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Legal Argumentation 3

Henry Prakken

April 4, 2013

The structure of arguments: basic elements

(Basic) arguments have:

Premises (grounds)

A conclusion

A reasoning step from the premises to the conclusion

Conclusion

Premise 1 therefore

…..

Premise n

Three types of counterarguments

(Basic) arguments have :

Premises (grounds)

A conclusion

A reasoning step from the premises to the conclusion

So arguments can be attacked on:

Their premises

Their conclusion

Except if deductive

The reasoning step from premises to conclusion

Except if deductive

Argument schemes: general form

Premise 1,

… ,

Premise n

Therefore (presumably), conclusion

But also critical questions

Negative answers are counterarguments

Overview of course

Week 1:

Basic structure of arguments

Combinations of premises implicit premises

Multi-step arguments

Week 2:

Arguments and counterarguments

Argument schemes (1)

Week 3:

Argument schemes (2)

Evaluating arguments

Causal relations

Lowering income tax will increase consumption

Not an argument :

Consumption will increase

Income tax is lowered

Causal relations

Lowering income tax will increase consumption

But a statement :

Lowering income tax will increase consumption

Using causal generalisations in arguments

Consumption will increase

Income tax is lowered

Using causal generalisations in arguments

Consumption will increase

Income tax is lowered Lowering income tax will increase consumption

Using causal generalisations in arguments

Consumption will increase

Income tax is lowered Lowering income tax will increase consumption

The same happened in Germany

‘forward’ use of causal generalisations

Consumption will increase

Income tax is lowered Lowering income tax will increase consumption

‘backward’ use of causal generalisations

Income tax was lowered

Consumption has increased Lowering income tax will increase consumption

Causal explanation (Abduction)

P causes Q

Q has been observed so (presumably), P

Critical questions :

Could Q be caused by something else?

Does P cause something of which we know it is not the case?

Arguments from consequences

Action A brings about G,

G is good (bad)

Therefore (presumably), A should (not) be done

Critical questions:

Does A also have bad (good) consequences?

Are there other ways to bring about G?

...

Example (arguments pro and con an action)

We should make spam a criminal offence

We should not make spam a criminal offence

Making spam a criminal offence reduces spam

Reduction of spam is good

Making spam a criminal offence increases workload of police and judiciary

Increased workload of police and judiciary is bad

Example (arguments pro alternative actions)

We should make spam a criminal offence

We should make spam civilly unlawful

Making spam a criminal offence reduces spam

Reduction of spam is good

Making spam civilly unlawful reduces spam

Reduction of spam is good

Arguments from consequences

(generalised to causal chains)

Action A brings about G1, which brings about ….

… which brings about Gn

Gn is good (bad)

Therefore (presumably), A should (not) be done

Critical questions:

Does A also have bad (good) consequences?

Are there other ways to bring about G?

...

Causal chains

Toppling the Hussein regime will pave the way for democracy in Iraq

Democracy in Iraq will advance the cause of democracy elsewhere in the Middle East

Advancing the cause of democracy will diminish the risk of anti-American violence

Diminishing the risk of anti-American violence is good

Therefore , we should topple the Hussein regime

Refinement: promoting or demoting legal values

Action A causes G,

G promotes (demotes) legal value V

Therefore (presumably), A should (not) be done

Critical questions:

Are there other ways to cause G?

Does A also cause something else that promotes or demotes other values?

...

Example (arguments pro and con an action)

We should save DNA of all citizens

We should not save

DNA of all citizens

Saving DNA of all citizens leads to solving more crimes

Solving more crimes promotes security

Saving DNA of all citizens makes more private data publicly accessible

Making more private data publicly available demotes privacy

Example (arguments pro alternative actions)

We should save DNA of all citizens

We should have more police

Saving DNA of all citizens leads to solving more crimes

Solving more crimes promotes security

Having more police leads to solving more crimes

Solving more crimes promotes security

Comparing action proposals

For every proposal that is based on acceptable premises:

List all legal values that it promotes or demotes

Determine the extent to which the proposal promotes or demotes the value

Determine the likelihood that such promotion or deomotion will occur

Determine the relative importance of the values at stake

Then weigh the pros and cons of all proposals

But how?

Expected-utility arguments

The expected utility of an action is (roughly) the degree of goodness of badness (= utility ) of the action’s consequences multiplied with the likelihood that these consequences will occur

A1,.., An are all my possible actions

A1 has the highest expected utility of A1, …, An

Therefore, A should be done

Classification of arguments

Conventional classification: arguments are deductive, inductive or abductive

However:

Only applies to epistemic arguments

“inductive” is ambiguous

There are other types of arguments

Better classification: arguments are deductive or presumptive (defeasible)

Evaluating arguments

Can be indirect

Does it instantiate an acceptable argument scheme?

Have all its counterarguments been refuted?

Are its premises acceptable?

If presumptive: what about attacks on inference or conclusion?

Argument schemes help in identifying sources of doubt in an argument.

Has the search for counterarguments been thorough enough?

Fallacies

There are conventional lists of fallacies

Affirming the consequent, authority, attacking the source, ...

But such arguments often make sense!

They are schemes for presumptive arguments

What is important is: can they be defended against attack?

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