Using Discriminant Analysis & Principal Component Analysis in Evaluating the Impacts of Silvicultural Treatments on Tree Growth Impacts of Silvicultural Treatments on Tree Growth • Assuming that the relationship between diameter at breast height (dbh, in) and tree height (ht, ft) varies with treatment, a tree can be characterized using a treatment class related criterion subject to stipulated dbh and ht values. A higher rate of correct judgement provides stronger evidence of the significant difference among treatment groups and vice versa. This method is so called discriminant technique of multivariate data analysis. • Study data came from a research project at the School of Forest Resources, UGA (CAPPS). The discriminant technique was applied for evaluating silvicultural treatment impacts on planted loblolly pines from two installations in the lower coastal plain of Georgia. The applied silvicultural treatments were control (C), fertilization (F), herbicide (H), and herbicide and fertilization (HF). Figs. (1) and (2) show the distributions of dbh and ht of study stems. Figure 1. DBH distribution of study stems associated with treatments. Figure 2. Height distribution of study stems associated with treatments. • During the analysis, the prior probability was assigned equally for each treatment (0.25) since the number of stems in each class is approximately the same. Cross validation was used to reduce bias in which discriminant functions are obtained from other n-1 observations and employed in classifying the one left out. The overall means of dbh and ht and the means of each treatment are presented in Table 1. • Table 1. Mean values of dbh (inch) and ht (feet) for all and each treatment groups. • • • • • • • • • • • • Group All C F H HF Variable N DBH 1199 HT 1199 DBH 312 HT 312 DBH 272 HT 272 DBH 322 HT 322 DBH 293 HT 293 Mean Standard Deviation 6.78 1.66 57.74 10.07 5.48 1.49 48.31 8.47 7.71 1.45 64.58 5.44 6.32 1.19 53.40 6.66 7.78 1.25 66.22 5.65 • The multivariate analysis of variance showed significant differences among treatment groups for pooled dbh and ht, and a significant correlation between dbh and ht (correlation coefficient 0.8019). The derived linear discriminant functions are presented below and classification result is listed in Table 2: • -29.9517-3.5473dbh+1.6420ht • -51.7810-4.1344dbh+2.0973ht • -35.5738-3.4972dbh+1.7468ht • -54.9733-4.4319dbh+2.1814ht for C for F for H for HF • Table 2. Number of observations and percentage classified into a treatment (italic). • TRT C F H HF Total • C 186 39 84 3 312 • 59.62 12.50 26.92 0.96 100.00 • F 5 92 33 142 272 • 1.84 33.82 12.13 52.21 100.00 • H 112 53 154 3 322 • 34.78 16.46 47.83 0.93 100.00 • HF 2 92 18 181 293 • 0.68 31.40 6.14 61.77 100.00 • Total 305 276 289 329 1199 • 25.44 23.02 24.10 27.44 100.00 • Error 0.40 0.66 0.52 0.38 0.49 • Large error rates of classification were between treatments C and H, and F and HF, i.e., 27% of the observations in C were misclassified into H and 35% of the observations in H were misclassified into C. Likewise, 52% of the observations in F were misclassified into HF and 31% of the observations in HF were misclassified into F. • On the other hand, the classification for fertilized stands versus unfertilized stands was more accurate, i.e., only 15% of the observations from unfertilized stands were misclassified into fertilized stands, and 10% of the observations from fertilized stands were misclassified into unfertilized stands. • The above facts implied that the growth responses (for both dbh and ht) between treatment C and H or F and HF are much less significant than those between F involved treatments (F or HF) and F excluded treatments (C or H). Figure 3 shows the similar trends as the described above using the group-specific density estimates obtained from discriminant analysis. Figure 3. Group-specific density estimates of each treatment versus dbh. • The bell-shape distribution densities of treatments F and HF are fully overlapped, implying that the impacts of the two treatments on dbh growth are hard to separate. Likewise, most of the density estimates of treatments H and C are overlapped and one may expect that more misclassifications occur during separating the stems from H only and C stands. However, distinct differences of the density estimates exist between stems from fertilized stands and unfertilized stands, implying a more accurate classification of fertilized and unfertilized trees. • In discriminant analysis, the impacts of silvicultural treatments are evaluated using both dbh and ht simultaneously. An observation is classified into a group according to the nearest distance criterion. For example, the calculated discriminant value for the trees in F only stands is 52 and 36 for the trees in H only stands. For a tree from F only stands with dbh 5.0 inches and ht 55 feet, the calculated discriminant value is 43, which is closer to that of H only stands (7 versus 9 in absolute value). That is, this tree is too small to be classified into the trees in F only stands • Likewise, about 10% of such trees in fertilized stands were called too small and classified into the trees in unfertilized stands and about 15% of such trees in unfertilized stands were called too large and classified into the trees from fertilized stands. On the other hand, tree sizes in F only and HF stands were too close to call, which resulted in large percentage misclassification, i.e., the difference between impacts of the two treatments is negligible. Impacts of Silvicultural Treatments on Tree Stem Development • Table 1 shows that silvicultural treatments, especially fertilization involved treatments, increased dbh and ht growth, which may affect stem profile. If the proportion of ht growth is larger or smaller than that of dbh growth, the stem could be slimmer or chummier, and vice versa. In this study, we use principal component analysis technique to address this problem • Because only two continuous numerical variables (dbh and ht) are involved, two principal components can be constructed and the coefficients equal to the eigenvectors of the correlation matrix. Using study data, the two eigenvalues obtained are 1.9 with proportion 0.93 and 0.13 with proportion 0.07 and the eigenvectors obtained are presented below: • P1 =0.4261(dbh-6.78)+0.0702(ht-57.74) • P2 =0.4261(dbh-6.78)-0.0702(ht-57.74) • where P1 and P2 are the first and second principal components. • Since the value of P1 increases with dbh and ht, it reflects the variation of tree size, that is, larger trees should have larger values of P1. Grouping all 1200 stems into four groups with 300 observations each by ascending order of P1, the majorities from the stipulated treatment stands in each group are C and H (94%), C and H (74%), F and HF (63%), and F and HF (94%), respectively (Table 3). • Table 3. Numbers of stems in four even groups. • Group Treatment Number DBH HT • 1 C 188 4.53 43.04 • 1 F 10 4.91 51.36 • 1 H 95 5.02 46.12 • 1 HF 7 4.70 52.03 • 2 C 78 6.44 54.13 • 2 F 41 5.90 59.11 • 2 H 145 6.40 54.20 • 2 HF 36 5.99 58.12 • Table 3. Numbers of stems in four even groups. • Group Treatment Number DBH HT • 3 • • • • • • • 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 C F H HF C F H HF 40 95 70 95 6 126 12 155 7.53 7.19 7.56 7.21 8.73 8.92 8.60 8.69 59.59 63.23 59.83 63.79 62.65 68.43 63.76 70.22 • On the other hand, the value of P2 decreases with ht and increases with dbh, that is, chunky stems have larger P2 value. Assuming that the stems in the lower range are the slimmest and the stems in the upper range are the chunkiest, study stems can be grouped into three groups according to the value of P2. The result showed that the percentages of the stems from fertilized stands are 72% of the total 400 stems in the lower range with a ratio of dbh to ht approximately 0.1 and 34% of the total 400 stems in the upper range with a ratio of dbh to ht approximately 0.13 (Table 4). • Table 4. The stems in the first and third groups obtained according to ascending order of the value of the second principal component • Group Treatment Number DBH HT • 1 C 52 4.80 49.99 • 1 F 122 6.74 64.34 • 1 H 59 5.48 52.96 • 1 HF 167 7.18 65.76 • 3 C 138 5.99 47.75 • 3 F 80 9.06 65.03 • 3 H 126 6.85 52.49 • 3 HF 55 8.95 66.51 • Note that more slim stems came from fertilized stands and more chunky stems came from unfertilized stands. The above statistics imply that, in general, fertilization affects stem profile development and the growth of these stems along vertical direction is faster than horizontal direction.