WE WILL, WE WILL, PRICE YOU!!! LESSON DESCRIPTION Students are members of a rock band that has just been signed to play their first concert. By analyzing data from actual concerts, students learn about the interaction of supply and demand and gain a deeper understanding of how a price system functions. They discover the effect that different pricing techniques have on the allocation of tickets and on the distribution of ticket revenue. Students then discuss possible goals for their band including, but not limited to, maximizing profits. Finally, they develop pricing strategies consistent with these goals. INTRODUCTION Prices play an important role in a market economy. They help determine the amount of revenue sellers receive, they send signals to producers to increase or decrease output and they play a role in allocating scarce resources among competing uses. The typical discussion of prices in textbooks tends to be mechanical. Students are taught that price is determined by the interaction of supply and demand. Firms are assumed to maximize profits and that this accomplished by producing at the level that equates marginal cost and marginal revenue. This view is simplistic. In reality producers often have goals other than to maximize profit. They also rarely have the information necessary to make the marginal cost equals marginal revenue calculation that is presented in textbooks. CONCEPTS Demand Supply Price Market Allocation of resources Profits Revenue CONTENT STANDARDS Different methods can be used to allocate goods and services. People, acting individually or collectively through government, must choose which methods to use to allocate different kinds of goods and services. Markets exist when buyers and sellers interact. This interaction determines market prices and thereby allocates scarce goods and services. Prices send signals and provide incentives to buyers and sellers. When supply or demand changes, market prices adjust, affecting incentives. OBJECTIVES Students will: Determine the appropriate shape of the supply curve and demand curve for concert tickets. Determine whether the current price of tickets is the equilibrium price. Determine whether profits are being maximized. Explain what a secondary market is and how it functions. Rick Fenner, Mohawk Valley Center for Economic Education October 2010 page 1 Discuss goals for a firm other than profit maximization. Analyze different pricing techniques and explain the impact each has on the allocation of resources and on the distribution of revenue. Develop a pricing strategy consistent with a variety of different objectives. TIME REQUIRED Part A - one 40 – 45 minute period. Part B - one 40 – 45 minute period. Part C - one 40 – 45 minute period. MATERIALS Visual 1: Seating chart for Utica Memorial Auditorium Visual 2: Upward sloping supply curve Visual 3: Vertical supply curve Visual 4: Screen shot of StubHub Activity 1: Let’s Rock Activity 2: Seating chart for Utica Memorial Auditorium Activity 3: Newspaper article on Phish concert Activity 4: Screen shot of StubHub Activity 5: Carrie Underwood concert information. PROCEDURES There are three parts to this lesson. Part A examines the situation of a concert where all seats are general admission and sold at the same price. Part B extends the analysis to the more usual case of concerts where there are multiple prices and tickets are for a specific seat. Part C asks students to come up with a pricing strategy for their band’s upcoming concert given a variety of possible objectives. PART A 1. Put students in groups of 4 or 5 and tell them that they members of a band. Give them a couple of minutes to come up with a name and a type of music they play. 2. Distribute copies of Activity 1 and 2 to students. 3. Tell students that in order to help make a decision about how to price and distribute the tickets to their concert, they will first examine how the band Phish has chosen to do this for their concert in Utica. Distribute copies of Activity 3 to each student. Have students read the newspaper article. 4. Ask the following questions. A. “How big is the Utica Memorial Auditorium (“Aud”)? “(5500) B. “What was the price of a ticket to the Phish concert?” ($60) C. “The concert is “General Admission”. What does that mean? “ (A ticket gets you into the auditorium. Tickets do not have seat numbers on them. You may sit in any seat that is available.) 5. Ask students to draw a supply and demand diagram showing the market for tickets to the Phish concert at Utica. Most students probably will draw a graph looking like this: P S $60 D 5500 Draw this on the board or show Visual 2. Tell students that the class is going to discuss whether this is a good illustration of the market for Phish tickets in Utica. First discuss the shape of the supply curve. Remind them that the supply curve Rick Fenner, Mohawk Valley Center for Economic Education October 2010 page 2 shows the quantity of a good that a firm or business is willing and able to supply at a set of prices. Ask students A. At a price of $60, how many tickets were available? (5500) B. “What if the price of a ticket to the Phish concert had been $20? How many tickets would the Aud have made available?” (5500). C. “What if the price had been $100?” (Again, 5500.) D. “What does this suggest about the shape of the supply curve? Try graphing the three points (at prices of $20, $60 and $100).” (The supply of seats is 5500 regardless of the price. Therefore, the supply curve should be drawn as a vertical line. In the short run it is reasonable to treat the supply of seats as fixed.) Next discuss the shape of the demand curve. Remind them that the demand curve shows the quantity of a good that a firm or business is willing and able to purchase at a set of prices. Ask students: E. “What does a downward sloping demand curve indicate? What does it say about the relationship between the price of tickets and the number of tickets that people are willing and able to buy?” (At high prices, fewer people are willing and able to buy tickets than at low prices.) F.” Is this reasonable? Why might this occur?” (Yes this is reasonable. People have different preferences; some are huge fans of Phish and would be willing to pay more than others. People also have different incomes, which affects the amount that they are able to pay.) This suggests that the graph for tickets should look like this: (Show Visual 3) P S D 5500 Q G.” Is $60 the equilibrium price of a ticket? How do you know?” (No. The article stated that the concert sold out in 18 minutes and that there were people in line who did not get the chance to buy a ticket. These people were willing and able to purchase a ticket for $60, but there were no more tickets available. Therefore the equilibrium price of a ticket – where supply equals demand – is higher than $60.) H. Ask students: “Identify where a price of $60 would be on the above graph. What characterizes the market at this price? “ P S $60 D 5500 Q (At $60 there is a shortage of tickets.) 6. Another piece of evidence to suggest that $60 is not the equilibrium price is that tickets are selling for more than $60 in the secondary market. Rick Fenner, Mohawk Valley Center for Economic Education October 2010 page 3 Explain to students that a secondary market represents people that have purchased the tickets from the Utica Auditorium or Ticketmaster at the original price and are now trying to resell them at a profit. Most students will recognize that this is commonly referred to as “ticket scalping”. 7. Handout Activity 4 and show Visual 4. Tell students that this is a screenshot of StubHub, the largest ticket reselling site. StubHub works similar to Ebay. Stubhub does not own the tickets for sale on its site. Individuals post their tickets and the price they are asking on StubHub for a fee. A. “How much are tickets being sold for on StubHub?” (The cheapest ticket is selling for $86. The majority of tickets are selling for between $100 and $200. The highest posted on the site is for $2500.) B. Ask students: “You have decided to go to the Phish concert. Unfortunately you were not able to buy a ticket before they were sold out. So you decide to buy one on StubHub. Who are you going to buy it from? How much is it going to cost you?” (They should purchase it from the first person listed at a price of $86. Remind students that for this concert, all tickets are General Admission tickets. This means that every ticket is identical to any other ticket. There is no reason to pay anything more than the lowest available price.) C. “What market structure best illustrates the secondary market for Phish tickets at the Utica Aud?” (Perfect competition. There are many sellers and buyers. The goods are identical. There are no barriers to entry. Anyone with a ticket can resell it on StubHub.) D. “Does it appear that the pricing structure for the Phish concert (all General Admission tickets at $60 each) is maximizing profits? How do you know?” (No, for two reasons. One, the price is below equilibrium. The information on StubHub suggests that people are willing and able to spend more than $60 for a ticket. They could have increased the price of a ticket and still sold out. Two, the band has sold all the tickets for the same price. Show Visual 1 again. Someone sitting in the front row in FLR B will have paid the same amount as someone sitting in section 210 at the far end of the Auditorium. It is reasonable to assume that the value of these two seats is not the same.) E. “Why might the band have chosen to price tickets at a level below equilibrium?” (Possible explanations are that the band did not want to appear greedy, they wanted to guarantee a sellout, they wanted the publicity of selling out quickly, they wanted the money up front, etc. Students may suggest the band feels that loyal fans couldn’t afford to pay more than $60. This is similar to, but not exactly the same as not wanting to appear greedy. This will be discussed in more detail later.) F. “Why might the band have chosen to sell all of the tickets as General Admissions tickets at the same price?” (This is a difficult question. Perhaps it is cheaper to sell identical tickets rather than tickets for specific seats. This doesn’t appear to be very likely. A more plausible explanation is that the band did NOT want price or first come first served to buying tickets to determine who gets to sit in the best seats.” See the following question. G. Ask students: “If all tickets are General Admission, what determines who gets to sit in the best seats?” Rick Fenner, Mohawk Valley Center for Economic Education October 2010 page 4 (Whoever enters the arena first. The arena has announced that doors will open at 6pm on the night of the concert. Therefore it is expected that fans will start lining up well in advance of this time. This means that seats will be allocated by the ability and willingness to pay with one’s time as opposed to paying with one’s income or wealth.) H. Ask the students, “Why might the band want access to the best seats allocated in this way?” (The perception is that the most enthusiastic fans are likely to be the ones willing to give up their time, rather than the ones that are willing to give up their money. And the band not only wants to reward these fans, but the band also benefits by having these people in closest proximity to the stage.) 8. To summarize, remind students that one of the characteristics of free markets is that price allocate goods and services. This means that tickets will go to those people willing and able to pay the market price. Ask students: A. “In this case, did price allocate Phish tickets in the primary market? If not, why not? And what did?” (No. Price did not allocate tickets in the primary market. Demand exceeded supply. Therefore, first come first served determined who got tickets and who did not. ) B. “What is allocating tickets in the secondary market?” (Price is allocating tickets in the secondary market. Prices can be expected to fluctuate in order to balance supply and demand.) PART B 1. The characteristics of the previous pricing strategy are very simple (all tickets are General Admission and sold at the same price). This makes the analysis as simple as possible. But most concerts are not priced in this way. Tickets for concerts at Auditoriums are usually for a specific seat. And most often there are at least two different prices for tickets. This next section addresses the analysis of concerts of this type. (As an example, the accompanying materials are for a Carrie Underwood concert at the Bridgestone Arena in Nashville, TN on October 13, 2010.) 2. Choose an artist that is currently on tour. To find an artist you can either go to the website of an auditorium or arena near you or go to www.ticketmaster.com for a list of artists. Choose a concert that is coming up in the next month or so. Then go to the website of the arena or ticketmaster to find out the initial price of the tickets (often referred to as the face value). Make sure that tickets are for specific seats and there are at least two different ticket prices. It is preferable, but not necessary that the concert be sold out. Also make sure that there is a secondary market for tickets. Go to www.stubhub.com and check to see if the concert is listed, or simply google the name of the band and the word tickets (Lady Gaga tickets). You should get a number of hits of secondary sellers. 3. Once you have chosen the concert, print out a copy of the seating chart and an ad or webpage advertising the concert. An alternative is to provide students with the link to websites containing this information. As an example Activity 5 includes the information for the Carrie Underwood concert in Nashville, TN on October 13, Rick Fenner, Mohawk Valley Center for Economic Education October 2010 page 5 2010. All provided answers are for this concert. closer to profit maximization than the Phish concert was.) 4. The analysis of this situation is very similar to that in part A, but it is complicated by the fact that each ticket is for a specific seat. A ticket to a seat in the front row is very different from a seat far away or behind the stage. D. Does information from the secondary market confirm or contradict this view? (It confirms it. In general the asking price of tickets is higher for seats closer to the stage. This suggests that each seat is slightly different, as measured by the distance from the stage. This suggests that each ticket has a slightly different value. The more “ticket prices” the more potential revenue the concert will earn. 5. Ask students: A. How many different prices are being charged for tickets? (Three. $55.00, $45.50 and $35.50) B. What differentiates a $55.00 from a $45.50 or $35.50 seat? (The higher priced tickets are those closer to the stage. These include the floor seats in sections 1 through 6 and parts of sections 105 through 107 and 114 through 116. The further from the stage and the higher up, the lower the price of the ticket. C. Are all $55.00 tickets the same? (No, the face value of tickets in sections 1 and 4 are $55.00, but tickets in section 1 are closer to the than those in section 4. Therefore seats in section 1 are better or of a higher value than those in section 4. Even within a section seat value differs. Seats in row 1 of section 1 are better than those in row 8.) D. What does this suggest about the pricing strategy for the concert? Is it maximizing profits? Is it closer to profit maximization than the Phish concert? (By pricing all tickets in sections 1 and 4 the same, the band is giving up potential revenue. If someone pays a ticket in the last row of section 4 for $55, it means that they value the ticket for at least $55. Therefore tickets in rows closer to the stage must be worth more than $55. Therefore this does not maximize profits. But by having three different price levels the pricing strategy is PART C 1. Remind students that since they are acting as their own manager they must develop a pricing strategy for its upcoming concert in Utica, New York. Then discuss the questions. 1. What objectives or goals could you have for this concert that will affect the price you charge and the method of distributing the tickets? (These could include: 1) Making as much money as possible. Be careful to make sure that students understand that maximizing revenue is not necessarily the same as maximizing profit. Profit equals revenue minus cost. There could be some pricing strategies that collect more revenue, but they may also include additional costs. 2) Selling the concert out as quickly as possible. This could be for egotistical reasons. It could also be a way of generating publicity. It used to be that a primary goal of concerts was to increase record (CD) sales. Ticket prices were kept low in order to make sure that the maximum number of people attended the concert. In other words, concerts were Rick Fenner, Mohawk Valley Center for Economic Education October 2010 page 6 subsidized CD sales. Today technology has turned things around almost 180 degrees. Because of Napster and the ease of sharing audio files, CD sales and therefore, revenue, has fallen. Now bands often give away the music in hopes of getting people to come to the concert. 3) Ensuring that the bands “real” or “loyal” fans get tickets and more importantly, the best tickets. Often these are not the people with the most money. 4) Keep ticket prices low, but prevent scalping of tickets. The reselling of tickets is very controversial. Some states ahve laws prohibiting reselling of tickets for more than a token amount over face value, but these are becoming rarer. Bands don’t like ticket scalping because their fans are paying near equilibrium prices for tickets, but the ticket broker is profiting, not the band. 2. Before asking students to come up with the band’s choice of how to price and distribute tickets, ask them to answer the following questions. A. How should tickets be sold if the goal is to earn the highest profit possible for the band? This generally means getting the highest price for each ticket possible, but the cost of the plan should be considered as well. (While there are many possible plans, they should all have some things in common. For instance, there should be many different prices. A seat in the front row is worth a little more than a seat in the fourth row, which is worth more than a seat in the tenth row, etc. In addition, a seat in the middle of the tenth row is worth more than a seat on the far right or left of the stage in the tenth row. Therefore, a proposal to price each seat separately and sell them like on StubHub could potentially be a solution. The technology is available that would allow this to be fairly easy to accomplish. There is still the issue of what price to place on each ticket. If all tickets were sold online, ticket prices could initially be set very high and then lowered if demand was not enough to sell of the tickets. Setting too high a price, still allows the firm to adjust its price if it turns out too high. Initially setting too low a price does not provide the band the same flexibility. Once the ticket is sold, nothing can be done. If the band were playing a concert at the same venue every week (such as Cher or Celine Dion in Las Vegas) prices could be adjusted in the long run, but in most cases, ticket pricing of a concert it is a onetime event. Another alternative would be to auction off each seat, similar to how many goods are sold on eBay. This could be accomplished online with current technology. A number of questions would have to be addressed, such as, how long to have the auction. Bands and auditoriums want to have as much time as possible to know how much revenue is coming in. In addition, it eliminates the positive “buzz” of a fast sell out. ) B. What if the primary goal is to get the tickets to the band’s most loyal fans? Assume that these fans are not the ones that would be able to pay the highest prices for tickets? (The problem is how to figure out who is a “loyal” fan. Some bands have fan clubs and allow these members are given preferences in buying tickets before they go on sale to the public. Bands on occasion have limited the initial sale of tickets to a geographic region (a neighborhood or city) where they started out or have received significant support. Rick Fenner, Mohawk Valley Center for Economic Education October 2010 page 7 The most common solution is to substitute waiting in line for willingness to spend money as a means of allocating tickets. This is effective if loyal fans are willing and able to show their demand using their time, rather than money. College students have long shown a willingness to wait in line for days for concert and/or football tickets. Make sure that students understand that the true cost of a ticket becomes the monetary ticket price plus the value on one’s time. This proposal is not foolproof. There is nothing to keep a wealthy person from purchasing a ticket from someone that had waited in line. Or even to pay someone to stand in line for them. This is more difficult to accomplish since most tickets are now sold online. Phish’s decision to sell only General Admission tickets and then allow queuing to determine who gets the best seats is an example of how this can be accomplished with online ticket sales. ) C. What if the goal is to keep prices low, but prevent the reselling (scalping) of tickets? (A variety of techniques can be used. For one tour, Bruce Springsteen sold the very best tickets – around the first 20 rows – in a very unusual way. Ticket sales were online and limited to four per person. But the actual tickets were not mailed. On the evening of the concert, the buyer had to show identification, including the credit card that was used to purchase the tickets online, and then was escorted to his/her seats. This made reselling the tickets very difficult. But this was extremely expensive for the arena, as well as time consuming for ticket holders. 3. Now that the groups have had some practice coming up with pricing strategies for a number of possible objectives, it is their turn to determine what goals they have for their band and to develop a plan for selling tickets to the show that is consistent with this goal. Students do not have enough information to put an exact dollar figure on the tickets, but they should be able to set parameters on how many different prices they will charge, how tickets will sold and distributed, etc. The evaluation of the program should focus on how well the strategy is likely to meet its goal. SUMMARY 1. True or false, if a band is interested in maximizing profits it should use more pricing categories rather than fewer. (True. Each seat is slightly different from any other seat. You can think of each seat having its own vertical supply curve and downward sloping demand curve. Since the demand will be slightly different for each seat depending upon its location, there will be a different equilibrium price for each.) 2. Bands get positive publicity from selling out concerts. That helps explain why bands are willing to price tickets below equilibrium. Can you think of any other business that “under prices” their product in order to benefit from a shortage? (Popular restaurants often have long lines and waiting lists on the weekend. Rather than raise the price in order to equate supply and demand, the restaurants are happy to have excess demand since it is a sign of popularity. And people are more apt to think that a crowded restaurant is a good restaurant than one that is empty.) 3. What are some other goals firms might have other than maximizing profits? Rick Fenner, Mohawk Valley Center for Economic Education October 2010 page 8 (Maximizing sales or market share, having a good reputation, pleasing customers, making a contribution to society.) Rick Fenner, Mohawk Valley Center for Economic Education October 2010 page 9 Rick Fenner, Mohawk Valley Center for Economic Education October 2010 page 10 Visual 2: Supply and Demand I Price S 60 D 5500 Rick Fenner, Mohawk Valley Center for Economic Education Tickets October 2010 page 11 Visual 3: Supply and Demand II Price S D 5500 Rick Fenner, Mohawk Valley Center for Economic Education Tickets October 2010 page 12 Rick Fenner, Mohawk Valley Center for Economic Education October 2010 page 13 Rick Fenner, Mohawk Valley Center for Economic Education October 2010 page 14 Activity 1 Congratulations!!! Your band has been together for over four years and after playing countless small clubs and free festivals you have finally signed a contract to play your first arena show. You are scheduled to play a concert at the Utica Memorial Auditorium on May 4, 2011. In an attempt to keep your costs at a minimum, the band has been acting as its own manager. One of the decisions the band will have to make is how to price and distribute tickets for the concert. Before making a decision you are going to analyze the pricing mechanisms used by other artists. Rick Fenner, Mohawk Valley Center for Economic Education October 2010 page 15 Rick Fenner, Mohawk Valley Center for Economic Education October 2010 page 16 Rick Fenner, Mohawk Valley Center for Economic Education October 2010 page 17 Rick Fenner, Mohawk Valley Center for Economic Education October 2010 page 18 Rick Fenner, Mohawk Valley Center for Economic Education October 2010 page 19 Rick Fenner, Mohawk Valley Center for Economic Education October 2010 page 20 Rick Fenner, Mohawk Valley Center for Economic Education October 2010 page 21 Rick Fenner, Mohawk Valley Center for Economic Education October 2010 page 22 Rick Fenner, Mohawk Valley Center for Economic Education October 2010 page 23