Competition among Multi-Sided Platforms David S. Evans LECG and University College London 7 June 2007 2nd Lear Conference on the Economics of Competition Law Rome, Italy 2 Multi-Sided Platforms: Powerbrokers In The Global Economy 3 Today’s Discussion 1 What Is A Multi-Sided Platform? 2 When Do Multi-Sided Platforms Compete? 3 The Nature Of Competition 4 Search-Based Advertising 5 The Digital Music Business 6 The Catalyst Age What Is A Multi-Sided Platform? 5 The Birth Of The Charge Card Merchants paid 7% fee Cardholders paid small fee roughly equal to the value of the float Profits entirely from the merchant side 6 Catalytic Reaction For Charge Cards Card system signed up merchants to accept and consumers to use cards: a three-party system 14 restaurants and 200 consumers to start 330 restaurants and 42,000 consumers one year later 7 What Makes A Platform Multi-Sided ► Reduces transactions costs between two or more groups of economic agents ► Significant indirect network effects between groups ► Uses pricing, design, and openness to optimize positive feedback effects When Do Multi-Sided Platforms Compete? 9 How Many Multi-Sided Platforms Compete Cause Effect on Size/Concentration Indirect network effects + + – – – Scale economies Congestion Platform differentiation Multi-homing 10 Core Functions Of Multi-Sided Platforms Matchmakers Audience builders Cost minimizers Objective To facilitate transactions Objective To assemble eyeballs Objective To increase efficiency eBay Paris Match Palm OS Yahoo! Personals Google Windows Marché Bastille Condé Nast Symbian MySpace.com TiVo Sony PlayStation Manheim Auto Auction Reed Elsevier Xbox Odaiba Wall Street Journal SAP enterprise software NASDAQ BBC Linux The Nature Of Competition 12 Competition When The Number Of Sides Vary Single-Sided Side A Platform 0 Side B Symmetric Two-Sided Side A 0 Platform 1 Side B Side A Three-Sided 0 Platform 2 + Side B Side A 0 Platform 3 + Side B Side C 0 + Search-Based Advertising 14 The Search-Based Advertising Business 70% 60% 70% 58.0% 60% 50% 50% 40% 40% 30% 68.0% 28.0% 30% 26.0% 20% 20% 10% 5.0% 0% 10% 4.0% 0% Google Yahoo MSN Share of Searches Google Yahoo MSN Share of Search-based Advertising Revenue 15 Search Pages 16 How Bidding Works Revenue Per Search (RPS) = Price per click * Clicks per search Price goes up with scale because a platform with more advertisers: has greater likelihood of having advertisers who value a search highly has more competition among advertisers for valuable searches clicks go up with scale—platform has the right ads to deliver to searchers The Digital Music Business 18 iTunes-iPod Business Model Music Publishers (Protected music) iTunes iPod Consumers Unprotected Music CDs MP3s 19 Growth In iPod And iTunes Number of iPods shipped (millions) Number of iTunes sold (millions) 120 3,000 iPods 100 2,500 iTunes 80 2,000 60 1,500 40 1,000 20 500 0 03 r-03 l-03 t-03 -04 r-04 l-04 t-04 -05 r-05 l-05 t-05 -06 r-06 l-06 t-06 -07 r-07 n n n n n p J u Oc p J u Oc p J u Oc p p J u Oc J a A A A A A Ja Ja Ja Ja Source: Apple Corporation, Form 10K and Annual Reports, various years. 0 The Catalyst Age 21 Three Factors Will Lead To More Catalysts 1 The web is a convenient meeting place 2 It is easy and cheap to communicate 3 Software platforms power many catalysts 22 The Catalyst Age And Competition Policy ► More dominant firms in sectors as multi-sided platforms form and grow ► More dominant firms as high-tech, multi-sided platforms displace low-tech ► More consolidations as multi-sided platforms seek demand and cost-scale economies made possible by technology 23 Thank you! david_evans@lecg.com www.lecgcp.com Catalyst Code: The Strategies Behind The World’s Most Dynamic Companies David S. Evans and Richard Schmalensee Harvard Business School Press, May 2007 www.catalystcode.com Invisible Engines: How Software Platforms Drive Innovation and Transform Industries David S. Evans, Andrei Hagiu and Richard Schmalensee MIT Press, 2007