Unit 6 Section 5.5 Section 5.5 5.5: The Normal Approximation to Binomial Distributions Remember: Binomial distributions have the following characteristics… There is a fixed number of trials The outcome of each trial is independent Each experiment has two outcomes or outcomes that can be reduced to two outcomes The probability of success remains the same for each trial. n = the number of trials, p = prob of success Section 5.5 When to use a normal approximation? In order to be able to use the normal approximation to compute probabilities for a binomial variable, the following conditions must be true: n times p is greater than or equal to 5 and n times q is greater than or equal to 5 Section 5.5 Correction for continuity – is employed when a continuous distribution is used to approximate a discrete distribution. (Remember, normal approximations are continuous, binomial distributions are discrete) This correction will require an addition or subtraction of 0.5 to specific values prior to calculating probabilities. Section 5.5 Summary of the Normal Approximation to the Binomial Distribution Binomial Normal When finding: Use: P(X = a) P(a – 0.5 < X < a + 0.5) P(X ≥ a) P(X > a – 0.5) P(X > a) P(X > a + 0.5) P(X ≤ a) P(X < a + 0.5) P(X < a) P(X < a – 0.5) Section 5.5 Also recall the following formulas associated with a binomial distribution Mean μ= n * p Standard Deviation σ= √(n * p * q) Section 5.5 Steps for the Normal Approximation to the Binomial Distribution Check to see whether the normal approximation can be used. Find the mean and the standard deviation Write the problem in probability notation (using X) Rewrite the problem by using the continuity correction factor, and show the corresponding area under the normal distribution Find the corresponding z value Find the solution Section 5.5 Example 1: A magazine reported that 6% of American drivers read the newspaper while driving. If 300 drivers are selected at random, find the probability that exactly 25 say they read the newspaper while driving. Section 5.5 Example 2: Of the members of a bowling league, 10% are widowed. If 200 bowling league members are selected at random, find the probability that 10 or more will be widowed. Section 5.5 Example 3: If a baseball player’s batting average is 0.320 (32%), find the probability that the player will get at most 26 hits in 100 times at bat. Section 5.5 Example 4: When n = 10 and p = 0.5, use the binomial distribution table (Table B in Appendix C) to find the probability that X = 6. Now use the normal approximation to find the probability that X = 6. How do your answers compare? Section 5.5 Homework: Pg 281-283 #’s 1 – 29 ODD