Review of the Last Lecture • began our discussion of the demand function for healthcare • Discussed: derived demand, difference between the demand function and the demand curce • specified the demand function for HC: QD = Q(Y, PHC, PNHC, HS, Z) + • discussed the direct and indirect effects of a variable on the demand for HC • Were looking at how an increase in the price of a good that is bad for HS affects the demand for healthcare 317_L10, Jan 29 , 2008, J. Schaafsma 1 An Increase in the Price of a Good that is Bad for Health • Some goods are bad for health (tobacco, excessive alcohol consumption, illegal drugs) • If the P of a bad => direct and indirect effects on the Q of HC dem • the direct effect combines an income effect (P => real income , buy less all goods, HC is a good, Q of HC ) and substitution effect (P , substitute other goods that yield utility for the bad, HC such a good, Q of HC demanded ) Can’t sign the direct effect. •The indirect effect: smoke less P (income and substitution effects) => HS => need less HC • net impact of the direct and indirect effects unknown, likely QD 317_L10, Jan 29 , 2008, J. Schaafsma 2 Possible Exception to how Q of HC Demanded Responds to a Change in the Price of a Bad • If the person is totally hooked on the bad (P elasticity is 0): •The direct effect: no substitution effect (no change in smoking since the P elasticity is 0). There is an income effect. The higher P extracts more purchasing power from the smoker => less left over for other goods including HC => Q of HC demanded ). • The indirect effect: no substitution effect (perfectly price inelastic demand). However, the higher P lowers purchasing power left over for other goods => HS => more HC demanded • the net impact of the direct and indirect effects could be to increase the demand for HC as the P of the bad !! 317_L10, Jan 29 , 2008, J. Schaafsma 3 Other Variables in the Demand Function for HC • Z denotes a set of other variables in the demand function for HC: - illness: +ve effect on QHC demanded ~> DC shifts right and becomes steeper. Why steeper? - belief about efficacy: e.g. homeopathic products and services, dietary supplements taken for their expected HS benefits. - tastes: (“instant fixes” vs. dietary/lifestyle changes) • random error term e.g. (random incidence of illness)./// 317_L10, Jan 29 , 2008, J. Schaafsma 4 Own Time Costs and Demand for HC • for a salaried worker the unit price of HC is PHC • for an hourly paid worker the effective unit price is PHC + the wages lost accessing one unit of HC • thus, ceteris paribus, at each PHC a wage labourer will demand less care than a salaried person since the effective price is higher for a wage labourer • Also, if the demand curve for healthcare is non-linear with respect to the effective price of HC, the wage labourer’s demand curve with respect to PHC will be steeper than for the salaried person (see diagram) => i.e., a drop in PHC will increase Q of HC demanded by more for a salaried person than for a wage rate labourer. 317_L10, Jan 29 , 2008, J. Schaafsma 5 Insurance and the Demand for HC: Some Basic Concepts • will look at two kinds of insurance: - common kind: insurer pays part or all of the loss - less common kind: indemnity payment ~> insurer pays a fixed amount per unit of HC consumed, regardless of actual unit cost. • both kinds could be subject to a deductible (2 kinds of deductibles): • annual deductible: insurer only reimburses annual losses in excess of some annual minimum: e.g., insurer may reimburse 70% of annual HC costs above $1000 (here must keep track of losses over the year). • per loss deductible: the insurer only reimburses losses in excess of a minimum,.e.g., a $500 deductible per loss for theft insurance. If a $600 bike is stolen, insured only gets $100./// 317_L10, Jan 29 , 2008, J. Schaafsma 6 Health Insurance That Pays a Fraction of the Unit Price • suppose insurance pays a fraction, ir, of the unit price, e.g., ir = 0.8 • (1 – ir) = cir is the co-insurance rate (fraction paid by the patient) • Note: two prices: P(1–ir) the effective price paid by the consumer P the price received by the producer • thus, if the equation for the demand curve is Q = a - bP without insurance, it is Q = a - b(1-ir)P with insurance. • given ir ~> derive new demand curve from the old one (see diagram) • insurance rotates the demand curve clockwise ~> more price inelastic. • new demand curve is vertical when ir = 1. /// 317_L10, Jan 29 , 2008, J. Schaafsma 7 Effect of Insurance on P and Q, and Welfare Loss • Insurance coverage drives up P and Q and total expenditure on HC (see diagram) • Creates a welfare loss: the cost of the additional HC consumed as a result of insurance exceeds the value placed on the additional benefits (see diagram) • Also creates additional producer surplus: a payment to factors of production in excess of what is needed to have them produce HC (see diagram) in this case. • The producer surplus is a transfer from the insured to the providers. • have ignored the wealth effect of buying insurance, premium reduces income => demand curves for all goods shift left./// 317_L10, Jan 29 , 8 2008, J. Schaafsma The Slope of the Demand and Supply Curves and the Effect of Proportional Insurance on P & Q • the size of the welfare loss depends on the slopes of the demand and supply curves • the steeper the demand curve the less the increase in P & Q from proportional insurance • if the supply curve is vertical insurance only increases P • if the supply curve is horizontal insurance only increases Q 317_L10, Jan 29 , 2008, J. Schaafsma 9 A User Fee and the Welfare Loss • suppose there is 100% insurance coverage ~> P to the consumer = 0 • get the maximum welfare loss (see diagram) • user fee ~> an amount paid by the patient per unit of HC consumed • even a modest user fee can reduce the welfare loss substantially (see diagram) Reason ~> user fee reduces consumption of HC units with the largest per unit welfare loss, i.e. it eliminates the most wasteful spending./// 317_L10, Jan 29 , 2008, J. Schaafsma 10 Proportional Insurance and Shifts in Supply •As noted earlier: proportional insurance rotates the demand curve clockwise and increases its slope • shifts in supply thus have larger P effects and smaller Q effects (explain the economics with a diagram) the steeper the demand curve • Implication: with proportional insurance rising costs on the supply side are easier to pass forward through a higher market P (show). /// 317_L10, Jan 29 , 2008, J. Schaafsma 11