Lee Rainie
Director – Pew Internet Project
Public Radio Program Directors
Cleveland, Ohio
9.16.09
New information ecosystem: Then and
Industrial Age
Info was:
Scarce
Expensive
Institutionally oriented
Designed for consumption
Trends in internet use
Information Age
Info is:
Abundant
Cheap
Personally oriented
Designed for participation
September 16, 2009 2
The internet is the asteroid: Then
2000
46% of adults use internet
5% with broadband at home
50% own a cell phone
0% connect to internet wirelessly
<10% use “cloud”
= slow, stationary connections built around my computer
Trends in internet use
2009
79% of adults use internet
63% with broadband at home
85% own a cell phone
56% connect to internet wirelessly
>twothirds use “cloud”
= fast, mobile connections built around outside servers and storage
September 16, 2009 3
Product
Route to home Display Local storage
TV stations phone broadcast TV broadcast radio
TV radio stereo
Cassette/ 8-track
Vinyl album
News mail
Advertising newspaper delivery
Radio Stations phone non-electronic paper
Trends in internet use
Tom Wolzien, Sanford C. Bernstein & Co
September 16, 2009 4
Product
TV stations
Info
“Daily me” content
Cable Nets
Web sites
Local news
Content from
Satellite radio
Route to home cable
DSL wireless/phone
Display
TiVo (PVR)
TV radio broadcast TV books broadcast radio
PC iPod /MP3 stereo satellite mail monitor headphones express delivery pager satellite player individuals
Peer-to-peer iPod / storage subcarriers / WIFI
Advertising newspaper delivery
Radio stations camcorder/camera portable gamer cell phone
Local storage
VCR
Satellite radio player
DVD
Web-based storage server/ TiVo (PVR)
PC web storage/servers
CD/CD-ROM cell phone memory
MP3 player / iPod pagers - PDAs cable box
PDA/Palm game console game console paper e-reader / Kindle storage sticks/disks e-reader/Kindle
Trends in internet use
Adapted from Tom Wolzien, Sanford C. Bernstein & Co
September 16, 2009 5
Myth 1: Everyone is online
Reality: Digital gaps are persistent
Age gap
100%
80%
60%
40%
20%
0%
92%
42%
Trends in internet use
Age 18-29 Age 65+
Pew Internet & American Life Project – April 2009 survey
September 16, 2009 6
100%
80%
60%
40%
20%
0%
Myth 1: Everyone is online
Reality: Digital gaps are persistent
Income gap
95%
60%
<$30,000/yr >$75,000/yr
Pew Internet & American Life Project – April 2009 survey
September 16, 2009 7 Trends in internet use
Myth 1: Everyone is online
Reality: Digital gaps are persistent
Education gap
94%
100%
80%
60%
40%
20%
0%
64%
HS diploma or less
Trends in internet use
College degree or more
Pew Internet & American Life Project – April 2009 survey
September 16, 2009 8
Myth 1: Everyone is online
Reality: Digital gaps are persistent
Language gap
100%
80%
60%
76%
44%
40%
20%
0%
English speaking
Trends in internet use
Spanish speaking
Pew Internet & American Life Project – December 2008 survey
September 16, 2009 9
100%
80%
60%
40%
20%
0%
Myth 1: Everyone is online
Reality: Digital gaps are persistent
Community gap
77%
65%
Suburban Rural
Pew Internet & American Life Project – April 2009 survey
September 16, 2009 10 Trends in internet use
Myth 1: Everyone is online
Reality: Digital gaps are persistent
100%
80%
60%
40%
20%
0%
Racial gap - but race mostly isn't the reason
79%
67%
Trends in internet use
Whites Blacks
Pew Internet & American Life Project – April 2009 survey
September 16, 2009 11
Myth 2: Everyone is online every day
Reality: Some are casual and infrequent users
• 27% of internet users do NOT use the internet on an average day
• More than 40% of those with home internet connections do NOT go online every day
– 28% of home broadband users do NOT go online every day
• More than 30% of those with work internet connections do NOT go online every day
Trends in internet use
Pew Internet & American Life Project – April 2009 survey
September 16, 2009 12
Myth 3: Non-internet users are far removed from online life
Reality: Some are drop-outs, some are second-hand users
• 21% of non-internet users were at one time in their lives internet users
– No longer interested
– Computer or connection didn’t work
– Too expensive
– Too frustrating
• 13% of non-internet users live in households with internet connections – other members of the family use the internet in the house
Trends in internet use
Pew Internet & American Life Project – April 2009 survey
September 16, 2009 13
Myth 4: All non-users want to go online
Reality: Surprising numbers have no such wish
• 86% of non-internet users say they have no desire to go online
– Don’t want it
– Don’t need it (don’t know what is helpful)
– Can’t afford it
– Like other methods of gathering information and communicating
– Too complicated
– Too scary
Trends in internet use
Pew Internet & American Life Project – April 2009 survey
September 16, 2009 14
Myth 5: Younger users dominate the internet
Reality: In many cases, they don’t
Younger users dominate
• Games
• Social network sites
• Music downloading
• Job information
• Go online for fun/diversion
• Blog writing and reading
• Watching and creating video
• Participating in virtual worlds
• Instant messaging
Trends in internet use
Older users dominate
• Health information
• Buying goods
• Banking
• Using government websites
• Religious information
• Weather
• Political news
September 16, 2009 15
Myth 5: Younger users dominate the internet
Reality: In many cases, they don’t
Generations are pretty equally engaged
• Search engines
• Product research
• News
• Travel reservations
• Job-related activities
• Maps
• Hobby information
• Online classifieds
• Auctions
• Podcasts
• Genealogy
Trends in internet use September 16, 2009 16
Information and media ecosystem changes
1.Volume of information grows
2.Variety of information increases
3.Velocity of information speeds up
4.The times and places to experience media enlarge
5.
People’s vigilance for information expands AND contracts
Trends in internet use September 16, 2009 17
Information and media ecosystem changes
6.The immersive qualities of media are more compelling
7.Relevance of information improves
8.
The number of information “voices” explodes – and the voices become
“louder” and more findable
9.Voting and ventilating are enabled
10.Social networks are more vivid
Trends in internet use September 16, 2009 18
Behold Networked Individuals …
• Expectation about access to, availability of, and pathways to information
• Place, distance, presence, intimacy – it’s all ambient
• Time use
• The possibilities of work, learning, and play
• The scalability of conversation and community
• The persistence of “digital me” and “digital you”
• Personal efficacy and the payoff for personal effort
• Boundaries and contexts – public and private
• The rewards and challenges of networking for social, economic, political, and cultural purposes – new layers and new audiences
Trends in internet use September 16, 2009 19
Behold Networked Individuals … those with a different way of getting the news
Trends in internet use September 16, 2009 20
Behold Networked Individuals … those with a different way of getting the news
People-Press news consumer typology
Disengaged
16%
Net Newsers
14%
Traditionalists
46%
Trends in internet use
Integrators
24%
September 16, 2009 21
A general new pattern of communication and influence – the 4 As
• attention
• acquisition
• assessment
• action
Trends in internet use September 16, 2009 22
How do you….
• get his/her attention?
– leverage your traditional platforms and narrative style
– offer alerts, updates, feeds
– be available in relevant places
– find pathways through his/her social network
Trends in internet use September 16, 2009 23
How do you….
• help him/her acquire information?
– be findable in a “long tail” world
– pursue new distribution methods
– offer “link love” for selfish reasons – you want joint referrals
– participate in conversations about your work
Trends in internet use September 16, 2009 24
How do you….
• help him/her assess information?
– honor the ethics of your kind of data and culture
– be transparent, link-friendly, and archive everything
– aggregate the best related work
– when you make mistakes seek forgiveness
Trends in internet use September 16, 2009 25
How do you….
• assist him/her act on information?
– offer opportunities for feedback
– offer opportunities for remixing and mash-ups
– offer opportunities for community building
– be open to the wisdom of crowds
Trends in internet use September 16, 2009 26
A handy tech-user typology http://www.pewinternet.org/Reports/2009/5-The-Mobile-Difference--Typology.aspx
Trends in internet use September 16, 2009 27
What we measured
Trends in internet use September 16, 2009 28
39% are motivated by mobility
5 groups that are being drawn into deeper use thanks to mobile connections
Wireless connections prompt them to use the internet more and feel better and better about its role in their lives
Self expression and networking matters to them, but some have mixed feelings
61% are tied to stationary media
5 groups that do not feel the pull of mobility
– or anything else – drawing them deeper in the digital world
Some have lots of technology, but it is relatively peripheral in their lives
They have plateaued in internet use and enthusiasm -- or are on the outskirts of digital life
Motivated by mobility – Group 1
Digital collaborators (8% of population)
Tech lifestyle attributes
With the most tech assets, Digital Collaborators use them to work with and share their creations with others.
The lead the pack in every dimension of our analysis: assets, actions, attitudes towards technology.
Always-on broadband and always-present cell connection is key to their lives.
These veteran users are enthusiastic about how
ICTs help them connect with others and confident in how to manage digital devices and information.
Trends in internet use September 16, 2009 30
Motivated by mobility – Group 1
Digital collaborators (8% of population)
Trends in internet use
Demographics
• Male: 56%
• Median age: 39
• Race: Diverse
• Education: 61% college +
• Household income: 53% make > $75K
• Employment status: 70% employed FT
• Community type: 52% suburb; 36% urb.
• Funky facts: 12 years online
73% married
51% parents minor children
September 16, 2009 31
Motivated by mobility – Group 1
Digital collaborators (8% of population)
Trends in internet use
Important because
• They are your most consistent, prime consumers
• They are early adopters
• They are most potent influentials
• They are evangelists and their word of mouth really, really matters
• When you want to explore new editorial direction, they will give you feedback
September 16, 2009 32
Motivated by mobility – Group 1
Digital collaborators (8% of population)
How to be a node in their network
• Stay true to your kind of story telling but use multiple platforms
• News to them is instrumental
(important to their lives) and a social lubricant (driveway moments matter to them)
• Give them the tools to collaborate and share
• Enlist their help in giving you coaching and feedback on the experiments with technology you want to try
Trends in internet use September 16, 2009 33
Motivated by mobility – Group 2
Ambivalent networkers (7% of population)
Tech lifestyle attributes
Ambivalent Networkers have folded mobile devices into how they run their social lives, whether though texting or social networking tools online.
They tie for first or take second in all assets and actions categories.
They also rely on ICTs for entertainment.
But they also express worries about connectivity; and some find that mobile devices are intrusive.
Many think it is good to take a break from online use.
Their keyword about technology might be
“obligation” – can’t afford to be off the grid, even though they want to be.
Trends in internet use September 16, 2009 34
Motivated by mobility – Group 2
Ambivalent networkers (7% of population)
Trends in internet use
Demographics
• Male: 60%
• Median age: 29 (youngest)
• Race: Little more minority than DigCollab.
• Education: 23% college +
• Household income: 44% make < $50K
• Employment status: 64% employed FT
• Community type: 44% suburb; 45% urb.
• Funky facts: 30% are students
34% are NOT email users
83% are cell texters
September 16, 2009 35
Motivated by mobility – Group 2
Ambivalent networkers (7% of population)
Important because
• They are tomorrow’s primary customers and influencers
• They like you but haven’t yet solidified the bond
• They are the “net newsers” who prefer the internet to other news sources and will care about your online offerings
Trends in internet use September 16, 2009 36
Motivated by mobility – Group 2
Ambivalent networkers (7% of population)
How to be a node in their network
• Think of yourself as a sanctuary where they can linger and focus on stories
• Help them navigate through information overload – aggregate and filter for them
• Think about ways to reach them through games -- 54% of them own video game console
• Help them feel less of an “obligation” to encounter your material
Trends in internet use September 16, 2009 37
Motivated by mobility – Group 3
Media movers (7% of population)
Tech lifestyle attributes
Media Movers have a wide range of online and mobile habits, and they like to find or create an information nugget, such as a digital photo, and pass it on.
These social exchanges are central to this group’s use of ICTs – rather than workrelated uses.
Cyberspace as a path to personal productivity or an outlet for creativity is less important.
They are not into online content creation the way Digital Collaborators are, yet they are big-time sharers.
Trends in internet use September 16, 2009 38
Motivated by mobility – Group 3
Media movers (7% of population)
Trends in internet use
Demographics
• Male: 56%
• Median age: 34 (second youngest)
• Race: Diverse
• Education: 32% college+ (average)
• Household income: 56% make > $50K
• Employment status: 70% employed FT
• Community type: 55% suburb; 30% urb.
• Funky facts: 31% record video on cell
87% own dig. camera
90% online health seekers
September 16, 2009 39
Motivated by mobility – Group 3
Media movers (7% of population)
Important because
• They are eager social networkers who pass along your material
• They add to the diversity of your audience
Trends in internet use September 16, 2009 40
Motivated by mobility – Group 3
Media movers (7% of population)
How to be a node in their network
• Help them find outlets for sharing their creations – maybe simple mashup tools
• Help them navigate to material that they can pass along to others
• They are socializers, so social networking is an experience for
“making connections” for them and your material is social currency for them
Trends in internet use September 16, 2009 41
Motivated by mobility – Group 4
Roving nodes (9% of population)
Tech lifestyle attributes
Roving Nodes are active managers of their social and work lives using their mobile device.
They get the most out of basic applications with their assets – such as email or texting
– and find them great for arranging the logistics of their lives and enhancing personal productivity.
They love email and texting, but are too busy to blog or create other content.
Think “working Little League mother”, or caregiver for aging parent when you think of
Roving Nodes
Trends in internet use September 16, 2009 42
Motivated by mobility – Group 4
Roving nodes (9% of population)
Demographics
• Female: 56%
• Median age: 39
• Race: Diverse > Latino
• Education: 44% college+ (2nd highest)
• Household income: 52% make > $50K
• Employment status: 68% employed FT
• Community type: 48% suburb; 39% urb.
• Funky facts: 100% have cell phones heavy internet use at home and work – hard to give up say tech gives them control
Trends in internet use September 16, 2009 43
Motivated by mobility – Group 4
Roving nodes (9% of population)
Important because
• They are relatively eager audience members and are often your most engaged female consumers
• They are good indicators of the tolerances of your audience for editorial changes
– If they like what you have changed they will give you more attention
Trends in internet use September 16, 2009 44
Motivated by mobility – Group 4
Roving nodes (9% of population)
How to be a node in their network
• Help them be efficient generally – and especially as parents
• They appreciate “push” functions like alerts, reminders
• Cloud functions are particularly useful to them because they can be accessed “on the go”
Trends in internet use September 16, 2009 45
Motivated by mobility – Group 5
Mobile newbies (8% of population)
Tech lifestyle attributes
This group rates low on tech assets, but its members really like their cell phones.
Mobile Newbies, many of whom acquired a cell in the past year, like how the device helps them be more available to others.
The act of getting a cell phone was like a conversion experience for them in the way it opened up the world.
They would be hard pressed to give up the cell phone. And they express general support for the role technology can play in people’s lives even though most do NOT use the internet.
Trends in internet use September 16, 2009 46
Motivated by mobility – Group 5
Mobile newbies (8% of population)
Demographics
• Female: 55%
• Median age: 50 (oldest MBM group)
• Race: A bit weighted to minorities
• Education: 72% HS or less
• Household income: 45% make <$40K
• Employment status: 53% employed FT
• Community type: 24% rural
• Funky facts: just 39%=internet users
46% use computers none create internet content love new connectedness
Trends in internet use September 16, 2009 47
Motivated by mobility – Group 5
Mobile newbies (8% of population)
Important because
• They greatly diversify your audience
• They are traditionally under-served media market
Trends in internet use September 16, 2009 48
Motivated by mobility – Group 5
Mobile newbies (8% of population)
How to be a node in their network
• Easy interfaces matter to them
• Offer “how-to” material, coaching, and mentoring
• Offer pathways to the wonders of the web. They are just getting their feet wet and do not know much about the useful and fun stuff they can find online
Trends in internet use September 16, 2009 49
Stationary media majority – Group 1
Desktop veterans (13% of population)
Tech lifestyle attributes
This group of older, veteran online users is content to use a high-speed connection and a desktop computer to explore the internet and stay in touch with friends.
They are happy to be connected with they are stationary and sitting. So, they place their cell phone and mobile applications in the background.
For them, online life hit its zenith about 3-5 years ago when they first got broadband connections.
And their 2004 cell phone still serves its primary purpose for them – making phone calls.
Trends in internet use September 16, 2009 50
Stationary media majority – Group 1
Desktop veterans (13% of population)
Demographics
• Male: 55%
• Median age: 46
• Race: Skews white
• Education: 41% college+ (3 rd highest)
• Household income: 32% make >$75K
• Employment status: 56% employed FT
• Community type: 52% sub.; 30% urb.
• Funky facts: just 77% have cells int. user 10.5 years heavy int. users at home and work average content creators
Trends in internet use September 16, 2009 51
Stationary media majority – Group 1
Desktop veterans (13% of population)
Important because
• They are the second most enthusiastic consumers of news – especially on politics and community affairs
• They are influencers, too
Trends in internet use September 16, 2009 52
Stationary media majority – Group 1
Desktop veterans (13% of population)
How to be a node in their network
• They like you already so offer them easy opportunities to experience you “off hours”
• They are self sufficient and don’t need a lot of hand holding on search and browsing
• May want help/tutorials with content creation (social media) and new applications
Trends in internet use September 16, 2009 53
Stationary media majority – Group 2
Drifting surfers (14% of population)
Tech lifestyle attributes
Many have the requisite tech assets, such as broadband or a cell phone, but Drifting
Surfers are infrequent online users.
They also are not big fans of mobile connectivity.
When they use technology, it is for basic information gathering.
It wouldn’t bother the typical Drifting Surfer to give up the internet or cell phone.
Likely to be secondary user of technology in household.
Trends in internet use September 16, 2009 54
Stationary media majority – Group 2
Drifting surfers (14% of population)
Demographics
• Female: 56%
• Median age: 42
• Race: Diverse
• Education: 33% college+; 33% HS
• Household income: 46% make >$50K
• Employment status: 66% employed FT
• Community type: 46% sub.; 35% urb.
• Funky facts: 85% have home broadbd
86% have cells below aver. tech user tech doesn’t help much
46%=“good to take break”
Trends in internet use September 16, 2009 55
Stationary media majority – Group 2
Drifting surfers (14% of population)
Important because
• They are still pretty engaged with news and public affairs, but they feel less empowered and you might be able to turn that around
Trends in internet use September 16, 2009 56
Stationary media majority – Group 2
Drifting surfers (14% of population)
How to be a node in their network
• Don’t force-feed them material on various platforms
• They are episodic and casual visitors
• Your traditional offerings in traditional formats are what most appeals to them about you
Trends in internet use September 16, 2009 57
Stationary media majority – Group 3
Information encumbered (10% of population)
Tech lifestyle attributes
Most people in this group suffer from information overload and think taking time off from the internet is a good thing.
Their attitudes about the role of technology in the world have worsened since 2006 and they see no great benefits from technology in their personal lives.
The Information Encumbered are firmly rooted in old media to get information and communicate.
Trends in internet use September 16, 2009 58
Stationary media majority – Group 3
Information encumbered (10% of population)
Demographics
• Male: 67% (highest)
• Median age: 53
• Race: Skews white
• Education: 33% college+; 37% HS
• Household income: 42% make <$40K
• Employment status: 40% employed FT
• Community type: 48% urb; 20% rural
• Funky facts: 99% are int. users
75% are cell users only 52% online typ. day
52% feel overloaded
62% need help new gad.
Trends in internet use September 16, 2009 59
Stationary media majority – Group 3
Information encumbered (10% of population)
Important because
• They are the alienated and society functions better with their participation and involvement
Trends in internet use September 16, 2009 60
Stationary media majority – Group 3
Information encumbered (10% of population)
How to be a node in their network
• Sympathize that the world is changing rapidly and perhaps build story telling around that
• Be their filters for information and navigators to information
• Be a referral service for them in a stressful economy
Trends in internet use September 16, 2009 61
Stationary media majority – Group 4
Tech indifferent (10% of population)
Tech lifestyle attributes
Members of this group are not heavy internet users.
Although most have cell phones, they don’t like their intrusiveness.
The Indifferent could easily do without modern gadgets and services. They are too much trouble with too little payoff.
Trends in internet use September 16, 2009 62
Stationary media majority – Group 4
Tech indifferent (10% of population)
Demographics
• Female: 55%
• Median age: 59 (2 nd oldest)
• Race: Diverse (little higher Af-Am)
• Education: 73% HS or less
• Household income: 59% make <$50K
• Employment status: 34% employed FT
• Community type: 26% rural
• Funky facts: just 39% are int. users
46% computer users but 86% are cell users least likely users of everything
Trends in internet use September 16, 2009 63
Stationary media majority – Group 4
Tech indifferent (10% of population)
Important because
• They are on the far side of the digital divide even though they have some relationship to technology
Trends in internet use September 16, 2009 64
Stationary media majority – Group 4
Tech indifferent (10% of population)
How to be a node in their network
• They see no benefits in technology because it is not relevant to their lives
– at home or work
• Lots of them say they are discouraged and confused when technology doesn’t work
• Gentle tutorials might ease their views – internet 101
• Work with public access locales – libraries and govt offices
– as a lifeline to digital age, but you have to make case technology can help
September 16, 2009 65 Trends in internet use
Stationary media majority – Group 5
Off the net (14% of population)
Tech lifestyle attributes
Members of this group have neither cell phones nor online access, and tend to be older and low-income.
Some have experience with ICTs. They used to have online access and as many as one in five used to have a cell phone.
But it broke, or didn’t provide much enhancement to their worlds, so they did not return to using the technology.
Trends in internet use September 16, 2009 66
Stationary media majority – Group 5
Off the net (14% of population)
Demographics
• Female: 57% (highest)
• Median age: 67 (oldest)
• Race: Skews to minorities
• Education: 80% HS or less
• Household income: 38% make <$20K
• Employment status: 17% employed FT
• Community type: 30% rural
• Funky facts: just 16% have desktop or laptop they see no lifestyle improvements with technology
Trends in internet use September 16, 2009 67
Stationary media majority – Group 5
Off the net (14% of population)
Important because
• Your historic mission is to try to serve them: Public media was created to give them alternatives to commercial media
Trends in internet use September 16, 2009 68
Stationary media majority – Group 5
Off the net (14% of population)
How to be a node in their network
• Traditional services are most essential and useful to them
• Community activities and socializing opportunities are probably their biggest needs from local institutions
• Computer 101 and Internet 101 courses might draw some of them to your material
Trends in internet use September 16, 2009 69
8 tips on how to be a node in a social network
• Think like a friend
• Remember your strengths and play to them by being an expert, a filter, and a recommender
(linker)
• Be aware that your audience is bigger than the available evidence provides – lurkers and future arrivals are part of the mix
• Look for opportunities to provide support to users and chances to build communities with your material
Trends in internet use September 16, 2009 70
8 tips on how to be a node in a social network
• Help people cope with technology
• Participate in the Web 2.0 world
• Embrace the move towards mobility, constant connectivity, perpetual contact
– This changes the realities of time and space and presence
• Ask for help/feedback
Trends in internet use September 16, 2009 71
Thank you!
Lee Rainie
Director
Pew Internet & American Life Project
1615 L Street NW
Suite 700
Washington, DC 20036
Email: Lrainie@pewinternet.org
Twitter: http://twitter.com/lrainie
202-419-4500
Trends in internet use September 16, 2009 72