Exploring a Pollution Event Glenn Gehring, Technology Specialist III Tribal Air Monitoring Support (TAMS) Center Institute for Tribal Environmental Professionals (ITEP) Northern Arizona University 541-612-0899 glenn.gehring@nau.edu http://www4.nau.edu/itep http://www4.nau.edu/tams What Do These Data Mean? Vertical manifold Toxics Flow Controller Tubing for NOy Gas Analyzer Rack NOy Continuous Particulate Sensor Unit Data Logger Calibrator 316 Stainless Steel 1/8 inch tubing connects regulator to calibrator NOx SO2 Continuous Particulate Monitor Control Units Zero Air Generator Ozone CGA 660? Fitting must match bottle EPA Protocol Gas Two big factors related to pollutant dispersion: Ventilation Index (horizontal movement) Stability (vertical mixing) Mixing Height & Wind = Ventilation Index Mixing Height Wind NOAA ARL Stability Forecast Zi - Boundary layer depth (meters above model terrain) 10xKz - Vertical mixing coefficient times 10 (m2/s2) A – Extremely Unstable B – Moderately Unstable C – Slightly Unstable D – Neutral E – Slightly Stable F – Moderately Stable G – Extremely Stable Includes an indication of upward push Ozone and PM-2.5 Readily Transport long distances and React in the Atmosphere Ozone is the Product of a Reaction Initiated by Light (Photochemical Reaction) in the Atmosphere; Ozone “Precursors,” such as NOx and VOCs are Emitted From Sources Very important chemical reactions related to ozone: Ozone Diurnal (daily) Patterns Quapaw Site on July 22, 2004 – Site’s highest 8-hr Ozone 93 ppb as an 8-hour average What were other 8-Hour ozone concentrations on July 22, 2004? I selected ozone for one state at a time and merged the resulting data in a spreadsheet. Since these data have spatial references for each monitoring site (lat, long) I can easily put this data into GIS software. Then I can use gradients to make higher concentrations appear as larger circles on the map. Area 8-hr Ozone on July 22, 2004 Saint Louis Kansas City Quapaw Site Oklahoma City Tulsa Little Rock Memphis I can also use GIS extensions to help illustrate. 8-hr Ozone on July 22, 2004 with Prediction Contours (ESRI Geostatistical Analyst) Quapaw Site I can use Air Data or other resources to get point source emissions data, map it and make the size of the circles proportional to emissions. I can also use NOAA’s Air Resources Laboratory’s HYSPLIT software to perform backward trajectories from monitoring sites on the day of concern. July 22, 2004, 24-hour Backward Trajectories (NOAA Air Resource Laboratory HYSPLIT Model) proportional NOx point source emissions – 2002 EI Quapaw Site Now I have some suspect areas that may have contributed to the problem (something near the three coal-fired power plants). I can use ARL’s HYSPLIT software to run forward dispersions from the power plants to see where the model indicates their emissions were when I had the high concentration. In this example I set the model to average concentrations from 100 m to ground level and set it for a 48-hour release beginning 48-hours prior to the high concentration at the Quapaw site. Oologah Power Plant 48-hr dispersion (NOAA Air Resource Laboratory HYSPLIT Model) Quapaw Site GRDA Power Plant 48-hr dispersion (NOAA Air Resource Laboratory HYSPLIT Model) Quapaw Site Muskogee Power Plant 48-hr dispersion (NOAA Air Resource Laboratory HYSPLIT Model) Quapaw Site Combined 48-hr dispersion (NOAA Air Resource Laboratory HYSPLIT Model) Quapaw Site Forward Trajectory from 3 Coal-Fired Power Plants on July 22, 2004 (endpoints that are less than 10 meters AGL) Forward Trajectory from 3 Coal-Fired Power Plants on July 22, 2004 (endpoints that are less than 20 meters AGL) NE Oklahoma Coal-Fired Power Plant NOx Emissions Most Relevant Winds for Ozone WIND ROSE PLOT Station #13968 - TULSA/INT'L ARPT, OK Tulsa Ozone Season Wind Rose, Lines Indicate the Direction the Wind Came FROM, and Colors Indicate Wind Speed Source: EPA AirData (1999 EI) NORTH (1984-1992, March 1 to October 31, from 8 AM to 6 PM) 25% N What if you live here? 20% 15% 10% 5% E W WEST EAST S MODELER 2003 Ozone Monitoring Locations (Red Dots) SOUTH DATE COMPANY NAME 26.5% of Oklahoma facility NOx emissions are from Muskogee, Mayes and Rogers Counties (1999) Wind Speed (m/s) > 11.06 1/20/2004 DISPLAY UNIT COMMENTS 22.9% of Oklahoma facility NOx emissions are from three NE Oklahoma coal-fired power plants (1999) Wind Speed m/s AVG. WIND SPEED CALM WINDS 5.20 m/s 3.17% 1.80 - 3.34 ORIENTATION PLOT YEAR-DATE-TIME 0.51 - 1.80 Direction (blowing from) 1984 1985 1987 1988 1989 1990 1992 1991 Mar 1 - Oct 31 8 AM - 6 PM 8.49 - 11.06 5.40 - 8.49 3.34 - 5.40 PROJECT/PLOT NO. GIS for Air Quality Course