Topic 0: Getting in the Mood for Macro! Pre-Course Readings (These are the readings you should do prior to week 1.) Goal: To frame the issues of the course via a few short articles from the popular press. We will explore many of the details of these articles throughout the course. Note: (*) indicates that a link to the reading can be found on my web page. I. Overview of Macroeconomics 1. Size Does Matter: In Defense of Macroeconomics* (Paul Krugman: 7/9/1998) 2. Baby Sitting the Economy* (Paul Krugman: 8/13/1998) 3. Big Questions and Big Numbers (Economist: 7/15/2006) II. 2008 Financial Crisis: The Beginning 4. Wall Street’s Bad Dream 5. Diamond and Kashyap Primer* III. Sluggish Labor Market 6. U.S. Economy Weakened Years Before Crash* 7. Why Fed Has Failed to Lower Unemployment* IV. (Economist 8/10/2013) (Economist 10/10/2013) The State of Modern Macroeconomics: A Critical Overview 10. What Good Are Economists Anyway? 11. Yes, Economics Is a Science* 12. The Keynesian Revolution* VI. (Erik’s web page) (Erik’s web page) New Era at The Fed 8. Summers v Yellen 9. Dove Ascendant V. (Economist: 9/20/2008) (Erik’s web page) (BusinessWeek: 4/16/2009) (Erik’ Web Page) (Erik’s Web Page) The State of Modern Macroeconomics: A Civil Debate 13. Stagnant Thinking 14. In Defense of the Dismal Science (by R. Lucas) 15. Why We Need a New Macroeconomics* (Economist 12/5/2013) (Economist: 8/8/2009) (Erik’s web page) Topic 1: Introduction to Macro Data Chapters 1, 2, and 3.5 from Text. I. The Difficulty in Measuring Economic Variables A. Difficulty in Measuring Prices 16. Counting the Cost of Living B. Difficulty in Measuring Output/Output Growth 17. 18. 19. 20. 21. 22. Botox and Beancounting Diagnosing Depression One Reason the Economy Looks So Weak* The Dragon Takes Wing Getting Creative with G.D.P. Sex, Drugs, and GDP: The Challenge of Measuring the Shadow Economy (Economist: 5/11/2013) (Economist 4/30/2011) (Economist: 1/3/2009) (Erik’s Web Page) (Economist: 2/14/2014) (NYTimes: 7/27/2013) (WSJ: 6/8/2014) C. Difficulty in Measuring Unemployment 23. Where Are the Workers? 24. Wanted: More Unemployment* (Economist 2/12/2011) (Erik’s Webpage) D. Difficulty Measuring Well Being 25. Measuring What Matters 26. Like a Piece of String (Economist: 9/19/2009) (Economist: 10/13/2012) E. Measurement Debate in the Political Arena 27. Damn Lies and Statistics* 28. Inflation in Argentina: New Data, Old Qualms 29. Right on Target Topic 2: (Erik's Webpage) (Economist: 2/14/2014) (Economist: 7/18/2015) Production, the Labor Market and Economic Growth Chapters 3, 6.1 and 6.3 (skim 6.2 - do not worry about the math) from Text I. Production and Labor Markets 30. 31. 32. 33. The Land of Leisure Labour Pains Age Invaders This American Life Episode # 490 (Act One) (Economist: 2/4/2006) (Economist: 11/2/2013) (Economist: 4/26/2014) (www.thisamericanlife.org) II. Growth in the “New” Economy 34. Productivity on Stilts 35. The workforce in the cloud III. Productivity and Regulation 36. Let 50 Flowers Bloom 37. Will Obamacare Destroy Jobs? IV. (Economist: 6/10/2000) (Economist 5/30/2013) (Economist: 3/16/2013) (Economist: 8/24/2013) Policies to Boost Wages 38. A Reckless Wage 39. Ways of Seeing Topic 3: (Economist: 7/25/2015) (Economist: 7/25/2015) Consumption, Saving, and Investment Chapters 4.1, 4.2 and Appendix 4.A from Text I. Consumption/Savings 40. Dropping the Shopping 41. Time as Money 42. The Opposite of Insurance II. (Economist: 7/25/2009) (Economist (Free Exchange): 8/8/2013) (Economist: 5/17/2014) Investment 43. Desperately Seeking a Cash Cure 44. Trying to Calculate the Cost of Uncertainty* Topic 4: (Economist: 10/22/2008) (WSJ - Wessel, 12/5/2012) Fiscal Policy Chapter 15 from Text I. Government Deficits 45. Less of a Drag 46. Fiscal Cliffs, Multipliers, and the Myth of Central Bank Independence II. (Economist: 1/7/2012) (Economist (Free Exchange):5/23/2012) Taxes 47. The New Voodoo* (Paul Krugman: 12/30/2010) 48. Accidental Tax Breaks Saves Wealthiest $100 Billion* (Erik’s Web Page) III. Fiscal Policy in Action 49. The Lessons of 1937 50. Building Works 51. What is Austerity IV. (Economist: 6/20/2009) (Economist: 8/29/2015) (Economist (Blog): 5/20/2015) Can Government Create Jobs? 52. This American Life Episode #435 (How to Create Jobs) (www.thisamericanlife.org) (Only Listen to Acts 1 and 3) V. ObamaCare 53. New Yorkers to See 50% Drop in Health Insurance Costs* 54. New Health Law Frustrates Many in Middle Class* VI. (Erik’s Web Page) (Erik’s Web Page) The Rise in Inequality 55. 56. 57. 58. Topic 5: Measuring Inequality: A Three-Headed Hydra All Men Are Created Unequal Inequality and the Ills Behind It* The Inequality Puzzle* (Economist Blog: 7/16/2014) (Economist Blog: 1/4/2014) (NYTimes: 7/31/2014) (Larry Summers: Summer 2014) Introduction into Money/Federal Reserve Policy Chapters 7, 14.1 and 14.2 from Text I. Monetary Basics 59. 60. 61. 62. II. Who Needs Money Macro control, micro problems Bitcoin Under Pressure The Birth of the Dollar Bill* (Economist: 1/22/2000) (Economist 5/30/2013) (Economist 11/30/2013) (Planet Money) Monetary Policy In Action 63. A Blunt Tool 64. More Red Lights than Green (Economist: 6/30/2001) (Economist: 9/12/2015) III. Monetary Policy in Recent Years 65. 66. 67. 68. 69. Topic 6: The Zero Lower Bound in Our Minds* Easing Means Squeezing A Leap in the Dark Fixing Forward Guidance The Hutchins Center Explains Quantitative Easing* (Erik's Web Page) (Economist: 9/12/2015) (Economist: 3/15/2015) (Economist: 2/15/2014) (Erik’s Web Page) Inflation and Unemployment in the Short Run (Putting it All Together) Chapters 8-11 from Text I. Should We Care About Deflation? 70. Hear that Hissing Sound? 71. The Curse of Defeatism II. Shifts in Aggregate Supply: Technology Shocks 72. A Thinkers' Guide IV. (Economist: 4/1/2000) Shifts in Aggregate Supply: Oil Shocks 73. Counting the Cost 74. A Rhetorical Blowout V. (Economist: 5/17/2003) (Economist: 11/28/2009) (Economist: 8/27/2005) (Economist 5/14/2011) Wage and Price Stickiness 75. Sticky Situations 76. Sticky, Sticky Wages Topic 7: (Economist: 11/9/2006) (Economist: 1/11/2011) Policy Rules Chapter 12 and 14.3 from Text I. The Inflation/Unemployment Tradeoff 77. What Happened to the Phillips Curve* 78. Curve Ball (Brad Delong) (Economist: 9/30/2006) II. Monetary Rules (see web page for online locations) 79. 80. 81. 82. Money Rules (Economist: 10/24/1998) Bitcoin Under Pressure (Economist: 11/30/2013) This American Life #423 (Invention of Money) (www.thisamericanlife.org) Federal Reserve Board: Remarks By Governor Edward Gramlich – 9/27/98 * (Discussion of How the Fed Makes its Monetary Policy Decisions) 83. Federal Reserve Board: Remarks By Chairman Ben Bernanke - 5/25/10 * (Central Bank Independence, Transparency, and Accountability) 84. What Goes Around (Economist: 6/9/2007) 85. What Are Central Banks Actually for?* (Bloomberg: 9/3/2012) (A solution to central bankers’ divided loyalties) Topic 8: I. Special Topics Inflation or Deflation? 86. The Price is a Blight II. Praise for Bernanke 87. The Very Model of a Modern Central Banker III. (Economist 11/7/2013) (Economist: 8/29/2009) Monetary Policy in India 88. Rajan in Chains Topic 9: (Economist: 8/1/2015) The International Economy Chapter 5 and 13 from Text 89. 90. 91. 92. The Causes: A Very Short History of the Crisis Here, There, and Everywhere Kashyap’s A Primer on the Greek Crisis The Great Fall of China (Economist: 11/12/2011) (Economist: 1/17/2013) (Erik’s Web Page) (Economist: 8/29/2015)