CHAPTER 2 Market Forces: Demand and Supply Copyright © 2014 McGraw-Hill Education. All rights reserved. No reproduction or distribution without the prior written consent of McGraw-Hill Education. Chapter Outline Chapter Overview • Demand – Factors that change quantity demanded and factors that change demand – The demand function – Consumer surplus • Supply – Factors that change quantity supplied and factors that change supply – The supply function – Producer surplus • Market equilibrium • Price restrictions and market equilibrium – Price ceilings – Price floors • Comparative statics – Changes in demand – Changes in supply – Simultaneous shifts in supply and demand 2-2 Demand Demand • Market demand curve – Illustrates the relationship between the total quantity and price per unit of a good all consumers are willing and able to purchase, holding other variables constant. • Law of demand – The quantity of a good consumers are willing and able to purchase increases (decreases) as the price falls (rises). 2-3 Demand Market Demand Curve Price ($) $40 $30 $20 $10 Demand 0 20 40 60 80 Quantity (thousands per year) 2-4 Changes in Quantity Demanded Demand • Changing only price leads to changes in quantity demanded. – This type of change is graphically represented by a movement along a given demand curve, holding other factors that impact demand constant. • Changing factors other than price lead to changes in demand. – These types of changes are graphically represented by a shift of the entire demand curve. 2-5 Demand Changes in Demand Price Increase in demand A Decrease in demand B D1 D2 0 D0 Quantity 2-6 Demand Demand Shifters • Income – Normal good – Inferior good • Prices of related goods – Substitute goods – Complement goods • Advertising and consumer tastes – Informative advertising – Persuasive advertising • Population • Consumer expectations • Other factors 2-7 Demand Advertising and the Demand for Clothing Price of high-style clothing Due to an increase in advertising $50 $40 D2 D1 0 50,000 60,000 Quantity of high-style clothing 2-8 The Demand Function Demand • The demand function for good X is a mathematical representation describing how many units will be purchased at different prices for good X, different prices of a related good Y, different levels of income, and other factors that affect the demand for good X. 2-9 The Linear Demand Function Demand • One simple, but useful, representation of a demand function is the linear demand function: π ππ = πΌ0 + πΌπ ππ + πΌπ ππ + πΌπ π + πΌπ» π» , where: – – – – – ππ π is the number of units of good X demanded; ππ is the price of good X; ππ is the price of a related good Y; π is income; π» is the value of any other variable affecting demand. 2-10 Demand Understanding the Linear Demand Function • The signs and magnitude of the πΌ coefficients determine the impact of each variable on the number of units of X demanded. ππ π = πΌ0 + πΌπ ππ + πΌπ ππ + πΌπ π • For example: – πΌπ < 0 by the law of demand; – πΌπ > 0 if good Y is a substitute for good X; – πΌπ < 0 if good X is an inferior good. 2-11 Demand The Linear Demand Function in Action • Suppose that an economic consultant for X Corp. recently provided the firm’s marketing manager with this estimate of the demand function for the firm’s product: ππ π = 12,000 − 3ππ + 4ππ − 1π + 2π΄π Question: How many of good X will consumers purchase when ππ = $200 per unit, ππ = $15 per unit, π = $10,000 and π΄π = 2,000? Are goods X and Y substitutes or complements? Is good X a normal or an inferior good? 2-12 Inverse Demand Function Demand • By setting ππ = $15 and π = $10,000 and π΄ = 2,000 the demand function is ππ π = 12,000 − 3ππ + 4 15 − 1 10,000 + 2 2,000 the linear demand function simplifies to π ππ = 6,060 − 3ππ Solving this for ππ in terms of ππ π results in 1 π ππ = 2,020 − ππ 3 , which is called the inverse demand function. This function is used to construct a market demand curve. 2-13 Demand Graphing the Inverse Demand Function in Action Price $2,020 1 ππ = 2,020 − ππ π 3 0 6,060 Quantity 2-14 Demand Consumer Surplus • Marketing strategies – like value pricing and price discrimination – rely on understanding consumer value for products. – Total consumer value is the sum of the maximum amount a consumer is willing to pay at different quantities. – Total expenditure is the per-unit market price times the number of units consumed. – Consumer surplus is the extra value that consumers derive from a good but do not pay for. 2-15 Demand Market Demand and Consumer Surplus in Action Consumer Surplus Price per liter Consumer Surplus: 0.5($5 - $3)x(2-0) = $2 Total Consumer Value: 0.5($5 - $3)x2+(3-0)(2-0) = $8 $5 $4 Expenditures: $(3-0) x (2-0) = $6 $3 $2 $1 Demand 0 1 2 3 4 5 Quantity in liters 2-16 Supply Supply • Market supply curve – Summarizes the relationship between the total quantity all producers are willing and able to produce at alternative prices, holding other factors affecting supply constant. • Law of supply – As the price of a good rises (falls), the quantity supplied of the good rises (falls), holding other factors affecting supply constant. 2-17 Changes in Quantity Supplied Supply • Changing only price leads to changes in quantity supplied. – This type of change is graphically represented by a movement along a given supply curve, holding other factors that impact supply constant. • Changing factors other than price lead to changes in supply. – These types of changes are graphically represented by a shift of the entire supply curve. 2-18 Change in Supply in Action Supply Price S1 S0 B Decrease in supply S2 Increase in supply A 0 Quantity 2-19 Supply Shifters Supply • Input prices • Technology or government regulation • Number of firms – Entry – Exit • Substitutes in production • Taxes – Excise tax (Levied on each unite of output sold) – Ad valorem tax (percentage tax: sales tax) • Producer expectations 2-20 Change in Supply in Action Supply Excise tax Price of gasoline S0+t $1.20 S0 t = 20¢ t $1.00 t = per unit tax of 20¢ 0 Quantity of gasoline per week 2-21 Change in Supply in Action Price Ad valorem tax of backpacks Supply S1 = 1.20 x S0 $24 S0 $20 $12 $10 0 1,100 2,450 Quantity of backpacks per week 2-22 The Supply Function Supply • The supply function for good X is a mathematical representation describing how many units will be produced at different prices for X, different prices of inputs W, prices of technologically related goods, and other factors that affect the supply for good X. 2-23 The Linear Supply Function Supply • One simple, but useful, representation of a supply function is the linear supply function: π ππ = π½0 + π½π ππ + π½π π + π½π ππ + π½π» π» , where: – ππ π is the number of units of good X produced; – ππ is the price of good X; – π is the price of an input; – ππ is price of technologically related goods; – π» is the value of any other variable affecting supply. 2-24 Supply Understanding the Linear Supply Function • The signs and magnitude of the π½ coefficients determine the impact of each variable on the number of units of X produced. ππ π = π½0 + π½π ππ + π½π π + π½π ππ • For example: – π½π > 0 by the law of supply. – π½π < 0 increasing input price. – π½π > 0 technology lowers the cost of producing good X. 2-25 Supply The Linear Supply Function in Action • Your research department estimates that the supply function for televisions sets is given by: π ππ = 2,000 + 3ππ − 4ππ − 1ππ Question: How many televisions are produced when ππ = $400, ππ = $100 per unit, and ππ = $2,000? 2-26 Inverse Supply Function Supply • By setting ππ = $2,000 and ππ = $100 in π ππ = 2,000 + 3ππ − 4 100 − 1 2,000 the linear supply function simplifies to ππ π = 3ππ − 400 π Solving this for ππ in terms of ππ results in 400 1 π ππ = + ππ 3 3 , which is called the inverse supply function. This function is used to construct a market supply curve. 2-27 Producer Surplus Supply • The amount producers receive in excess of the amount necessary to induce them to produce the good. 2-28 Producer Surplus in Action 400 1 π ππ = + ππ 3 3 Price Supply Supply $400 Producer surplus $400 3 0 800 Quantity 2-29 Market Equilibrium Market Equilibrium • Competitive market equilibrium – Price of a good is determined by the interactions of the market demand and market supply for the good. – A price and quantity such that there is no shortage or surplus in the market. – Forces that drive market demand and market supply are balanced, and there is no pressure on prices or quantities to change. 2-30 Market Equilibrium I Price Market Equilibrium Supply Surplus ππ» ππ ππΏ Shortage 0 π0 ππ Demand π1 Quantity 2-31 Market Equilibrium Market Equilibrium II • Consider a market with demand and supply functions, respectively, as π π = 10 − 2π and π π = 2 + 2π • A competitive market equilibrium exists at a price, ππ • ππ 2-32 Price Restrictions and Market Equilibrium Price Restrictions • In a competitive market equilibrium, price and quantity freely adjust to the forces of demand and supply. • Sometimes the government restricts how much prices are permitted to rise or fall. – Price ceiling (rental control for tenants) – New York City’s rent control program, which began in 1943, is among the oldest in the country – Price floor (minimum wage) – 7.25 dollar/hour in TX (Jan. 1st 2014) 2-33 Price Restrictions and Market Equilibrium Price Ceiling in Action I Price Supply Nonpecuniary price Lost social welfare ππΉ ππ ππ Priceceiling Shortage 0 ππ ππ Demand ππ Quantity 2-34 Price Restrictions and Market Equilibrium Price Ceiling in Action II • Consider a market with demand and supply functions, respectively, as ππ = 10 − 2π and π π = 2 + 2π • Suppose a $1.50 price ceiling is imposed on the market. – – – – ππ = ? π’πππ‘π π π = ? π’πππ‘π ππ ? π π Full economic price of 5π‘β unit is 5 = 10 − 2πππ’ππ , or πππ’ππ = $2.50. Of this, • $1.50 is the dollar price • $1 is the nonpecuniary price 2-35 Price Restrictions and Market Equilibrium Price Floor in Action I Price Supply Surplus ππ Pricefloor ππ Cost of purchasing excess supply Demand 0 ππ ππ ππ Quantity 2-36 Price Restrictions and Market Equilibrium Price Floor in Action II • Consider a market with demand and supply functions, respectively, as π π = 10 − 2π and π π = 2 + 2π • Suppose a $4 price floor is imposed on the market. – π π =? units – π π =? units – Since π π ? π π a surplus of 10 − 2 = 8 units exists – The cost to the government of purchasing the surplus is ? 2-37 Comparative Statics Comparative Statics • Comparative static analysis – The study of the movement from one equilibrium to another. • Competitive markets, operating free of price restraints, will be analyzed when: – Demand changes; – Supply changes; – Demand and supply simultaneously change. 2-38 Comparative Statics Changes in Demand • Increase in demand only – Increase equilibrium price – Increase equilibrium quantity • Decrease in demand only – Decrease equilibrium price – Decrease equilibrium quantity • Example of change in demand – Suppose that consumer incomes are projected to increase 2.5% and the number of individuals over 25 years of age will reach an all time high by the end of next year. What is the impact on the rental car market? 2-39 Comparative Statics Change in Demand in Action Demand for Rental Cars Price Supply $49 $45 Demand1 Demand0 0 100 104 108 Quantity (thousands rented per day) 2-40 Comparative Statics Changes in Supply • Increase in supply only – Decrease equilibrium price – Increase equilibrium quantity • Decrease in supply only – Increase equilibrium price – Decrease equilibrium quantity • Example of change in supply – Suppose that a bill before Congress would require all employers to provide health care to their workers. What is the impact on retail markets? 2-41 Comparative Statics Change in Supply in Action Price π Supply1 Supply0 1 π0 Demand 0 π1 π0 Quantity 2-42 Comparative Statics Simultaneous Shifts in Supply and Demand • Suppose that simultaneously the following events occur: – an earthquake hit Kobe, Japan and decreased the supply of fermented rice used to make sake wine. – the stress caused by the earthquake led many to increase their demand for sake, and other alcoholic beverages. • What is the combined impact on Japan’s sake market? 2-43 Comparative Statics Simultaneous Shifts in Supply and Demand in Action Japan’s Sake Market Price Supply2 C π2 Supply1 B π1 Supply0 A π0 Demand1 Demand0 0 π2 π0 π1 Quantity 2-44 Conclusion • Demand and supply analysis is useful for – Clarifying the “big picture” (the general impact of a current event on equilibrium prices and quantities). – Organizing an action plan (needed changes in production, inventories, raw materials, human resources, marketing plans, etc.). 2-45 Demand Market Demand Curve Price (Dollars per Barrel) International Oil Market $140 $100 $60 $20 Demandoil 0 80 160 240 280 Quantity (Millions of Barrels) 2-46 Demand Changes in Quantity Demanded Price (Dollars per Barrel) International Oil Market $140 Increase in quantity demanded $100 $90 Demandoil 0 80 100 280 Quantity (Millions of Barrels) 2-47 Demand Change in Demand International Oil Market Price (Dollars per Barrel) $160 $140 $100 $90 Increase in demand Demandoil2 Demandoil1 0 80 100 120 140 280 Quantity (Millions of Barrels) 2-48 Change in Quantity Supplied Supply International Oil Market Price Supplyoil (Dollars per Barrel) $65 $60 Increase in quantity supplied $20 0 80 90 Quantity (Millions of Barrels) 2-49 Supply The Market Supply Curve International Oil Market Price Supplyoil (Dollars per Barrel) $140 $100 $60 $20 0 80 160 240 Quantity (Millions of Barrels) 2-50 Change in Supply in Action Supply International Oil Market Price (Dollars per Barrel) Supplyoil2 Decrease in supply Supplyoil1 $140 $100 $50 $20 0 100 160 180 240 Quantity (Millions of Barrels) 2-51 Market Equilibrium Competitive Market Equilibrium I International Oil Market Price (Dollars per Barrel) Supplyoil Surplus 160 million barrels $140 Forces of demand and supply put downward pressure on price. Competitive market equilibrium Qd(Pe) = Qs(Pe) Forces of demand and supply put upward pressure on price. Shortage Demandoil 160 million barrels $120 Pe = $80 $40 $20 0 40 Qe = 120 200 280 Quantity (Millions of Barrels) 2-52 Price Restrictions and Market Equilibrium Price Ceiling in Action I International Oil Market Price Supplyoil (Dollars per Barrel) Lost social welfare Nonpecuniary price $140 Pf = $120 Competitive market equilibrium Qd(Pe) = Qs(Pe) Pe = $80 Priceceiling Pc = $40 Shortage 160 million barrels $20 0 40 Qe = 120 Demandoil 200 280 Quantity (Millions of Barrels) 2-53 Comparative Statics Changes in Demand • Increase in demand only – Increase equilibrium price – Increase equilibrium quantity • Decrease in demand only – Decrease equilibrium price – Decrease equilibrium quantity • Example of change in demand – Suppose that worldwide demand for automobiles is projected to decrease by 30% next year. What is the impact on the international crude oil market? 2-54 Comparative Statics Change in Demand in Action International Oil Market Price Supplyoil (Dollars per Barrel) $140 Pe1 = $80 Pe2 = $54 Demandoil2 $20 0 Qe2 = 68 Qe1 = 120 Demandoil1 280 Quantity (Millions of Barrels) 2-55 Comparative Statics Changes in Supply • Increase in supply only – Decrease equilibrium price – Increase equilibrium quantity • Decrease in supply only – Increase equilibrium price – Decrease equilibrium quantity • Example of change in supply – Suppose that war breaks out in a major oilproducing country in the Middle East. What is the impact on the international crude oil market? 2-56 Comparative Statics Change in Supply in Action International Oil Market Price Supplyoil2 (Dollars per Barrel) Supplyoil1 $140 Pe2 = $100 Pe1 = $80 Demandoil $20 0 Qe2 = 80 Qe1 = 120 280 Quantity (Millions of Barrels) 2-57 Comparative Statics Simultaneous Shifts in Supply and Demand • Suppose that simultaneously the following two events occur: – worldwide demand for automobiles is projected to decrease by 30% next year. – war breaks out in a major oil-producing country in the Middle East. • What is the combined impact on the international crude oil market? 2-58 Comparative Statics Simultaneous Shifts in Supply and Demand in Action International Oil Market Price Supplyoil2 (Dollars per Barrel) Supplyoil1 $140 The equilibrium price increases or decreases depending on the magnitude of the demand and supply changes. Pe1 = $80 Pe2 = $65 $20 Demandoil2 Qe2 = 10 Qe1 = 120 Demandoil1 280 Quantity (Millions of Barrels) 2-59