Celery Report Brand Health & Demographics •Source: • Nielsen Homescan data until 29th October 2011 • Nielsen Scantrack data (National Woolworths) until 23rd October 2011 Celery….. During last year, 68% of Australian Households purchased Celery, spending on average $9 and buying approximately 2 kilos this commodity in the same period.. Celery buyers are purchasing it less ,however this was compensated by a slight increase in the amount spend per occasion Looking at Woolworths scanned information, Celery volume increased by 1%, while from a value perspective it grew by 3.5% While WW, Coles and Green Grocers lead Celery trade, Green Grocers and Coles have manage to increase their importance during last year Opportunity to improve Celery penetration and average spend per year at Established Couples segment 2 Copyright © 2011 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary. Homescan Overview 3 Copyright © 2011 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary. This report leverage two different types of information: 1) Retail Measurement Data (Scanning Sales) 2) Household Panel Information • Complementary data sources, not substitutes for one another • Address separate sets of business issues Store-Level Scanning Sales • Volume & Share Tracking • Promotion Execution & Effectiveness • Price Sensitivity • Account Performance Household Panel Information •Components of Sales •Brand Loyalty & Repeat •Demographics •Buyer Analyses •Cross Purchasing •Switching/Source of Volume 4 Copyright © 2011 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary. How does Household Panel Information (Homescan) work? Start with a panel that is statistically representative of Australian households Information is supplied via Advisor i-sights to clients to evaluate consumer and retail trends. Panel member buys products from any retail outlet and takes them home Nielsen processes the data together with stringent QC checking At home they scan the purchases via a barcode scanner - supplementing data from a barcode book for shopping trip info and non barcoded items Purchase data is automatically modemed back to Nielsen via the telephone line 5 Copyright © 2011 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary. Key Measures 6 Copyright © 2011 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary. During last year, Celery penetration has decreased by 1.3%, while Celery buyers are spending $9 per year and purchasing about 2 kilos This chart compares Celery of the commodity per household. household reach (penetration) What is driving how much my consumers buy? - Brand Health - Value AUS | MAT TO 26/11/2011 | Based on Value ($000s)/1000 against other vegetables. Blue represents year ago while yellow represent current year This chart show the total average household volume purchase across various vegetable commodities. This chart show the total average household spend across various vegetable commodities. 7 ource : ACNielsen Homescan Australia Source: Nielsen l Homescan Australia Copyright © 2011 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary. Celery buyers are purchasing the commodity less often than a year ago (5 times), however this was compensated by a slight increase in the amount spend during each shopping trip ($1.8) What is driving how much my consumers buy? - Brand Health - Value ALL SHOPPERS - AUS - MAT TO 26/11/2011 - BASED ON VALUE ($000'S)/1000 This chart compares how frequently Celery is purchased each year compared to other vegetable commodities Households are spending approximately $1.80 each time they purchase Celery Households are spending in total, approximately $9 per year in Celery 8 Source : ACNielsen Homescan Australia Copyright © 2011 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary. The total volume decrease was a result of a slight drop in the shopping frequency, while volume per occasion maintained its previous level. What is driving how much my consumers buy? - Brand Health - Value AUS | MAT TO 26/11/2011 | Based on Value ($000s)/1000 9 Source : ACNielsen Homescan Australia Source: Nielsen l Homescan Australia Copyright © 2011 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary. Average household spend on Vegetables peaked immediately following the natural disasters in February How are the key consumer drivers of sales changing over time? - Brand Health - Value ALL SHOPPERS - AUS - TOTAL VEGETABLES - BASED ON VALUE ($000'S)/1000 QLD Cyclone Floods Yasi This chart shows that the average household increased their spend (red line) on Vegetables in the periods during & after the natural disasters. 10 urce : ACNielsen Homescan Australia Copyright © 2011 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary. Over a two year period we can see that average value weight of purchase has increased over the Cyclone Yasi period, however it has decreased at levels below than a year ago. How are the key consumer drivers of sales changing over time? - Brand Health - Value ALL SHOPPERS - AUS - TOTAL CELERY - BASED ON VALUE ($000'S)/1000 During peak seasons, average household spend decreased (red line) as the number of households increased (blue bars) QLD Cyclone Floods Yasi Celery peak season January - August 11 urce : ACNielsen Homescan Australia Copyright © 2011 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary. Variation in $AWOP are linked to changes in the level of spend per shopping occasion Green Line: how many times consumers buy it – it is stable. What is driving how much my consumers buy over time? - Brand Health - Value ALL SHOPPERS - AUS - TOTAL CELERY - BASED ON VALUE ($000'S)/1000 Yellow Line: How much they spend each time. For November, this index reached: $1.6 QLD Cyclone Yasi Floods Celery peak season January - August 12 Source : ACNielsen Homescan Australia Copyright © 2011 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary. Looking at Woolworths information, Celery volume increased by 1%, while value did by 3.5% as prices increased by 8 cents. Table Report | Nat Woolworths - T. Celery | T. Fresh Fruit and Vegetables Units of Measure: Units = System Units(000's) | Volume = Kilograms(000's) | Value = $ (000's) MAT To 21/11/2010 MAT To 20/11/2011 Kilograms(000's) 6,660.9 6,730.2 $ (000's) 21,182.5 21,935.1 $3.18 $3.26 Price per Vol (Kg) 13 SOURCE: Nielsen Australia ScanTrack (HAL_FRESH_FRUIT_VEGETABLES ) Copyright © 2011 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary. Looking at trended Woolworths information, the affects of Queensland natural disasters can be seen however, prices have dropped at levels below than a year ago. Table Report | Nat Woolworths - T. Celery | T. Fresh Fruit and Vegetables Units of Measure: Units = System Units(000's) | Volume = Kilograms(000's) | Value = $ (000's) QLD Cyclone Floods Yasi Celery peak season January - August SOURCE: Nielsen Australia ScanTrack (HAL_FRESH_FRUIT_VEGETABLES ) Blue Line: Price per Kg. $2.36 in latest period vs. $3.03 last year. Yellow Bar: Kgs sold by Woolworths during each period. 14 Copyright © 2011 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary. Demographics 15 Copyright © 2011 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary. While most segments show mixed results, there is opportunity to improve performance at Established Couples on Penetration and average spend per year. Who buys my brand? (Lifestage) - Demographics - Value AUS - TOTAL CELERY - MAT TO 26/11/2011 - BASED ON VALUE ($000'S)/1000 The green bar represents the percent of each demographic purchasing in latest period with the red bar representing the percentage last year 16 Source : ACNielsen Homescan Australia Copyright © 2011 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary. From a Household income perspective, opportunities arise to recover penetration at Medium and High income households. Who buys my brands? (Income) - Demographics - Value AUS - TOTAL CELERY - MAT TO 26/11/2011 - BASED ON VALUE ($000'S)/1000 High Income households have increased their importance in value at expense of Low income during the last year 17 Source : ACNielsen Homescan Australia Copyright © 2011 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary. 1-2 member households have had the most significant contribution to value sales within Celery, however still opportunity to increase reach within this household size Who buys my brands? (Household Size) - Demographics - Value AUS - TOTAL CELERY - MAT TO 26/11/2011 - BASED ON VALUE ($000'S)/1000 1-2 member household size is the most important demographic as they account for 58% of sales. Opportunity to increase reach as 1- 2 member household has the lowest penetration 18 Source : ACNielsen Homescan Australia Copyright © 2011 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary. Share of Trade 19 Copyright © 2011 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary. While WW, Coles and Green Grocers lead Celery trade, Green Grocers and Coles have manage to increase their importance during last year. Share of Trade - Share of Trade ALL SHOPPERS - MAT TO 26/11/2011 - TOTAL CELERY - BASED ON VALUE ($000'S)/1000 This pie chart shows how is the Celery value distribution among different retailers/channels of trade This show the actual sales values percentage growth/decline behind the share of trade changes 20 Source : ACNielsen | Homescan Australia Copyright © 2011 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary. While Green Grocers and Coles increased their share, WW decline was a result of an important drop in the penetration for this commodity ALL SHOPPERS - TOTAL CELERY Consumer KPI's Value Basis: VALUE ($000'S) Source: Nielsen Homescan 21 Copyright © 2011 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary. Buyers have increased their total spend and spend per occasion for all Channel/Retailers. What is driving how much my consumers buy? - Brand Health - Value ALL SHOPPERS - AUS - MAT TO 29/10/2011 - BASED ON VALUE ($000'S)/1000 Source : ACNielsen Homescan Australia 22 Copyright © 2011 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary. Glossary 23 Copyright © 2011 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary. Terms • Penetration – The proportion of households purchasing a product in the specified period expressed as a percentage of all households. • Average Weight of Purchase (AWOP) – The average volume/value/units of a product bought across all buyers of that product in the specified period. • Occasions Per Buyer – The average no. of times each buyer purchases the specified product in a specified period. A product/date/shop combination, eg. a household purchasing 2 identical products on a shopping trip to Woolworths constitutes a single purchase occasion. • Amount Per Occasion – Average value or units purchased on each purchase occasion. • QTR – Quarter year; rolling 13 weeks. • MAT – Moving annual total; a rolling yearly total which accumulates 52 weeks of data. • PP – Prior Period • YA – Year Ago. 24 Copyright © 2011 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary. Lifestage Demographic Definitions Young Transitionals Adult households (no children <=17) Head of household <35 Small scale families Households with oldest child 6-11 years Start-up families Households with young children only, oldest child < 6 Bustling families Households with oldest child 12-17 years Senior Couples Two (2) or more adults (No children <=17) Head of household 60 or over Independent singles One (1) person adult household (No children <=17) Head of household >=35 Established Couples Two (2) or more adults (No children <=17) Head of household 35-59 25 Copyright © 2011 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary. Lifestage Distribution of Households Senior Couples, 14% Young Transitionals, 15% Start Up Families,9% Established Households, 18% Independent Singles,17% Small Scale Families,11% Bustling Families,16% 26 Copyright © 2011 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary. Scanning guide enhancements were introduced in August 2009, providing greater depth of information… 27 Copyright © 2011 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary. Source of Growth / Decline - Bulla Premiu For Period MAT to 19/02/2011 vs YA | How to read a Source of Volume Chart 65.5 27.8 18.1 18.5 New/Lost Cat Exp/Cont Exp/Cont New/Lost Existing brand Cat New/Lost Brand Category Buyers buyers Buyers Category - Retained - New/Lost Households that The Focus Brand Gains or Losses Buyers Brand Brand purchased the experienced within the Focus Buyers Buyers category in one gains/losses Brands by period but not the from households Households who other and the who added/omitted the focus brand was increased/decrea focus brand to included in the sed their their category category purchases of the purchases. purchases.Incremental focus/ Lost brand Category Sales Switching Switching Includes Total 1.1 Total % Change in Volume households who shifted their focus brand purchases from/to alternative category items. 28 Copyright © 2011 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary. Appendix 29 Copyright © 2011 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary. What is driving grocery sales? (Account Comparison) - Bigger Picture - Value ALL SHOPPERS - TOTAL CELERY - SHARE OF TRADE ($) 30 Source : ACNielsen | Homescan Australia Copyright © 2011 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.