Remote camera monitoring across a statewide park network Tailoring approaches for specific applications Mark Antos Parks Victoria Kally Yuen Parks Victoria Australian Mathematical Sciences Institute First things first • Signs of Healthy Parks monitoring initiative – – – – – – Identify key park values, threats and existing monitoring Prioritise monitoring needs Develop clear objectives Assess where, when and how- which is the best method? Management relevance Data analysis plan and staff feedback • All this needs to happen before anyone deploys a camera Mornington Peninsula NP Great Otway NP Getting the methods right • Protocol based approach – Developed by experts at ARI (DSE) • Using a suite of complementary methods Two case studies Great Otway NP Mornington Peninsula NP • Is fox baiting effective in reducing fox activity? • Which mammal species are present in the park? • Is there a positive response from prey species? • Which areas are important for native mammals? Fairly large, intact and diverse landscape Linear park with large edge to area ratio Great Otway NP Heathy woodland Wet forest Monitoring since 2009 Fox baiting since 2010 >2km >2km Fox baiting No baiting 20 sites 20 sites Fox baiting 20 sites No baiting 20 sites Comparing meat vs oat lures Great Otway NP- refining the method Influence of bait type: No. of sites with detection (2009-11) No of active camera days Species Meat baits Oat-peanut Year Median Mean SD Range butter 2009 spp 16.5 16.6 20 4.0 1-21 Antechinus 7 2010 Bandicoot 21 Long-nosed 19.0 19 6.5 2011Brown Bandicoot 23 Southern 22.4 3 21.8 5 1.8 1-28 16 16-28 0 2.8 10-27 2 2012 Potoroo 22 Long-nosed Black Wallaby 31 37 Bush Rat 28 31 Cat 32 25 Dog 5 0 Fox 22 16 Bassian Thrush 29 34 Great Otway NP- Analysis • Dynamic occupancy model (MacKenzie et al 2003) used to estimate site occupancy probability for each year • AIC used to rank a set of 14 candidate models • AIC weights used to assess whether poison has an effect on occupancy probabilities • All models with Δ AIC <2 compared to top ranked model were used to derive occupancy probabilities Effect of fox baiting on occupancy probability over time Species Sum AICwt Level of support Red Fox 5% very weak Native animals combined 25% not strong Potoroos and bandicoots 17% not strong Bassian Thrush 90% very strong The summation is over the six models which allow for the possible effect of foxpoison baiting on the occupancy rate over time. Great Otway NP- Foxes and snack-sized mammals Bandicoot & potoroo occupancy rate for each year ± 1 SE 1.0 1.0 0.8 0.8 Occupancy rate ( ) Occupancy rate ( ) Fox occupancy rate for each year ± 1 SE 0.6 0.4 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 2009 2010 2011 2012 2009 2010 2011 2012 Great Otway NP- Bassian Thrush Bassian Thrush occupancy rates ± 1 standard error Occupancy rate ( ) 1.0 fox poison bait applied no fox poison bait 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.0 2009 2010 2011 2012 Lessons and limitations • • • • • Pilot studies are critical Experimental design is critical Be prepared to review and refine Adequate sampling and spatial segregation? Other variables (habitat, climate, cats etc)? Benefits • Better understanding of predator distribution • Better understanding of native fauna distribution • Improved staff skills Mornington Peninsula • Over 150 randomly allocated survey points (>1km apart) • Stratified by vegetation type • Roll out of cameras over autumn/winter with oat baits Mornington Peninsula • 32 native spp recorded • 6 exotic spp • Surprises – Long-nosed Bandicoots and White-footed Dunnart well represented – Lewin’s Rail recorded at 5 sites – Broad-toothed Rat? Using the data Mid range areas Highest value area Dysfunctional? corridor Next steps • Results used to help with planning – Predator control – Planned burns – Weed works and habitat restoration • Repeat survey in 2 years – Compare results- link to State of the Parks reporting – Measure management effectiveness Concluding remarks • Be clear about monitoring objectives and make sure you are using the best method • Acknowledge limitations of the method • Pilot studies and test runs are really useful • Don’t underestimate data curation and analysis time • Be prepared for surprises and to make the most of them Thanks • Great Otway NP – – – – – – – – Emma Danby Carlie Bronk Gary Summers Mick Biddle Sylvia van de Peet Lachie Davis Suzanna McCoy Scot Mitri • ARI – Michael Scroggie – Jenny Nelson – Peter Menkhorst • Mornington Peninsula – – – – – – – Brendan McKay Louise Bracy Kim Kott Sarah Dodd Danny Hudson Alisson Bolden Darren Mitchell • PV mapping support – Jenny Bunnage – Steve Shelley • Trust for Nature – Ben Cullen