PRODUCTION AND OPERATIONS MANAGEMENT Ch. 16: Project Management POM - J. Galván 1 Strategic Importance of Project Management Bechtel Kuwait Project: 8,000 workers • 1,000 construction professionals • 100 medical personnel • 2 helicopter evacuation teams • 6 full-service dining halls • 27,000 meals per day • 40 bed field hospital • POM - J. Galván 2 Strategic Importance of Project Management continued Microsoft Windows 98 Project: • hundreds of programmers • millions of lines of code • millions of dollars cost Ford Redesign of Mustang Project: • 450 member project team • Cost $700-million • 25% faster and 30% cheaper than comparable project at Ford POM - J. Galván 3 Project Characteristics Single unit Many related activities Difficult production planning and inventory control General purpose equipment High labor skills POM - J. Galván 4 An Example Building construction _ _ © 1995 Corel Corp. POM - J. Galván 5 An Example Research project POM - J. Galván 6 An Example New product introduction New! Improved! 19 · Nude Sandalfoot Medium to Tall (B) No nonsense © 1995 Corel Corp. POM - J. Galván 7 What is a project? A project is unique/nonrepetitive. A project has a specific beginning, goal, purpose, and end. Thus a project is also temporary. Projects must be given specific resources. Projects usually cross functional lines and are organized as a matrix. Projects are for use by others: the usufructuary and the user. Projects generate systemic conflict. Projects are “open veins” from which the entity loses blood and where infection enter. POM - J. Galván 8 Formal definition A project is usually a one-time activity • With a well-defined set of desired end results. • It can be divided into subtasks that must be accomplished in order to achieve the project goals. • The project is complex enough that the subtasks require careful coordination and control in terms of timing, precedence, cost, and performance. • The project itself must often be coordinated with other projects being carried out by the same parent organization. POM - J. Galván 9 Management of Large Projects Planning - goal setting, project definition, team organization Scheduling - relating people, money, and supplies to specific activities and activities to one and other Controlling - monitoring resources, costs, quality, and budgets; revising plans and shifting resources to meet time and cost demands POM - J. Galván 10 Project Planning, Scheduling, and Controlling Project Planning 1. Setting goals 2. Defining the project 3. Tying needs into timed project activities 4. Organizing the team Time/cost estimates Budgets Engineering diagrams Cash flow charts Material availability details Project Scheduling 1. Tying resources to specific activities 2. Relating activities to each other 3. Updating and revising on a regular basis CPM/PERT Gantt charts Milestone charts Cash flow schedules Project Controlling 1. Monitoring resources, costs, quality, and budgets 2. Revising and changing plans 3. Shifting resources to meet demands Before Project Reports • budgets • delayed activities • slack activities During Project POM - J. Galván 11 Project Planning Establishing objectives Defining project Creating work breakdown structure Determining resources Forming organization © 1995 Corel Corp. POM - J. Galván 12 Project planning process Overview – a short summary of objectives and scope Objectives – a more detailed statement of the general goals General approach – managerial and technical approaches to the work Contractual aspects – contractual reporting and requirements Schedules – schedules and all milestone events Resources – budget and cost monitoring and control procedures Personnel – expected personnel requirements and their skills Evaluation methods – procedure for monitoring and evaluating Potential problems – preparation for problems POM - J. Galván 13 Project Organization Often temporary structure Uses specialists from entire company Headed by project manager • Coordinates activities • Monitors schedule Eng. Eng. & costs Mkt. Acct. Permanent structure called ‘matrix organization’ POM - J. Galván Mgr. 14 A Sample Project Organization President Sales Project 1 Project 2 Finance Human Factors Engineering Quality Control Production Physiologist Propulsion Engineer Test Engineer Technician Psychologist Structural Engineer Inspection Technician Technician Project Manager Project Manager POM - J. Galván 15 Matrix Organization Mkt Project 1 Project 2 Project 3 Project 4 Oper JJ J J JJ J JJ POM - J. Galván Eng Fin JJ J J J JJ 16 The Role of the Project Manager Project Plan and Schedule Revisions and Updates Project Manager Information regarding times, costs, problems, delays Project Team Performance Reports Feedback Loop Top Management Resources POM - J. Galván 17 Work Breakdown Structure 1. 2. 3. 4. Project Major tasks in the project Subtasks in the major tasks Activities POM - J. Galván 18 Project Scheduling Sequencing activities Identifying precedence relationships Determining activity times & costs Estimating material & worker requirements Determining critical activities POM - J. Galván 19 Project Scheduling Techniques Gantt chart Critical Path Method (CPM) Program Evaluation & Review Technique (PERT) POM - J. Galván 20 Gantt Chart Activity J Time Period F M A M J J Design Build Test POM - J. Galván 21 Project Control Reports Detailed cost breakdowns for each task Total program labor curves Cost distribution tables Functional cost and hour summaries Raw materials and expenditure forecasts Variance reports Time analysis reports Work status reports POM - J. Galván 22 PERT and CPM Network techniques Developed in 1950’s CPM by DuPont for chemical plants • PERT by U.S. Navy for Polaris missile • Consider precedence relationships and interdependencies Each uses a different estimate of activity times POM - J. Galván 23 Questions Which May Be Addressed by PERT & CPM Is the project on schedule, ahead of schedule, or behind schedule? Is the project over or under cost budget? Are there enough resources available to finish the project on time? If the project must be finished in less than the scheduled amount of time, what is the way to accomplish this at least cost? POM - J. Galván 24 The Six Steps Common to PERT & CPM 1 2 3 4 5 6 Define the project and all of its significant activities or tasks Develop relationships among the activities. (Decide which activities must precede and which must follow others.) Draw the network connecting all of the activities Assign time and cost estimates to each activity Compute the longest time path through the network. This is called the critical path Use the network to help plan, schedule, monitor, and control the project POM - J. Galván 25 Network Terms Project: Obtain a college degree (B.S.) Register 1 Event (Node) Receive diploma Attend class, study etc. 4 Years Activity (Arrow) POM - J. Galván 2 Event (Node) 26 Activity Relationships 2 A 1 B A & B can occur concurrently 3 POM - J. Galván 27 Activity Relationships A must be done before C & D can begin 2 A C 1 B D 4 3 POM - J. Galván 28 Activity Relationships 2 A C 1 B D 3 POM - J. Galván 4 E B & C must be done before E can begin 29 Dummy Activities Activities are defined often by beginning & ending events • Example: Activity 2-3 Every activity must have unique pair of beginning & ending events • Otherwise, computer programs get confused Dummy activities maintain precedence • Consume no time or resources POM - J. Galván 30 Dummy Activity Example 2-3 Incorrect 1-2 1 3-4 2 3 4 2-3 Correct 1-2 1 2-4 2 2-3 3 POM - J. Galván 4 4-5 5 3-4: Dummy activity 31 PERT Activity Times 3 time estimates Optimistic times (a) • Most-likely time (m) • Pessimistic time (b) • Follow beta distribution Expected time: t = (a + 4m + b)/6 Variance of times: v = (b - a)2/6 POM - J. Galván 32 Critical Path Analysis Provides activity information • • • Earliest (ES) & latest (LS) start Earliest (EF) & latest (LF) finish Slack (S): Allowable delay Identifies critical path • • • • Longest path in network Shortest time project can be completed Any delay on activities delays project Activities have 0 slack POM - J. Galván 33 Earliest Start and Finish Steps Begin at starting event & work forward ES = 0 for starting activities • ES is earliest start EF = ES + Activity time • EF is earliest finish ES = Maximum EF of all predecessors for nonstarting activities POM - J. Galván 34 Latest Start and Finish Steps Begin at ending event & work backward LF = Maximum EF for ending activities • LF is latest finish; EF is earliest finish LS = LF - Activity time • LS is latest start LF = Minimum LS of all successors for nonending activities POM - J. Galván 35 Critical Path in Network Pour foundation & frame 6 wk. 1 3 wk. Buy shrubs etc. Do interior work 3 wk. 2 Roof 2 wk. 3 4 Landscape 4 wk. Critical path is longest path: 12 weeks. POM - J. Galván 36 Gantt Chart Earliest Start and Finish Build House Project 1 1 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 1 0 1 2 Activity 1-2 Fdn & frame 1-3 Buy shrubs 2-3 Roof 2-4 Interior work 3-4 Landscape POM - J. Galván 37 Gantt Chart Latest Start and Finish Build House Project 1 1 1 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 0 1 2 Activity 1-2 Fdn & frame 1-3 Buy shrubs 2-3 Roof 2-4 Interior work 3-4 Landscape POM - J. Galván 38 Project Times Expected project time Used to obtain (T) probability of project • Sum of critical path activity times, t completion! Project variance (V) • Sum of critical path activity variances, v POM - J. Galván 39 An example St. Adolf’s Hospital setup POM - J. Galván 40 St. Adolf’s Hospital Activity A B C D E F G H I J K Description Immediate Predecessor(s) Select administrative and medical staff. Select site and do site survey. Select equipment. Prepare final construction plans and layout. Bring utilities to the site. Interview applicants and fill positions in nursing, support staff, maintenance, and security. Purchase and take delivery of equipment. Construct the hospital. Develop an information system. Install the equipment. Train nurses and support staff. POM - J. Galván 41 St. Adolf’s Hospital Activity A B C D E F G H I J K Description Immediate Predecessor(s) Select administrative and medical staff. — Select site and do site survey. — Select equipment. A Prepare final construction plans and layout. B Bring utilities to the site. B Interview applicants and fill positions in nursing, support staff, maintenance, and security. A Purchase and take delivery of equipment. C Construct the hospital. D Develop an information system. A Install the equipment. E,G,H Train nurses and support staff. F,I,J POM - J. Galván 42 Example 4.1 St. Adolf’s Hospital Immediate Predecessor(s) Activity Description AON Network A Select administrative and medical staff. — B Select site and do site survey. — C Select equipment. A D Prepare final construction plans and layout. B E Bring utilities to the site. B F Interview applicants and fill positions in nursing, support staff, maintenance, and security. A G Purchase and take delivery of equipment. C H Construct the hospital. D I Develop and information system. A J Install the equipment. E,G,H K Train nurses and support staff. F,I,J POM - J. Galván 43 St. Adolf’s Hospital Immediate Predecessor(s) Activity Description AON Network A Select administrative and medical staff. — B Select site and do site survey. — A C Select equipment. A D Prepare final construction plans and layout. B E Bring utilities to the site. B F Interview Start applicants and fill positions in nursing, support staff, maintenance, and security. A G Purchase and take delivery of equipment. C H Construct the hospital. D I Develop and information system. A J Install the equipment. E,G,H K Train nurses and support staff. F,I,J POM - J. Galván 44 St. Adolf’s Hospital Immediate Predecessor(s) Activity Description AON Network A Select administrative and medical staff. — B Select site and do site survey. — A C Select equipment. A D Prepare final construction plans and layout. B E Bring utilities to the site. B F Interview Start applicants and fill positions in nursing, support staff, maintenance, and security. A G Purchase and take delivery of equipment. C H Construct the D B hospital. I Develop and information system. A J Install the equipment. E,G,H K Train nurses and support staff. F,I,J POM - J. Galván 45 St. Adolf’s Hospital Immediate Predecessor(s) Activity Description AON Network A Select administrative and medical staff. — B Select site and do site survey. — A C Select equipment. A D Prepare final construction plans and layout. B E Bring utilities to the site. B F Interview C and fill positions in nursing, Start applicants support staff, maintenance, and security. A G Purchase and take delivery of equipment. C H Construct the D B hospital. I Develop and information system. A J Install the equipment. E,G,H K Train nurses and support staff. F,I,J POM - J. Galván 46 St. Adolf’s Hospital Immediate Predecessor(s) Activity Description AON Network A Select administrative and medical staff. — B Select site and do site survey. — A C Select equipment. A D Prepare final construction plans and layout. B E Bring utilities to the site. B F Interview C and fill positions in nursing, Start applicants support staff, maintenance, and security. A G Purchase and take delivery of equipment. C H Construct the D D B hospital. I Develop and information system. A J Install the equipment. E,G,H K Train nurses and support staff. F,I,J POM - J. Galván 47 St. Adolf’s Hospital Immediate Predecessor(s) Activity Description AON Network A Select administrative and medical staff. — B Select site and do site survey. — A C Select equipment. A D Prepare final construction plans and layout. B E Bring utilities to the site. B F Interview C and fill positions in nursing, Start applicants support staff, maintenance, and security. A G Purchase and take delivery of equipment. C H Construct the D D B hospital. I Develop and information system. A J Install the equipment. E,G,H K Train nurses and support staff. F,I,J E POM - J. Galván 48 St. Adolf’s Hospital Immediate Predecessor(s) Activity Description AON Network A Select administrative and medical staff. — B Select site and do site survey. — A F C Select equipment. A D Prepare final construction plans and layout. B E Bring utilities to the site. B F Interview C and fill positions in nursing, Start applicants support staff, maintenance, and security. A G Purchase and take delivery of equipment. C H Construct the D D B hospital. I Develop and information system. A J Install the equipment. E,G,H K Train nurses and support staff. F,I,J E POM - J. Galván 49 St. Adolf’s Hospital Immediate Predecessor(s) Activity Description AON Network A Select administrative and medical staff. — B Select site and do site survey. — A F C Select equipment. A D Prepare final construction plans and layout. B E Bring utilities to the site. B F Interview C and fill G positions in nursing, Start applicants support staff, maintenance, and security. A G Purchase and take delivery of equipment. C H Construct the D D B hospital. I Develop and information system. A J Install the equipment. E,G,H K Train nurses and support staff. F,I,J E POM - J. Galván 50 St. Adolf’s Hospital Immediate Predecessor(s) Activity Description AON Network A Select administrative and medical staff. — B Select site and do site survey. — A F C Select equipment. A D Prepare final construction plans and layout. B E Bring utilities to the site. B F Interview C and fill G positions in nursing, Start applicants support staff, maintenance, and security. A G Purchase and take delivery of equipment. C H Construct the D D B hospital. H I Develop and information system. A J Install the equipment. E,G,H K Train nurses and support staff. F,I,J E POM - J. Galván 51 St. Adolf’s Hospital Immediate Predecessor(s) Activity Description AON Network I A Select administrative and medical staff. — B Select site and do site survey. — A F C Select equipment. A D Prepare final construction plans and layout. B E Bring utilities to the site. B F Interview C and fill G positions in nursing, Start applicants support staff, maintenance, and security. A G Purchase and take delivery of equipment. C H Construct the D D B hospital. H I Develop and information system. A J Install the equipment. E,G,H K Train nurses and support staff. F,I,J E POM - J. Galván 52 St. Adolf’s Hospital Immediate Predecessor(s) Activity Description AON Network I A Select administrative and medical staff. — B Select site and do site survey. — A F C Select equipment. A D Prepare final construction plans and layout. B E Bring utilities to the site. B F Interview C and fill G positions in nursing, Start applicants support staff, maintenance, and security. A G Purchase and take delivery of equipment. C H Construct the D D B hospital. H J I Develop and information system. A J Install the equipment. E,G,H K Train nurses and support staff. F,I,J E POM - J. Galván 53 St. Adolf’s Hospital Immediate Predecessor(s) Activity Description AON Network I A Select administrative and medical staff. — B Select site and do site survey. — A F K C Select equipment. A D Prepare final construction plans and layout. B E Bring utilities to the site. B F Interview C and fill G positions in nursing, Start applicants support staff, maintenance, and security. A G Purchase and take delivery of equipment. C H Construct the D D B hospital. H J I Develop and information system. A J Install the equipment. E,G,H K Train nurses and support staff. F,I,J E POM - J. Galván 54 St. Adolf’s Hospital Immediate Predecessor(s) Activity Description AON Network I A Select administrative and medical staff. — B Select site and do site survey. — A F K C Select equipment. A D Prepare final construction plans and layout. B E Bring utilities to the site. B F Interview in nursing, C and fill G positionsFinish Start applicants support staff, maintenance, and security. A G Purchase and take delivery of equipment. C H Construct the D D B hospital. H J I Develop and information system. A J Install the equipment. E,G,H K Train nurses and support staff. F,I,J E Figure 4.2 POM - J. Galván 55 St. Adolf’s Hospital Immediate Predecessor(s) Activity Completion Time Description A Select administrative and medical staff. — B Select site and do site survey. — C Select equipment. A D Prepare final construction plans and layout. B E Bring utilities to the site. B F Interview applicants and fill positions in nursing, support staff, maintenance, and security. A G Purchase and take delivery of equipment. C H Construct the hospital. D I Develop and information system. A J Install the equipment. E,G,H K Train nurses and support staff. F,I,J POM - J. Galván 56 St. Adolf’s Hospital Immediate Predecessor(s) Activity I Completion Time Description 15 A Select administrative and medical staff. — B Select site and do site survey. — A F K C Select equipment. A 12 10 6 D Prepare final construction plans and layout. B E Bring utilities to the site. B C G F Interview nursing, Start applicants and fill positions in Finish 10 35 support staff, maintenance, and security. A G Purchase and take delivery of equipment. C B D H J H Construct the hospital. D 9 10 40 4 I Develop and information system. A J Install the equipment. E,G,H E K Train nurses and support staff. F,I,J Figure 4.4 24 POM - J. Galván 57 St. Adolf’s Hospital Immediate Predecessor(s) Activity I Completion Time Description 15 A Select administrative and medical staff. — B Select site and do site survey. — A F K C Select equipment. A 12 10 6 D Prepare final construction plans and layout. B E Bring utilities to the site. B C G F Interview nursing, Start applicants and fill positions in Finish 10 35 support staff, maintenance, and security. A G Purchase and take delivery of equipment. C B D H J H Construct the hospital. D 9 10 40 4 I Develop and information system. A J Install the equipment. E,G,H E K Train nurses and support staff. F,I,J 24 POM - J. Galván 58 St. Adolf’s Hospital Immediate Predecessor(s) Activity I Completion Time Description 15 A Select administrative and medical staff. — B Select site and do site survey. — A F K C Select equipment. A 12 10 6 D Prepare final construction plans and layout. B E Bring utilities to the site. B C G F Interview nursing, Start applicants and fill positions in Finish 10 35 support staff, maintenance, and security. A G Purchase and take delivery of equipment. C B D H J H Construct the hospital. D 9 10 40 4 I Develop and information system. A J Install the equipment. E,G,H E K Train nurses and support staff. F,I,J 24 POM - J. Galván 59 St. Adolf’s Hospital Immediate Predecessor(s) Activity I Completion Time Description 15 A Select administrative and medical staff. — B Select site and do site survey. — A F K C Select equipment. A 12 10 6 D Prepare final construction plans and layout. B E Bring utilities to the site. B C G F Interview nursing, Start applicants and fill positions in Finish 10 35 support staff, maintenance, and security. A G Purchase and take delivery of equipment. C B D H J H Construct the hospital. D 9 10 40 4 I Develop and information system. A J Install the equipment. E,G,H E K Train nurses and support staff. F,I,J 24 POM - J. Galván 60 St. Adolf’s Hospital Immediate Predecessor(s) Activity I Completion Time Description 15 A Select administrative and medical staff. — B Select site and do site survey. — A F K C Select equipment. A 12 10 6 D Prepare final construction plans and layout. B E Bring utilities to the site. B C G F Interview nursing, Start applicants and fill positions in Finish 10 35 support staff, maintenance, and security. A G Purchase and take delivery of equipment. C B D H J H Construct the hospital. D 9 10 40 4 I Develop and information system. A J Install the equipment. E,G,H E K Train nurses and support staff. F,I,J 24 POM - J. Galván 61 St. Adolf’s Hospital Immediate Predecessor(s) Activity I Completion Time Description 15 A Select administrative and medical staff. — B Select site and do site survey. — A F K C Select equipment. A 12 10 6 D Prepare final construction plans and layout. B E Bring utilities to the site. B C G F Interview nursing, Start applicants and fill positions in Finish 10 35 support staff, maintenance, and security. A G Purchase and take delivery of equipment. C B D H J H Construct the hospital. D 9 10 40 4 I Develop and information system. A J Install the equipment. E,G,H E K Train nurses and support staff. F,I,J 24 POM - J. Galván 62 St. Adolf’s Hospital Path Expected Time (wks) Immediate Predecessor(s) Activity Description I Completion Time A-F-K 28 15 A Select administrative and medical staff. — A-I-K 33 B Select site survey. — A-C-G-J-K 67Aand do site F K C Select equipment. A 12 10 6 B-D-H-J-K 69 D Prepare final B B-E-J-K 43 construction plans and layout. E Bring utilities to the site. B C G F Interview nursing, Start applicants and fill positions in Finish 10 35 support staff, maintenance, and security. A G Purchase and take delivery of equipment. C B D H J H Construct the hospital. D 9 10 40 4 I Develop and information system. A J Install the equipment. E,G,H E K Train nurses and support staff. F,I,J 24 POM - J. Galván 63 St. Adolf’s Hospital Path Expected Time (wks) Immediate Predecessor(s) Activity Description I Completion Time A-F-K 28 15 A Select administrative and medical staff. — A-I-K 33 B Select site survey. — A-C-G-J-K 67Aand do site F K C Select equipment. A 12 10 6 B-D-H-J-K 69 D Prepare final B B-E-J-K 43 construction plans and layout. E Bring utilities to the site. B C G F Interview nursing, Start applicants and fill positions in Finish 10 35 support staff, maintenance, and security. A G Purchase and take delivery of equipment. C B D H J H Construct the hospital. D 9 10 40 4 I Develop and information system. A J Install the equipment. E,G,H E K Train nurses and support staff. F,I,J 24 POM - J. Galván 64 St. Adolf’s Hospital Path Expected Time (wks) Immediate Predecessor(s) Activity Description I Completion Time A-F-K 28 15 A Select administrative and medical staff. — A-I-K 33 B Select site survey. — A-C-G-J-K 67Aand do site F K C Select equipment. A 12 10 6 B-D-H-J-K 69 D Prepare final B B-E-J-K 43 construction plans and layout. E Bring utilities to the site. B C G F Interview nursing, Start applicants and fill positions in Finish 10 35 support staff, maintenance, and security. A G Purchase and take delivery of equipment. C B D H J H Construct the hospital. D 9 10 40 4 I Develop and information system. A J Install the equipment. E,G,H E K Train nurses and support staff. F,I,J 24 POM - J. Galván 65 St. Adolf’s Hospital Figure 4.5 POM - J. Galván 66 St. Adolf’s Hospital POM - J. Galván 67 St. Adolf’s Hospital I 15 A F K 12 10 6 Start B 9 Earliest Start and Earliest Finish Times C G 10 35 D H J 10 40 4 Finish E 24 POM - J. Galván 68 St. Adolf’s Hospital I 15 Earliest start time 0 A F K 12 10 6 Start B 9 Earliest Start and Earliest Finish Times C G 10 35 D H J 10 40 4 Finish E 24 POM - J. Galván 69 St. Adolf’s Hospital I 15 Earliest start time 0 A 12 12 Start B 9 Earliest Start and Earliest Finish Times Earliest finish time F K 10 6 C G 10 35 D H J 10 40 4 Finish E 24 POM - J. Galván 70 St. Adolf’s Hospital I 15 0 A 12 12 Start 0 B 9 9 Earliest Start and Earliest Finish Times F K 10 6 C G 10 35 D H J 10 40 4 Finish E 24 POM - J. Galván 71 St. Adolf’s Hospital I 15 0 A 12 12 Start 0 B 9 9 Earliest Start and Earliest Finish Times 9 F K 10 6 C G 10 35 D 19 10 9 E 24 POM - J. Galván Finish H J 40 4 33 72 St. Adolf’s Hospital I 12 27 15 0 A 12 12 F 10 12 12 Start C 6 22 10 0 B K 22 9 9 Earliest Start and Earliest Finish Times 9 D E 24 POM - J. Galván Finish 35 19 10 9 G H J 40 4 33 73 St. Adolf’s Hospital I 12 27 15 0 A 12 12 F K 22 10 12 12 Start C 6 G 22 10 0 B 9 9 Earliest Start and Earliest Finish Times 9 D 35 19 E 24 POM - J. Galván 19 H 40 10 9 Finish 59 J 4 33 74 St. Adolf’s Hospital I 12 27 15 0 A 12 12 F K 22 10 12 12 Start C 6 22 22 10 0 B 9 9 Earliest Start and Earliest Finish Times 9 D E 24 POM - J. Galván 57 Finish 35 19 19 H 40 10 9 G 59 J 4 33 75 St. Adolf’s Hospital I 12 27 15 0 A 12 12 F K 22 10 12 12 Start C 6 22 22 10 0 B 9 9 Earliest Start and Earliest Finish Times 9 D E 24 POM - J. Galván 57 Finish 35 19 19 H 40 10 9 G 59 59 J 63 4 33 Example764.2 St. Adolf’s Hospital I Earliest start time 0 A 12 12 15 12 12 Critical path 0 B F Earliest finish time 63 22 10 12 Start 27 9 9 Earliest Start and Earliest Finish Times C D 22 22 E 24 POM - J. Galván G 57 Finish 35 19 19 H 40 10 9 69 6 10 9 K 59 59 J 63 4 33 77 St. Adolf’s Hospital I 12 27 15 0 A 12 12 F 63 22 10 12 12 Start C B 9 Latest Start and Latest Finish Times 9 9 D 22 22 E 24 POM - J. Galván G 57 Finish 35 19 19 H 40 10 9 69 6 10 0 K 59 59 J 63 4 33 78 St. Adolf’s Hospital I 12 27 15 0 A 12 12 F 63 63 22 10 12 12 Start C 22 22 10 0 B 9 Latest Start and Latest Finish Times 9 9 D E 24 POM - J. Galván 6 69 69 57 19 19 H 40 59 Latest finish time Finish 35 10 9 G K 59 J 63 4 33 79 St. Adolf’s Hospital I 12 27 15 0 A 12 12 F 22 Latest start time 10 12 12 Start C 22 22 10 0 B 9 Latest Start and Latest Finish Times 9 9 D E 24 POM - J. Galván G K 6 69 69 57 19 19 H 40 59 Latest finish time Finish 35 10 9 63 63 59 J 63 4 33 80 St. Adolf’s Hospital I 12 48 0 A 12 12 12 53 12 Start 15 F 10 C 27 63 63 63 22 63 22 22 10 0 B 9 Latest Start and Latest Finish Times 9 9 D E 24 POM - J. Galván 6 69 69 57 Finish 35 19 19 H 40 10 9 G K 59 59 59 J 4 63 63 33 81 St. Adolf’s Hospital I 12 48 0 A 12 12 12 53 12 Start 15 F 10 C 27 63 22 10 0 B 9 Latest Start and Latest Finish Times 9 9 D 19 10 9 35 E 24 POM - J. Galván 63 63 22 63 22 24 19 19 G 35 H 40 K 6 69 69 57 59 59 59 Finish 59 59 J 4 63 63 33 59 82 St. Adolf’s Hospital I 12 48 0 A 12 12 12 53 12 14 Start 0 B 9 Latest Start and Latest Finish Times 9 9 9 9 35 15 F 10 C 10 D 10 E 24 POM - J. Galván 27 63 63 63 22 63 22 24 22 24 19 19 19 19 G 35 H 40 K 6 69 69 57 59 59 59 Finish 59 59 J 4 63 63 33 59 83 St. Adolf’s Hospital I Earliest start time Latest start time 0 2 Start A 12 12 14 Critical path 0 0 B 9 Latest Start and Latest Finish Times 9 9 12 48 12 53 12 14 9 9 9 35 15 F 10 C 10 D 10 E 24 POM - J. Galván 27 63 Earliest finish time Latest finish time 63 63 22 63 22 24 22 24 19 19 19 19 G 35 H 40 K 6 69 69 57 59 59 59 Finish 59 59 J 4 63 63 33 59 84 St. Adolf’s Hospital Gantt charts POM - J. Galván 85 St. Adolf’s Hospital Gantt Charts POM - J. Galván 86 St. Adolf’s Hospital I 12 48 0 2 A 12 12 14 12 14 Start 0 0 Activity Slack Analysis 12 53 B 9 9 9 9 9 9 35 15 F 10 C 10 D 10 E 24 POM - J. Galván 27 63 63 63 22 63 22 24 22 24 19 19 19 19 G 35 H 40 K 6 69 69 57 59 59 59 Finish 59 59 J 4 63 63 33 59 87 Slack Hospital St. Activity Adolf’s I 12 48 0 2 A 12 12 14 12 14 Start 0 0 Activity Slack Analysis 12 53 B 9 9 9 9 9 9 35 15 F 10 C 10 D 10 E 24 POM - J. Galván 27 63 63 63 22 63 22 24 22 24 19 19 19 19 G 35 H 40 K 6 69 69 57 59 59 59 Finish 59 59 J 4 63 63 33 59 88 Slack Hospital St. Activity Adolf’s I 12 48 Slack = LS – ES or 0 2 A Slack = LF – EF12 12 14 12 14 Start 0 0 Activity Slack Analysis 12 53 B 9 9 9 9 9 9 35 15 F 10 C 10 D 10 E 24 POM - J. Galván 27 63 63 63 22 63 22 24 22 24 19 19 19 19 G 35 H 40 K 6 69 69 57 59 59 59 Finish 59 59 J 4 63 63 33 59 89 Slack Hospital St. Activity Adolf’s I 12 48 SlackK = 63 – 63 or 0 2 A 12 SlackK = 69 – 69 12 14 12 14 Start 0 0 Activity Slack Analysis 12 53 B 9 9 9 9 9 9 35 15 F 10 C 10 D 10 E 24 POM - J. Galván 27 63 63 63 22 63 22 24 22 24 19 19 19 19 G 35 H 40 K 6 69 69 57 59 59 59 Finish 59 59 J 4 63 63 33 59 90 Slack Hospital St. Activity Adolf’s I 12 48 SlackK = 0 or SlackK = 0 0 2 A 12 12 14 12 14 Start 0 0 Activity Slack Analysis 12 53 B 9 9 9 9 9 9 35 15 F 10 C 10 D 10 E 24 POM - J. Galván 27 63 63 63 22 63 22 24 22 24 19 19 19 19 G 35 H 40 K 6 69 69 57 59 59 59 Finish 59 59 J 4 63 63 33 59 91 St. Adolf’s Hospital I 12 48 0 2 A 12 12 14 12 14 Start 0 0 Activity Slack Analysis 12 53 B 9 9 9 9 9 9 35 15 F 10 C 10 D 10 E 24 POM - J. Galván 27 63 63 63 22 63 22 24 22 24 19 19 19 19 G 35 H 40 K 6 69 69 57 59 59 59 Finish 59 59 J 4 63 63 33 59 92 Node DurationES LS Slack St. Adolf’s Hospital I 12 48 0 2 A 12 12 14 12 14 Start 0 0 Activity Slack Analysis 12 53 B 9 9 9 9 9 9 35 15 F 10 C 10 D 10 E 24 POM - J. Galván 27 63 63 63 22 63 22 24 22 24 19 19 19 19 G 35 H 40 K 6 69 69 57 59 59 59 Finish 59 59 J 4 63 63 33 59 93 Node DurationES LS Slack St. Adolf’s Hospital A 12 0 2 2 I B C D E F G H I J K 9 10 10 24 10 35 40 15 4 6 0 12 9 9 12 22 19 12 59 Start 63 0 14 9 35 53 24 19 48 59 63 0 2 0 26 0 A 41 2 2 12 0 36 0 0 0 0 Activity Slack Analysis B 9 12 48 12 14 12 53 12 14 9 9 9 9 9 35 15 F 10 C 10 D 10 E 24 POM - J. Galván 27 63 63 63 22 63 22 24 22 24 19 19 19 19 G 35 H 40 K 6 69 69 57 59 59 59 Finish 59 59 J 4 63 63 33 59 94 Node DurationES LS Slack 0 14 9 35 53 24 19 48 59 63 0 2 0 26 41 2 0 36 0 0 St. Adolf’s Hospital A 12 0 2 2 I B C D E F G H I J K 9 10 10 24 10 35 40 15 4 6 0 12 9 9 12 22 19 12 59 63 0 0 Critical Path B 9 12 48 12 53 12 14 9 9 9 9 9 35 15 F 10 C 10 D 10 E 24 POM - J. Galván 27 63 63 63 22 63 22 24 22 24 19 19 19 19 G 35 H 40 K 6 69 69 57 59 59 59 Finish 59 59 J 4 63 63 33 59 95 St. Adolf’s Hospital I 12 48 0 2 A 12 12 14 12 14 Start 0 0 Critical Path 12 53 B 9 9 9 9 9 9 35 15 F 10 C 10 D 10 E 24 POM - J. Galván 27 63 63 63 22 63 22 24 22 24 19 19 19 19 G 35 H 40 K 6 69 69 57 59 59 59 Finish 59 59 J 4 63 63 33 59 96 St. Adolf’s Hospital POM - J. Galván 97 St. Adolf’s Hospital Activity Slack POM - J. Galván 98 St. Adolf’s Hospital POM - J. Galván 99 St. Adolf’s Hospital Cost-Time Relationships in Cost Analysis Direct cost (dollars) 8000 — 7000 — 6000 — 5000 — 4000 — 3000 — 0— | 5 | 6 | 7 8 | 9 POM - J. Galván Time (weeks) | | 10 11 100 St. Adolf’s Hospital Cost-Time Relationships in Cost Analysis Direct cost (dollars) 8000 — Crash cost (CC) 7000 — 6000 — 5000 — 4000 — 3000 — 0— Normal cost (NC) | 5 | 6 | 7 8 | 9 | | 10 11 (Crash time) (Normal time) POM - J. Galván Time (weeks) 101 St. Adolf’s Hospital Cost-Time Relationships in Cost Analysis Direct cost (dollars) 8000 — Crash cost (CC) 7000 — Linear cost assumption 6000 — 5000 — 4000 — 3000 — 0— Normal cost (NC) | 5 | 6 | 7 8 | 9 | | 10 11 (Crash time) (Normal time) POM - J. Galván Time (weeks) 102 St. Adolf’s Hospital Cost-Time Relationships in Cost Analysis Direct cost (dollars) 8000 — Crash cost (CC) 7000 — Linear cost assumption 6000 — 5200 5000 — Estimated costs for a 2-week reduction, from 10 weeks to 8 weeks 4000 — 3000 — 0— Normal cost (NC) | 5 | 6 | 7 8 | 9 | | 10 11 (Crash time) (Normal time) POM - J. Galván Time (weeks) 103 St. Adolf’s Hospital POM - J. Galván 104 St. Adolf’s Hospital Normal Time Activity (NT) A B C D E F G H I J K 12 9 10 10 24 10 35 40 15 4 6 Normal Cost (NC) $ 12,000 50,000 4,000 16,000 120,000 10,000 500,000 1,200,000 40,000 10,000 30,000 Totals $1,992,000 Crash Time (CT) 11 7 5 8 14 6 25 35 10 1 5 Crash Cost (CC) $ 13,000 64,000 7,000 20,000 200,000 16,000 530,000 1,260,000 52,500 13,000 34,000 $2,209,000 POM - J. Galván Maximum Time Cost of Reduction Crashing per (wk) Week 1 2 5 2 10 4 10 5 5 2 1 $ 1,000 7,000 600 2,000 8,000 1,500 3,000 12,000 2,500 1,000 4,000 105 St. Adolf’s Hospital POM - J. Galván 106 St. Adolf’s Hospital Minimum-Cost Schedule A-I-K: A-F-K: A-C-G-J-K: 33 weeks 28 weeks 67 weeks B-D-H-J-K: B-E-J-K: 69 weeks 43 weeks Total cost = $2,624,000 Indirect costs = $8,000/week Penalty cost = $20,000/week after week 65 POM - J. Galván 107 St. Adolf’s Hospital Minimum-Cost Schedule A-I-K: A-F-K: A-C-G-J-K: 33 weeks 28 weeks 67 weeks B-D-H-J-K: B-E-J-K: 69 weeks 43 weeks Total cost = $2,624,000 Indirect costs = $8,000/week Penalty cost = $20,000/week after week 65 POM - J. Galván 108 St. Adolf’s Hospital Minimum-Cost Schedule A-I-K: A-F-K: A-C-G-J-K: 33 weeks 28 weeks 67 weeks B-D-H-J-K: B-E-J-K: 69 weeks 43 weeks Total cost = $2,624,000 Indirect costs = $8,000/week Penalty cost = $20,000/week after week 65 Critical Path B-D-H-J-K: 69 weeks Crash Activity J by 3 weeks @ $1,000/week POM - J. Galván 109 St. Adolf’s Hospital Minimum-Cost Schedule A-I-K: A-F-K: A-C-G-J-K: 33 weeks 28 weeks 67 weeks B-D-H-J-K: B-E-J-K: 69 weeks 43 weeks Total cost = $2,624,000 Indirect costs = $8,000/week Penalty cost = $20,000/week after week 65 Critical Path B-D-H-J-K: 69 weeks Crash Activity J by 3 weeks @ $1,000/week 3($28,000) – 3($1,000) = $81,000 POM - J. Galván 110 St. Adolf’s Hospital Minimum-Cost Schedule A-I-K: A-F-K: A-C-G-J-K: 33 weeks 28 weeks 67 weeks B-D-H-J-K: B-E-J-K: 69 weeks 43 weeks Total cost = $2,624,000 Indirect costs = $8,000/week Penalty cost = $20,000/week after week 65 Critical Path B-D-H-J-K: 66 weeks Crash Activity J by 3 weeks @ $1,000/week 3($28,000) – 3($1,000) = $81,000 $2,624,000 – $81,000 = $2,543,000 POM - J. Galván 111 St. Adolf’s Hospital Minimum-Cost Schedule A-I-K: A-F-K: A-C-G-J-K: 33 weeks 28 weeks 67 weeks B-D-H-J-K: B-E-J-K: 69 weeks 43 weeks Total cost = $2,624,000 $2,543,000 Indirect costs = $8,000/week Penalty cost = $20,000/week after week 65 Critical Path B-D-H-J-K: 66 weeks Crash Activity J by 3 weeks @ $1,000/week 3($28,000) – 3($1,000) = $81,000 $2,624,000 – $81,000 = $2,543,000 POM - J. Galván 112 St. Adolf’s Hospital I 15 Minimum Cost Schedule A-I-K: A-F-K: A-C-G-J-K: 33 weeks 28 weeks A 67 weeks 12 B-D-H-J-K: B-E-J-K: F 10 69 weeks 43 Kweeks 6 Total cost = $2,624,000C $2,543,000 G Start Finish Indirect costs = $8,000/week 10 35 Penalty cost = $20,000/week after week 65 B 9 B-D-H-J-K: H D 40 6910weeks J 1 Critical Path Crash Activity J by 3 weeks @ $1,000/week E 24= 3($1,000) 3($28,000) – $81,000 $2,624,000 – $81,000 = $2,543,000 POM - J. Galván 113 St. Adolf’s Hospital I Minimum Cost Schedule 15 A-I-K: A-F-K: A-C-G-J-K: 33 weeks A 28 weeks 12 67 weeks B-D-H-J-K: 69 weeks F B-E-J-K: K43 weeks 10 6 Total cost = $2,624,000 $2,543,000 C G Start Finish 10 35 Indirect costs = $8,000/week Penalty cost = $20,000/week after week 65 B D 9 10 B-D-H-J-K: 69 H 40 weeks J 1 Critical Path Crash Activity J by 3 weeks @ $1,000/week E 24 3($1,000) 3($28,000) – = $81,000 $2,624,000 – $81,000 = $2,543,000 POM - J. Galván 114 St. Adolf’s Hospital Minimum-Cost Schedule A-I-K: A-F-K: A-C-G-J-K: 33 weeks 28 weeks 67 weeks B-D-H-J-K: B-E-J-K: 69 weeks 43 weeks Total cost = $2,624,000 $2,543,000 Indirect costs = $8,000/week Penalty cost = $20,000/week after week 65 Critical Path B-D-H-J-K: 66 weeks Crash Activity D by 2 weeks @ $2,000/week POM - J. Galván 115 St. Adolf’s Hospital Minimum-Cost Schedule A-I-K: A-F-K: A-C-G-J-K: 33 weeks 28 weeks 67 weeks B-D-H-J-K: B-E-J-K: 69 weeks 43 weeks Total cost = $2,624,000 $2,543,000 Indirect costs = $8,000/week Penalty cost = $20,000/week after week 65 Critical Path B-D-H-J-K: 66 weeks Crash Activity D by 2 weeks @ $2,000/week $28,000 + $8,000 – 2($2,000) = $32,000 $2,543,000 – $32,000 = $2,511,000 POM - J. Galván 116 St. Adolf’s Hospital Minimum-Cost Schedule A-I-K: A-F-K: A-C-G-J-K: 33 weeks 28 weeks 67 weeks B-D-H-J-K: B-E-J-K: 69 weeks 43 weeks Total cost = $2,624,000 $2,511,000 Indirect costs = $8,000/week Penalty cost = $20,000/week after week 65 Critical Path B-D-H-J-K: 64 weeks Crash Activity D by 2 weeks @ $2,000/week $28,000 + $8,000 – 2($2,000) = $32,000 $2,543,000 – $32,000 = $2,511,000 POM - J. Galván 117 St. Adolf’s Hospital I Minimum Cost Schedule15 A-I-K: A-F-K: A-C-G-J-K: 33 weeks 28 weeksA 67 weeks12 B-D-H-J-K: F B-E-J-K: 10 69 weeks 43K weeks 6 Total cost = $2,624,000 C $2,511,000 G Start Finish Indirect costs = $8,000/week 10 35 Penalty cost = $20,000/week after week 65 B 9 B-D-H-J-K: D 10 69 H 40 weeks J 1 Critical Path Crash Activity D by 2 weeks @ $2,000/week E 24 2($2,000) $28,000 + $8,000 – = $32,000 $2,543,000 – $32,000 = $2,511,000 POM - J. Galván 118 St. Adolf’s Hospital Minimum Cost A-I-K: A-F-K: A-C-G-J-K: I Schedule15 33 weeks 28 weeksA 67 weeks12 B-D-H-J-K: F B-E-J-K: 10 69 weeks 43K weeks 6 Total cost = $2,624,000 $2,511,000 C G Start Finish 10 35 Indirect costs = $8,000/week Penalty cost = $20,000/week after week 65 B 9 B-D-H-J-K: D 8 69 H 40 weeks J 1 Critical Path Crash Activity D by 2 weeks @ $2,000/week E 24 $28,000 + $8,000 – 2($2,000) = $32,000 $2,543,000 – $32,000 = $2,511,000 POM - J. Galván 119 St. Adolf’s Hospital Minimum-Cost Schedule A-I-K: A-F-K: A-C-G-J-K: 33 weeks 28 weeks 67 weeks B-D-H-J-K: B-E-J-K: 69 weeks 43 weeks Total cost = $2,624,000 $2,511,000 Indirect costs = $8,000/week Penalty cost = $20,000/week after week 65 Critical Paths B-D-H-J-K and A-C-G-J-K: 64 weeks Crash Activity K by 1 week @ $4,000/week POM - J. Galván 120 St. Adolf’s Hospital Minimum-Cost Schedule A-I-K: A-F-K: A-C-G-J-K: 33 weeks 28 weeks 67 weeks B-D-H-J-K: B-E-J-K: 69 weeks 43 weeks Total cost = $2,624,000 $2,511,000 Indirect costs = $8,000/week Penalty cost = $20,000/week after week 65 Critical Paths B-D-H-J-K and A-C-G-J-K: 64 weeks Crash Activity K by 1 week @ $4,000/week $8,000 – $4,000 = $4,000 $2,511,000 – $4,000 = $2,507,000 POM - J. Galván 121 St. Adolf’s Hospital Minimum-Cost Schedule A-I-K: A-F-K: A-C-G-J-K: 33 weeks 28 weeks 67 weeks B-D-H-J-K: B-E-J-K: 69 weeks 43 weeks Total cost = $2,624,000 $2,507,000 Indirect costs = $8,000/week Penalty cost = $20,000/week after week 65 Critical Paths B-D-H-J-K and A-C-G-J-K: 63 weeks Crash Activity K by 1 week @ $4,000/week $8,000 – $4,000 = $4,000 $2,511,000 – $4,000 = $2,507,000 POM - J. Galván 122 St. Adolf’s Hospital Minimum Cost A-I-K: A-F-K: A-C-G-J-K: I Schedule15 33 weeks 28 weeksA 67 weeks12 B-D-H-J-K: F B-E-J-K: 10 69 weeks 43K weeks 6 Total cost = $2,624,000 $2,511,000 C G Start Finish 10 35 Indirect costs = $8,000/week Penalty cost = $20,000/week after week 65 B 9 B-D-H-J-K: D 8 69 H 40 weeks J 1 Critical Path Crash Activity D by 2 weeks @ $2,000/week E 24 $28,000 + $8,000 – 2($2,000) = $32,000 $2,543,000 – $32,000 = $2,511,000 POM - J. Galván 123 St. Adolf’s Hospital Minimum Cost A-I-K: A-F-K: A-C-G-J-K: I Schedule15 33 weeks 28 weeksA 67 weeks12 B-D-H-J-K: F B-E-J-K: 10 69 weeks 43K weeks 5 Total cost = $2,624,000 $2,511,000 C G Start Finish 10 35 Indirect costs = $8,000/week Penalty cost = $20,000/week after week 65 B 9 B-D-H-J-K: D 8 69 H 40 weeks J 1 Critical Path Crash Activity D by 2 weeks @ $2,000/week E 24 $28,000 + $8,000 – 2($2,000) = $32,000 $2,543,000 – $32,000 = $2,511,000 POM - J. Galván 124 St. Adolf’s Hospital Minimum-Cost Schedule A-I-K: A-F-K: A-C-G-J-K: 33 weeks 28 weeks 67 weeks B-D-H-J-K: B-E-J-K: 69 weeks 43 weeks Total cost = $2,624,000 $2,507,000 Indirect costs = $8,000/week Penalty cost = $20,000/week after week 65 Critical Paths B-D-H-J-K and A-C-G-J-K: 63 weeks Crash Activities B and C by 2 weeks @ $7,000/week and $600/week POM - J. Galván 125 St. Adolf’s Hospital Minimum-Cost Schedule A-I-K: A-F-K: A-C-G-J-K: 33 weeks 28 weeks 67 weeks B-D-H-J-K: B-E-J-K: 69 weeks 43 weeks Total cost = $2,624,000 $2,507,000 Indirect costs = $8,000/week Penalty cost = $20,000/week after week 65 Critical Paths B-D-H-J-K and A-C-G-J-K: 63 weeks Crash Activities B and C by 2 weeks @ $7,000/week and $600/week 2($8,000) – 2($7,600) = $800 $2,507,000 – $800 = $2,506,200 POM - J. Galván 126 St. Adolf’s Hospital Minimum-Cost Schedule A-I-K: A-F-K: A-C-G-J-K: 33 weeks 28 weeks 67 weeks B-D-H-J-K: B-E-J-K: 69 weeks 43 weeks Total cost = $2,624,000 $2,506,200 Indirect costs = $8,000/week Penalty cost = $20,000/week after week 65 Critical Paths B-D-H-J-K and A-C-G-J-K: 61 weeks Crash Activities B and C by 2 weeks @ $7,000/week and $600/week 2($8,000) – 2($7,600) = $800 $2,507,000 – $800 = $2,506,200 POM - J. Galván 127 St. Adolf’s Hospital Minimum Cost A-I-K: A-F-K: A-C-G-J-K: I Schedule15 33 weeks 28 weeksA 67 weeks12 B-D-H-J-K: F B-E-J-K: 10 69 weeks 43K weeks 5 Total cost = $2,624,000 $2,511,000 C G Start Finish 10 35 Indirect costs = $8,000/week Penalty cost = $20,000/week after week 65 B 9 B-D-H-J-K: D 8 69 H 40 weeks J 1 Critical Path Crash Activity D by 2 weeks @ $2,000/week E 24 $28,000 + $8,000 – 2($2,000) = $32,000 $2,543,000 – $32,000 = $2,511,000 POM - J. Galván 128 St. Adolf’s Hospital Minimum Cost A-I-K: A-F-K: A-C-G-J-K: I Schedule15 33 weeks 28 weeksA 67 weeks12 B-D-H-J-K: F B-E-J-K: 10 69 weeks 43K weeks 5 Total cost = $2,624,000 $2,511,000 C G Start Finish 8 35 Indirect costs = $8,000/week Penalty cost = $20,000/week after week 65 B 7 B-D-H-J-K: D 8 69 H 40 weeks J 1 Critical Path Crash Activity D by 2 weeks @ $2,000/week E 24 $28,000 + $8,000 – 2($2,000) = $32,000 $2,543,000 – $32,000 = $2,511,000 POM - J. Galván 129 St. Adolf’s Hospital Probabilistic Time Estimates I A Start B F K C G D H Finish J E POM - J. Galván 130 St. Adolf’s Hospital Probabilistic Time Estimates I A Activity B Most Optimistic Likely Pessimistic (a) (m) (b) 7 8 15 Start B F K C G D H Finish J E POM - J. Galván 131 St. Adolf’s Hospital Probabilistic Time Estimates I A Activity B Most Optimistic Likely Pessimistic (a) (m) (b) 7 8 15 7 + 4(8) + 15 te = 6 Start B = 9 weeks POM - J. Galván F K C G D H Finish J E 132 St. Adolf’s Hospital Probabilistic Time Estimates I A Activity B Most Optimistic Likely Pessimistic (a) (m) (b) 7 8 15 7 + 4(8) + 15 te = 6 ( 15 - 7 2 = 6 2 ) Start B = 9 weeks F K C G D H Finish J E = 1.78 POM - J. Galván 133 St. Adolf’s Hospital Time Estimates (wk) Optimistic Likely Activity (a) (m) Activity Statistics Pessimistic Expected Variance (b) Time (te ) (2 ) POM - J. Galván 134 St. Adolf’s Hospital Time Estimates (wk) Optimistic Likely Activity (a) (m) A B C D E F G H I J K 11 7 5 8 14 6 25 35 10 1 5 12 8 10 9 25 9 36 40 13 2 6 Activity Statistics Pessimistic Expected Variance (b) Time (te ) (2 ) 13 15 15 16 30 18 41 45 28 15 7 POM - J. Galván 12 9 10 10 24 10 35 40 15 4 6 0.11 1.78 2.78 1.78 7.11 4.00 7.11 2.78 9.00 5.44 0.11 135 St. Adolf’s Hospital Probabilities Critical Path = B - D - H - J - K T = 72 days POM - J. Galván TE = 69 days 136 St. Adolf’s Hospital Probabilities Critical Path = B - D - H - J - K T = 72 days 2 TE = 69 days T –TE = (variances of activities) z = 2 POM - J. Galván 137 St. Adolf’s Hospital Probabilities Critical Path = B - D - H - J - K T = 72 days 2 TE = 69 days T – TE = (variances of activities) z = 2 2 = 1.78 + 1.78 + 2.78 + 5.44 + 0.11 = 11.89 POM - J. Galván 138 St. Adolf’s Hospital Probabilities Critical Path = B - D - H - J - K T = 72 days 2 TE = 69 days T – TE = (variances of activities) z = 2 2 = 1.78 + 1.78 + 2.78 + 5.44 + 0.11 = 11.89 72 – 69 z= 11.89 POM - J. Galván 139 St. Adolf’s Hospital Probabilities Critical Path = B - D - H - J - K T = 72 days 2 TE = 69 days T – TE = (variances of activities) z = 2 2 = 1.78 + 1.78 + 2.78 + 5.44 + 0.11 = 11.89 72 – 69 z= 11.89 = 0.87 POM - J. Galván 140 St. Adolf’s Hospital Probabilities Critical Path = B - D - H - J - K T = 72 days 2 TE = 69 days T – TE = (variances of activities) z = 2 2 = 1.78 + 1.78 + 2.78 + 5.44 + 0.11 = 11.89 72 – 69 z= 11.89 From Appendix 2 = 0.87 P = .8078 .81 z POM - J. Galván 141 St. Adolf’s Hospital Probabilities Critical Path Length of = B critical T = 72 days path 2 = Probability of meeting (variances the schedule is 0.8078 of Normal D - Hdistribution: - J - K Mean = 69 weeks; TE = 69 days = 3.45 weeks T-T Probability Eof z = activities) exceeding 2 72 weeks is 0.1922 2 = 1.78 + 1.78 + 2.78 + 5.44 + 0.11 = 11.89 72 - 69 z= 11.89 = 0.87 69 72 Project duration (weeks) POM - J. Galván Figure 4.12 142 St. Adolf’s Hospital Probabilities Path = A - C - G - J - K T = 72 days 2 TE = 67 days T – TE = (variances of activities) z = 2 2 = 0.11 + 2.78 + 7.11 + 5.44 + 0.11 = 15.55 72 – 67 z= 15.55 From Appendix 2 = 1.27 P = .8980 .90 z POM - J. Galván 143 St. Adolf’s Hospital I A Start B F K C G D H Finish J E POM - J. Galván 144 St. Adolf’s Hospital Activity Duration C G J K D H E I F 10 35 4 6 10 40 24 15 10 Earliest Start Latest Start 16 26 61 65 10 20 10 16 16 POM - J. Galván 14 24 59 63 9 19 35 48 53 Slack –2 –2 –2 –2 –1 –1 25 32 37 145 Project Life Cycle POM - J. Galván 146 Resource requirements Project Life Cycle Start POM - J. Galván Time Finish 147 Resource requirements Project Life Cycle Definition Planning and organizati on Figure 4.13 Start Execution POM - J. Galván Time Close out Finish 148