Economic Growth • In order for growth to occur, economic agents – producers and consumers – must have the appropriate incentives. • Growth accounting focuses on three sources of long-run economic growth: – Supply of labor – Supply of capital – The level of technology Economic Growth • Increases in any one of these elements will increase real GDP. • The growth in the supply of labor is primarily the population growth rate • Increases in capital or in technology increase labor productivity and thus increase real GDP Levers of Growth • Increasing savings will increase the supply of loanable funds, decrease interest rates and spur investment or increases in the capital stock. • In the U.S., tax incentives are the principal method to to increase savings. • IRAs and Roth IRAs are examples. • During the 1970s and 1980s, stockholders in gas and electric utility companies received a tax break if they reinvested their dividends in the companies. Levers of Growth • Getting the most from comparative advantage by encouraging international trade will also stimulate growth throughout the world. • Growth can also be stimulated by improving the quality and capabilities of the labor force so workers can be more productive with a given level of capital and technology • Improving the quality of education is the primary tool used here. Economic Growth • Economic growth is an increase in the potential total output of goods and services in a nation over time. • Growth is measured by the change in productive capacity of an economy between one period of time and another • Growth can be positive. If a nation’s GDP increases between one period and the next, the economy has experienced growth. Economic Growth • Growth can be negative. • If a nation’s GDP decreases between one period and the next, the economy has contracted, and is experiencing a recession. • Growth can be measured as the change in real GDP or real GDP per capita. Economic Growth • Economic growth is considered a desirable macroeconomic objective because: – As output grows, income rises and the nation is richer; – People have access tom ore and a greater variety of goods and services – New combinations of goods that previously lay outside the country’s PPC are now attainable; • If the rate of economic growth exceeds the rate of population growth, the average person in a nation also becomes richer. Measuring Economic Growth • Growth is stated as a percentage change in real GDP from one period of time to the next Growth rate = GDP2 – GDP1 X 100 GPD1 Where GDP 2 is the real GDP from one year and the GDP 1 is the GPD during the previous year. Example: Assume Country A’s real GDP increases from 150 billion in 2010 to $165 billion in 2011: Country A’s growth rate = 165 – 150 = 15 X 100 = 10% 150 150 How is Growth Measured? • Next, assume Country A’s real GDP decreased from $165 billion to $140 billion between 2011 and 2012: Country A’s growth rate = 140 – 165 = -25 X 100 = 15.15% 165 165 The real value of Country A’s output decreased by 15.15% between 2011 and 2012. Country A’s real output fell, indicating the country experienced a recession