“Enrolment Planning, Funding and Sustaining Quality ODL Provisioning” Critical Contributions to the Revisions of the Funding Framework Strategic and Pragmatic Considerations – The Unisa Case Study 22 June 2011 Presented by: Ms Liana Griesel Policies and regulations – Rules of the game The emphasis on planning is informed by the fact that if the higher education system is to respond to the national development agenda in terms of access, redress and human resource development needs, the size and shape of the system cannot be left to the vagaries of the market, in particular, uncoordinated institutional decisions on student enrolments and programme offerings. The higher education system therefore needs to be steered to meet national goals and priorities through a combination of instruments, namely, planning, funding and quality assurance. The size and shape of the higher education system must be determined in the context of the available resources if the quality and sustainability of the system is not to be compromised. 2 HIGHER EDUCATION SYSTEM STRATEGIC PRIORITY: A SKILLED AND CAPABLE WORKFORCE TO SUPPORT AN INCLUSIVE GROWTH PATH THROUGH Planning QA Same planning principles Same quality criteria Funding Differentiated funding Universities not producing enough appropriately skilled and qualified people in disciplines central to social and economic development Data indicates that graduation rates are a key problem to achieving targets. Institutions have limited capacity to absorb more students and to respond to needs The number of people involved in research, knowledge production and innovation is low New generation of academics must be created Amongst other actions: Improve access and articulation in a differentiated system Planning DIMENSIONS Enrolment planning Enrolment statement ODL QA Contact Dimension Planning Enrolment tables PROCESS/CRITERIA Strategic planning, prioritisation and target-setting , enrolment planning - and allocation of responsibilities Academic planning – PQM, Management of the quality of teaching and learning Institutional discussions Submission Carrying capacity and staffing DHET approval Resource allocation Design and Development Programme development, management and review Funding ODL Contact Dimension ODL Contact MTEF Enrolment projections - TIU Teaching input Undergraduate Honors 50% 100% Master Doctoral 100% 100% Teaching output Different Norms Research Different Norms Programme management Programme design and approval Programme review Delivery Registration, RPL Enrolment management Student Support Student assessment Certification Cost Based 4 Funding CESM categories: CESM categories: group Current 2012/13 1 07 Education 07 Education 13 Law 12 Law 14 Librarianship 18 Psychology 20 Psychology 19 Public Administration and Services 21 Social Services/Public Administration 2 3 04 Business/Commerce 04 Business, Economics and Management Studies 05 Communication 05 Communication and Journalism 06 Computer Sciences 06 Computer and Information Sciences 12 Languages 11 Languages, Linguistics and Literature 18 Philosophy/Religion 17 Philosophy, Religion and Theology 22 Social Sciences 20 Social Sciences 02 Architecture/Planning 02 Architecture and Build Environment 08 Engineering 08 Engineering 10 Home Economics 10 Family Ecology and Consumer Sciences 11 Industrial Arts 15 Mathematics and Statistics 16 Mathematical Sciences 19 Physical Education 4 01 Agriculture 01 Agriculture and Agricultural Operations 03 Fine and Performing Arts 03 Visual and Performing Arts 09 Health Sciences 09 Health Professions and related Clinical Sciences 15 Life and Physical Sciences 13 Life Sciences, 14 Physical Sciences 5 Funding group 1 1 2 Undergraduate Honours Masters Doctoral 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1.5 1.5 3 4.5 6 3 2.5 2.5 5 7.5 10 4 3.5 3.5 7 10.5 14 Funding group Undergraduate Honours Masters Doctoral 1 2 3 4 1 1 0.5 1 3 4 2 1.5 0.75 1.5 4.5 6 3 2.5 1.25 2.5 7.5 10 4 3.5 1.75 3.5 10.5 14 Same grid for ODL and contact We all contribute to all 20 CESM and 183 Sub CESM 6 DOES THE SYSTEM MAKE ADEQUATE PROVISION FOR PROPER SYNCHRONISATION AND ALIGNMENT AT ALL HE INSTITUTIONS Planning Social mandate QA Process Funding Internal funding Maintaining wide and equitable but not unlimited access, in fulfilment of the social mandate which underlies our identity, character and role as an ODL institution. Strategic planning, target setting and allocation of resources Academic core processes Primary support processes Secondary support process Strategic initiatives Staffing Student funding Ensuring the quality and effectiveness of teaching and learning, through innovation and renewal of ODL support and delivery systems Academic planning – PQM, Management of the quality of teaching and learning Programmes design and review Academic core processes Strategic initiatives Improving student success and throughput rates and the quality of our teaching, learning, counselling and other support activities. Programme Development Programme Design Student support - Financial aid Assessment Development cost with an acceptable ODL time frame Technology enhanced solutions Ensuring the relevance of our outputs in relation to the developmental needs of our society in the context of globalisation and the new knowledge economy Academic planning – PQM Strategic initiatives 7 Institutional synchronization with the three steering mechanisms Planning QA Funding Value proposition to students: ACCESSIBLE, FLEXIBLE, AND GLOBALLY RECOGNIZED Vision, Mission and Objectives Processes, Policies, Procedures, Structures, Systems, People, Technology, Culture and Climate Desired level of outputs 8 Institutional synchronization with the three steering mechanisms Income translates into cost Architecture Strategic planning, prioritisation and target-setting , enrolment planning - and allocation of responsibilities 1. 2. 3. 4. Funding: Subsidy Student fees Third stream Income Investment Income Academic planning – PQM, Management of the quality of teaching and learning Carrying capacity and staffing Resource allocation Programme development, management and review Programme management Programme design and approval Student: 1. Affordable 2. Accessible 3. Globally recognized Value for money Programme review Registration, RPL Enrolment management Student Support Student assessment Certification 9 Hence financial penalties R 180,000,000.00 R 160,000,000.00 R 140,000,000.00 R 120,000,000.00 R 100,000,000.00 R 80,000,000.00 R 60,000,000.00 R 40,000,000.00 R 20,000,000.00 R 0.00 2007 Financial penalty R 31,413,478.6 2008 R 63,015,737.7 2009 R 77,877,005.2 2010 R 169,339,999. 2011 R 129,014,417. Financial penalty 2007 2008 2009 Unfunded subsidy component Student fee inciome Actaul loss in income R 32,481,960.61 R 8,334,158.91 R 24,147,801.70 R 64,990,770.73 R 17,624,658.97 R 47,366,111.76 R 79,936,738.68 R 21,541,394.43 R 58,395,344.25 R 173,236,209.24 R 49,400,632.82 R 123,835,576.43 R 131,288,275.11 R 36,786,870.99 R 94,501,404.12 Cost for carrying the students R 7,265,677.00 R 15,649,625.96 R 19,481,661.02 R 45,504,422.94 R 34,513,013.23 R 31,413,478.69 R 63,015,737.72 R 77,877,005.27 R 169,339,999.36 R 129,014,417.35 Financial penalty 2010 2011 10 Enrolment planning the process vs enrolment management Enrolment planning - DHET • The enrolment planning exercise will involve the Department developing broad national and institutional enrolment projections indicating the student numbers that the Department will consider funding. The enrolment planning projections will be developed on the basis of (a) the goals and targets set in the National Plan for Higher Education; (b) the various projections contained in this Ministerial Statement, and (c) institutional student input and output data. • Enrolment planning is about consciously shaping the university’s future by focusing on the size and composition of the student body and the student experience in the academic, intellectual, social, and cultural life of the institution. As such, enrolment planning is a key touchstone in any effort to integrate planning across the various colleges and administrative units Enrolment management – Combination of a number of institutional definitions • Enrolment management can be viewed as a synergistic organizational concept that can be used to link several administrative functions within a college or university in order to optimize institutional enrolment goals 11 Enrolment planning the process vs enrolment management Strategic Enrolment Management is a comprehensive approach to integrating all of the University’s programs, practices, policies, and planning related to achieving the optimal recruitment, retention, and graduation of students with “optimal” defined by the mission, academic vision, and strategic plan of the institution. Enrolment management becomes Strategic Enrolment Management when it actively integrates planning, strategies and structures Just like overall strategic planning, strategic enrolment management starts with the institution’s mission. This will serve as the beginning and end of the focus for this strategic enrolment management planning guide. 12 General consensus • Balance between numbers and strategic intent It should serve as a guidepost for our future growth – whether we hit it exactly, fall somewhat short or slightly higher, is moot. What does matter is that we settle on a general indication of the overall size of our university Roles and Responsibilities Organizational Models • The literature on enrolment management often addresses different administrative approaches for organizing enrolment management efforts. • • • The enrolment management coordinator. The enrolment management matrix. The enrolment management division. • There is little empirical evidence to indicate that any particular organizational approach is inherently better than another. Most experienced enrolment managers place more emphasis on strong working relationships with other key administrators on campus than on advocating for a specific organizational model. Another recurring theme is the need for a senior campus administrator, such as the president or provost, to provide visible and consistent support for the institution's enrolment management efforts. In colleges and universities of all sizes, support from the top appears to be more important than a specific administrative structure established to manage enrolments. Given the current pressures on institutions to maximize revenue, and the attention being given to the characteristics of enrolled students, enrolment management is likely to remain an important administrative focus at most colleges and universities. • Unisa’s enrolment planning and management framework Enrolment Planning •Setting College targets •Finalise enrolment plan •Monitor enrolment targets in line with College and DHET approved targets Financial planning •Cost management, •Fee projections and •Subsidy and fee projections per funding level to determine the impact of unfunded students Student access and retention framework •Student tracking system •Profiling of student activity •Counseling •Identify at risk students •Course load management Capacity Planning •Determine the academic human resource needs per department; •Space requirements; •Targets for Registration, Print Production, Despatch Admission policy and requirements •Determine policy and legislation aligned ODL admission criteria •Conduct pre-registration applications •Manage accurate enrolments to mediate systemic impacts 15 Synergistic organizational concept Recognize all the elements of enrolment planning and management and coordinate the linkages Best practice – Enrolment Planning and Management Enrolment approach What do we have in place? Decline, sustain, selective growth, targeted growth, overall growth Clear enrolment goals are established based on institutional capacity and the institution’s strategic plan, and not simply on the student profile or revenue Generation Targets and Quotas (Shape and Size) Graduates Undergraduates Postgraduate International students Unclassified students “ Open Studies” Other factors Demographics Market and competition Aim - Precise as possible with respect to the size and composition of the student body and the time frame in which the targets are to be met Adopt an admissions policy Ensure that the student body is comprised of the best students by increasing the admission average of direct entry programs while providing alternative means for entry for students who do not meet the stated level of academic achievement 16 Retention and throughput strategies The student experience is far more than student numbers and enrolment projections. Planning properly and carefully for enrolment should be a critical part of any university’s planning, but, should not be the final goal. The quality of the student experience throughout their tenure at a university should be of equal, if not greater, importance to both the student and the institution. To manage enrolments more effectively, Universities must develop a better understanding of its retention, persistence, and degree completion patterns and rates, as well as of the key factors that contribute to student attrition Relevant product range Appropriate academic programs are maintained that prepare students for the careers of the future while sustaining mission appropriate offerings Institutional efficiency and effectiveness More effective and efficient service to students Implementation The development of a comprehensive implementation strategy will involve the identification of areas of synergy and priority between enrolment planning and management. This include faculty recruitment and resource deployment Recruitment of faculty Recruitment of students Financial planning Financial aid Retention initiatives College plans Student residence Admission and recruitment policies Communication of progress Monitoring and changes to the enrolment plan 17 STRATEGIC CHALLENGES ARISING FROM ENROLMENT PLANNING • Unfunded students • Enrolment planning targeted on headcounts and not weighted FTE students • Open Admission Policy • Increased demand • Exceeding the rate for active students 18 Consultation agenda Submissions 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Headcount enrolment submission 30 October 2009 207,931 227,539 239,380 261,927 257,071 269,731 282,987 297,028 311,814 Headcount enrolment submission 29 October 2010 207,931 227,539 239,380 261,927 263,559 292,464 304,741 328,259 354,294 -6,488 -22,733 -21,754 -31,231 -42,480 Difference in submssions 450,000 400,000 350,000 300,000 250,000 200,000 150,000 100,000 50,000 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 - Headcount enrolment submission 30 October 2009 Headcount enrolment submission 29 October 2010 Linear (Headcount enrolment submission 30 October 2009) Linear (Headcount enrolment submission 29 October 2010) 19 Carrying Capacity Planning • • • • • • • ACHRAM; Regions, Space Financial Planning ICT systems Registrations Production, Despacth Assignments and Student Administration 20 Academic carrying capacity up to 2013 to provide quality products and services for 354000 headcount students COLLEGE COLLEGE OF AGRICULTURE AND ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES COLLEGE OF ECONOMIC AND MANAGEMENT SCIENCES DEPARTMENT AGRIC, ANIM HEAL & HUMAN ECO ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES GEOGRAPHY LIFE AND CONSUMER SCIENCES TOTAL DEAN'S FUND for College TOTAL COST UNITS WITHOUT TUTORS TUTORS for College TOTAL COST UNITS FOR COLLEGE WITH TUTORS AUDITING BUSINESS MANAGEMENT & ENTREP DECISION SCIENCES ECONOMICS FINAN & RISK MNGMT, & BANK FINANCIAL ACCOUNTING HUMAN RESOURCE MANAGEMENT INDUST & ORG PSYCHOLOGY MANAGEMENT ACCOUNTING MARKETING AND RETAIL PUBLIC ADMINISTRATION TAXATION TRANSPORT ECON, LOG.&TOURISM TOTAL DEAN'S FUND for College TOTAL COST UNITS WITHOUT TUTORS TUTORS for College TOTAL COST UNITS FOR COLLEGE WITH TUTORS 2010 18.87 27.92 15.55 16.61 78.95 7.89 86.84 1.13 87.97 61.25 191.71 38.92 81.17 51.19 131.92 67.26 49.53 80.79 52.10 59.84 40.31 21.77 927.77 92.78 1,020.54 29.96 1,050.50 2011 20.53 33.16 15.23 17.37 86.29 8.63 94.92 1.57 96.49 55.63 169.94 32.96 66.05 38.48 118.17 67.15 43.70 81.35 49.24 48.60 44.81 17.69 833.77 83.38 917.15 32.63 949.78 2012 22.96 35.43 15.92 17.82 92.13 9.21 101.35 3.14 104.49 56.42 172.23 32.50 66.41 38.38 118.40 68.67 44.30 81.90 49.75 49.53 45.74 17.79 842.02 84.20 926.22 65.27 991.50 2013 25.62 37.83 16.54 18.18 98.17 9.82 107.99 4.71 112.69 56.75 172.29 31.79 65.95 37.85 117.53 69.50 44.50 81.73 49.71 50.09 46.33 17.72 841.76 84.18 925.94 97.90 1,023.84 21 Carrying capacity for ODL Based on ODL norms Performance based on teaching outputs and research outputs Staff profile for ODL Course Code Cost units allocated for 2011 AUD2M1W AUD2M2W 0.912 0.926 AUE201L 5.374 AUE202M 5.121 AUE301P 4.181 AUE302Q 3.961 AUE303R 3.393 AUE304S 3.070 AUI2016 0.688 AUI302B 0.500 AUI303C AUI305E DIPAC49 0.234 0.595 4.536 22 Current ODL norms for delivery Funding Group 1 Funding Group 2 Funding Group 3 Funding Group 4 1125 course enrolments 750 course enrolments 450 course enrolments 321.43 course enrolments 1125 course enrolments 750 course enrolments 450 course enrolments 321.43 course enrolments diplomas 750 course enrolments 500 course enrolments 300 course enrolments 214.29 course enrolments Honours 450 course enrolments 300 course enrolments 180 course enrolments 128.57 course enrolments Coursework master’s 450 course enrolments 300 course enrolments 180 course enrolments 128.57 course enrolments Research master’s 22.5 registered students 15 registered students 9 registered students 6.43 registered students 15 registered students 10 registered students 6 registered students 4.29 registered students Access courses Undergraduate study units Postgraduate Doctorate 23 Proposed targets 2011 to 2013 Planned/expected enrolment Average annual Actuals 2009 increase: 2004- Provisional 2010 2009 2012 increase: 2004- 2013 2013 292,464 304,741 328,259 354,294 59.72% 60.38% 62.00% 63.00% 64.00% 8.60% 9.46% 9.00% 9.25% 9.50% Headcount enrolments 263,559 Success rate Throughput rate 2011 Average annual 4.18% 5.56% Headcount enrolments by major field of study SET 28,529 4.61% 31,657 35,045 39,391 44,287 7.36% BUS 108,286 1.02% 120,162 121,897 131,304 141,718 3.35% EDU 43,175 10.96% 47,910 51,806 55,804 62,002 10.36% HS 83,569 5.86% 92,735 95,994 101,760 106,288 5.99% Headcount enrolments by qualification type Undergraduate 220,347 3.99% 245,766 254,778 274,439 296,206 5.45% Postgraduate 23,562 7.39% 25,450 27,244 29,346 31,674 7.51% Masters 4,711 -3.05% 4,701 5,447 5,867 6,333 0.75% Doctors 754 -3.05% 726 872 939 1,014 1.11% Occasional 14,185 6.44% 15,821 16,401 17,667 19,068 6.93% 136,107.59 5.02% 150,961.64 158,465.7 170,694.91 184,233.03 6.21% 81,287.45 7.45% 91,152.09 98,248.73 107,537.80 117,909.14 8.36% 22,675 7.69% 27,681 27,427 30,364 33,658 8.76% 4,410 0.51% 4,321 4,773 4,860 5,090 5,044.973 0.20% 5,359.424 5,437.660 5,502.780 5,697.195 1.34% Publication Units 620 3.19% 640 700 780 850 5.17% Masters graduates 120 -2.04% 121 145 167 187 3.24% Doctoral graduates 71 -4.74% 74 80 86 101 240.61% 811 -2.33% 835 925 1,033 1,138 1.99% FTE enrolments FTE Degree credits Graduates Permanent Staff: Headcount Staff FTE Total Research Outputs 1.76% In conclusion At the centre of enrolment management is the Enrolment Plan. An Enrolment Plan is a comprehensive framework that outlines goals for the size and composition of the student body, the academic experience of students, and the support system they can expect. 25 Thank you