TOWNSVILLE CATHOLIC EDUCATION OFFICE Statistics and Probability Scope & Sequence The Australian Curriculum v4.0 Chance Prep Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Identifies outcomes of familiar events involving chance and describes them using everyday language such as ‘will happen’, ‘won’t happen’ or ‘might happen’ (ACMSP024) TIMESSP16 Identifies practical activities and everyday events that involve chance. Describes outcomes as ‘likely’ or ‘unlikely’ and identify some events as ‘certain’ or ‘impossible’ (ACMSP047) TIMESSP16 Conducts chance experiments (tossing and coin or drawing a ball from a bag), identifies and describes possible outcomes and recognizes the variation between trials (ACMSP067) TIMESSP16 Year 4 Describes possible everyday events and orders their chances of occurring (ACMSP092) TIMESSP09 Identifies everyday events where one cannot happen if the other happens (eg: weather, if it is dry, it cannot be wet) (ACMSP093) TIMESSP09 Identifies events where the chance of one will not be affected by the occurrence of the other (new baby is either a boy or a girl does not depend on the sex of the previous baby) (ACMSP094) TIMESSP09 Year 5 Lists outcomes of chance experiments involving equally likely outcomes and represents probabilities of those outcomes using fractions (ACMSP116) TIMESSP10 Recognises that probabilities range from 0 to 1 (ACMSP117) TIMESSP10 Year 6 Describes probabilities using fractions, decimals and percentages (ACMSP144) TIMESSP11 Conducts chance experiences with both small and large numbers of trials usig appropriate digital technologies. Conducts repeated trials of chance experiments using digital technologies, identifying the variation between trials and realising the results tend to the prediction with larger numbers of trials (ACMSP145) TIMESSP11 Compares observed frequencies across experiments with expected frequencies and predicts likely outcomes from a run of chance events and distinguishes these from surprising results (ACMSP146) TIMESSP11 Year 7 Constructs sample spaces for single-step experiments with equally likely outcomes. Discusses the meaning of probability terminology (eg: probability, sample space, favourable outcomes, trial) (ACMSP167) TIMESSP12 Assigns probabilities to the outcomes of events and determines probabilities for events. Expresses probabilities in common and decimal fractional and percentage forms (ACMSP168) TIMESSP12 Year 8 Identifies complementary events and uses the sum of probabilities to solve problems (ACMSP204) TIMESSP13 Describes events using language of 'at least', exclusive 'or' (A or B but not both), inclusive 'or' (A or B or both) and 'and' (ACMSP205) TIMESSP13 Represents such events in two-way tables and Venn diagrams and solves related problems. Uses Venn diagrams and two-way tables to calculate probabilities for events. (ACMSP292) TIMESSP13 Year 9 Year 10 Year 10 A Lists all outcomes for two-step chance experiments, both with and without replacement using tree diagrams or arrays. Assigns probabilities to outcomes and determines probabilities for events (ACMSP225) TIMESSP14 Describes the results of two- and threestep chance experiments, both with and without replacements, assigns probabilities to outcomes and determines probabilities of events. Investigates the concept of independence. Recognises that some sets of chance events are dependent on a previous result and others are not, that this distinction is important when calculating probabilities, and that events are independent if P(A) x P(B) = P(A and B) (ACMSP246) TIMESSP15 Investigates reports of studies in digital media and elsewhere for information on the planning and implementation of such studies, and the reporting of variability. Evaluates media reports that refer to data from a range of contexts. Evaluates whether graphs in a report could mislead, and whether graphs and numerical information support the claims (ACMSP277) Calculates relative frequencies from given or collected data to estimate probabilities of events involving 'and' or 'or' (ACMSP226) TIMESSP14 Investigates reports of surveys in digital media and elsewhere for information on how data were obtained to estimate population means and medians (ACMSP227) TIMESSP07 Uses the language of ‘if ....then, ‘given’, ‘of’, ‘knowing that’ to investigate conditional statements and identifies common mistakes in interpreting such language (ACMSP247) TIMESSP15 Data representation and Interpretation Prep Year 1 Answers yes/no questions to collect information (ACMSPO11) TIMESSP17 Chooses simple questions and gathers responses (ACMSP262) TIMESSP17 Represents responses to questions using simple displays, including grouping students according to their answers (ACMSPO11) TIMESSP17 Represents data with objects and drawings where one object or drawing represents one data value (ACMSP263) TIMESSP17 Uses data displays to answer simple questions such as “how many students answered yes to brown hair?” (ACMSPO11) TIMESSP17 Describes the displays by identifying categories with the greatest or least number of objects (ACMSP263) TIMESSP17 Year 2 Identifies a question of interest based on one categorical variable (eg: brown hair). Gathers data relevant to the question (ACMSP048) TIMESSP17 Collects, checks and classifies data. Uses tally marks (ACMSP049) TIMESSP17 Creates displays of data using lists, table and picture graphs and interprets them (ACMSP050) TIMESSP17 Compares the usefulness of different data displays (ACMSP050) TIMESSP17 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Year 6 Year 7 Identifies questions or issues for categorical variables. Identifies data sources and plans methods of data collection and recoding. Refines questions and plans investigations that involve collecting data, and carrying out the investigation, for example, narrowing the focus of a question such as “which is the most popular breakfast cereal?” to “which is the most popular breakfast cereal among Year 3 students in our class?” (ACMSP068) TIMESSP17 Selects and trials methods for data collection, including survey questions and recording sheets (ACMSP095) TIMESSP02 Poses questions and collects categorical (eg: brown hair) or numerical data by observation or survey (ACMSP118) TIMESSP03 Constructs suitable data displays, with and without the use of digital technologies, from given or collected data, including tables, column graphs and picture graphs where one picture can represent many data values (ACMSP096) TIMESSP02 Constructs displays, including column graphs, dot plots and tables, appropriate for data type, with and without the use of digital technologies (ACMSP119) TIMESSP03 Interprets and compares a range of data displays, including side-by-side column graphs for two categorical variables (ACMSP147) TIMESSP04 Identifies and investigates issues involving numerical data displays collected from primary and secondary sources (eg: relationship between wealth and health of populations) (ACMSP169) TIMESSP02 Collects data, organises into categories and creates displays using lists, tables, picture graphs and simple column graphs, with and without the use of digital technologies (ACMSP069) TIMESSP17 Interprets and compares data displays describing their similarities and differences (ACMSP070) TIMESSP17 Evaluates the effectiveness of different displays in illustrating data features including variability. Interprets data representations in the media and other forums in which symbols represent more than one data value (ACMSPO97) TIMESSP02 Suggests questions that can be answered by a given data display and using the display to answer questions (ACMSPO97) TIMESSP02 Describes and interprets different data sets in context. Uses and compares data representations for different data sets to help decision making, such as choosing the best mobile phone plan (ACMSP120) TIMESSP03 Interprets secondary data in order to critique data-based claims made in the media, advertising and elsewhere. Identifies potentially misleading data representation eg. graphics not drawn to scale, broken axes etc. (ACMSP148) TIMESSP04 Constructs and compares a range of data displays including stem-andleaf plots and dot plots (ACMSP170) TIMESSP02 Calculates mean, median, mode and range for sets of data. Interprets these statistics in the context of data (ACMSP171) TIMESSP02 Describes and interprets data displays using mean median and mode. Uses mean and median to compare data sets and explain how outliers may affect the comparison (ACMSP172) TIMESSP02 Year 8 Investigates techniques for collecting data including census, sampling and observation (ACMSP284) TIMESSP07 Explores the practicalities and implications of obtaining representative data using a variety of investigative processes (ACMSP206) TIMESSP05 Explores the variation of means and proportions of random samples drawn from the same population (ACMSP293) TIMESSP05 Investigates the effect of individual data values, including outliers, on the mean and median (ACMSP207) TIMESSP05 Year 9 Year 10 Year 10 A Identifies everyday questions and issues involving at least one numerical and at least one categorical variable, and collects data directly from secondary sources (ACMSP228) TIMESSP07 Determines quartiles and interquartile range. Finds the fivenumber summary (minimum and maximum values, median and upper and lower quartiles) and using its graphical representation, the box plot, as tools for both numerically and visually comparing the centre and spread of data sets (ACMSP248) TIMESSP08 Calculates and interprets the mean and standard deviation of data and use these to compare data sets (ACMSP278) Constructs back-toback stem-and-leaf plots and histograms and describes data, using terms including ‘skewed’, ‘symmetric’ and ‘bi modal’ (ACMSP282) TIMESSP07 Compares data displays using mean, median and range to describe and interpret numerical data sets in terms of location (centre) and spread (ACMSP283) TIMESSP07 Constructs and interprets box plots and uses them to compare data sets (ACMSP249) TIMESSP08 Compares shapes of box plots to corresponding histograms and dot plots (ACMSP250) TIMESSP08 Uses scatter plots to investigate and comment on relationships between two numerical variables, making comparisons and drawing conclusions (ACMSP251) TIMESSP08 Investigates and describes bivariate numerical data (data relating to two variables, eg. arm span and height) where the independent variable is time (ACMSP252) TIMESSP08 Evaluates statistical reports in the media and other places by linking claims to displays, statistics and representative data (ACMSP253) TIMESSP08 Uses information technologies to investigate bivariate numerical data sets. Where appropriate, use a straight line to describe the relationship allowing for variation. Investigates different techniques for finding a ‘line of best fit’ (ACMSP279)