resolution 873. On October 16, 1993, reaffirming its readiness to consider other measures, the Security Council adopted Resolution 875, requesting that Member States strictly enforce the sanctions called for by Resolution 841 and 873”. (Swindells 1996:19201921) “Under US pressure, but with strong support from the other Friends, the UNSC ‘acting under Chapter VII and VIII of the Charter’ imposed a naval blockade on Haiti to enforce the sanctions”. (Malone 1997:131) UNSC DECISION MAKING The SC reacted immediately after the derail of the GIA process. The USS Harlan County accident occurred on 11 October, and sanctions were reimposed two days later, with a further resolution strengthening the enforcement of the embargo five days later (UNSCR 875). As illustrated also in the political will section of this episode, further measures were hypothesized, but they did not take place until the Spring of 1994, following Aristide’s initiative in Washington. France (who drafted a resolution in January) and the US were in favor of stronger sanctions, while the OAS and the GRULAC countries were against it. 26 (Malone 1998: 102) The discussion did not lead anywhere; therefore it is plausible to argue that the SC did not act effectively in this phase of the crisis. Alternatives were already in place and in the making, including the presence of personnel in the country, the preparation of a peacekeeping mission only if authorized by the military junta as well, and diplomatic initiatives to enforce the GIA. The military operation, which was publicly suggested by Aristide in January 1994 (Malone 1998: 101) was not part of the discussion yet, and it was probably due to ambiguous feelings within the US administration towards Aristide and the recent events in Mogadishu. POLITICAL WILL The step of re-imposing sanctions was an automatic response to the failure of the Governors Island Agreement, which was taken unanimously and right after the USS Harlan County failure to deck in Port-au-Prince. The sanctions on Haiti did not represent a watershed in the stand of the international community. Given the little compliance from the signatory parties (indeed, both the military junta and President Aristide showed doubts about the agreement in regards to the timing for his return and the terms of the amnesty granted to the military leaders). (Malone 1998:71) However, “the return of Aristide appeared a secondary goal”. (Malone 1998:102) Further measures were threatened by the SC, but among the Friends, there were doubts about the wisdom of further sanctions, particularly a total embargo. The humanitarian toll of existing sanctions was heavy, with the poorest sectors of society being hardly hit. The US Administration feared a backlash from the NGO community. Venezuela was not comfortable with additional sanctions, which would do little to block the porous border between the Dominican Republic and Haiti. France favoured additional sanctions as a political signal, while Canada’s new Government assessed its position.” (Malone 1998:94). “A period of ‘phoney war’ had commenced by mid-November, with the UN’s role seriously undermined by the Harlan County incident, which led the de factos to believe that they could defy the international community at a limited cost as the US seemed unwilling to adopt decisive measures to back up its rhetoric on the need to restore Aristide. In fact, ensuing months witnessed a significant build-up of US pressure on Aristide to compromise with the coup leaders”. (Malone 1998:94). The decision to impose further measures was postponed until President Aristide’s initiatives in the Spring of 1994, and UNSCR 917 was adopted due to strong pressures from the US government on other UN members. This is telling on the political will of the international community in settling the crisis in Haiti, which, as written already, was deemed as an internal matter by some of the P5 and other SC members. A monitoring mechanism was also created and started to work in January 1994 in Haiti. It consisted in a local mechanism to monitor the allocation of fuel for humanitarian purposes. It was decided with UNSCR 875 and it was known as Programme D’approvisionement en Combustible our les Activités Humanitaires (PAC-Humanitaire or PAC). (Swindells 1996: 1924-25) PURPOSE(S) (coerce, constrain, signal) The third episode is determined by the acknowledgement of the international community about the little willingness of the military junta to accept any real return to power of President Aristide, therefore the sanctions, strengthened by the establishment of a naval blockade, aimed primarily at constraining the capacities of the de facto leaders to rule Haiti and to 27 legitimate their seizing of power. From this moment on, negotiations were based on a different goal than before: while the involvement of the military leaders in power was previously considered along with the return of Aristide, the situation changed and the objective was to remove Cédras and his supporters from the management of the country. “The heart of the Haitian problem was that the military could only be induced to relinquish power if they were left no other choice”. (Ian 1999:731) In other words, while an agreement was possible before, the return of Aristide became incompatible with the de facto leaders in Haiti. (Swindells 1996:1923) AUDIENCE[S] SIGNALLED The international community seems to be the main audience, to which the black caucus and the Haitian minority in the United States could be added as their pressure was mounting and will become determinant in episode five and six. The United Nations could not tolerate the lack of cooperation from the military leaders, the forceful seizing of power and the deteriorating human rights situation in the country, therefore something had to be done to counter Cédras and his colleagues. The worsening of the crisis caused an increase of refugee flows from Haiti to the United States that reached the media and the wider public. The US had to deal with the problem and the American administration renewed its commitment with the re – imposition of sanctions and the attempt to improve their implementation. The UN, and especially the US, had also to react to the loss of face caused by the clash in Mogadishu that left 18 US soldiers dead. “The Clinton administration, still reeling from the deaths of eighteen US soldiers in the streets of Mogadishu, Somalia, a week before, wanted to avoid any further risk to US troops regardless of the diplomatic consequences. The ignominious departure of the Harlan County was sharply criticized within the United States, especially by members of the Congressional Black Caucus, who advocated a stronger US role against the junta and were concerned that the incident would further embolden the military leaders in their obstruction of the UN-negotiated agreement”. (Cortright and Lopez 2000:9394) The military junta was gradually losing its role of “audience’ as the hopes to negotiate their departure from power were fading away. In other words, the primary audience of the measures appears to be the domestic constituencies in the US rather than the military junta itself. On the contrary, domestic groups in the US gained prominence and were determinant in the following months to trigger the interest of the US administration on the matter. The two driving factors were the flow of refugees from Haiti and the legal battle over the possibility for the US to repatriate Haitians without screening whether they meet the conditions of refugees. Secondarily, the Black Caucus became sensitive to the human rights violations in Haiti. The actions of the UN and the activity of the US in this phase should communicate interest in the problem. TYPE OF TARGETED SANCTIONS (the design of the measures) The original measures imposed by UNSCR 841 were resumed and consisted in: Prevent the sale or supply of: - Petroleum or petroleum products 28 - Arms and related matériel of all types, including weapons and ammunition, military vehicles and equipment, police equipment and spare parts for the aforementioned Decide to freeze funds in their territories available to: - The government of Haiti or of the de fact authorities in Haiti Controlled directly or indirectly by such Government or authorities or by entities, wherever located or organized, owned or controlled by such Government or authorities. In addition to that, UNSCR 875 reinforced its enforcement with the approval of a naval blockade and a precursor to what we would call today monitoring team. COORDINATION WITHIN THE UN SYSTEM AND RELATED MULTILATERAL INITIATIVES (with other UN Agencies, SRSGs, and UN Peacekeeping forces, if applicable and with IAEA and multi-party talks, if relevant) The reimposition of sanctions was taken as an automatic response to the violation of the Governors Island Agreement. The diplomatic initiative was re-launched, and the international monitoring mission was increased. “A UNSC statement of 15 November called for intensification of humanitarian assistance and welcomed the Secretary-General’s decision to reinforce the UN’s humanitarian personnel in Haiti. USAID’s Office of Foreign Disaster Assistance (OFDA) that month developed a proposal under which the UN Sanctions Committee charged with enforcing SCR 841 would exempt shipments of oil tied directly to humanitarian deliveries, with the cost of the fuel met from an international trust fund. The well-received proposal envisaged coordination and supervision of the plan by the UN. Ultimately, the Pan-American Health Organization (PAHO) assumed responsibility for the programme, which became effective on 15 January 1994 when the first shipment of oil was unloaded in Port-au-Prince. PAHO was already involved in the distribution of medicine within Haiti and carried less political baggage locally than the UN or the OAS. Contrary to expectations, the de facto authorities interfered only sporadically with the programme.” (Malone 1998:99) INTERACTION WITH OTHER SANCTIONS REGIMES (Unilateral measures, Regional organization measures) Little attention was given to regional organization measures at this point and only the US is reported to have a set of unilateral measures on Haiti, but they vary only marginally to the ones imposed by the US. The OAS did not adopt coercive measures of that kind. (Malone 1997:143-144, note 24) RELATIONSHIP TO OTHER POLICY INSTRUMENTS (Use of force, covert actions, tribunals, referral to ICC) No other tools, with the exception of the diplomatic initiatives of Dante Caputo, were decided or discussed by the Security Council. There was little coordination upon the reimposition of sanctions, but the result was the departure of international personnel from Haiti. “On 14 October, Canada unilaterally withdrew its police personnel from UNMIH. By 15 October, all UNMIH personnel, including a final group of forty-six Americans, had left Haiti. MICIVIH followed a day later” (Malone 1998:92). Caputo remained in Port-au-Prince (Malone 1998:92) and “UNMIH’s mandate was 29 renewed by the Council on 23 March 1994” (Malone 1998:103). IMPLEMENTATION (assessing monitoring and enforcement) The naval blockade was initially implemented by 6 US warships, 3 Canadian destroyers, and by French, Argentina and the Netherlands soon to participate. (Malone 1998:93) Before resolution 875 was passed, the US ordered “6 warships to blockade Haiti”. (Malone 1998:93). However, “The blockade proved little more effective than the earlier sanctions”. (Malone 1997:131) “[…] but the existing embargo was increasingly seen as totally ineffective”. Malone reports in note 29 that “In an article dated 11 February 1994, Linda Diebel of the Toronto Star quoted Charles Kernaghan, Director of the New York-based national Labor Committee as saying ‘what embargo? It’s a joke’, adding that goods were being shipped as usual to Haiti’s Military and elite through the Dominican Republic for sale on the black market”. (Malone 1998:226) There were also episodes of ‘forced’ cooperation of multinational companies with the regime. “The humanitarian flash-point by mid-November 1993 was the distribution of Petroleum and petroleum products within Haiti. On 16 November, the de facto Government ordered the major fuel supplier to release stocks built up before the blockade. Fearing for the security of their staff, the suppliers resumed sale of existing stocks. This development was described by Prime Minister Malval as ‘another Harlan County’. However, existing stocks did not permit the delivery to rural areas of the food and medicines they so desperately required”. (Malone 1998:98-99) “In addition, at various time during the crisis, confusion over whether propane gas was or was not exempted (it was) led shippers, fearful of being fined for sanctions-busting, to refuse to deliver it to Haiti”. (Gibbons 1999:25) DIRECT IMPACTS The real evaluation of sanctions impacts begins with this episode four, but given to the fact that OAS sanctions had been in force since 1991, it is difficult to distinguish between the impact had by UN measures and others. Overall, sanctions stroke only marginally the de facto rulers of Haiti as sanctions offered to them new opportunities to enrich personally, but as sanctions undermined the institutional capacity and shook the overall cohesion of the Haitian society, the embargo reduced the capacity of the military junta to constitute a viable government and a viable alternative to the constitutional path inaugurated by Aristide’s victory in December 1990. The losers of this decision were the poorer and the ordinary citizens in Haiti, who shouldered much of the negative impact of the sanctions. In other words, they paid the cost of sanctions. The immediate direct impact was the increase in the cost of oil. “Within Haiti, acute petroleum shortages developed when the international oil companies there (Texaco, Shell and Exxon) refused to sell fuel at their pumps, worried about their liability under the sanctions regime. By 24 October, roads in Haiti were abandoned, black-market prices for petrol having reached USD 15 per gallon” (Malone 1998:93). Higher fuel prices translated immediately in inflation for almost any other goods, and the increase of foodstuff price had the most serious consequences. “Much of the increase in food prices, particularly after October 1993 […] was due to the phenomenal increase in transportation costs. By the summer of 1994, a gallon of gasoline cost USD 10. At the same 30 time, the embargo on agricultural inputs, particularly fertilizer and seeds, accelerated a longterm trend of declining agricultural output; rice was particularly affected, with production 10 percent below normal for both 1993 and 1994.” (Gibbons 1999:12) INDIRECT IMPACTS Medicines and vaccines were covered by humanitarian exemptions, but the lack of vessels entering in the ports of Haiti affected also the supply of these goods. The confusion of delivery of propane gas led to the collapse of the national cold chain for vaccine refrigeration. “From an already low 40 percent in 1991, coverage went as low as 12 percent two years later” (Gibbons 1999:25). The delivery of food, obviously exempted by the embargo, was slowed down by the mandatory inspections after October 1993, which led to shortage of food supply. (Gibbons 1999:12) EVASION The evasion techniques were based mainly on the exploitation of the border with the Dominican Republic. Howard French from The New York Times reported on it several times, but this emerges from the analysis of secondary sources as common knowledge in that time. “The sanctions and blockade were foiled by roaring trade along Haiti’s land border with the Dominican Republic” (Malone 1998:98) UNINTENDED CONSEQUENCES The decision of maintaining and eventually strengthening sanctions was made by Haitian leaders outside of Haiti. Gibbons documents how this decision was not shared by most of the democratically elected leaders of Aristide’s party in Haiti, as they feared that they were going to cause a humanitarian disaster. According to Malval, sanctions “did nothing but worsen the moral and material situation of the people who were at the end of their rope and also of their hope”. (Gibbons 1999:43) It also created confusion in the country, as some thought that the target of the sanctions was Aristide’s government, and it contributed to triggering the rally-around-the-flag-effect by radicalizing the right. “The paramilitary organization FRAPH, created to frustrate implementation of Governors Island Accord, exploited the poor’s struggle with life under the embargo to gain recruits.” (Gibbons 1999:45) A further unintended consequence of sanctions was that the military junta felt less constrained in using force to control the society and to justify further human rights violations. “Violence continued unabated in Haiti. On 26 December, the burned and mutilated body of Paul Issa, Treasurer of FRAPH, was discovered in Port-au-Prince. On 27 December, a fire broke out in Cité Soleil, a Port-au-Prince stronghold of Aristide supporters, destroying 200 homes and claiming at least 3 lives”. (Malone 1998:100) INTEGRATING IMPACTS AND CONSEQS Direct impact Intended consequences Unintended consequences Reduce availability of gasoline Increase costs of transports, which caused higher prices of goods 31 Indirect impact Reduced support for the military Reduced capacity to resist and organize against the military junta of the civil junta of key groups in Haiti society EFFECTIVENESS The imposition of constraining measures reduced the possibilities for the de facto rulers to establish their firm and legitimate control on the country. In these terms, sanctions were partially successful. However, the lack of enforcement of the measures in Haiti contributed to lower the toll paid by the military leaders leaving the pressure on innocent Haitians untouched. As a matter of fact, sanctions created a strain on the economy of Haiti, but it also had counterproductive effects that strengthened the position of the military junta in power. This would lead one to think that sanctions were not successful, but lighter sanctions would hardly have led to better results, if not to increase the likelihood of an agreement that would have legitimized a non-democratic change of government in Haiti. The coercive expectations of this measure were not met. The military junta was asked to leave the country and they were not given guarantees that they would not face prosecution and jail upon the return of Aristide, so why should they have left their post voluntarily? The signaling dimension can be considered quite successful. The signal was sent and the norm articulated, even if the signal did not reach the ears of the military junta. Unconstitutional changes of government could not be easily tolerated. Finally, the UN needed to react to the killing of 18 marines in Mogadishu and had to re-establish its credibility with a firm action after the USS Harlan County accident. Alternatives to sanctions do not seem to have offered better results, sanctions appeared to be a mandatory step for the credibility of the international community that would have allowed for the escalation of the diplomatic efforts. EPISODE 4 CONTEXT Fourth episode (6 May 1994 – 31 July 1994). The fourth episode of sanctions began with SCR 917 on 6 May 1994 and ended with the decision to use force to deal with the democratic crisis in Haiti. The growing pressure coming from the Black Caucus imposed a pressure on the US administration that could not be avoided. This mechanism was triggered by President Aristide, when he declared that the treaty between Haiti and the US that disciplining the repatriation of Haitian refugees would have been revised unilaterally. This triggered a chain reaction that increased the domestic political relevance of the resolution of the crisis in Haiti and led to an increased pressure on the military junta with the adoption of stronger measures on 6 May: “[...] comprehensive sanctions against Haiti included a flight ban, a freeze on the assets of the military junta and their supporters and families, and import and export bans”. (Cortright and Lopez 2000:94) The confirmation that this round of sanctions was different from the previous ones comes from Ian’s article, where he stated that “perhaps this could have been achieved (departure of the military leaders) by a serious determination to apply the toughest of targeted sanctions immediately after the coup, instead of belatedly in mid1994”. (Ian 1999:731) The requests of strengthening the embargo date back to November 1993 and it was Aristide 32 himself who launched the idea. “Whereas the previous Security Council resolutions sought only to deprive Haiti of select goods, the Security Council changed its strategy in May 1994 and imposed comprehensive sanctions. On May 6, 1994, the Security Council adopted Resolution 917, imposing comprehensive sanctions targeted primarily at the de facto government and its supporters”. (Swindells 1996:1922) In reality, the measures imposed by the Security Council with UNSCR 917 are among the most comprehensive ones decided since the end of the Cold War, including the ones on Iraq and were not targeted exclusively at the military junta. UNSCR 940 contained a fifteen-day last chance clause for the military junta, but Cédras and his colleagues failed to take it. The measures remained in force until October, but the decision to authorize a multinational force may change the role of sanctions in the wider strategy realized by the Security Council. UNSC DECISION MAKING The decision to impose further sanctions, and especially a comprehensive trade ban, was quite controversial. There was a wide discussion on whether to impose further sanctions in January 1994. France suggests further sanctions, but the US argues that exemptions of products essential to the welfare of the Haitian people should be maintained (on which Malone sees the attempt to maintain the exemption for US-owned assembly industries). (Malone 1998: 102). “Caputo believed that new sanctions would not necessarily work, but that doing nothing would be worse” (Malone 1998:102). When the pressure in the US from the Black Caucus increased, the Security Council began informal negotiations on further sanctions. “The Secretary-General’s approach and a new draft sanctions resolution, both representing additional pressure on Aristide, were first discussed in UNSC informal consultation on 8 March. The Haitian delegation had meanwhile built support for Aristide’s position among non-aligned countries. Scepticism over the miniplan was expressed by Brazil, Oman, and Djibouti because it was supported neither by the de facts nor, more significantly, by Aristide, and was seen as departing from the GIA. Brazil objected to any suggestion that the UNSC put pressure on Aristide. Further UNSC private discussions on 10 March and 14 March focused on GRULAC resistance to the miniplan and to the draft SCR and revealed such Council disunity that the draft was placed on hold. Differences among the Friends were now evident, with Canada and Venezuela opposed to the miniplan, the USA in favour, and France Straddling the two positions.” (Malone 1998:102-103). “Aristide favoured force to deal with Cédras but was reluctant to call publicly for an invasion of Haiti. Nevertheless, the Friends insisted that he formally request military intervention. Eliciting support from GRULAC proved even more difficult. Argentina, since January 1994 a member of the UNSC, had joined the Friends, and supported the forcible removal of the de factos. Venezuela, however, was distressed at the prospect of the use of force by a US led coalition so close to home. Within the UNSC, Brazil pressed for provisions circumscribing the MNF’s mandate. Nevertheless, following intensive diplomatic lobbying [of the ‘Group of Friends’] at the UN and in capitals, the Security Council adopted Resolution 940 on 31 July 1994 by 12 votes in favour and two abstentions (Brazil and China) [Rwanda did not vote], despite formal critical statements from several Latina American countries. The text authorized the use of ‘all necessary means to facilitate the departure from Haiti of the military leadership”. (Malone 1997:132) 33 POLITICAL WILL The political will of the UN went hand in hand with the one of the United States, as Haiti was considered within the sphere of influence of the US and the other permanent members did not oppose heavier sanctions in May 1994. “This imposition of stronger sanctions was largely the result of a new get-tough policy by the Clinton administration, which was under mounting domestic political pressure from African Americans and other political constituencies. High visibility protests by members of the Congressional Black Caucus and a strong desire in Florida and other key states to halt the continuing flow of Haitian refugees into the United States quickened Washington’s resolve to settle the Haiti crisis”. (Cortright and Lopez 2000:94) According to Malone, it was Aristide’s skillful use of the Black Caucasus that tilted the balance of the Administration in his favor. (Malone 1998:104-105) In between February and May 1994, Aristide was able to bring the refugee problem back at the center of the stage and mobilized the leaders of the Black Caucuses that took a stronger stand towards the policy of the Administration towards Haiti. On the one hand, the refoulment policy was criticized, and on the other, stronger support for Haitian legitimate President was requested. Clinton bowed and “in his showdown with the Administration, Aristide had won”. (Malone 1998:105) The refugee problem became unsustainable by mid-1994, and the US suffered more pressure to take a stand. “Hundreds, then thousands of Haitian asylum seekers took to the sea: US vessels intercepted them, and in clear breach of international law, returned them to Haiti without any meaningful screening to assess their fears of persecution”. (Ian 1999:713) “Aristide, ably advised by several US lobbyists, notably Michael Barnes, a former Congressman, fought back, publicly describing the new Clinton administration’s policy of forced repatriation of refugees as a ‘floating Berlin Wall’. The Congressional Black Caucus, long split on support for Aristide, finally united behind its Chair, Kweisi Mfume, in early 1994 to blast the Clinton administration over its refugee and diplomatic policies on Haiti. Aristide’s cause attracted support in Hollywood and from prominent liberal newspapers. While the administration was still absorbing the increasingly strident representations by Mfume and others, on 12 April 1994, Randall Robinson, head of TransAfrica and very influential with Black Caucus, launched a well-publicized hunger strike against the administration’s policy of forced repatriation of Haitian boatpeople. He described the policy as ‘cruel, patently discriminatory and… profoundly racist’”. (Malone 1997:131-132) Under heavy fire, the balance within the US administration was tilted towards a more resolute stand against the military junta. “Clinton’s motivation to seek a rapid solution became all the greater when he reneged on his pledge to end the return without screening of Haitian refugees fleeing by boat; his embarrassment required him to promise an early return to democracy and an end to political repression”. (Ian 1999:715) The decision at the UN was therefore the product of a long negotiation among actors with different interests. This is proven by the voting record of UNSCR 840, which was approved by 12 votes in favour and two abstentions (Brazil and China) [Rwanda did not vote], despite formal critical statements from several Latina American countries. Despite the disagreements, the text authorized the use of ‘all necessary means to facilitate the departure from Haiti of the military leadership”. (Malone 1997:132) 34 PURPOSE(S) (coerce, constrain, signal) The fifth sanctions episode is mainly of a constraining type. It was clear that the military leaders did not intend to leave their posts, therefore more stringent sanctions were imposed in order to increase the economic hardship on the state. Signals were sent, but it is evident how from the fourth phase on, the main objective became to change the regime in Haiti, therefore constraining became the main purpose. Moreover, even if the duties of the Sanctions Committee were expanded to verify Member States’ compliance with the measures, both UNSCR 917 and UNSCR 841 “did not mention the need to monitor the impact of sanctions on Haiti”. (Swindells 1996:1923) AUDIENCE[S] SIGNALLED Internal US constituencies were at the origin of the strengthening of the sanctions in May 1994. The pressures by African Americans, other political constituencies, high visibility protests by Members of the Congressional Black Caucus and a strong desire in Florida to have the refugee flows halted were enough to push the Administration to “get tough” about Haiti. (Cortright and Lopez 2000:94) “Other reasons not cited by the Administration but equally important included Randall Robinsons’ hunger strike, which embarrassed Clinton and demands by the Congressional Black Caucus, as well as pressure exerted by representatives of the 1.5 million Haitian-Americans”. (Von Hippel 2000:103) TYPE OF TARGETED SANCTIONS (the design of the measures) The measures approved with UNSCR 917 resemble very closely what we would call comprehensive sanctions, namely measures aiming indiscriminately to weaken the economy of an entire country/society without too much care for their humanitarian consequences. The measures included: - Ban on aircrafts from and to Haiti, with the exception of regularly scheduled commercial passenger flights; - Travel ban on Haitian military officers, including the police and their immediate families, on the major participant of the coup d’état of 1991 and their immediate families, and on related individuals; - Freeze of the funds of the individuals identified above; - Trade embargo on all commodities and products originating in Haiti (several exceptions are considered for medical purposes and foodstuffs, commodities and products for essential humanitarian needs; petroleum or petroleum products, including propane gas for cooking; information materials) COORDINATION WITHIN THE UN SYSTEM AND RELATED MULTILATERAL INITIATIVES (with other UN Agencies, SRSGs, and UN Peacekeeping forces, if applicable and with IAEA and multi-party talks, if relevant) In early June, the Friends and the OAS met to suggest further sanctions on Haiti. For instance, “they evoked the possibility of a ban on commercial flights and financial transactions. […] the OAS […] affirmed the urgent need to suspend commercial flights, freeze assets belonging to 35 the country’s rulers, and ban financial transactions”. (Malone 1998:106) In the meantime, “On July 11, 1994, the de facto government, defying the United Nations and the international community at large, ordered the MICIVIH to leave”. (Swindells 1996:1923) INTERACTION WITH OTHER SANCTIONS REGIMES (Unilateral measures, Regional organization measures) While the UN was strengthening its sanctions on Haiti, the United States Executive Order 12920 imposed a ban on financial transactions and on commercial flights between Haiti and the United States. Additionally, the US also cancelled visas of individual military officers, pro-coup parliamentarians, along with members of Haiti’s wealthy and influential families. The US went a step beyond, when “Washington also banned all financial transactions between Haiti and the United States, a measure that affected rich Haitians, who could no longer wire money back home. It was only at this point that the White House cancelled the Bush administration’s sanctions exemption for US assembly plants”. (Cortright and Lopez 2000:94-95) The US tightened the screw as well: “on June 10, Clinton issued an Executive Order imposing additional financial sanctions against Haiti. On 17 June, the US Department of Transportation prohibited scheduled passenger services to Haiti. On 22 June, the US blocked all US assets of Haitian citizens resident in Haiti”. (Malone 1998:106) RELATIONSHIP TO OTHER POLICY INSTRUMENTS (Use of force, covert actions, tribunals, referral to ICC) The military option was still not considered seriously by the US and other actors, while it became an option only in June 1994. (Malone 1998:105) IMPLEMENTATION (assessing monitoring and enforcement) The main problem for the personal benefits of individuals of the de facto Government remains the border with the Dominican Republic, while the naval blockade, overall, prevented big shipments via sea. “On 23-24 May, ships participating in the naval blockade fired warning shots at vessels attempting to run it. However, in Ottawa on 24 May, Canadian Foreign Minister Ouellet recognized that the ‘total’ embargo of Haiti was, so far, largely ineffective. ‘The Dominican border is one of the best-known sieves’ he stated”. (Malone 1998:106) There were attempts to improve the monitoring of the Dominican border, so on 25 May Gray met with President Balaguer and they agreed on a US mission to monitor the border. (Malone 1998:106). Malone wrote that “this 88-person strong mission, set up at the insistence of the US, was initially opposed by President Balaguer of the Dominican Republic, who did not support Aristide. He only relented following the 16 May 1994 presidential elections in the Dominican Republic, which were widely condemned by election observers and the international media as rigged. The monitoring operation was overtaken soon after its creation by Aristide’s reinstatement”. (Malone 1997:144, note 25) However, the mission was only agreed and neither established nor deployed. DIRECT IMPACTS The evidence on the impacts should be added to the ones of the previous episodes as they appear to be cumulative. Consequences are recorded in the number of industries operating in the country as “[…] by January 1994, only 44 of the 145 garment factories operating in 1990 36 were still in business; and in 1994, only 8000 people were still working in the assembly industries from the 44000 before the coup. (Gibbons 1999:10-11) Haitians are still the most affected for the embargo in terms of job losses. “The OAS embargo thus began a trend of layoffs that by the end of the crisis in1994 would, nationwide, terminate an estimated 200,000 jobs in the formal employment sector, directly affecting more than a million people or close to 15 percent of Haiti’s total population”. (Gibbons 1999:11) INDIRECT IMPACTS The main indirect impacts were documented in the previous section. The increasing cost of transportation increased substantially the costs of medicines, foodstuff and charcoal, which was used by many Haitian for heating and cooking. These effects created incentives to embark on illegal activities to smuggle these products, a very remunerative activity given the soaring prices. The naval blockade only increased the scarcity of products, which was a multiplier effect on goods prices. EVASION The Haitian border with the Dominican Republic remained the main source of sanctioned goods. UNINTENDED CONSEQUENCES The unintended consequences as well were documented in the previous episodes, and they regarded mainly the decreasing capacity to organize against the military junta, further incentives to embark on illegal activities for personal returns, and the structural decrease of Haitian rate of alphabetization, which could have a tremendous negative impact on the growth of the country. INTEGRATING IMPACTS AND CONSEQS Intended consequences Unintended consequences Direct impact Lowering availability of military High humanitarian toll as sanctions equipment and fuel due to became non-discriminatory and almost monitoring of Dom Rep. border fully comprehensive Indirect impact The military junta became less Reduce the social capital of Haiti in the prepared to resist a forceful medium-term deployment of UNMIH EFFECTIVENESS Sanctions were constraining the capabilities of the military junta to operate in normal conditions. As if it is true that the people in power were profiting from the black market activities, it is also evident that the viability of the state authorities would not have been sustainable in the long run. Sanctions did not prevent the military junta to function in the short term, but constraining measures need longer time to eventually cause the collapse of entire economic systems. Seen in this light, sanctions were partially successful in reducing the options available to the military junta, more dedicated to find alternative sources of gas and other supplies, rather than spending their time in ruling the country. On the signaling effects, the result appears to be less effective as the military junta still does 37 not believe that anything substantial would change. “The de factos seemed determined to thumb their noses at the new Clinton policy. In light of past swings in US policy on Haiti, they seem to have believed that nothing fundamental had changed in Washington”. (Malone 1998:106). The signal was sent, but it was not received. However, the imposition of further sanctions was a clear signal that the international community was willing to pay an economic cost to solve the crisis in Haiti, and the short-term gain of the military leaders does not seem to balance the advantage of the diplomatic options available to the international community. Indeed, the military option entered the public debate in June, shortly after the imposition of the measures, and it also became the option of last resort only after the strengthening of the sanctions. EPISODE 5 CONTEXT Fifth episode (31 July 1994 – 15 October 1994). Finally, the fifth episode of sanctions began with the approval of UNSCR 940 of 31 July 1994, which authorized the creation of a multinational force and the use of “all necessary means” to restore Aristide to power. Sanctions did not change in this episode compared to the previous one, but sanctions played a more marginal role in the overall UN strategy. Doubts were mounting over the utility of a total embargo. The human costs were increasing “with the poorest hard hit while the military and the elite were cushioned by stockpiles of supplies. NGOs were going to complain for this, so that “Caputo and Pezzullo increasingly pressured Aristide to compromise with his opponents”. (Malone 1997:131) The military way was taken seriously only in June 1994 (Malone 1998:105) and it was officially authorized by the Security Council with resolution 940. However, “At the time of SCR 940’s adoption, the US signaled that no invasion was imminent. It still hoped that, under the threat of US-led intervention, the de factos might depart”. (Malone 1998:110) The de facto government may have understood this as a sign of weakness, so the situation in Haiti was not improving. “On 26 August, the UN Secretary-General noted continuing serious human rights violations and new pressures against foreign and Haitian journalists by the de facto regime. On 28 August, Father Jean-Marie Vincent was assassinated outside the Montfortain residence in Port-au-Prince by attachés. Vicent, a vocal supporter and close friend of Aristide, was the first priest killed in Haiti since 1985”. (Malone 1998:110-111) After that further diplomatic attempts from the Rio group and the UN emissary, Rolf Knutsson, were turned down in August by the military junta (Malone 1998:110), it was crystal clear by then that “There was no way the military would have gone peacefully unless they feared that they would be removed by force, which in the case of Haiti could only mean international force”. (Ian 1999:731) The departure of the mission was announced to be imminent on 15 September by President Clinton, and former President Carter left to Haiti on 16 September in a final attempt to convince the military rulers to leave their posts in order to avoid an unnecessary resistance to the arrival of the MNF. After the initial intention of the military junta to resist the deployment, the information that the 82nd Airborne Regiment was preparing to take off convinced them to negotiate their departure. (Malone 1998 :112) The mission was successful, Cédras resigned on 10 October and departed with other military officers on 13 October to Panama (while others, such as Francoise, went to the Dominican Republic). The end of this episode as well as of the sanctions case of Haiti is determined by UNSCR 944 on 29 September 1994 and by UNSCR 948 on 15 October 1994, when Aristide returned to 38 Haiti. “Resolution 944 effectively ended the UN Security Council’s sanctions policy toward Haiti”. (Swindells 1996:1924) This phase is characterized by the use of sanctions as a prelude to the use of force, and regardless from the type of sanctions or their implementation, the uncertainty of the future plays a crucial role in understanding the functioning of sanctions and assessing their effectiveness. UNSC DECISION MAKING The use of force was “an option increasingly mentioned. The UN Secretary-General, Boutros Boutros-Ghali, with the UN still reeling from setbacks in Somalia and Rwanda, favoured a US-led coalition, on the model of the United Task Force (UNITAF) in Somalia, rather than a UN peacekeeping operation. The US government was initially not keen, believing the UN flag to be essential for wide participation in multilateral action and also because Aristide was wary of a US-dominated mission. Boutros Boutros-Ghali forced the issue in a report to the Security Council, proposing a two-phase operation: a sizeable UNSC-authorized non-UN multinational force (MNF) under Chapter VII of the UN Charter, followed once a ‘secure and stable environment’ had been established, by a Chapter VI UN peacekeeping operation”. (Malone 1997:132) The crisis gained importance also in regards to the deterioration of human rights conditions caused by both the de facto government and by the negative consequences of sanctions. “Violence continued unabated in Haiti throughout the summer. The military may have believed that Aristide’s enemies in Washington would scupper any effective action against them. Opposition to the proposed invasion was growing daily in Congress, much of it centering on the administration’s refusal to seek Congressional approval for military action. The clamor generated pressure within the White House to act before it was overwhelmed by domestic criticism. The US had recruited 19 countries, with a total of 2,000 troops, to join the MNF. The MNF did not include Canada, France, or Venezuela, but it did feature Argentina, Australia, Belgium, Bolivia, Israel, Jordan, the Netherlands, several Caribbean and Central American countries and the UK.”(Malone 1997: 136) The political will to solve the crisis materialized with the authorization of “all necessary means” to restore the democratically elected government. Before the arrival of the troops, the negotiation of President Carter was authorized by Clinton and led eventually to the peaceful departure of Raoul Cédras and the other military leaders. “The US administration was pleased with the results of Carter’s mediation, which surely spared many US and Haitian lives, but there was some resentment that Carter chose to act as a free agent. At one point he admitted to being ashamed of US policy in order to reassert his authority after rumors were circulating that the intervention had already begun before the negotiation terminated. There was also controversy over Carter and Powell labeling Cédras “a man of honour’, just after Clinton had publicly described him as a murderer. Aristide was not pleased either because the deal signed did not stipulate that the junta had to leave the country, as Clinton had earlier promised, and because it allowed Cédras to stay in office for another month. Aristide was eventually arm-twisted into a public display of gratitude to the United States a few days later. Meanwhile, the UN Special Envoy to Haiti, Dante Caputo, resigned over the lack of consultation with him and the UN during the Carter negotiations”. (Von Hippel 2000:104) POLITICAL WILL 39 The pressure of domestic constituencies and the increasing problem of the refugees convinced the US administration, which played a crucial role in the sanction case, to pressure the Security Council to adopt harsher measures to reinstate the government in Haiti. The decision had alternatives as the use of force could have been postponed further. However, the combination of US pressure plus the uniqueness of the case were enough to convince Security Council members to authorize the use of “all necessary means” to allow the return of President Aristide. In this regards, Clinton was reported saying that: “In Haiti, we have a case in which the right is clear, in which the country in question is nearby, in which our own interests are plain, in which the mission is achievable and limited, and in which the nations of the world stand with us”. (Von Hippel 2000:103) The use of military force was decided in July and this sets the last episode for the case of UN sanctions in Haiti. Once again, the main motivator for this decision was the US, and to the question “Why military force?”, Von Hippel lists seven reasons: 1. 2. 3. 4. Haiti is in the US sphere of influence Democracy was denied to a country in the western hemisphere The refugee problem was threatening to overwhelm the United States The US administration had suffered continual humiliation by the ruling junta since the 1991 coup 5. Human rights abuses were severe 6. Concern for US citizens living in Haiti, albeit a small number 7. The sustainability of the world order, as Clinton ‘claimed that the situation in Haiti caused the total fracturing of the ability of the world community to conduct business in the post-Cold War era’. (Von Hippel 2000:101-103) The importance of the US in this phase is confirmed by the diplomatic mission dispatched by the Clinton Administration only a few days before the arrival of the soldiers. Former US President Jimmy Carter opened a negotiation in order to prevent fighting conflict between the parties, which led to a peaceful departure of Cédras and his colleagues in exchange for amnesty in other countries. For instance, Cédras went to Panama and he was reported to run a computer graphic shop. While President Aristide was not fully satisfied about this solution, it seemed a good compromise to limit the bloodshed and the humanitarian consequences of a forceful removal of the military junta. Sanctions play a less central role in the UN strategy in this episode. The discussion since June is to refine the military option and to ensure that a renewed UNMIH will have the possibility to remove the military junta with the consent of President Aristide. The first problem is based on who has to participate in this mission. The US was keen in having a UN led mission, while the UN Secretary-General wanted to avoid the problem of miscommunication that took place in the former deployment of UNMIH (The Harlan County incident). The agreement was reached by having a US led mission authorized by the Security Council. However, Aristide was still reluctant in agreeing publicly with such an option as countering the Constitution in Haiti. Plus, a second element for Aristide consisted in whether the three years of his mandate spent abroad would have gained him an extension of his mandate upon his return (on which the length of the UN mission depended on). (Malone 1998:107-109) Once Aristide agreed with the drafted text, Resolution 940 was adopted by the Council (co-sponsored by the USA, Argentina, Canada and France – but not Venezuela) on 31 July 1994”. (Malone 1998:109) 40 “In the debate marking the resolution’s adoption, Mexico, Cuba, Nicaragua, and Uruguay criticized the text, making clear that there were no circumstances under which they could support resort to Chapter VII of the Charter in the Western Hemisphere. Venezuela indicated that it was uncomfortable with Chapter VII action at this juncture. Brazil, in explaining its abstention, noted that Haiti’s situation was unique and that action to restore Aristide could be seen as strengthening democracy throughout the Hemisphere, but state that Brazil’s Constitution and political traditions precluded support for military intervention now. China harped on its attachment to the peaceful settlement of disputes and to the principle of nonintervention but did state that, once adopted, UNSC resolutions had to be respected. Canada emphasized the lack of progress over three years towards a dénounement of the crisis, the particularly distasteful nature of the de facto regime, the growing hardships imposed on the civilian population of Haiti, and continued de facto non-compliance with earlier Council resolutions”. (Malone 1998:109) PURPOSE(S) (coerce, constrain, signal) The main purpose of this last episode remains the one to constrain the capacity of the military rulers to establish a functioning state under their control and to force a return of Aristide on them. While the process established with the GIA sought the support and the agreement of the military junta in bringing Haiti back to its Constitution, the purpose of sanctions is now to make sure that the military junta cannot rule Haiti anymore without their consent. With the military operation being prepared, the purpose of the sanctions was to support the threat of the military operation in order to send a clear signal to the junta about the seriousness of the threat. The signaling dimension follows the previous episode and it focuses on the international community, primarily on those in the P5 as they are usually the highest contributors to international missions. AUDIENCE[S] SIGNALLED The audience in the last episode of sanctions was once more the military junta. As the military mission became the preferred instrument of the Security Council to solve the crisis, the little interest left to sanctions sent a message to the junta about the credibility of the option to use force in Haiti. Especially the US had to do something to stop the flow of refugees, (Malone 1997:132) and the combined use of sanctions and military force intended to reassure both domestic audiences and the Haitians on their resolve. The Haitians supporting Aristide and Aristide himself were also the target of sanctions in both episode 5 and 6. The threat made by Aristide to annul the treaty disciplining the matter of Haitians repatriation and his commitment to lobby the Black Caucus convinced the US administration that the time to restore the constitutionally elected government had arrived. The ambiguity over the objective of the US was dropped and restoring Aristide became a priority. Sanctions (and the MNF) were functional to this goal. TYPE OF TARGETED SANCTIONS (the design of the measures) Same as Episode 5, but accompanied with the authorization of a Multinational Force (MNF) to restore Aristide to power. 41 COORDINATION WITHIN THE UN SYSTEM AND RELATED MULTILATERAL INITIATIVES (with other UN Agencies, SRSGs, and UN Peacekeeping forces, if applicable and with IAEA and multi-party talks, if relevant) The added value of this episode is the creation of a MNF to be deployed in Haiti. The preparation started in August and gained momentum in September. “On 9 September, two US aircraft flew over Port-au-Prince dropping pro-Aristide leaflets, and four days later, two American warships hove into clear view of Port-au-Prince”. (Malone 1998:111). However, the threat was still questionable as there is a fervent debate in the US on whether President Clinton should seek the authorization from Congress to invade Haiti. (Malone 1998:110-111) The military operation was announced by President Clinton on September 15, when “the Pentagon called up 1,600 specialist member of the Reserve to support the MNDF operation in Haiti. Asked when this military operation would be launched, Defense Secretary responded ‘soon’. By now, the USA had recruited nineteen countries with a total of 2,000 troops to join American forces within the MNF. The MNF did not include Canada, Venezuela, or France. However, it did include Argentina, Australia, Belgium, Bolivia, Israel, Jordan, the Netherlands, many Caribbean and Central American countries, and the UK.”(Malone 1998: 111) The peak of the mission (21,000) was reached within three weeks from the initial deployment. (Malone 1998:113) It is also worth noticing that Dante Caputo resigned from his post after this agreement was negotiated as the UN and the OAS were kept out of the Carter mission. (Malone 1998:112) INTERACTION WITH OTHER SANCTIONS REGIMES (Unilateral measures, Regional organization measures) Expressing satisfaction on the operation Uphold democracy, Clinton announces the lifting of US sanctions on Haiti on 26 September 1994. (Malone 1998:114) RELATIONSHIP TO OTHER POLICY INSTRUMENTS (Use of force, covert actions, tribunals, referral to ICC) The coexistence of sanctions and preparation of military action was characterized by the diplomatic mission of former President Jimmy Carter to Haiti days before the operation started. “On 17 September, two days after warning Haiti’s military leaders to step down, President Clinton dispatched a last minute diplomatic mission to Haiti, including former president Jimmy Carter, former chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff Colin Powell, and Senator Sam Nunn (D-GA.). With US military planes already in the air on their way to Haiti, Carter announced an agreement with the de facto authorities”. (Cortright and Lopez 2000:99) The terms of the negotiations provided for an early and honorable retirement, but “the agreement proved controversial. Aristide was not pleased, particularly over Carter’s kowtowing to the Haitian Military: Carter had described Cédras to the media on 18 September as ‘honourable’and even invited him to teach his Sunday school class in Georgia. Aristide resented that its leadership would now escape abroad rather than being called to account by force. An Aristide press release, 19 September, did not even mention US efforts to secure his return peacefully. Some NGOs also complained that the agreement contained no reference to human rights. US officials did not defend Carter’s signature of the agreement with Jonassaint and did little to hide their irritation with Carter’s repeated statements that Cédras’s dignity needed to be respected”. (Malone 1998:112) 42 IMPLEMENTATION (assessing monitoring and enforcement) Efforts were made to improve the control of the border with the Dominican Republic. A multilateral monitoring mission on the border between the Dominican Republic and Haiti is established in August 1994 (Malone 1998:131), but its implementation is halted by the shifting priority of the military action coordinated by the United States. However, since the international community had shifted the focus towards the use of force to remove the de facto leadership of Haiti, the efforts of the international community to enhance the enforcement of the measures decreased. For instance, the border between the Dominican Republic and Haiti represented a weak spot of the sanctions regime, so the UN was negotiating with the government in Santo Domingo in order to have the border patrolled and secured, but the agreement did not enter into force due to the imminent military operation. Therefore, the purpose of the sanctions in the overall strategy towards Haiti was mainly to signal the resolve of the UN and to sustain its military operation by limiting the military junta’s access to resources. DIRECT IMPACTS Once again, the impacts recorded overlap with previous sanctions from both the UN as well as other senders. The effects are often reported cumulatively, as it is the case for the increase price of foodstuff. “In three years from September 1991 to September 1994, the Port-auPrince prices of these staples would increase 137.4 percent and 184.6 percent respectively”. (Gibbons 1999:12) “Although price increases were less in rural markets, they were nonetheless significant for a population increasingly pushed out of the cash economy: in the final 12 months of the crisis, the price of a pound of red beans, another stable of the Haitian diet, increased up to 21 percent in the provincial markets, where rice was available, its price increased between 68 percent and 113 percent.” (Gibbons 1999:12) Finally, “the price of powdered milk increased 283 percent from November 1991 to September 1994. There is also evidence that the rate of malnutrition of children increased during the three years of sanctions and by the end of the crisis even rural areas were as affected as urban ones. “One can infer that by then the rural population had thoroughly depleted its resources”. (Gibbons 1999:23) The production of food also decreased by the end of the sanction regimes. “Overall, production of stable crops fell by more than 20 percent compared with the pre-crisis years. An epidemic of Newcastle disease that, owing to a lack of animal vaccines, could not be contained wiped out close to 40 percent of poultry stocks. Another well-documented cause of lower agricultural production during the crisis was the ferocious repression in certain parts of the country that forced farmers to abandon their fields. These developments decreased rural income and further increased food prices.” (Gibbons 1999:12) The fuel embargo had an impact on every aspect of the life of the Haitians through the increase of transportation costs. For instance, although Gibbons claims that the health system was poor before as much as after the sanctions in Haiti, “between 1991 and 1994, many Haitians seeking health services […] could not obtain them, in part because the fuel embargo”. (Gibbons 1999:26) The embargo on specific components obstacle the maintenance of existing infrastructures. 43 The water system was heavily affected by the lack of maintenance, so the rate of water-borne diseases increased (such as diarrhea) (Gibbons 1999:26) the conditions of the water system was deteriorating, even if it is difficult to distinguish between the effect of sanctions and the poor management that, as Gibbon acknowledges, could have started even before sanctions were imposed. (Gibbons 1999:28) Gibbons wrote that sanctions, in their entirety, undermined state institutions, local government and the Parliament as they suspended financial aid to Haiti. Since 40 percent of the budget of the state depended on foreign support, sanctions affected mainly state workers and services. “With the cutoff of international aid, the salaries to state officials, technicians and service providers were delayed for weeks. As the weeks stretched to months and the basic supplies required to carry out their professional responsibilities dried up (to say nothing of the transportation needed to get to work), public employees increasingly abandoned their posts in search of a livelihood”. (Gibbons 1999:29) A similar argument is made about the role of the Parliament, as Gibbons claim that had the Parliament been stronger, it would have been able to funnel and institutionalize a protest against Aristide that had started before the military putsch. (Gibbons 1999:35-37) Gibbons attempts to evaluate the overall impact on the economy before, during and after the sanctions, which suggests that sanctions had a detrimental effect on the economy of Haiti (Gibbons 1999: 96): The increased monitoring activity, both in international waters and along the Dominican border, presumably reduced the military capacities of the military junta to present a credible 44 resistance to a forceful deployment of UNMIH, which would open the question of what would have happened if the USS Harlan Country crew had used force in October 1993. The counterfactual exercise of this section can be summarized here for the five episodes. Not imposing sanctions would have very likely reduced the humanitarian toll on Haitians, but it is unlikely that economic growth would have replaced the economic devastation that Gibbons has reported from 1991 to 1994. Alternatives to sanctions would not have gathered enough attention from the international community and exercised strong pressure on the military junta, and any lighter response to an unconstitutional change of government would have given the impression that the UN (and the international community) could tolerate potential recurrences of such events. The norm was announced with the Santiago declaration and established by the UNSCRs that called for the return of Aristide to Haiti. Furthermore, the crisis in Haiti had profound internal roots, and it is unlikely that external forces could play a determinant role in the long term. INDIRECT IMPACTS There are a number of indirect consequences that sanctions had on the Haitians, but it is difficult to discern among the different episodes. For instance, the main cause of malnutrition was the absence of maternal care. Basically, mothers had to go farther afield in search of income, which kept them away for longer period from their homes (Gibbons 1999:24). “The international sanctions further reduced both the outreach and the effectiveness of the state and its institutions of governance, complicating an already difficult ‘return to democracy’ […]. At the end of the crisis in 1994, the state infrastructure was even more dilapidated than it had been in 1991, its human resources depleted and demoralized.” (Gibbons 1999:31) EVASION The evasion was documented already in the previous episodes as members of the de facto government were accused of profiting from the management of the black market for products that were banned (but also that were lacking) by the sanctions. To this, it can be added that “For much of August, the de facto authorities sequestered the emergency fuel supplies for the PAHO programme”. (Malone 1998:111) UNINTENDED CONSEQUENCES Due to sanctions, the economy of Haiti started to become more independent from the international environment, which consequently helped the military junta to maintain its hold on power as they remained the strongest actor in the country. “Indeed, unwittingly, by creating economic hardship, the international community facilitated the military’s work: a population forced to be on the move, whether for political or economic reasons, is not a population that can mount an organized resistance. In more specific terms, the sanctions, notably the fuel embargo, were designed and implemented without respect for protecting the right to work, to education, to a decent standard of living, to live with one’s family, and to freedom from servitude, all included in international treaties the UN itself is charged with upholding”. (Gibbons 1999:22) Certainly, among these unintended consequences, the weakening of local and national institutions controlled or participated by members of the national Front for Change and democracy (FNCD), the party of President Aristide, is of primary importance. Gibbons describes how the financial strain imposed on local governments reduced the possibility of 45 FNCD members to play a role and to foster consensus. In fact, sanctions had “the unintentional effect of marginalizing elected local officials whose legitimacy is as great as that of the President… These elected officials are thus left to their own devices in circumstances which, already difficult when President Aristide was in power, have become even more so since September 1991”. (Gibbons 1999:32 citing Michéle Oriol, Pierre Andre Guerrier, and Danielle Saint-Lot, Les Collectivités Territoriales entre 1991 et 1993 (Port-auPrince : PIRED, December 1993) p. 73). Oriol added that “the international community, by cutting off aid to local government, undermined the democratic legitimacy of officials elected to those offices, at least in the eyes of the voters.” (Gibbons 1999:33) “[…] it seems both absurd and legally questionable for the United Nations to apply measures that actually help the party undermining international security, while harming those against whom the worst human rights violations are being committed. Yet this is the effect of the sanctions regime imposed against Haiti”. (Gibbons 1999:38) Gibbons talks about the ‘Increasing opportunities for political control and repression’. As it had happened in Iraq, the military junta needed only to keep the people on the brink of starvation in order to keep them busy to look for food and not preoccupied with the political life of Haiti. Furthermore, “the Haitian army, by seizing control of the black market in embargoed goods, especially fuel, was also able to realize huge windfall profits, creating a strong, perverse incentive to continue sanctions”. (Gibbons 1999:38) Unintended consequences were registered in limiting the capabilities of media to operate due to shortages of electricity supply. Gibbons claim that radios were allowed to operate and to lightly criticize the military junta, but the lack of fuel did not allow them to work for 24 hours per day. (Gibbons 1999:40) “Although Security Council Resolution 917 of May 6, 1994, specifically exempted informational material from the sanctions, the trade embargo in effect since October 1991 had reduced the supply and increased the cost of batteries.” (Gibbons 1999:41) Gibbons reports Boutros Gali claiming that sanctions brought forth “a mafia of racketeers of all sorts, who gained enormous benefits from the situation and sought to have it last as long as possible”. (Gibbons 1999:42) The embargo also undermined public morality and social cohesion by forcing “ordinary people […] into illegal activities like smuggling, black-marketeering, and prostitution.” (Gibbons 1999:42) The lack of fuel undermined the freedom of assembly right as traveling in the country became more difficult, and likewise it became more difficult to organize a resistance movement. INTEGRATING IMPACTS AND CONSEQS Intended consequences Unintended consequences Direct impact Lowering availability of military High humanitarian toll as sanctions equipment and fuel due to became non-discriminatory and almost monitoring of Dom Rep. border fully comprehensive Indirect impact The military junta became less Reduce the social capital of Haiti in the prepared to resist a forceful medium-term deployment of UNMIH 46 EFFECTIVENESS Gibbons’ evaluation of sanctions in Haiti is daunting: “Neither they [Haitian people] nor the international community anticipated that sanctions would set back democracy by reducing access to education, eliminating the middle class, and weakening the national institutions”. (Gibbons 1999:29) While the international community assumed that ordinary citizens would have blamed the government for their decreasing living standards, “it was UNICEF’s experience that communities were very able to separate the legitimacy of the services they received, thanks to international assistance, and the illegitimacy of the de facto government.” (Gibbons 1999:30) Nonetheless, Gibbons to concludes that “the wisdom and effectiveness of maintaining financial and technical aid to the Haitian Parliament during the crisis, as a means of sustaining and strengthening a nascent democratic institution, remains an open question”. (Gibbons 1999:37) The costs in human rights terms overshadowed any other effects that the embargo and the use of sanctions might have brought about. “For almost three years, international economic sanctions against Haiti did tremendous harm to ordinary Haitians while achieving virtually no political result… The white-knuckled negotiations in September 1994 between the Haitian military leaders and the U.S. delegation led by former president Jimmy Carter… [ and the former’s] remarkable intransigence in the face of overwhelming military force highlights the fact that economic sanctions would almost certainly never have driven them out…” (Thomas Carothers cited in Gibbons 1999:74) However, if sanctions are assessed including also the effects that they contributed to reach, then a different assessment is possible. For instance, sanctions were effective in undermining the capacity of the military junta to build up a stronger army, which would have represented an important obstacle to the deployment of the MNF. The peaceful intervention was also possible thanks to over one year of sanctions, which limited the supply of food, fuel, military equipment and spare parts. Furthermore, sanctions were part of a larger strategy that aimed at creating consensus over stronger international commitment in the country. Sanctions were not sufficient to convince the military junta to negotiate their departure, but it appears that the de factos began to consider leaving power only when US soldiers were already on their way to Haiti. While it would be simplistic to assume that sanctions were ineffective because solely the threat of force would have been enough to remove the junta, it is plausible to say that the threat of military intervention was possible (and real) only after the imposition of tough constraining sanctions. As briefly argued above, there were several discussions on what would have happened if the Canadians and the American soldiers who were arriving in Port-au-Prince in October 1993 had used force to achieve their mission. It is difficult to state whether an earlier military intervention would have spared lives and human sufferance due to one year of sanctions, but it was also difficult to predict that the military junta would not have opposed resistance to an invasion, that the international community would have accepted such a move without exhausting all the possible alternatives to it, and, last but not least, the 3 October killing of 18 US soldiers in the streets of Mogadishu created a very complicated environment for the US government, who was not willing to account for further casualties in international missions. In brief, it seems that there were not the conditions to use force in 1993 or earlier, and sanctions contributed to create these conditions in September 1994. ADDITIONAL BACKGROUND MATERIAL 47 In the following box you may add background or reference material that is too generic for inclusion elsewhere in the template. Selected Bibliography - Benton, Leslie and Ware, Glenn. 2001. "Haiti: A Case Study of the International Response and the Efficacy of Nongovernmental Organizations in the Crisis". Emory International Law Center 16. - Cortright, David and Lopez, George A. 2000. The Sanctions Decade: Assessing UN Strategies in the 1990s. Boulder, CO: Lynne Reiner Publishers. - Gibbons, Elizabeth D. 1999. Sanctions in Haiti: human rights and democracy under assault. Westport, Conn.: Praeger. - Ian, Martin. 1999. "Haiti: International Force or National Compromise?" Journal of Latin American Studies 31, no. 3. - Malone, David. 1997. "Haiti and the International Community: A Case Study". Survival 39, no. 2. - Malone, David. 1998. Decision-Making in the Security Council. The Case of Haiti, 1990-1997. Oxford: Clarendon Press; Oxford; New York: Oxford University Press. - Morris, Justice. 1995. "Force and Democracy: UN/US Intervention in Haiti". International Peacekeeping 3, no. 2. - Swindells, Felicia. 1996. “U.N. Sanctions in Haiti: A Contradiction Under Articles 41 and 55 of the U.N. Charter”. Fordham Int'l L.J. 20, no. 5. pp. 1878-1958. - Von Hippel, Karin. 2000. Democracy by Force: U.S. Intervention in the Post-Cold War World. New York, NY: Cambridge University Press. - Werleigh, Claudette. 1995. "The Use of Sanctions in Haiti," in Economic Sanctions: Panacea or Peacebuilding, ed. David Cortright and George A. Lopez, Boulder, CO: Westview Press. - Zaidi, Sarah. 1997. "Humanitarian Effects of the Coup and Sanctions in Haiti" in Political Gain and Civilian Pain: Humanitarian Impacts of Economic Sanctions, ed. Thomas G. Weiss et al., Lanham, MD: Rowman & Littlefield Publishers. Newspapers Articles - French, Howard W. 1994. “Embargo Creates ' Oil Boom' Near Haitian Border.” The New York Times, 13 March. Available at http://www.nytimes.com/1994/03/13/world/embargo-creates-oil-boom-near-haitianborder.html?n=Top/News/World/Countries%20and%20Territories/Dominican%20Re public (Accessed on 02.05.2011). - French, Howard W. 1994. “Even Wealthy Haitians Starting to Feel Pinched.” The New York Times, 11 June. Available at http://www.nytimes.com/1994/06/11/world/evenwealthy-haitians-starting-to-feel-pinched.html (Accessed on 02.05.2011). - French, Howard W. 1994. “Split Reported in Haiti' s Army, With Chief Urged to Quit.” The New York Times, 27 June. Available at 48 http://www.nytimes.com/1994/06/27/world/split-reported-in-haiti-s-army-with-chiefurged-to-quit.html (Accessed on 02.05.2011). - Friedman, Thomas L. 1991. “The O.A.S. Agrees to Isolate Chiefs of Haitian Junta” The New York Times, 3 October. Available at http://www.nytimes.com/1991/10/03/world/the-oas-agrees-to-isolate-chiefs-of-haitianjunta.html (Accessed on 02.05.2011). - Holmes, Steven A. 1993. "Haitian Rulers Are Target of New Sanctions by US". The New York Times, 5 June. Available at http://www.nytimes.com/1993/06/05/world/haitian-rulers-are-target-of-new-sanctionsby-us.html?src=pm (Accessed on 02.05.2011). - New York Times. 1994. “Lean on the Dominican Republic”. New York Times, 14 May. Available at http://www.nytimes.com/1994/05/24/opinion/lean-on-thedominican-republic.html (Accessed on 02.05.2011). - Rohter, Larry. 1993. “At Haiti-Dominican Border: Barrier or Loophole?” The New York Times, 10 November. Available at http://www.nytimes.com/1993/11/10/world/at-haiti-dominican-border-barrier-orloophole.html?pagewanted=all&src=pm (Accessed on 02.05.2011). Documents Cited - Economic Sanctions Against Haiti (1993-1994). Available at http://www.ndu.edu/inss/books/Books_1997/Imposing%20International%20Sanctions %20-%20March%2097/chapter2.html (Accessed on TBA). - US Executive Order12920: Available at http://www.archives.gov/federalregister/executiveorders/pdf/12920.pdf (accessed 27 June 2010) 49