MK. EKONOMI SUMBERDAYA ALAM DAN LINGKUNGAN INTRODUCTION TO ECOLOGICAL ECONOMICS Greentax Sep. 7, 2004 Gary Flomenhoft-Gund Institute Diunduh dari: smno.psdl.ppsub.2013 DIAGRAM LINGKAR MODEL EKONOMI “EXTERNALITIES” SOCIETY ? ECONOMY ENVIRONMENT ? LINGKUNGAN sbg ‘SUBSET’ dari EKONOMI EKONOMI EKOSISTEM EKONOMI NEO-KLASIK 1890- No Ingredients, only labor and capital P = f(L,K)= ALa . BKb (Cobb-Douglas multiplication) Labor (Chef ) = x X Kapital (Mixing bowl) Kapital (oven) ROTI? EKONOMI NEO-KLASIK 1890INFINITE SUBSTITUT-ABILITY: 2P = f(L,K)= 2ALa . 2BKb More Chefs x or Bigger Mixing bowl = More Bread? Quotable Quotes • “There is no reason we can’t have a perfectly healthy economy with virtually no resources whatsoever” Robert Solow • “We can do without agriculture because it’s only 2% of the economy.” Norgaard? • “neo-classical economics is a form of brain damage” - Hazel Henderson EKONOMI - EKOLOGIS NO “EXTERNALITIES” EKONOMI - EKOLOGIS Sietem Terbuka Hukum I : Konservasi Massa (some) ECONOMY (waste) PAJAK HIJAU = GREEN TAX (some) ECONOMY (waste) 3 Ss: Sources Sub-surface Resources Sites Surface locations: ie: land Sinks Absorbtion of waste EKONOMI - EKOLOGIS Entropi = disorder, randomness Hukum II: Entropi selalu meningkat (waste) ECONOMY LOW ENTROPY (dissipated) HIGH ENTROPY EKONOMI - EKOLOGIS WHAT IS ANTI-ENTROPIC? (SYNTROPIC) (waste) ECONOMY LOW ENTROPY HIGH ENTROPY EKONOMI - EKOLOGIS SISTEM TERTUTUP earth ECONOMY SCALE-Full World or Empty World? Source: Ecological Economics Principles & Applications, Farley and Daly DIS-UTILITAS MARGINAL PERBEDAAN-PERBEDAAN MODEL SKY-TRUST (some) ECONOMY (waste) Sumberdaya Sub-surface Resources Ke Hulu…….! Sky-Trust model Appendix : Key Features of U.S. Sky Trust Here are the key features of the proposed U.S. Sky Trust. o Carbon emissions cap set initially at 1.346 billion tons, the 1990 level o Tradable carbon emission permits sold annually to energy companies at the top of the carbon chain. o All revenue from permit sales goes into a nationwide trust. o Trust pays equal annual dividends to all U.S. citizens (like the Alaska Permanent Fund). o Dividends can be placed tax-free in Individual Retirement Accounts or Individual Development Accounts for children. o Initial price ceiling on carbon emission permits of $25 a ton; ceiling rises 7 percent a year for four years. o Transition Fund to help those most adversely affected by higher carbon prices. Fund starts at 25 percent of permit revenue, declines 2.5 percent per year. PENGELOLAAN = GOVERNANCE PENGELOLAAN = GOVERNANCE “Golden Rule of Publicly held companies: “Maximization of Shareholder Value” Rational behavior: Externalize costs Influence politics to Seek subsidies and favors QUOTABLE QUOTES “Altruism is evil and selfishness is a virtue.” -Ayn Rand “Few trends could so thoroughly undermine the very foundations of our free society as the acceptance by corporate officials of a social responsibility other than to make as much money for their stockholders as possible.” -Milton Friedman 1962 BIAYA REGULASI Annual Cost: $37-43 billion EPA conservative approach, Consistently overestimates costs, not considering least cost approach and technical innovation Annual Benefits: $121-193 EPA consistently underestimates benefits USING ACTUAL NOT THEORETICAL CASES BENEFITS OUTWEIGH COSTS 5:1 CONSILIENCE “~Resources are infinite and the economy can grow forever” (Julian Simon) “Anyone who thinks you can have infinite growth on a finite planet is either a madman or an economist” (Kenneth Boulding) EKONOMI – EKOLOGIS: Human Development Growth = increase in throughput-quantitative Development Growth Development = qualitative improvement EKONOMI – EKOLOGIS: POPULASI Demographic transition Theory Growth Development EKONOMI – EKOLOGIS: POPULASI EKONOMI – EKOLOGIS: SUKSESI HUTAN Growth Development Reorganization Aggredation Transition Steady-state (mature) We hear: “There is no conflict between economic growth and environmental protection!” 1 0 0 0 1 0 5 0 1 1 0 0 1 1 5 0 1 2 0 0 1 2 5 0 1 3 0 0 1 3 5 0 1 4 0 0 1 4 5 0 1 5 0 0 1 5 5 0 1 6 0 0 1 6 5 0 1 7 0 0 1 7 5 0 1 8 0 0 1 8 5 0 1 9 0 0 1 9 5 0 2 0 0 0 World GDP Billions US$$ $10,000 $1,000 330 World GDP CO2 level 310 $100 290 $10 270 $1 250 ATMOSPHERIC CO2 World GDP and CO2 $100,000 370 350 GDP 1825: ~$200 BILLION 2000: $41,000 B ILLION OR $41 TRILLION =205X 1825 level. ATM CO2 CONCENTRATION parts per million(ppm) CO2 vs WORLD GDP 370 350 330 310 290 270 $1 $10 $100 $1,000 WORLD GDP Billions of 1990 Intl $$ Log scale (source: De Long) $10,000 $100,000 KERUSAKAN IKLIM Sebab-sebab Bencana Lingkungan Urbanization Agriculture Water diversions (e.g., reservoirs) Recreation, tourism development Pollution Domestic livestock, ranching Czech et al. 2000. Bioscience 50(7):593-601. 247 205 160 148 143 136 Sebab-sebab Bencana Lingkungan Mineral, gas, oil extraction Non-native species Harvest Modified fire regimes Road construction/maintenance Industrial development Czech et al. 2000. Bioscience 50(7):593-601. 134 115 101 83 83 81 SKENARIO DAYA DUKUNG K K-selection r-selection Time K GNP Natural capital allocated to wildlife Natural capital allocated to human economy Time Czech, B. 2000. Economic growth as the limiting factor for wildlife conservation. Wildlife Society Bulletin 28(1):4-14. KAPITAL SUMBERDAYA ALAM “We treat the earth like a business in liquidation.” Herman Daly Opportunity cost. Loss is not counted. DAYA DUKUNG EKONOMI (“Plimsoll line”) K K-selection r-selection Time We Might Ask GGP K Economy of nature Human economy ALOKASI SUMBERDAYA ALAM GNP X natural capital allocable KU KT Natural capital allocated to non-human economy Natural capital allocated to human economy Time Distribution-Grow out of poverty? Poverty rate vs. GDP per Capita (1996$) $35,000 20% 18% $30,000 16% $25,000 14% $20,000 12% $15,000 10% $10,000 8% per capita GDP (1996$) Rivalness and Excludability • rival – My use leaves less for you to use • Excludable (property rights) – One person can keep another from using the good – Consumer must pay, market will supply Must have a price to work in the free market! Rivalness and Excludability • Non-rival – My use does not leave less for you to use – Market sells for a price, discouraging use, but social cost of use = 0, therefore market should not supply • Non-excludable – One person can’t keep another from using the good – Consumer will not pay, market will not supply Must have a price to work in the free market! Excludable Rival} Non-rival} Non-rival, congestible Market Good: Food, clothes, cars, land, timber, fish once captured, farmed fish, regulated pollution Potential market good (Tragedy of the “noncommons”)but inefficient: patented information, Pond, roads (congestible), streetlights Private beaches, private gardens, toll roads, zoos, movies Non-Excludable Open Access Regime: (misnamed: Tragedy of the commons) Oceanic fisheries, timber etc. from unprotected forests, air pollution, waste absorption capacity Pure Public Good: climate stability, ozone layer, clean air/water/land, Biodiversity, information, habitat, life support functions, etc. Public beaches, gardens, roads, etc. Diunduh dari: ….. 30/9/2012 Diunduh dari: ….. 30/9/2012 Diunduh dari: ….. 30/9/2012 Diunduh dari: ….. 30/9/2012