2009 World Population Data Sheet “As World Population Approaches 7 Billion, the Youth Population Is More and More Concentrated in Africa and Asia.” PRESENTATIONS BY CARL HAUB, LINDA JACOBSEN, AND JAMES GRIBBLE AUGUST 2009 POPULATION REFERENCE BUREAU | www.prb.org World Population Growth Is Almost Entirely Concentrated in the World's Poorer Countries. World Population (in Billions): 1950-2050 Source: United Nations Population Division, World Population Prospects, The 2008 Revision. © 2009 Population Reference Bureau. All rights reserved. www.prb.org The World’s Youth Population Will Become More Concentrated in Africa and Asia. Population Ages 15-24 by World Region: 1950 and 2050 1950 2050 Source: Carl Haub and Mary Mederios Kent, 2009 World Population Data Sheet. © 2009 Population Reference Bureau. All rights reserved. www.prb.org More Developed Countries Have Fewer Young People Relative to Elderly. Population by Age and Sex, More Developed Countries: 2009 Source: United Nations Population Division, World Population Prospects, The 2008 Revision. © 2009 Population Reference Bureau. All rights reserved. www.prb.org Less Developed Countries Have Far More Young People Relative to Elderly. Population by Age and Sex, Less Developed Countries: 2009 Source: United Nations Population Division, World Population Prospects, The 2008 Revision. © 2009 Population Reference Bureau. All rights reserved. www.prb.org To Slow Population Growth, Developing Countries’ Fertility Decline Must Be Rapid. Average Lifetime Births per Woman: 1800-2007 Sources: (United States) Ansley Coale and Melvin Zelnik (1963); and National Center for Health Statistics. (Bangladesh) United Nations; Demographic and Health Surveys; and other surveys © 2009 Population Reference Bureau. All rights reserved. www.prb.org From 1980 to Today, There Has Been Very Little Change in Africa’s Population Under 15. Percent of Population Under Age 15: 1980 and 2009 1980 2009 Western Africa 46 44 Middle Africa 43 45 Eastern Africa 46 44 Northern Africa 44 33 Southern Africa 42 33 India 41 32 China 32 19 Sources: Carl Haub and Douglas W. Heisler, 1980 World Population Data Sheet; and Carl Haub and Mary Mederios Kent, 2009 World Population Data Sheet. © 2009 Population Reference Bureau. All rights reserved. www.prb.org Africa’s Population of 1 Billion Is Projected to Grow Rapidly Through 2050. Source: Carl Haub and Mary Mederios Kent, 2009 World Population Data Sheet. © 2009 Population Reference Bureau. All rights reserved. www.prb.org The Differences Between Developed and Developing Countries Can Be Stark. KEY DEMOGRAPHIC INDICATORS CANADA UGANDA 2009 Population 34 million 31 million 2050 Population (Projected) 42 million 96 million Percent of Population Below Age 15 17% 49% Percent of Population Age 65 and Older 14% 3% Percent of Population Ages 15 to 24 13% 20% 371,000 1.4 million 1.6 6.7 1,900 110,000 78 years 50 years Annual Births Lifetime Births per Woman Annual Infant Deaths Life Expectancy at Birth Source: Carl Haub and Mary Mederios Kent, 2009 World Population Data Sheet. © 2009 Population Reference Bureau. All rights reserved. www.prb.org The U.S. Has a Younger Age Structure Than Other Developed Countries. Population by Age and Sex, United States: 2008 Source: PRB analysis of data from U.S. Census Bureau. © 2009 Population Reference Bureau. All rights reserved. www.prb.org Today’s Youth Will Be in the Prime Working Ages in 2030. Population by Age and Sex, United States: 2030 (Projected) Source: PRB analysis of data from U.S. Census Bureau. © 2009 Population Reference Bureau. All rights reserved. www.prb.org High School Dropout Rates Are Declining, but Remain Higher Among Hispanic Youth. Percent High School Dropouts (Ages 16-24), United States: 1972-2007 Source: Population Reference Bureau, analysis of data from U.S. Census Bureau. © 2009 Population Reference Bureau. All rights reserved. www.prb.org College Enrollment Is Lower Among Black and Hispanic Youth. Enrollment and Employment Status of Persons Ages 18-24, United States: 2007 Source: PRB analysis of data from U.S. Census Bureau, 2007 American Community Survey. © 2009 Population Reference Bureau. All rights reserved. www.prb.org The Birth Rate Among U.S. Teenagers Is Twice the Average for all Developed Countries. Births per 1,000 Females Ages 15-19 Sources: United Nations Population Division, World Population Prospects, The 2008 Revision; and U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, National Center for Health Statistics. © 2009 Population Reference Bureau. All rights reserved. www.prb.org Birth Rates Remain Much Higher Among Black and Hispanic Teens. Births per 1,000 Females Ages 15-19, United States: 1989-2006 Source: PRB analysis of data from U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, National Center for Health Statistics. © 2009 Population Reference Bureau. All rights reserved. www.prb.org By 2030, More Than Half of all Youth Will Be Members of a Racial or Ethnic Minority. Percent of Youth Ages 15-24, United States: 2008, 2030, and 2050 *Non-Hispanic. Source: PRB analysis of data from U.S. Census Bureau. © 2009 Population Reference Bureau. All rights reserved. www.prb.org In One-Third of U.S. Counties, at Least 25 Percent of Children Live in Poverty. Source: Population Reference Bureau, analysis of data from U.S. Census Bureau. © 2009 Population Reference Bureau. All rights reserved. www.prb.org The Diversity of Youth Peru Zambia Mali 27.9 million 12.2 million 12.7 million 2.6 children per woman 6.2 children per woman 6.0 children per woman 76% urban 37% urban 31% urban © 2009 Population Reference Bureau. All rights reserved. www.prb.org Peru’s Population Structure Is in Transition. Population by Age and Sex, Peru: 2006 Source: United Nations Population Division, World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. © 2009 Population Reference Bureau. All rights reserved. www.prb.org Young Women in Peru Have Options. Well educated. Young marriage is infrequent. Few have children as teens. Desired family size—2 children. © 2009 Population Reference Bureau. All rights reserved. www.prb.org Young Women in Peru Face Other Issues. Teen childbearing more common in rural areas. Poverty and childbearing. Unsafe abortion and maternal death. © 2009 Population Reference Bureau. All rights reserved. www.prb.org Zambia’s Population Structure Is Youthful. Population by Age and Sex, Zambia: 2006 Source: United Nations Population Division, World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. © 2009 Population Reference Bureau. All rights reserved. www.prb.org Young Women in Zambia Have Fewer Opportunities. Less access to education. Marriage more frequent. More children during teen years. Desired family size— 4 children. © 2009 Population Reference Bureau. All rights reserved. www.prb.org Young Women in Zambia Face Other Challenges. Physical and sexual violence common. Spousal abuse accepted. High HIV prevalence. © 2009 Population Reference Bureau. All rights reserved. www.prb.org Mali Has a Very Young Population. Population by Age and Sex, Mali: 2006 Source: United Nations Population Division, World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. © 2009 Population Reference Bureau. All rights reserved. www.prb.org Being a Young Woman in Mali Is Difficult. Marriage common by age 15. Early childbearing. Desired family size—6 children. © 2009 Population Reference Bureau. All rights reserved. www.prb.org Young Women in Mali Face Many Challenges. Low school attendance. Spousal abuse accepted. Female genital cutting common. © 2009 Population Reference Bureau. All rights reserved. www.prb.org 2009 World Population Data Sheet “As World Population Approaches 7 Billion, the Youth Population Is More and More Concentrated in Africa and Asia.” PRESENTATIONS BY CARL HAUB, LINDA JACOBSEN, AND JAMES GRIBBLE AUGUST 2009 POPULATION REFERENCE BUREAU | www.prb.org