CONTRACTS – Exceptions To Coase’s Theorem – Empty Core October 31, 2006 Exceptions to the Theorem of Coase • Coase Theorem • Exceptions To Coase Theorem • Transaction Costs - October 17, 2006 • Asymmetric Information - October 24, 2006 • Empty Core - October 31, 2006 Exceptions to the Theorem of Coase • COLOUR CODE FOR GRAPHS • Marginal Cost Curve for Agent (firm, individual) under a strict liability rule • Marginal Cost Curve for Agent (firm, individual) under a no liability rule • Marginal Cost Curve for Agent (firm, individual) under a negotiated contract that follows the Theoem of Coase • Demand Curve for the Agent’s output • Marginal Revenue Curve Exceptions to the Theorem of Coase • COLOUR CODE FOR GRAPHS • Expected Marginal Cost Curve for Agent (firm, individual) Exceptions to the Theorem of Coase • COLOUR CODE FOR GRAPHS (con’t) • Average Cost Curve for Agent (firm, individual) with no transaction costs • Average Cost Curve for Agent (firm, individual) with transaction costs • Profit of Agent (firm, individual) • Portion of profit traded in exchange for property rights • Portion of profit lost due to a trade in property rights • Portion of profit lost due to transaction costs Exceptions to the Theorem of Coase Theorem of Coase Review Before Coase The common law was believed to have had little practical deterrence against polluters. Excise taxes or fines were proposed as the “efficient” way of internalizing the cost of harm against property owners While not diminishing the precautions taken by victims of such harm. Before Coase The polluter pays the marginal cost of the harm it causes. The victim must not receive a payment for the harm endured if that harm could have been avoided by the victim at lesser cost. Theorem of Coase The contract replaces the market as the Pareto improving mechanism Social surplus increases and is Pareto optimal under the Coasean contract. The least cost available Pareto improving technology is applied No party can be worse off. Pareto optimal social surplus means efficient use the property. Incompatible uses are converted to compatible uses. Social surplus is improved by the same amount irregardless of which Agent has been granted property rights. The distribution of the “equally improved” surplus can vary depending on which agent has the property rights. Property rights are exchangeable or transferable. A “market” for such property rights is possible Theorem of Coase • In Sudbury, Ontario the government enacted “smoke easements” that were purchased by and transferable to the air polluters Theorem of Coase • Agent 1 • Agent 2 P D CMC S PM Maximum Joint Social Surplus a1 a2 Exceptions to the Theorem of Coase Exceptions to the Theorem of Coase Exceptions to the Theorem of Coase The Coase theorem collapses under high transaction costs many parties asymmetric information coalitional instability (empty core) Exceptions to the Theorem of Coase Exceptions to the Theorem of Coase Transaction Costs Exceptions to the Theorem of Coase Transaction Costs • Perfectly Competitive-Agent 1 • Monopoly Market – Agent 1 P D SATC + TC MC1 SATC PM PPC Transaction Costs a1 S = MC1 LATC S SATC Exceptions to the Theorem of Coase Transaction Costs • High Transaction Costs INJUNCTION Low Transaction Costs DAMAGES Exceptions to the Theorem of Coase Transaction Costs What is the most efficient or most socially optimal way of enforcing a strict liability rule: (a) damages only (b) damages and injunction Exceptions to the Theorem of Coase Transaction Costs Under a no liability rule, with: (a) one polluter (b) many property owners harmed high transactions costs prevent a collective bribe without avoidance of free riding Exceptions to the Theorem of Coase Transaction Costs Under a strict liability rule, with: (a) one polluter (b) many property owners harmed One owner could hold out for a bribe that would extract the entire surplus of the polluter. Exceptions to the Theorem of Coase Transaction Costs Under the strict liability rule, with: (a) one polluter (b) many property owners harmed The “damages only” approach has been applied in the United States by adoption of the “reasonable use” doctrine Exceptions to the Theorem of Coase Transaction Costs • As McKie v. KVP showed, the common law applied by the courts in Canada did not adopt the “damages only” approach • In both the Sudbury and KVP cases, the legislature applied a “damages only” rule in the interests of local economics Exceptions to the Theorem of Coase Transaction Costs If two or more owners hold out, the polluter would have to shut down This is what Justice Middleton believed to be the case with Sudbury farmers when he denied them injunctive relief but damages only against the air polluters Exceptions to the Theorem of Coase Transaction Costs • It may be less costly for the polluters to internalize the pollution than to incur the transaction costs to ascertain the true level of harm in damages. • • • • studies experts hiring lawyers going to court Exceptions to the Theorem of Coase Transaction Costs • Professor Dewees concluded that injunctive relief, if this had been allowed by Justice Middleton, at Sudbury, might have succeeded in forcing the companies to internalize the costs and pursue optimal abatement Exceptions to the Theorem of Coase Transaction Costs • T = 0 and Imperfect Information: • If a "polluter" cannot be persuaded to settle for damages, because they suspect the “owner" is cheating, a tougher remedy is the injunction which can force a firm to shut down. • So the polluter might be more inclined to "agree" to internalize the costs rather than risk being shutdown. (Note - on the evidence this approximates the K.V.P. case) Exceptions to the Theorem of Coase Transaction Costs • In the wake of the Sudbury and KVP cases, the expansion of government invention in the market place came through various boards such as public health, regulation of professionals, slum housing, and local pollution. Exceptions to the Theorem of Coase Exceptions to the Theorem of Coase Asymmetric Information Exceptions to the Theorem of Coase Asymmetric Information • Rules that compensate for market failures • • (a) moral hazard (b) adverse selection Exceptions to the Theorem of Coase Asymmetric Information • High Transaction Costs Low Transaction Costs INJUNCTION DAMAGES PERFECT INFORMATION DAMAGES INJUNCTION IMPERFECT INFORMATION Exceptions to the Theorem of Coase Asymmetric Information What is the most efficient or most socially optimal way of enforcing a strict liability rule: (a) damages only (b) damages and injunction Exceptions to the Theorem of Coase Asymmetric Information • Protection of Possession • In trespass actions, where intent to interfere with property rights is evident, the injunction against the trespasser is available. • This is especially true when transaction costs are high. Exceptions to the Theorem of Coase Asymmetric Information Under the strict liability rule, the “damages only” approach becomes inefficient if the courts underestimate the damages – for example – the harm is ongoing Exceptions to the Theorem of Coase Asymmetric Information • In Sudbury, Ontario the government measures underestimated the damages imposed on the farmers by the air polluters – for example – future damages when the harm is ongoing Exceptions to the Theorem of Coase Asymmetric Information • In Sudbury, Ontario why did INCO build the world’s tallest smokestack? • Required by technology? • Render air pollution identification more difficult so that private nuisance suits are more difficult to prove or • Prosecution under the Ontario Environmental Pollution Act more likely to be unsuccessful Exceptions to the Theorem of Coase Exceptions to the Theorem of Coase Asymmetric Information – Breach Of Contract Exceptions to the Theorem of Coase Asymmetric Information • . CONTRACT PERFORMANCE OF CONTRACT BREACH OF CONTRACT Exceptions to the Theorem of Coase Asymmetric Information • a = level of precaution invested by the agent-promisor (Agent 1) against breach of contract against (Agent 2) 1 • a = level of reliance invested by the agent-promisee (Agent 2) in Agent 1 (polluter) 2 Exceptions to the Theorem of Coase Asymmetric Information • p(a ) = Probability of No Breach 1 • Probability of Performance • A Completed Contract • p’(a ) > 0 1 • More effort results in more precaution against breach • p’’(a ) < 0 1 • Diminishing “returns” to precaution as more effort invested Exceptions to the Theorem of Coase Asymmetric Information • p(a ) = Probability of No Breach • Why would one expect a to be suboptimal without a rule? • A cannot observe a • A knows that A cannot observe a • A will apply less that optimal a unless it can be assured that doing so will not minimize TOTAL expected damages 1 1 2 1 1 1 2 1 1 Exceptions to the Theorem of Coase Asymmetric Information • “Liability rule” or “liability marginal cost curve” for Agent 1 is added in orange to the joint social surplus of the parties • Max [p(a )R (a ) + [1 - p(a )]R (a )] - a - a - [1-p(e )]D 2 P 1 2 1 2 NP 1 2 e Exceptions to the Theorem of Coase Asymmetric Information • Imperfect Information $C1 •Decreasing Marginal Costs Due to Precaution •Increasing Marginal Costs Due To Production Strict Liabilty Rule – MC1 Contracted Liability Rule – MC1 Expected Liability – MC1 a1 Exceptions to the Theorem of Coase Asymmetric Information • If the expectation damages rule is focused entirely on A this will create a second or “double” moral hazard • What is it? • A cannot observe a • A knows that A cannot observe a • A will apply less that optimal a unless it can be assured that doing so will not maximize TOTAL expected damages it receives from A 1 1 2 2 1 2 2 1 • 2 Exceptions to the Theorem of Coase Asymmetric Information • p(a U a ) = Probability of No Breach • p(a U a ) = p(a ) + p(a ) - p(a ∩ a ) 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 • p(a U a ) = p(a ) + p(a ) - p(a )p(a ) 1 2 1 2 1 2 Exceptions to the Theorem of Coase Asymmetric Information • 1 - p(a U a ) = Probability of Breach • p(a U a ) = 1 - p(a ) - p(a ) + p(a )p(a ) 1 1 • 2 2 1 2 1 2 Exceptions to the Theorem of Coase Exceptions to the Theorem of Coase Asymmetric Information - Screening Exceptions to the Theorem of Coase • . CONTRACT PERFORMANCE OF CONTRACT BREACH OF CONTRACT LOW DISCLOSURE PARTY HIGH DISCLOSURE PARTY Exceptions to the Theorem of Coase Asymmetric Information - Screening • A principal in a • A court in a private private bilateral bilateral agency contract relationship writes relationship writes a rule that may a contract that serve to “sort” or may serve to “separate” “sort” or contracts into “separate” agents more efficient into more efficient outcomes contracts Expectation Damages Hadley v. Baxendale (1854), 9 Ex. 341, 156 E.R. 145 A Court imposes a “complete” rule with the agents and principals In this case two “different” agents – “two” different contracts “two” different rules EH EL H – high disclosure principal and agent L- low disclosure principal and agent Expectation Damages Hadley v. Baxendale (1854), 9 Ex. 341, 156 E.R. 145 The objective of the rule is that the two (2) types of principals reveal themselves through the choice of disclosure the principals reveal and the agents receive This results in two distinct and separate damages measures for two distinct and separate principals (buyers, plaintiffs) Expectation Damages Hadley v. Baxendale (1854), 9 Ex. 341, 156 E.R. 145 EH Expectation Damages Hadley v. Baxendale (1854), 9 Ex. 341, 156 E.R. 145 The alternative, or “one size fits all” rule imposes a negative “non-disclosure” externality on low-disclosure agents (pooling) Exceptions to the Theorem of Coase Asymmetric Information – Screening • The court frequently “separates” the contracts that private parties negotiated as “pooling contracts” in order to increase “social surplus” • How? By allowing: • Inequality of bargaining defences • Restraint of trade defences • Note – in the market environment, such contracts would deter high quality types from entering the market – a form of adverse selection Exceptions to the Theorem of Coase Asymmetric Information – Screening • There are underlying questions that arise in assessing the way courts address contract types: • What is the underlying probability distribution of contract types » Is it uniform? » Is it normal (bell curve)? » Is it some other type of distribution? • Probability distribution types can effect the type of rules a court might design. Court ordered auctions frequently reflect » More than two types of buyers » More than one possible equilibrium price Exceptions to the Theorem of Coase Asymmetric Information • When issues and outcomes become too complicated, courts have developed “deference” to allow more “expert’ tribunals “sort out” the parties, subject to certain basic procedural guidelines • In 1863, measures enacted for the demolition of "slum housing" were reviewed by the courts which concluded that, in the absence of express statutory language to the contrary, occupants must either receive notice of a decision pending or an opportunity to show cause why a decision taken should not be acted upon. • Cooper v. Wandsworth Board Of Works (1863), 14 C.B.N.S. 180 at 194, 143 E.R. 414 at 420 Exceptions to the Theorem of Coase Empty Core Exceptions to the Theorem of Coase Core . Agent 1 creates a harmful nuisance that hurts Agent 2 economically. Agent 2 has lost the exclusive use to its property rights to protect it against pollution Exceptions to the Theorem of Coase Core The legal problem of nuisance now becomes a contract problem: Agent 2 wishes to make a payment to Agent 1 (a bribe) to induce Agent 1 to reduce its output from the market or private efficiency level of aP1 = 5/6. What bribe is Agent 2 willing to pay for a given level of output aC1 < aP1 = 5/6? Exceptions to the Theorem of Coase Core The “optimal” bribe or transfer payment lies within the interval: 25/48 < PAYMENT < 25/36 This interval is called the “core” of the contract, since any point in the interval would be a Nash equilibrium Exceptions to the Theorem of Coase Core • A coalition between three or more agents is unstable (no Nash equilibrium) if an allocation can be blocked by an alternative coalition, that is, there is a threatened breakaway or objection to the coalition by one or two of the agents. Exceptions to the Theorem of Coase Core • The core refers to allocations that are not dominated by what individual agents can achieve either independently or as part of any other potential coalition. • So the core is a set of stable points at Nash equilibrium Exceptions to the Theorem of Coase Core • Example: What is the core in the standard prisoners dilemna game? • It would be the point where the players’ strategies (reaction curves, incentive compatibility constraints) intersect • So cores are not necessarily Pareto optimal Exceptions to the Theorem of Coase Core a2 Axes Iso-Profit Curve For Agent 2 CORE = E[1/3(1-c), 1/3(1-c)] Iso-Profit Curve For Agent 1 a1 Exceptions to the Theorem of Coase Core Another example: What is the core in the bilateral agency game? The Nash equilibria that satisfy the sharing rule for two agents: /(1- ) = (F22/F11)^1/4 Neary, Hugh and Winter, Ralph, “Output Shares in Bilateral Agency Contracts”, (1995), 66 Journal of Economic Theory 609-614 Exceptions to the Theorem of Coase Core • Problem: What happens if there are more than two agents in the bilateral agency? • F(a ) = F(a ) = F(a ) = 0 • F(a ,a ) = F • F(a ,a ) = F • F(a ,a ) = F • F(a ,a ,a ) = F 1 2 1 2 12 1 3 13 2 3 23 1 2 3 3 123 Exceptions to the Theorem of Coase Core The existence of Nash equilibria that satisfy the sharing rules for three (3) or more agents is not always guaranteed. In some cases, subgroups of agents (subagency) will find it more “profitable” to defect from coalitions of all the agents. Exceptions to the Theorem of Coase Core F(a ,a ,a ) < (1/2)[F(a ,a ) + F(a ,a ) + F(a ,a )] or F < (1/2)[ F + F + F] 1 2 3 1 123 12 23 2 2 3 1 3 13 If this condition applies, the “core” is empty. This means F, though it may be Pareto optimal, is unstable 123 Exceptions to the Theorem of Coase Core • Aivazian and Callen counterexample: • Consider two factories F and F emitting smoke reducing the profits of a neighborhood laundry F. • Suppose that the parties can negotiate costlessly. 1 2 3 Exceptions to the Theorem of Coase Core • • • • • • • p( F) = $3,000 p( F) = $8,000 p( F) = $24,000 p( F) = $15,000 p( F) = $31,000 p( F) = $36,000 p( F) = $40,000 1 2 3 12 13 23 123 Exceptions to the Theorem of Coase Core • The Coase theorem may break down when there are more than two participants • For example, the core of the negotiations may be empty under the “no damages” property rule and not empty under the “common law nuisance” rule. • This happens when the “third party” brings a second externality to the problem Exceptions to the Theorem of Coase Core • Note that the Pareto-optimal outcome corresponds to the grand coalition outcome p( F), where the externalities are fully internalized. 123 Exceptions to the Theorem of Coase Core • Case 1 – Common Law Right of the Laundry C to Sue in Nuisance • If F has the property rights to the air, then F and F have the incentive to offer side-payments to F. • However, the maximum bribe F and F can jointly offer is only p( F) = $15,000 3 1 2 3 1 12 2 Exceptions to the Theorem of Coase Core • Case 1 – Common Law Right of the Laundry C to Sue in Nuisance • The combined maximum liability of F and F is p( F) - p( F) = $40,000 - $24,000 = $16,000 1 2 123 3 Exceptions to the Theorem of Coase Core • Case 1 – Common Law Right of the Laundry C to Sue in Nuisance • The “optimal joint surplus” is: Max [p( F) - p( F), p( F)] = Max [$16,000, $24,000] = $24,000 123 3 3 • So 1F and 2F close down and a ParetoOptimal allocation of resources results. Exceptions to the Theorem of Coase Core • Case 2 – No Liability Rule • Suppose on the other hand, that F and F are not liable for the pollution damages to the laundry. F now has the incentive to offer sidepayments to F or F, and perhaps to both, to reduce their pollution activities. 1 2 • 3 1 2 Exceptions to the Theorem of Coase Core • Case 2 – No Liability Rule • It is straightforward to show that all potential coalitions, including the grand coalition, are unstable when F and F are not liable. • Since all potential coalitions under the “no damages rule” are unstable, the core is empty. 1 2 Exceptions to the Theorem of Coase Core • Case 2 – No Liability Rule • Suppose that the grand coalition were to form. Consider the following distribution of profits to F, F, and F: • p( F) = $4,750, • p( F) = $9,750, • p( F) = $25,500, adding up to p( F) = $40,000 1 1 2 3 123 2 3 Exceptions to the Theorem of Coase Core • Case 2 – No Liability Rule • The two-member coalition of F and F with p( F) = p( F) + p( F) = $5,000 + $26,000 = $31,000 is preferred by F and F to the F allocation above. 1 13 1 3 3 1 3 123 Exceptions to the Theorem of Coase Core • Case 2 – No Liability Rule • Although each firm earns more than it would by acting independently, there are many two-member coalitions which could block this allocation. Exceptions to the Theorem of Coase Core • Case 2 – No Liability Rule • All potential coalitions in the example are unstable. Exceptions to the Theorem of Coase Core • The Aivazian argument is that the principle of self-interest remains in the model • This means individual rationality constraints apply • Forming a separate coalition with another firm where both make more profits at the expense of a third party applies. • Such behavior is competitive Exceptions to the Theorem of Coase Avoiding The Empty Core: Contractual Conditions Exceptions to the Theorem of Coase Core • Bernholz • Pareto Optimality can be achieved when the core is empty by judicious use of penalty clauses and binding contracts. • This is implicitly recognized in the Neary-Winter model where if there are three or more parties, the model does not permit sub-contracting. Exceptions to the Theorem of Coase Core • The key assumption Bernholz makes is that once an agreement is signed it cannot be broken without the consent of all the parties. • Once two parties enter into an agreement the only remaining question is whether they make a new agreement including all three parties. • Since such a second agreement can make all three better off, the grand coalition forms and once formed it cannot come apart • The Further Constraint: The Unanimity Rule Exceptions to the Theorem of Coase Core • What does Bernholz’s argument recall? • • • • Contract Modification Contracts Must Be Consensual Opportunistic or Holdup Behaviour Not Allowed Efficient Recontracting Is Not Necessarily Allowed in Ontario Exceptions to the Theorem of Coase Avoiding The Empty Core: Additional Parties Exceptions to the Theorem of Coase Core • Mueller • The Coase theorem will not collapse when the number of parties increases provided that the additional parties do not bring additional externalities with them. Exceptions to the Theorem of Coase Core • Mueller correctly attributes the emptiness of the core in the Aivazian example to the existence of two externalities rather than the existence of three agents • So long as there is only one externality, the core will exist even as the number of polluters increases. Exceptions to the Theorem of Coase Avoiding The Empty Core: Matching Externalities Exceptions to the Theorem of Coase Core • Mueller’s “second” argument • Mueller argues that the empty-core problem is due to the attempt to eliminate simultaneously multiple externalities with one liability rule. Exceptions to the Theorem of Coase Core • Mueller’s “third” argument • Mueller changes the structure of the agency game from a horizontal (simultaneous) coalition game to a vertical (sequential) coalition game that contains a “Stackelberg” hierarchy Exceptions to the Theorem of Coase Avoiding The Empty Core: Vertical Agencies Exceptions to the Theorem of Coase Core • Case 2 – No Liability Rule • When F and F have the property rights, if F’s negotiations of a bribe with F occurs independently of F’s negotiations with F then each externality problem becomes independently bilateral • The core with respect to any given externality is never empty. 1 2 3 1 3 2 Exceptions to the Theorem of Coase Core • Case 2 – No Liability Rule • The implication is that, with multiple externalities, particular institutional arrangements or bargaining structures (restrictions on the sequence of negotiations) may be relevant for efficient resource allocation. Exceptions to the Theorem of Coase Core • • • • • • • p( F) = $3,000 p( F) = $8,000 p( F) = $24,000 p( F) = $15,000 p( F) = $31,000 p( F) = $36,000 p( F) = $40,000 1 2 3 12 13 23 123 → → → → → → → V(A) = 3 V(B) = 8 V(C) = 24 V(AB) = 15 V(AC) = 31 V(BC) = 36 V(ABC) = 40 Exceptions to the Theorem of Coase Core Exceptions to the Theorem of Coase Core • Case 2 – No Liability Rule • The remaining problem? • Mueller’s arguments undermines the Coasean claim that specific institutional arrangements are irrelevant for Pareto efficiency when transactions costs are zero. Exceptions to the Theorem of Coase Core • Case 1 – Common Law Right of the Laundry C to Sue in Nuisance • Recalling the Aivazian example where the laundry firm F could sue in nuisance for damages, there were multiple externalities but the core existed 3 Exceptions to the Theorem of Coase Core • Case 1 – Common Law Right of the Laundry C to Sue in Nuisance • The “optimal joint surplus” was: Max [p( F) - p( F), p( F)] = $24,000 • So F and F closed down but a Pareto123 1 3 3 2 Optimal allocation of resources still resulted. Exceptions to the Theorem of Coase Core • Pareto efficiency is achieved regardless of whether negotiations are carried out sequentially or simultaneously • Once a core allocation is reached, agents have no incentives to recontract Exceptions to the Theorem of Coase Avoiding The Empty Core: Independent Externalities Exceptions to the Theorem of Coase Core • De Bornier • De Bornier (1986) is also bothered by the dual externality in the Aivazian example. • De Bornier claims that the Aivazian counterexample is a general equilibrium problem • Coase’s Theorem applies to a partial equilibrium framework. Exceptions to the Theorem of Coase Core • The problem for DeBornier stems from the fact that in the example, if 1F and 2F merge, the pollution effecting 3F is reduced, increasing 3F profits • If 1F and 3F merge, the pollution effecting 2F is reduced, increasing 2F profits Exceptions to the Theorem of Coase Core • According to Aivazian and Callen, DeBornier assumes implicitly that there is only one pollution source in 1F’s factory that presumably affects both water and air simultaneously. • This affects De Bornier’s conclusion that a mergers solve the legal problem in each case Exceptions to the Theorem of Coase Core • “Solutions” To The Empty Core • Pareto Optimality can be achieved when the core is empty by judicious use of penalty clauses and binding contracts. (Bernholz) • The common law imposes serious “coalition breaking” rules • Match the externalities with the relevant agents (Mueller) • Apply a property rule to each externality (Mueller) • Create a hierarchy (Mueller and others)