MEXICO - FLORIDA www.naftamx.org/fl.html www.naftamexico.org/fl.html September 2006 Mexico today Mexico is a middle-income country with the world's eleventh-largest population. Mexico's income per capita is larger than all other major economies in the region (7,100 dollars in 2005). After Brazil, Mexico is the second-largest market in Latin America by population (106.385 millions in 2005) The average age of the population is 24.7 (2005) and 30% is aged 14 years or under. This large proportion of young people will represent a pool of effective consumers in the long term. Mexico is classed by the World Health Organization (WHO) as a "low mortality developing country". The rate of population growth has slowed from more than 3% (per year) in the 70s to a 1.26% in 2005. Mexico is the 10th economy in the world. In terms of territory is the 14th (equals to France, Spain, Germany, Italy and UK all together) Mexico’s evolution is evident 1987 2005 200 769 1900 7229 Inflation 159 3.3 Annual % Interest Rate 120 9.2 Annual % Exports 28 214 Billions of US dollars Imports 19 221 Billions of US dollars Trade balance 7.2 -7.6 Billions of US dollars 16.1 0.2 Gdp Gdp per capita Public deficit Billions of US dollars US dollars % of Gdp Nominal wages are growing and real wages are stable. This supports the strengthening of the domestic market Avarage daily base salary of Workers insured at IMSS Real wages in the manufacturing sector (2002-2006, US Dollars) 10.00% July, 2006 20.00 (Annual growth, three-month moving average) May, 2006 8.00% 19.00 18.39 6.00% 18.00 4.00% 17.00 2.00% 16.00 0.82% 0.00% 15.00 -2.00% Source: INEGI 2006/04 2005/11 2005/06 2005/01 p/ 2004/08 2004/03 2003/10 2003/05 2002/12 2002/07 2002/02 2001/09 2001/04 2000/11 2000/06 2000/01 2006/03 2005/10 2005/05 2004/12 2004/07 2004/02 2003/09 2003/04 2002/11 2002/06 2002/01 14.00 Economic growth and positive expectations translated into a stronger labor market Jobs Creation Workers insured at IMSS (Monthly, Thousand of jobs) June, 2006 (Millon workers) June, 2006 13.9 790 772 13.70 13.7 855 747 657 645 590 574 13.5 13.3 531 488 447 13.1 413 12.9 316 305 276 12.7 283 249 12.5 176 12.3 Source: INEGI 2006/06 2006/05 2006/04 2006/03 2006/02 2006/01 2005/12 2005/11 2005/10 2005/09 2005/08 2005/07 2005/06 2005/05 2005/04 2005/03 2005/02 2005/01 2006/05 2006/01 2005/09 2005/05 2005/01 2004/09 2004/05 2004/01 2003/09 2003/05 2003/01 12.1 For the first time in 35 years inflation in Mexico was less than in the U.S. 15 13 Consumer Price Index (CPI) and Core Inflation (annual % change) Core Inflation 11 9 CPI Inflation 7 5 3.33 3.12 Nov-05 Sep-05 Jul-05 May-05 Mar-05 Jan-05 Nov-04 Sep-04 Jul-04 May-04 Mar-04 Jan-04 Nov-03 Sep-03 Jul-03 May-03 Mar-03 Jan-03 Nov-02 Sep-02 Jul-02 May-02 Mar-02 Jan-02 Nov-01 Sep-01 Jul-01 May-01 Mar-01 Jan-01 Nov-00 Sep-00 Jul-00 May-00 Mar-00 Jan-00 3 Upper limit of the Inflation target (4%) December 2005 The stock market recovered strongly due to good expectations of the economic performance in Mexico and the United States Mexicos's stock market leading index - IPyC 23,000 August 23, 2006 21,000 20,742.44 Returns in the Mexican stock market 19,000 (nominal and in USD) 17,000 Period 15,000 13,000 11,000 % % MXP USD Cumulative JanuaryDecember 2004 return 46.5 45.6 Cumulative JanuaryDecember 2005 return 36.7 42.3 Cumulative July 2006 return 12.1 10.2 9,000 7,000 Source: Banco de Mexico 30/05/2006 4/1/2006 16/08/2005 30/03/2005 8/11/2004 21/06/2004 29/01/2004 5/9/2003 16/04/2003 21/11/2002 3/7/2002 8/2/2002 17/09/2001 5,000 Source: Nafta with data from BMV Mexico‘s GDP grew 4.7% in the second quarter of 2006, reaching twelve consecutive quarters of growth As a result of sound economic policies, the economy is strong and stable Better economic fundamentals, a promising international environment, and more ambitious government programs have contributed to stronger growth and employment Quarterly Gross Domestic Product (Real annual growth) 5.5 4.8 4.7 4.5 3.6 3.7 2.4 1.9 1.9 1.7 3.3 3.4 2.1 2 2.7 2.4 2006 GDP growth by economic sector (2nd Quarter % change) Sector % Total 4.7 Agriculture 7.6 Industry 3.9 Services 4.8 1.0 0.2 -0.1 -1.3-1.4 2006/02 2006/01 2005/04 2005/03 2005/02 2005/01 2004/04 2004/03 2004/02 2004/01 2003/04 2003/03 2003/02 2003/01 p/ 2002/04 2002/03 2002/02 2002/01 2001/04 2001/03 2001/02 2001/01 -2.3 Source: INEGI Mexico’s country risk is low and stable due to its differentiation from other emerging markets Risk indicators for emerging markets (EMBI+ JP Morgan, base points ) Levels at August 18, 2006 Levels at August 18, 2005 Argentina Argentina 426 Brasil Brasil 406 Mexico 100 Source: JP Morgan 200 216 Mexico 150 0 314 300 400 500 111 0 100 200 300 400 Automotive Industry: Geographic Location CHIHUAHUA G. PALACIO KENWORTH MEXICALI (TRUCKS) SONORA LINAMAR (ENGINES) Clearly distinguish CHIHUAHUA TIJUANA TOYOTA (PICK-UP BOXES 3 clusters in Mexico RAMOS G.M. ARIZPE (PC & UV) COAHUILA OF TRUCKS) GARCIA NAVISTAR (TRUCKS) NUEVO LEON DURANGO FORD HERMOSILLO (PC) S.L.P. SCANIA (TRUCKS) TAMPS. ZACATECAS CHRYSLER SALTILLO (ENGINES & UV) NISSAN AGS. (PC & ENGINES) HONDA (PC) CUAUTITLAN D.F. S.L.P. AGS. FORD (PC & UV) GTO.QRO. YUCATAN HIDALGO JALISCO GUADALAJARA COLIMA MEX. MICHOACAN TLAX. CAMPECHE MOR. PUEBLA G.M. SILAO (UV) TOLUCA G.M. (ENGINES) TABASCO GUERRERO OAXACA CHRYSLER (PC & UV) TOLUCA CHIAPAS M.BENZ (PC & UV) SANTIAGO BMW (PC) TOLUCA MASA (TRUCKS) TULTITLAN TOLUCA VOLVO (TRUCKS) PUEBLA CIVAC NISSAN (PC & UV) V.W. (PC & ENGINES) Electronic Industry location …… (700 + companies) Tijuana SANYO SONY HITACHI MATSUSHITA JVC SAMSUNG PIONNER MITSUBISHI SHARP SANYO ELECTRODOMÉSTICOS PHILIPS CASIO KODAK CANON KIOCERA INTERNACIONAL RECTIFIER Aguascalientes WHITE WESTINGHOUSE MEX* TEXAS INTS. XEROX SIEMENS Guadalajara I.B.M H.P. NEC LUCENT TECHNOLOGIES MOTOROLA KODAK CUMEX SIEMENS SOLECTRON DE MEXICO FLEXTRONICS JABIL CIRCUIT MTI ELECTRONICS SCI SANMINA Mexicali Juárez Chihuahua SONY TOSHIBA (SLRC) MOTOROLA PHILIPS DAEWOO ALTEL THOMSON MITSUBISHI KIOCERA KENWOOD GOLDSTAR JABIL ELECTROLUX Saltillo ACER MABE ELAMEX HAMILTON PLEXUS BEACH* Torreón THOMSON San Luis Potosí MABE GE MABE SANYO Querétaro VISTAR VITROMATIC (2) Reynosa DELCO (Automotriz) PHILIPS SONY MATSUSHITA (Automotriz) VITROMATIC NOKIA LUCENT TECHNOLOGIES FUJITSU (Automotriz) CONDURA (Automotriz) DELNOSA (Automotriz) Monterrey PIONNER DANFOSS COMPRESSORS VITROMATIC (3) MABE (2) KODAK NIPPON DENSO (Automotriz) AXA YAZAKI (Automotriz) Cuernavaca NEC Querétaro CLARION Estado de Mexico DAEWOO BLACK & DECKER MABE BRAUN MABE (2) ELECTROLUX SINGER SUNBEAM SIEMENS KOBLENZ ERICSSON ALCATEL/INDETEL AMP Puebla GESTAR SINGER VITROMATIC AUDIO & VIDEO ELECTRODOMESTICS COMPUTERS TELECOMUNICATIONS OTHERS Estado de México PANASONIC ELECTROLUX FILTER QUEEN HOOVER IMAN KOBLENZ MABE PHILIPS SUNBEAM OLIVETTI OLIMPIA Home Appliances Industry Location ...(32 + Companies) Baja California Chihuahua Coahuila Nuevo León Tamaulipas San Luis Potosí Guanajuato Querétaro Jalisco Edo. de México Distrito Federal Tlaxcala Puebla Merrytech G.S.E.B TIMCO Ventiladores Copacabana Transformation responds to a strategy Mexico’s network of FTAs is one of the largest in the world Mexico is among world's most open economies Sweden Norway Canada Finland Denmark 12 FTAs United States Iceland United Kingdom 20 BITs Netherlands Germany Cuba 6 CEAs Honduras Ireland Liechtenstein Belgium Nicaragua Czech Rep. Austria Luxembourg Switzerland Guatemala Portugal Costa Rica El Salvador Spain Venezuela France Italy Greece Colombia Mercosur Australia South Korea Peru Bolivia Brazil Chile Uruguay Argentina Israel Japan Florida’s Exports to Mexico 1993-2006* (Billions of US Dollars) 3 2.0 2 1.7 1.8 1.5 2 1.1 1 1.8 1.7 0.8 0.8 1.1 1.1 0.9 0.7 0.6 1 0 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 '05 2006** Source: US Census, WISER and SE-NAFTA Series. * 2000-2006, NAICS series. ** 2006 Jan-Jun Florida’s Exports to Mexico by Sector (NAICS) 2005 Othe rs 29% Machine ry, Exce pt Ele ctr 9% Ele ctrical Equipme nt, Ap 9% Transportation Equipme nt 10% Che micals 11% Source: US Census, WISER and SE-NAFTA Series. Compute r And Ele ctronic 32% Florida’s Exports to Mexico – 2005 (Millions of US Dollars) Transmission Appr Incorporating Reception Apparats 144.9 Fertilizers, Exports Only Incl Other Crude Matls 104.2 90.6 Elect Appr F Prtct To Elect Circt Nov 1000 V Nesoi Parts & Accessories For Adp Machines & Units 89.5 Motorboats, Other Than Outboard Motorboats 71.2 Automatic Data Processing Storage Units, N.E.S.O.I 63.6 Gas Turbine Parts Nesoi 53.1 47.2 Pts,Ex Antenna,For Trnsmssn,Rdr,Radio,Tv,Etc Nesoi Automatic Data Processing Units, N.E.S.O.I. 45.4 Ferrous Waste & Scrap Nesoi 43.4 Digital Monolithic Integrated Circuits 32.7 Video Games Used W Tv Rceivr & Pts And Accessories 28.2 0 20 Source: US Census, WISER and SE-NAFTA Series. 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 Florida’s Opportunities in Mexico Millions of US Dollars Sector Florida’s Total Exports Florida’s Exports Mexico Imports to Mexico from U.S. Total 33,377 2,025 120,049 54% 221,249 Computer And Electronic Prod. 9,729 662 23,298 47% 50,065 Transportation Equipment 5,652 194 14,455 90% 16,073 Machinery, Except Electrical 3,588 186 11,494 35% 33,082 Chemicals 3,489 215 12,899 59% 21,924 Miscellaneous Manufactured 1,736 106 2,727 67% 4,096 Electrical Equipment, Appliances 1,205 188 8,071 86% 9,360 Food And Kindred Prod. 1,100 29 5,641 64% 8,873 Fabricated Metal Prod. 845 52 5,059 50% 10,073 Paper 806 74 3,206 62% 5,181 Agricultural Products 633 2 3,590 74% 4,869 Plastics And Rubber Prod. 520 33 5,817 78% 7,477 Textiles and Fabrics 509 27 3,067 60% 5,141 Source: Ministry of Economy with data from WISER and USDOC Mexico Total Imports Share . Incentives to promote the competitiveness Electronics* Shoe & Leather* SME Financing Consulting Training, R&D Automotive* Software* Aerospace Prosec Clusters Agriculture Fiscal Incentives ITA + Tourism Prosoft Business Acelerator Program Commerce Design Centers Textile Construction OPIC Eximbank Nafin Bancomext Fiscal Incentives Maquiladora* Chemical Many Companies are Taking Advantage of the Mexican Strategy to Attract Businesses… We offer: Elements to ease key imports for the industry: ITA PLUS PROSEC RULE 8th Elements of Government support 30% TAX Credit on Engineering design, R&D Reduced Income tax on Maquiladoras Immediate Deduction of Assets Grants to help location on designated areas Training incentives Federal-State Federal-State mixed funds on technology based projects (grants) University and Research Centers Involvement Working closer to understand industry needs Federal Funds for Research Centers Mexico: a World of Economic Opportunity Tijuana Population: 750,000 Key Industries: beverages, processed foods, metalworking, radio and television manufacture, electrical machinery Ciudad Juárez Population: 800,000 Key Industries: electrical machinery, transport equipment, meat, electronics, dairy products Chihuahua Population: 650,000 Key Industries: electrical machinery, automotive, meat, electronics, dairy products, timber Hermosillo Population: 600,000 Key Industries: automotive, meat, cement and derivatives, electrical machinery Torreón Population: 880,000 Key Industries: automotive, bricks, clay, refractory, general machinery, cement and derivatives Monterrey Population: 3 million Key Industries: oil refining, iron and steel, electrical machinery, glass and derivatives, breweries, meat products, cement, banking Culiacán Population: 600,000 Key Industries: food processing, cereal milling, sugar, beverages, edible oils and fats Tampico-Madero-Altamira Veracruz Population: 340,000 Key Industries: chemical, industrial machinery, electronic & electrical equipment, oil and refinery, agriculture, cattle, fishing Aguascalientes Population: 500,000 Key Industries: electronics, automotive, dairy, textiles, carpets Population: 450,000 Key Industries: petrochemicals, refining, basic chemicals, iron and steel, sugar, beef, processed foods, tourism, transportation services (maritime) León Population: 1 million Key Industries: refining, footwear, leather and tanning, bakery goods, beverages Mérida Population: 600,000 Key Industries: beverages, edible oils and fats, processed foods, cement and derivatives, plastic products Guadalajara Population: 4 million Key Industries: high-technology, edible oils and fats, plastic products, chemicals, dairy products, processed foods, textiles, footwear Toluca Population: 850,000 Key Industries: automotive, plastics, paper and cellulose, chemical derivatives, basic chemicals Mexico City San Luis Potosí Population: 20 million Key Industries: retail, financial services, food, automotive, plastic products, paper and cellulose, chemical derivatives, basic chemicals Population: 670,000 Key Industries: iron and steel, non-ferrous metallurgy, tobacco products, electrical machinery, automotive, livestock Querétaro Source: SE-NAFTA. Population: 460,000 Key Industries: automotive, paper and cellulose, synthetic fibers, general machinery, electrical machinery, processed foods, dairy products Puebla Population: 1.5 million Key Industries: automotive, textiles, iron and steel, bottled water, chemicals, meat processing CONTACT POINT DR. HÉCTOR MÁRQUEZ 1911 PENSYLVANIA AVE. 8TH FLOOR WASHINGTON, DC, 20006. TEL. (202)728-1776 FAX E-MAIL (202)728-1712 hmarquez@economia.gob.mx Web page: http://www.economia.gob.mx