Project Management Final student lecture in RAL series ‘Port & cigars after the meal?’ What is project management Text book definition Relevance to big science Examples of projects PhD thesis Detector R&D e.g. Calorimetry RD Detector construction e.g. ATLAS SCT Project management concepts & tools Scope, Cost, Time Risk M. Tyndel, Graduate Lecture – Project management Feb 21st , RAL Who needs project management - Eurotunnel? M. Tyndel, Graduate Lecture – Project management Feb 21st , RAL Who needs project management - Eurofighter? 85. MoD's memorandum stated:[129] Typhoon (formerly Eurofighter) is an agile fighter aircraft that will serve as the cornerstone of the RAF's future fighting capability….. The in-service date for Typhoon (defined as the date of delivery of the first aircraft to the RAF ) was achieved in 2003—some 54 months late. The current forecast cost of Typhoon is £19,018 million, compared to £16,670 million approved at Main Gate. M. Tyndel, Graduate Lecture – Project management Feb 21st , RAL Who needs project management - ATLAS? There are scientific & technical uncertainties with scientific projects. Large projects with many partners or stakeholders are difficult to control It is “not acceptable” to screw up large projects involving public money M. Tyndel, Graduate Lecture – Project management Feb 21st , RAL What is project management? ..if you have no idea start with http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Project_management Project management is the discipline of organizing and managing resources in such a way that these resources deliver all the work required to complete a project within defined scope, time, and cost constraints. A project is a temporary and one-time endeavor undertaken to create a unique product or service. This property of being a temporary and a onetime undertaking contrasts with processes, or operations, which are permanent or semi-permanent ongoing functional work to create the same product or service over and over again. The management of these two systems is often very different and requires varying technical skills and philosophy, hence requiring the development of project management. The first challenge of project management is ensuring that a project is delivered within the defined constraints. The second, more ambitious, challenge is the optimized allocation and integration of the inputs needed to meet those pre-defined objectives. The project, therefore, is a carefully selected set of activities chosen to use resources (time, money, people, materials, energy, space, provisions, communication, quality, risk, etc.) to meet the pre-defined objectives. M. Tyndel, Graduate Lecture – Project management Feb 21st , RAL What is project management? Scope Risk Time M. Tyndel, Cost Graduate Lecture – Project management Feb 21st , RAL Risk Consider what the risks are & document A “risk register” Analyse the impact Documented in risk register Mitigate Have an escape route Control Regular reviews & reporting Note – Auditors like to ‘quantify risk’ Definition = probability x impact M. Tyndel, Graduate Lecture – Project management Feb 21st , RAL Example 1 – PhD thesis Scope Gain PhD - become qualified as a researcher Further ones education through post-graduate courses Undertake original research and publish results Pass final exam (“viva”) to gain PhD Time Externally imposed constraints Total time = 3 ( or 4 years) Course work for 1 year in first year Research time ~ 18months can depend on several factors 1. Others providing equipment, data …. 2. Having the required knowledge and expertise etc Cost Well defined for this example with Salary agreed in advance for the 3 years Research tools (computing, lab space, travel…) provided by the University Risks Having an “inadequate supervisor” or an “inappropriate” project Not knowing how much work is needed to complete research Personal issues – illness M. Tyndel, Graduate Lecture – Project management Feb 21st , RAL PhD example - Gantt Gantt – A tool to list tasks, show dependencies & make resources explicit Tool = Microsoft Project ID Task Name Duration 1 PhD start 0 mons Mon 02/10/06 2 Lectures 9 mons Mon 02/10/06 1 3 Technical project 4 1rst year exam/review 5 Physics analysis 6 Write-up 12 mons 0 mons 18 mons 21 m ons Predecessors Mon 19/03/07 2FS-3 mons Fri 31/08/07 1FS+12 mons Mon 03/09/07 4 Mon 26/11/07 7 Introduction 8 Technical project 3 mons Mon 18/02/08 3 9 Analysis 4 mons Mon 19/01/09 5 Final corrections 2 mons Mon 11/05/09 9 Mon 06/07/09 6 10 1 mon Start 11 "Float" 3 mons 12 PhD complete 0 mons M. Tyndel, Mon 26/11/07 3SS+3 mons,5SS+3 mons Fri 25/09/09 11 Graduate Lecture – Project management Feb 21st , RAL PhD example – Gantt/Critical path Critical path analysis – shows in red the tasks which determine the end date M. Tyndel, Graduate Lecture – Project management Feb 21st , RAL PhD example Gantt/Resource summary Q4 Year 1 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Year 2 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 200% 200% 300% Year 3 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 200% 100% 100% Year 4 Q1 Q2 Q3 100% 100% Q4 Year 5 Q1 Q2 Q3 300% 250% 200% 150% 100% 50% Peak Units: 100% Me M. Tyndel, Overallocated: 200% 200% 100% Allocated: Graduate Lecture – Project management Feb 21st , RAL Q4 PhD example - summary This project is relatively “simple” because of the small number of independent tasks and people involved. In “project management speak” 1. Analysed the project and split it into work-packages (WP) 2. Estimated the time needed for each WP and the overall time 3. Documented the project to enable the stakeholders to agree to the plan Stakeholders are – the student, the supervisor/university and the funding agency/PPARC 4. Estimated the resources needed ~5 fte years of student effort (3 years available!) The full economic cost would = salary, equipment, computing, travel (typically 2-3 x salary) 5. Introduced contingency by planning to complete the work early M. Tyndel, Graduate Lecture – Project management Feb 21st , RAL PhD example - summary Risks: Analysed the risks (examples) An “inadequate supervisor” or an “inappropriate” project Probability low; impact high Action: Review at end of first year Research can be open-ended i.e. difficult to estimate how much work is needed Probability high; impact medium Actions: 2 research topics for thesis (1 technical; 1 analysis) Agree to restrict scope of research to time available Avoid “mission creep” i.e. stop investigating at appropriate time Factor in a time contingency Personal issues – illness Probability low; impact medium Action: None planed – escape route would be to apply for more funding M. Tyndel, Graduate Lecture – Project management Feb 21st , RAL return to Wikipedia Project Management Activities Project Management is composed of several different types of activities such as: 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 8. 9. 10. 11. 12. 13. 14. 15. 16. 17. 18. 19. M. Tyndel, Planning the work or objectives Analysis & Design of objectives Assessing and controlling risk (or Risk management) Estimating resources Allocation of resources Organizing the work Acquiring human and material resources Assigning tasks Directing activities Controlling project execution Tracking and Reporting progress Analyzing the results based on the facts achieved Defining the products of the project Forecasting future trends in the project Quality Management Issues Management Issues solving Defect prevention Project Closure meet Graduate Lecture – Project management Feb 21st , RAL Wikipedia Project management artefacts Most projects, to be successful, must adequately document objectives and deliverables. These documents are a mechanism to align sponsors, clients, and project team's expectations. 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 8. 9. 10. 11. 12. 13. 14. 15. 16. 17. 18. 19. Project Charter Business case / Feasibility study Scope statement / Terms of reference Project Management plan / Project Initiation Document Work Breakdown structure Change Control Plan Risk management plan Communications Plan Governance Model Risk Register Issue Log Action Item List Resource Management Plan Project schedule Status Report Responsibility assignment matrix Database of risks Database of lessons learned Stakeholder Analysis These documents are normally hosted on a shared resource (i.e., Intranet web page) and are available for review by the project's stakeholders. Changes or updates to these documents are explicitly outlined in the project's configuration management (or change control plan). M. Tyndel, Graduate Lecture – Project management Feb 21st , RAL Project control variables Wikipedia Project Management tries to gain control over variables such as risk: 1. Risk is defined as potential points of failure. Most negative risks (or potential failures) can be overcome or resolved, given enough planning capabilities, time, and resources. According to some definitions (including PMBOK Third Edition) risk can also be categorized as "positive--" meaning that there is a potential opportunity, e.g., complete the project faster than expected. 2. Customers (either internal or external project sponsors), external organizations (such as government agencies and regulators) can dictate the extent of three variables: time, cost, and scope. The remaining variable (risk) is managed by the project team, ideally based on solid estimation and response planning techniques. Through a negotiation process among project stakeholders, an agreement defines the final objectives, in terms of time, cost, scope, and risk, usually in the form of a charter or contract. 3. To properly control these variables a good project manager has a depth of knowledge and experience in these four areas (time, cost, scope, and risk), and in six other areas as well: integration, communication, human resources, quality assurance, schedule development, and procurement. M. Tyndel, Graduate Lecture – Project management Feb 21st , RAL Example 2 – Calorimetry R&D for Linear collider Scope Develop ‘active pixel sensors’ as a tool for a ‘particle flow’ approach to calorimetry Break down the project into work-packages 1. 2. 3. 4. Time Defined by requirement for concept to be proven for LC TDR in 2010 Physics requirement and specification Active pixel design Active pixel evaluation Evaluate prototype calorimeter module in test-beam Limits scope of R&D Cost Cost = procurement, manpower (measured in fte) and travel Risks Failure or delay in any one work-package causes the project to fail Procurement costs exceed estimates Management contingency (held by PPARC) Insufficient or loss of expert manpower Regular progress reviews M. Tyndel, Graduate Lecture – Project management Feb 21st , RAL Particle Flow Algorithm for calorimetry HCAL ECAL Tracker M. Tyndel, Graduate Lecture – Project management Feb 21st , RAL Active Pixel Sensors for Calorimetry CMOS active pixel sensors are fully integrated sensors and electronics RD project is to develop a device which is sensitive to tracks and has very fine granularity: Provide calorimetry in the usual way by counting tracks and all single tracks to be identified and measured precisely M. Tyndel, Graduate Lecture – Project management Feb 21st , RAL Example 2 RD for silicon sensors for CALICE M. Tyndel, Graduate Lecture – Project management Feb 21st , RAL Example 2 – CALICE example Project Management activities: 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 8. 9. 10. 11. 12. 13. 14. 15. 16. 17. 18. 19. PPARC requirements Planning the work or objectives Project description and plan Analysis & Design of objectives Assessing and controlling risk Risk register Estimating resources Grant resource request with FEC Allocation of resources Defined resource sharing between WPs & institutes Organizing the work Set up both a WP & an institute organisation Acquiring human and material resources Assigning tasks Directing activities Some combination of - PI, Spokesman, PM Controlling project execution Tracking and Reporting progress Regular reporting to Over-sight committee Analyzing the results based on the facts achieved Defining the products of the project Forecasting future trends in the project Quality Management ISO 9000 for engineering Issues Management Issues solving Defect prevention Project Closure meet M. Tyndel, Graduate Lecture – Project management Feb 21st , RAL CALICE example - summary Differences from Example-1 (PhD) Scope of project is initially defined from within project Scope can be modified by funding body Project is explicitly broken into sub-projects or work-packages Different people in the individual work-packages Understand interfaces between work-packages Introduce reviews to monitor and control work-packages Several institutes/groups involved Needs an organisational structure Needs a decision taking mechanism Project resources are controlled externally (but managed internally) M. Tyndel, Graduate Lecture – Project management Feb 21st , RAL Example 3 – The ATLAS Silicon Tracker (SCT) Scope Design and build tracker for a general purpose detector for LHC Again scope was initially defined from within the ATLAS project Scope evolved and was modified on the basis of R&D Scope modified in the context of overall detector optimisation Scope modified by resources and expertise available. Time Schedule evolved over the first few years Bottom-up: Time needed to develop technical solutions specifically for SCT Top-down: Constraints from the LHC framework Cost Total funding & resources available were a complicated constraint Funding from 11 separate funding agencies Individual profiles and procedures to be followed Risks M. Tyndel, Technical e.g. at start-up no radiation sensors or readout available Organisational – many work-packages and funding agencies Financial – no margin for cost over-runs People: Maintaining coherence with a large team over a long time Graduate Lecture – Project management Feb 21st , RAL SCT tracker projects – difference from above examples Scale of the projects Physically large ~ 105 separate components Technically complex Many R&D programs – sensors, ASICs, Readout, Materials…. But with strong interfaces Resources required £20M of purchases ~2,000 fte of in-house effort from 40 institutes Management complex Reporting to 11 funding agencies and to the overall ATLAS project Taking technical decisions between 40 institutes (200 physicists) Sub-dividing and organising work People! M. Tyndel, Graduate Lecture – Project management Feb 21st , RAL Example 3 – The ATLAS Silicon Tracker M. Tyndel, Graduate Lecture – Project management Feb 21st , RAL Tracker Design Choices Design choices are fixed by physics requirements. Sounds simple but, in general, an increase in performance improves the physics and an increase in performance costs…. Performance variables include: Number , size & position of the detecting elements Measurement precision Transparency of the tracker (%X0) Cost & constraints include: Resources – finite and fixed Time available - fixed Technology available (or likely to be available) - constraint M. Tyndel, 100.0% Performance Resource constraint 120.0% 80.0% 60.0% 40.0% 20.0% 0.0% 0 0.5 Graduate Lecture – Project management 1.5 1 2 2.5 Cost Feb 21st , RAL Example-1 System choices : Layout & material System optimisation 1. No. of measurements fixed = 4 2. Layout to get evenly spaced points with barrel/endcap split at 450 3. Opted for 4 perfect, hermetic layers. 4. Detailed design was “Bottom-up” starting from sensors/ASICs Advantages: Minimised silicon area Provided overlaps for alignment Cost: Complexity of the design & assembly High cost of perfect components (>99%) High cost of building ‘perfect (i.e. 99% good channels)’ modules Complexity of services M. Tyndel, Graduate Lecture – Project “Let no one ignorant of geometry enter”management – Plato Feb 21st , RAL Example-2 Technical choices : Sensors In 1990s no sensors had the required performance: GaAs investigated because of anticipated radiation tolerance MSGCs investigated because of anticipated lower cost Silicon strip options considered n-in-p (inversion) double-sided (material, cost) p-in-n DC coupled AC coupled 6” wafers or 4” wafers Oxygenated Close collaboration with industry was the key to success. Sensors with strip yield close to 100% & delivered to agreed schedule M. Tyndel, Graduate Lecture – Project management Feb 21st , RAL Example-3 Technical choices : ASICs In 1990s no proven radiation hard technology available with the required performance. Analogue de-convolution to get speed Digital 2 chip-set Binary 2 chip set Bi-CMOS ABCD ABCD3-T During 1990s may radiation hard foundries closed and there was the great discovery that deep sub-micron processes were radiation hard. Production of ASICs on specialised process was ‘tough’ and yield ~ 26% M. Tyndel, Graduate Lecture – Project management Feb 21st , RAL ATLAS SCT tracker M. Tyndel, Graduate Lecture – Project management Feb 21st , RAL ATLAS SCT Schedule 1997: resources fixed Evolution of schedule end-date complicated decision making st , RAL “The success of most things depends onLecture knowing how long it will take to succeed” M. Tyndel, Graduate – Project management Feb –21Montesqui CMS tracker assembly organisation M. Tyndel, Graduate Lecture – Project management Feb 21st , RAL People Once upon a time there was a Red rowing team. M. Tyndel, Graduate Lecture – Project management Feb 21st , RAL This Red team agreed to hold an annual rowing race with a Green team. Each team would contain 8 men. M. Tyndel, Graduate Lecture – Project management Feb 21st , RAL Both teams worked really hard to get in the best shape. On the day of the first race, both teams were ready to win. M. Tyndel, Graduate Lecture – Project management Feb 21st , RAL FINISH The Green team won by 1 mile! M. Tyndel, Graduate Lecture – Project management Feb 21st , RAL The Red team was crushed in their defeat, but they were determined to win the race next year. So they established a panel of auditors to observe the situation and ascertain if there were any differences between the teams. M. Tyndel, Graduate Lecture – Project management Feb 21st , RAL After several weeks of detailed intelligence gathering, the auditors could find only one difference; the Green team had 7 rowers and 1 captain... M. Tyndel, Graduate Lecture – Project management Feb 21st , RAL … and the Red team had 7 captains and 1 rower! M. Tyndel, Graduate Lecture – Project management Feb 21st , RAL Un-perplexed by the raw data, upper management showed unexpected wisdom: they hired a consulting company to analyze the data and suggest a solution that would enable the Red team to win next year. M. Tyndel, Graduate Lecture – Project management Feb 21st , RAL M. Tyndel, Graduate Lecture – Project management Feb 21st , RAL Like sharks getting the scent of reorganization blood, upper management wasted no time in restructuring the Red team into 4 Captains, led by 2 Managers, reporting to 1 Senior Director with a dotted line to the rower. Besides that, in a blaze of unrestricted inspiration, they suggested they might be inclined to improve the rower’s working environment by a non-monetary reward and recognition scheme if there was improved performance by the rower. M. Tyndel, Graduate Lecture – Project management Feb 21st , RAL M. Tyndel, Graduate Lecture – Project management Feb 21st , RAL FINISH The next year, the Green team won by 2 miles....... M. Tyndel, Graduate Lecture – Project management Feb 21st , RAL The Red team upper management immediately fired the rower based on his unsatisfactory performance. M. Tyndel, Graduate Lecture – Project management Feb 21st , RAL After several months the consultants came to the conclusion that the ratio of captains to rowers was the problem in the Red team. Based on this analysis a solution was proposed: the structure of the Red team has to be changed! M. Tyndel, Graduate Lecture – Project management Feb 21st , RAL A bonus was paid to the Captains, Directors, and Managers for the strong leadership and motivation they showed during the preparation phase and as an incentive for them to find a better rower for the next race. M. Tyndel, Graduate Lecture – Project management Feb 21st , RAL The consulting company prepared a new analysis of the restructuring activity, which showed that the strategy was good, the motivation was great, the restructuring was executed correctly, but the tool used (which was not included in the original data) was sub-standard and had to be improved. M. Tyndel, Graduate Lecture – Project management Feb 21st , RAL Currently the Red team management is having a new boat designed; and to demostrate fiscal and HR dexterity for stockholders they also outsourced the rowing to India. M. Tyndel, Graduate Lecture – Project management Feb 21st , RAL Summary - Project Management ‘Port and Cigars’ analogy PM lecture concludes the main meal of a series of lectures on experimental techniques. An opportunity to hear the words and to reflect on what is needed to achieve project. “…and now you’ve heard it before” I hope that 1. it gives you confidence to learn by trying or 2. It encourages you to take a real course e.g. http://www.prince2.com/whatisp2.html#processmodel M. Tyndel, Graduate Lecture – Project management Feb 21st , RAL ..but it is more fun to look at Wikiquotes "The more you plan the luckier you get. " "If it can go wrong it will - Murphy's law. “ "Anything that can be changed will be changed until there is no time left to change anything.“ "Work expands to fill the time available for its completion - Parkinson's law.“ "A minute saved at the start is just as effective as one saved at the end." "A little risk management saves a lot of fan cleaning." "Activity is not achievement." "The sooner you get behind schedule, the more time you have to make it up.“ "Any project can be estimated accurately (once it's completed)." "There's never enough time to do it right first time but there's always enough time to go back and do it again." M. Tyndel, Graduate Lecture – Project management Feb 21st , RAL