The impact of Whitebark Pine mortality on Clark's Nutcracker demography: Clark's Nutcracker Demography Will restoration work? and Habitat Selection in the Face of Habitat Decline Taza Schaming tds55@cornell.edu Will Clark's nutcrackers & their functional role as seed dispersers persist in the Greater Yellowstone Ecosystem? Will their behavior & population change? Martin Meyers Taza Schaming Methods (2010-2013) STUDY SITE 23,500km2 1,107 person-days in field: N = 185 trapped N = 76 radio tracked N = 1,014 occupancy surveys Taza Schaming Jada Schaming Pocholo Martinez N = 74.5 hours fledgling surveys Rob Curtis BREEDING Breeding vs. Nonbreeding Years Taza Schaming To breed or not to breed? 1) Prior to breeding onset, reliable cues indicate poor breeding season -> skip breeding 2) Unfavorable prebreeding food supplies or weather -> individuals in poor condition -> skip breeding Taza Schaming 1) Prebreeding Environmental Cues 2) Body condition How often are “nonbreeding” years predicted? “Low” cone crop only = 44% (15/34) “High” snowpack only = 24% (8/34) Both = 15% (5/34) HABITAT SELECTION Habitat Selection: Occupancy Surveys (2010-2012, fall harvest season, n = 142) (β = 0.005, SE = 0.002, p = 0.005) (β = 1.4, SE = 0.3, p < 0.001) Less than 100 m VS. All distances Habitat Selection: Occupancy Surveys (2010-2012, Jan – Oct, n = 286) (β = 0.005, SE = 0.002, p = 0.01 (β = 2.7e-07, SE = 7.3e-08, p < 0.001) Importance value = density + dominance + frequency Detectability (p) N = 10 N = 10 Observed N = 10 p=1 Observed N = 5 p=0.5 OR Important Factors *Tree Density *WBP importance value *Time of Day Breeding Season Home Range Habitat Selection: HR vs. landscape 2011 No unusual WBP mortality Low WBP mortality Medium WBP mortality High WBP mortality Residual – some live WBP Residual – no live WBP LP, SAF, ES Douglas Fir Limber Pine Not Conifer 2012 No unusual WBP mortality Low WBP mortality Medium WBP mortality High WBP mortality Residual – some live WBP Residual – no live WBP LP, SAF, ES Douglas Fir Limber Pine Not Conifer No unusual WBP mortality 0 Low WBP mortality Medium WBP mortality High WBP mortality Residual – no live WBP LP, SAF, ES Douglas Fir Limber Pine Not Conifer +++ Residual – some live WBP --- --- --- --- --- --- R A N K 3 +++ + --- 0 - +++ --- --- --- --- --- --- 1 - + 0 +++ --- --- --- --- --- --- 2 --- --- --- 0 --- --- --- --- --- --- 0 +++ +++ +++ +++ 0 +++ +++ +++ +++ +++ 9 +++ +++ +++ +++ --- 0 +++ +++ +++ +++ 8 +++ +++ +++ +++ +++ +++ +++ +++ +++ +++ +++ +++ +++ +++ +++ +++ --------- --------- 0 +++ + --- --0 ----- +++ +++ 0 --- +++ +++ 0 5 7 6 4 0 +++ +++ + --- --- --- - --- --- 3 --- 0 + --- --- --- --- --- --- --- 1 --- - 0 - --- --- --- --- --- --- 0 - +++ + 0 --- --- --- - - --- 2 +++ +++ +++ +++ 0 - +++ +++ +++ +++ 8 +++ +++ +++ +++ + 0 +++ +++ +++ +++ 9 +++ + +++ +++ +++ +++ +++ +++ +++ +++ +++ +++ +++ + +++ + --------- --------- 0 + --- + 0 + - +++ + 0 --- +++ 0 6 5 7 4 Habitat Selection: indiv. points vs. HR 2011 Medium WBP mortality High WBP mortality LP, SAF, ES Douglas Fir Limber Pine Not Conifer 2012 Medium WBP mortality High WBP mortality LP, SAF, ES Douglas Fir Limber Pine Not Conifer Medium WBP mortality 0 High WBP mortality - LP, SAF, ES - Douglas Fir Limber Pine Not Conifer RANK - + - 1 + 0 --- - +++ - 2 + + + - +++ + + --- 0 --- + 0 + --- +++ +++ 0 --- + +++ 0 5 3 4 0 0 - --- - +++ - 1 + 0 --- + +++ - 3 +++ + + --- +++ + --- 0 --- + 0 + --- +++ +++ 0 --- + +++ 0 5 2 4 0 Implications for Management 1) Don’t assume CLNU presence = CLNU persistence. 2) An increase in nonbreeding years could have a strong negative effect on stability of the regional CLNU population. 3) Greater Yellowstone: Douglas Fir stands may be necessary for CLNU persistence. a) Protect Douglas Fir? b) Focus of WBP rehabilitation near Douglas Fir? MORE TO COME! Acknowledgements Thank you Advisor: Janis Dickinson Special Committee: Andre Dhondt, Evan Cooch, John Fitzpatrick Interns & volunteers Dept. of Natural Resources & Lab of Ornithology students & faculty Lighthawk, Lisa Robertson Bridger-Teton National Forest Nature Mapping Jackson Hole Wyoming Game and Fish, Susan Patla Jackson Hole Bird Club Pocholo Martinez, Peter & Teal & Jada Schaming Dick Qua, Bruce Pressler, Andy Royle Funding Cornell Lab of Ornithology Meg and Bert Raynes Wildlife Fund Wyoming Wildlife – The Foundation Cornell Sigma Xi Western Bird Banding Association Cornell University Graduate School Explorers Club The Garden Club of America Samuel and Linda Kramer Fischer American Philosophical Society Conservation and Research Foundation Mellon Foundation Havahart Mazamas Charles Redd Center American Ornithologists’ Union NASA Harriett G. Jenkins Pre-doctoral Fellowship Wilson Ornithological Society Athena Fund of the Cornell Lab of Ornithology Questions? Sean Beckett