Cosponsorship Data 280,000 “bills” proposed in the U.S. House and Senate from 1973 to 2004 (93rd-108th Congresses) recorded in Thomas over 2.1 million cosponsorship signatures partitioned by chamber and Congress to create 32 separate cosponsorship networks http://jhfowler.ucsd.edu/cosponsorship.htm Cosponsorship in the House Congress House 93rd 94th 95th 96th 97th 98th 99th 100th 101st 102nd 103rd 104th 105th 106th 107th 108th Years 1973-1974 1975-1976 1977-1978 1979-1980 1981-1982 1983-1984 1985-1986 1987-1988 1989-1990 1991-1992 1993-1994 1995-1996 1997-1998 1999-2000 2001-2002 2003-2004 Mean Mean “Bills” “Bills” Sponsored Cosponsored Mean Cosponsors by Each Cosponsors per Total Total by Each Mean Sponsors“Bills” Legislator Legislator per “Bill” Legislator Distance 442 439 437 436 435 435 432 436 438 436 437 433 439 437 441 438 20994 19275 18578 10478 10062 9095 8606 8093 8423 8551 7464 6558 6780 7894 7541 7636 48 44 42 24 23 21 20 18 19 19 17 15 15 18 17 17 129 151 170 187 223 297 329 341 370 339 259 168 219 278 273 276 3 3 4 8 10 14 17 18 19 17 15 11 14 15 16 16 70 79 93 111 132 157 171 174 184 172 144 105 127 151 143 147 1.95 1.89 1.83 1.76 1.72 1.65 1.61 1.60 1.58 1.61 1.67 1.77 1.73 1.67 1.68 1.67 Cosponsorship in the Senate Congress Senate 93rd 94th 95th 96th 97th 98th 99th 100th 101st 102nd 103rd 104th 105th 106th 107th 108th Years 1973-1974 1975-1976 1977-1978 1979-1980 1981-1982 1983-1984 1985-1986 1987-1988 1989-1990 1991-1992 1993-1994 1995-1996 1997-1998 1999-2000 2001-2002 2003-2004 Mean Mean “Bills” “Bills” Sponsored Cosponsored Mean Cosponsors by Each Cosponsors per Total Total by Each Mean Sponsors“Bills” Legislator Legislator per “Bill” Legislator Distance 101 100 102 99 101 101 101 101 100 101 101 102 100 102 101 100 5123 4913 4722 4188 9674 11228 7596 7782 7370 7686 5824 8101 7001 8265 8745 7804 51 49 45 41 96 111 75 77 74 75 58 79 70 81 87 78 153 137 121 135 219 294 324 361 376 335 232 176 212 290 261 285 3 3 3 3 2 3 4 5 5 4 4 2 3 4 3 4 54 52 49 54 68 77 75 83 82 79 70 59 67 76 71 72 1.46 1.48 1.51 1.46 1.31 1.24 1.24 1.17 1.17 1.21 1.30 1.41 1.33 1.24 1.30 1.27 Mutual Cosponsorship Relations Congress 93rd 94th 95th 96th 97th 98th 99th 100th 101st 102nd 103rd 104th 105th 106th 107th 108th Any Bill House Senate 0.17 0.23 0.17 0.25 0.17 0.21 0.12 0.12 0.14 0.17 0.15 0.16 0.14 0.19 0.18 0.18 0.15 0.17 0.15 0.26 0.17 0.19 0.16 0.20 0.16 0.19 0.16 0.17 0.17 0.17 0.18 0.18 Total Number of Bills House Senate 0.23 0.39 0.20 0.34 0.19 0.33 0.15 0.26 0.22 0.27 0.23 0.36 0.21 0.34 0.25 0.39 0.24 0.39 0.14 0.30 0.23 0.34 0.21 0.29 0.24 0.36 0.25 0.37 0.29 0.47 0.34 0.43 Connectedness: An Alternative Measure Traditional measures of centrality generate plausible names None takes advantage of information about the strength of social relationships Total number of cosponsors on each bill Total number of bills sponsored by j and cosponsored by i Legislators recruit first those legislators to whom they are most closely connected. More cosponsors = lower probability of direct connection Bills with fewer total cosponsors more reliable Strength of the connection between i and j = 1/cij More bills in common = stronger relationship Weighted cosponsorship distance wij = å aij c Weighted cosponsorship distance Legislative connectedness Suppose direct distance from legislator j to legislator i is simple inverse of the cosponsorship weight Then use Dijkstra’s algorithm (Cormen et al. 2001) Starting with legislator j, identify from a list of all other legislators the closest legislator i Replace each of the distances with min d kj , dki + dij Remove legislator i from the list and repeat until there are no more legislators on the list. Connectedness is the inverse of the average of these distances from all other legislators to legislator j. ( ) Results for the House Congress House 93rd 94th 95th 96th 97th 98th 99th 100th 101st 102nd 103rd 104th 105th 106th 107th 108th Best Connected Legislator 0.44 0.57 0.60 0.31 0.27 0.27 0.26 0.25 0.28 0.27 0.22 0.24 0.22 0.28 0.24 0.28 Koch, Edward [D-NY-18] Pepper, Claude [D-FL-14] Pepper, Claude [D-FL-14] Pepper, Claude [D-FL-14] Montgomery, G. [D-MS-3] Roe, Robert A. [D-NJ-8] Breaux, John [D-LA-7] Waxman, Henry A. [D-CA-29] Stark, Fortney Pete [D-CA-9] Fawell, Harris W. [R-IL-13] Waxman, Henry A. [D-CA-29] Traficant, James [D-OH-17] Gilman, Benjamin [R-NY- 20] McCollum, Bill [R-FL-8] Young, Don [R-AK] Saxton, Jim [R-NJ-3] Strongest Sponsor / Cosponsor Relation Relationship 69 72 51 58 29 30 16 57 23 14 8 7 7 10 11 14 Commerce Chair, Ranking Member Armed Services Chair, Ranking Member Armed Services Chair, Ranking Member Armed Services Chair, Ranking Member Armed Services Chair, Ranking Member Armed Services Chair, Ranking Member Veterans Affairs Chair, Ranking Member Veterans Affairs Chair, Ranking Member Contiguous Districts Courts and Intellectual Property Chair, Ranking Member Courts and Intellectual Property Chair, Ranking Member Courts and Intellectual Property Chair, Ranking Member Contiguous Districts Transportation Chair, Ranking Member (Nearly) Contiguous Districts, Repub. Study Committee House Administration Chair, Ranking Staggers, Harley [D-WV-2] / Devine, Samuel [R-OH-12] Price, Melvin [D-IL-21] / Wilson, Robert [R-CA-41] Price, Melvin [D-IL-21] / Wilson, Robert [R-CA-41] Price, Melvin [D-IL-21] / Wilson, Robert [R-CA-41] Price, Melvin [D-IL-21] / Dickinson, William [R-AL-2] Price, Melvin [D-IL-21] / Dickinson, William [R-AL-2] Montgomery, G. [D-MS-3] / Hammerschmidt, J. [R-AR-3] Montgomery, G. [D-MS-3] / Solomon, Gerald [R-NY-24] Schulze, Richard T. [R-PA-5] / Yatron, Gus [D-PA-6] Hughes, William [D-NJ-2] / Moorhead, Carlos [R-CA-22] Hughes, William [D-NJ-2] / Moorhead, Carlos [R-CA-27] Moorhead, Carlos [R-CA-27] / Schroeder, Pat [D-CO-1] Ensign, John E. [R-NV-1] / Gibbons, Jim [R-NV-2] Shuster, Bud [R-PA-9] / Oberstar, James L. [D-MN-8] DeMint, Jim [R-SC-4] / Myrick, Sue [R-NC-9] Ney, Robert W. [R-OH-18] / Larson, John B. [D-CT-1] Results for the Senate Congress Senate 93rd 94th 95th 96th 97th 98th 99th 100th 101st 102nd 103rd 104th 105th 106th 107th 108th Best Connected Legislator 0.94 1.12 0.90 0.84 0.91 1.28 1.37 1.46 1.39 1.23 1.20 1.58 1.36 1.36 1.61 1.43 Jackson, Henry [D-WA] Moss, Frank [D-UT] Dole, Robert J. [R-KS] Dole, Robert J. [R-KS] Heinz, Henry [R-PA] Hatch, Orrin G. [R-UT] Thurmond, Strom [R-SC] Cranston, Alan [D-CA] Kennedy, Edward M. [D-MA] Mitchell, George J. [D-ME] Mitchell, George J. [D-ME] Dole, Robert J. [R-KS] McCain, John [R-AZ] Hatch, Orrin G. [R-UT] Feingold, Russell D. [D-WI] McCain, John [R-AZ] Strongest Sponsor / Cosponsor Relation 65 139 33 24 34 63 109 70 77 179 59 38 40 104 53 50 Magnuson, Warren [D-WA] / Cotton, Norris [R-NH] Jackson, Henry [D-WA] / Fannin, Paul [R-AZ] Inouye, Daniel [D-HI] / Matsunaga, Spark [D-HI] Byrd, Robert [D-WV] / Baker, Howard [R-TN] Inouye, Daniel [D-HI] / Matsunaga, Spark [D-HI] Baker, Howard [R-TN] / Byrd, Robert [D-WV] Cranston, Alan [D-CA] / Wilson, Pete [R-CA] Byrd, Robert [D-WV] / Dole, Robert J. [R-KS] Mitchell, George J. [D-ME] / Dole, Robert J. [R-KS] Mitchell, George J. [D-ME] / Sasser, Jim [D-TN] Mitchell, George J. [D-ME] / Dole, Robert J. [R-KS] Dole, Robert J. [R-KS] / Daschle, Thomas A. [D-SD] Lott, Trent [R-MS] / Daschle, Thomas A. [D-SD] Hutchison, Kay Bailey [R-TX] / Brownback, Sam [R-KS] McCain, John [R-AZ] / Gramm, Phil [R-TX] Frist, Bill [R-TN] / Daschle, Thomas A. [D-SD] Relationship Commerce Chair, Ranking Member Interior and Insular Affairs Chair, Ranking Member Same State Majority, Minority Leader Same State Majority, Minority Leader Same State Majority, Minority Leader Majority, Minority Leader Federal Housing Reform Majority, Minority Leader Majority, Minority Leader Majority, Minority Leader Marriage Penalty Relief and Bankruptcy Reform Personal Majority, Minority Leader Quality of Strongest Weighted Relationships Institutional Ties Regional Ties From the same state In the House they are often from contiguous districts Issue Ties House committee chairs and ranking members Senate majority and minority leaders Rep. Jim DeMint and Sue Myrick -- Republican Study Committee Sen. George Mitchell and Jim Sasser -- Federal Housing Reform Sen. Kay Bailey Hutchinson and Sam Brownback -- marriage penalty relief and bankruptcy reform Personal Ties Senator John McCain chaired Senator Phil Gramm’s 1996 Presidential campaign McCain has told the media that they have been friends since 1982 when they served together in the House (McGrory 1995) 108th House Top 20 108th Senate Top 20 External Validity: Legislative Influence Widely used measure of legislative influence is number of successful floor amendments Hall 1992; Sinclair 1989; Smith 1989; Weingast 1991 1 SD increase in connectedness increases successful floor amendments 53% in House 65% in Senate External Validity: Roll Call Votes Model roll call votes as in Poole and Rosenthal, adding connectedness score of sponsor 1 SD increase in connectedness of sponsor increases votes for bill by 5.2 in House 8.2 in Senate 2 SD increase would change 16% of House votes and 20% of Senate votes Landmark Legislation: An Alternative to Mayhew Modularity (Newman and Girvan 2004) Define modularity to be Q = (number of edges within groups) – (expected number within groups). Actual Number of Edges between i and j is Expected Number of Edges between i and j is Modularity Matrix So Q is a sum of (si, sj) over pairs (i, j) that are in the same group Or we can write in matrix form as Where B is a new characteristic matrix, the modularity marix, Modularity Matrix Algorithm Calculate the leading eigenvector of the modularity matrix Divide the vertices according to the signs of the elements Note that there is no need to forbid the solution with all the vertices in a single group. Example Example Applications Books on politics The vertices represent 105 recent books sold from Amazon.com Divide the books according to their political alignment Liberal / Conservative / Centrist Example Polarization in the 108th Senate 108th House by Party 108th House by Ideology 108th House by State 108th House by Committee Polarization Over Time in the House Polarization Over Time in the Senate Black Legislators in the 103rd House Black Legislators in the 104th House Black Legislators in the 108th House Poor Districts in the 108th House