ELASTICITY Principles of Microeconomic Theory, ECO 284 John Eastwood CBA 247 523-7353 e-mail address: John.Eastwood@nau.edu 1 Learning Objectives Define and calculate the price elasticity of demand Explain what determines the price elasticity of demand Use the price elasticity to determine whether a price change will increase or decrease total revenue 2 Learning Objectives (cont.) Define, calculate and interpret the income elasticity of demand Define, calculate and interpret the crossprice elasticity of demand Define and calculate the elasticity of supply Use elasticities to analyze tax incidence. 3 Learning Objectives Define and calculate the price elasticity of demand Explain what determines the price elasticity of demand Use the price elasticity to determine whether a price change will increase or decrease total revenue 4 Elasticity Elasticity measures the response of one variable to changes in some other variable. Civil Engineers need to know the elasticity of construction materials. Economists need to know the elasticity of quantities demanded (and supplied). 5 Elasticity of Demand How does a firm go about determining the price at which they should sell their product in order to maximize profit? – – Profit = total revenue – total cost = TR - TC Total Revenue = Price Quantity =PQ How does the government determine the tax rate that will maximize tax revenue? 6 Price Elasticity of Demand, ed ed measures the responsiveness of quantity demanded of a product to a change in its own price, ceteris paribus. ed = (percentage change in Q ) divided by d (the percentage change in the Px) 7 Example Assume that the price of crude oil has increased by 100%, and that the quantity demanded has fallen by 10% ed = -10% / 100% = -0.1 For every 1% increase in price, the quantity demanded fell by 0.1% 8 Computing Elasticity Using the “Arc Formula” e d Q2 Q1 P2 P1 (Q1 Q2 ) / 2 ( P1 P2 ) / 2 where P1 represents the first price, P2 the second price, and Q1 and Q2 are the respective quantities demanded. Elasticity is dimensionless (units divide out). 9 Arc Formula Notation Some people prefer to write delta for change, and “overbar” for average. e Q2 Q1 P2 P1 (Q1 Q2 ) / 2 ( P1 P2 ) / 2 e Q P Q P d d 10 Calculating Elasticity The changes in price and quantity are expressed as percentages of the average price and average quantity. – ed Avoids having two values for the price elasticity of demand is negative; its sign is ignored 11 Price (dollars per chip) Calculating the Elasticity of Demand Original point 410 400 390 Da 36 40 44 Quantity (millions of chips per year) 12 Price (dollars per chip) Calculating the Elasticity of Demand Original point 410 400 New point 390 Da 36 40 44 Quantity (millions of chips per year) 13 Price (dollars per chip) Calculating the Elasticity of Demand Original point 410 P= $20 400 New point 390 Da 36 Q = 8 40 44 Quantity (millions of chips per year) 14 Price (dollars per chip) Original point 410 P= $20 400 Pave = $400 New point 390 Da 36 Q = 8 40 44 Quantity (millions of chips per year) 15 Price (dollars per chip) Calculating the Elasticity of Demand Original point 410 ed = ? P= $20 400 Pave = $400 New point Qave = 40 390 Da 36 Q = 8 40 44 Quantity (millions of chips per year) 16 Price (dollars per chip) Calculating the Elasticity of Demand Original point 410 ed = 20/5 = 4 P= $20 400 Pave = $400 New point Qave = 40 390 Da 36 Q = 8 40 44 Quantity (millions of chips per year) 17 Example -- Crude Oil Assume P1 = $15/bbl, Q1 = 105 bbl/day, and that P2 = $25/bbl, Q2 = 95 bbl/day Calculate ed using this formula: e d Q2 Q1 P2 P1 (Q1 Q2) / 2 ( P1 P2) / 2 18 Answer: e (95 105) (25 15) (105 95) / 2 (15 25) / 2 e 1 10 10 10% 50% 0.2 5 100 20 d d For every 1% increase in price, Qd fell 0.2%. 19 Elasticity and Slope ed and slope are inversely related. e Q P Q P Q P Q P Q P P Q e 1 P 1 P P Q Slope Q Q d d 20 Discussing ed Note that ed is always negative (or zero) because of the law of demand. However, when discussing the value of ed , economists almost always use the absolute value. Using | ed |, a larger value means greater elasticity. 21 Elastic Demand, | ed |>1 If the percentage change in quantity demanded is greater than the percentage change in price, demand is said to be price elastic. The demand for luxury goods tends to be price elastic. Examples – see page 99 of McEachern. 22 Inelastic Demand, | ed |< 1 If the percentage change in quantity demanded is smaller than the percentage change in price, demand is said to be price inelastic. The demand for necessities tends to be price inelastic. 23 Perfectly Elastic D, ed = infinity If quantity demanded drops to zero in response to any price increase, demand is said to be perfectly elastic. This corresponds to a horizontal demand curve. Sounds unlikely, doesn’t it? Example: Demand for a small country’s exports 24 Price Inelastic and Elastic Demand 12 6 Elasticity = D3 Perfectly Elastic Quantity 25 Perfectly Inelastic D, ed =0 If quantity demanded is completely unresponsive to a change in price, demand is said to be perfectly inelastic. This corresponds to a vertical demand curve. Can you think of a vertical demand curve? 26 Price Inelastic and Elastic Demand D1 Elasticity = 0 12 Perfectly Inelastic 6 Quantity 27 Unit Elastic D, | ed |= 1 If the percentage change in quantity just equals the percentage change in price, demand is said to be unit elastic. While there are many goods that could be unit elastic, there aren’t any we can identify without statistical evidence. Example: 28 Price Inelastic and Elastic Demand Elasticity = 1 12 Unit Elasticity 6 D2 1 2 3 Quantity 29 ed and Total Revenue (TR) Note that TR = P times Q = PQ. Will a change in price raise or lower total revenue? It all depends on the price elasticity of demand! 30 When Demand is Elastic, P and TR vary inversely. Since | ed | > 1, the percentage change in Qd is greater than the percentage change in P. If P rises by, say, 1%, Qd will fall by more than 1%. Therefore, if price is increased, total revenue will decrease. If price is reduced, then TR will rise. 31 When Demand is Inelastic, P and TR vary directly. Since | ed | < 1, the percentage change in Qd is smaller than the percentage change in P. If P rises by, say, 1%, Qd will fall by less than 1%. Therefore, if price is increased, total revenue will increase. If price is reduced, then TR will fall. 32 When Demand is Unit Elastic, TR does not change. Since | ed | = 1, the percentage change in Qd equals the percentage change in P. If P rises by, say, 1%, Qd will fall by exactly 1%. Therefore, if price is increased, total revenue will stay the same. If price is reduced, TR will not change. 33 Some Real-World Price Elasticities of Demand Good or Service Elastic Demand Metals Electrical engineering products Mechanical engineering products Furniture Motor vehicles Instrument engineering products Professional services Transportation services Inelastic Demand Gas, electricity, and water Oil Chemicals Beverages (all types) Clothing Tobacco Banking and insurance services Housing services Agricultural and fish products Books, magazines, and newspapers Food Elasticity 1.52 1.30 1.30 1.26 1.14 1.10 1.09 1.03 0.92 0.91 0.89 0.78 0.64 0.61 0.56 0.55 0.42 0.34 0.12 34 Example: Demand for Oil and Total Revenue Assume demand is p = 60 - q TR = price x quantity =PQ Substituting 60-q for p gives, TR=(60-q)q Multiply through by q to get an equation for TR, TR = 60q - q2 TR will graph as a parabola. Let’s calculate TR and graph it with D. 35 Computing Total Revenue Q 0 10 20 30 40 50 P 60 50 40 30 20 10 TR 0 500 800 900 800 500 Unit Analysis: Q (bbl/day) P ($/bbl) TR = P ($/bbl.) times Q (bbl. /day) = TR ($/day) 60 0 0 36 60 900 800 700 600 500 400 300 200 100 0 50 40 30 20 10 0 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 Quantity (bbl./day) Total Revenue ($/day) Price ($/bbl.) Demand (P), Total Revenue (TR), and Marginal Revenue (MR) P=AR MR TR 38 Price ($/bbl.) Total Revenue as an Area 60 50 40 30 20 P=AR 10 0 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 Quantity (bbl./day) 39 Linear Demand and Point Elasticity ed can be illustrated with geometry. With a linear D, the slope is constant. We don’t need an arc to get the slope. Elasticity is inversely related to slope. e d Q P 1 P 1 P P Q P Q Slope Q Q 40 ed and Linear Demand 60 50 40 P P 30 D 20 10 0 M O 0 M 5 10 15 20 25 30 T 35 40 45 50 Quan 55 60 41 ed Using Line Segments The formula for ed may be rewritten in terms of the length of line segments. O is the origin, T is the x-intercept, and M is a point between O and T. e d Q P MT MP MT P Q MP OM OM 42 Elasticity at the Midpoint | ed | =MT/OM 50 40 for any linear demand curve. 30 20 If M is the middle,10 O 0 then MT=OM. 0 60 ed = | -1| = 1 P P D M M 5 10 15 20 25 30 T 35 40 45 50 Quan 55 60 Unit Elastic at the midpoint. 43 Elasticity at Higher Prices If M is left of the middle, then MT>OM. 60 40 | ed | =MT/OM. 30 | ed | > 1 10 Demand is elastic at higher prices. P 50 P D 20 M O M T 0 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 Quan 55 60 44 Elasticity at Lower Prices If M is right of the middle, then MT<OM. 60 50 40 | ed | =MT/OM. 30 | ed | < 1 10 Demand is inelastic at lower prices. P P 20 M M O D T 0 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 Quan 55 60 45 Two Extremes At the point where the demand curve intercepts the vertical axis, ed is infinite or perfectly elastic. At the point where the demand curve intercepts the horizontal axis, ed = 0, that is, demand is perfectly inelastic. 46 Determinants of ed Number of substitutes – – quality availability Budget proportion Time – – to respond to consume 47 Other Elasticity Concepts Income Elasticity of Demand, ey Cross Price Elasticity of Demand, ex,z Price Elasticity of Supply, es 48 Income Elasticity of Demand, ey ey measures the change in demand for a good (X) in response to a change in income (Y), ceteris paribus. If ey > 0, X is a normal good. If ey < 0, X is an inferior good. 49 Computing Income Elasticity Q e y Q Y Y With Q1 and Q2, find the change in quantity and the average quantity . Given Y1 and Y2, find the change in income and the average income. 51 Example Computations Q e y Q Y Y Median annual family income rose from $39,000 to $41,000 per year. The demand for electricity rose from 79,000 GWh to 81,000 GWh. Normal or inferior? 52 Cross Price Elasticity of D, ex,z ex,z measures the responsiveness of the demand for one good to a change in the price of another good, ceteris paribus. ex,z = (% change in demand for X ) divided by (% change in PZ) 54 Using Cross Price Elasticity ex,z > 0 tells us the goods X and Z are substitutes. ex,z < 0 tells us the goods X and Z are complements. ex,z = 0 tells us the goods X and Z are unrelated. 55 Computing Cross-Price Elasticity QX e x ,z PZ QX PZ With QX1 and QX2, find the change in quantity and the average quantity . Given PZ1 and PZ2, find the change in price and the average price. 56 Example Computations QX e x ,z PZ QX PZ The price of gasoline rose from $.75 to $1.25/gal. The demand for Subarus rose from 9/day to 11/day. The demand for Cadillacs fell by 10%. 57 Subaru Example Let X = Subarus, and Z = gasoline. Find ex,z . Are Subarus and gasoline related goods? If so, are they complements or substitutes? 58 Cadillac Example Let X = Cadillacs, and Z = gasoline. Find ex,z . Are Cadillacs and gasoline related goods? If so, are they complements or substitutes? 60 Price Elasticity of Supply, es es measures the Qs es P Qs responsiveness of quantity supplied to a change in the good’s price. P 62 Example Computations Qs es P Qs P The price of corn fell from $3/bu. to $1/bu. The quantity supplied of corn fell from 101,000 bu to 99,000 bu. Compute the price elasticity of supply. 63 es Along a Supply Curve 70 60 50 e u P 40 30 20 y 10 0 Su Si Se i x O -10 0 5 10 Q 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 Quan 55 60 66 es Using Line Segments Rewrite the formula for es in terms of point elasticity. Note the relationship with the slope. Use length of line segments to get es Q P 1 P es P Q Slope Q 67 A Supply Curve with es = 1 Find es at point u: Note that Su is unit elastic at any point. Q P 0Q uQ 1 es P Q uQ 0Q 68 A Supply Curve with es <1 Find es at point i. Si is inelastic at any point. Q P xQ iQ xQ 1 es P Q iQ 0Q 0Q 69 Supply Curves May Not Touch the x-axis or y-axis. Si is unrealistic. It implies that the firm would supply positive quantities of its product at a price of zero (or at a negative price)! As we will learn later, a firm will shut down if the price of its product falls too low. Thus, we should draw supply curves that begin at a positive (Q, P). 70 A Supply Curve with es >1 Find es at point e. Se is elastic at any point. As y gets larger, es gets larger. As P gets larger, es approaches 1. Q P 0Q 0 P 0 P es P Q yP 0Q yP 1 71 Perfectly Elastic Supply the slope is zero. Cost per unit is constant. Example: One consumer may buy as many apples as s/he wishes at the going price. Price ($/unit) es is infinite when 70 60 50 40 S D 30 20 10 0 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 Quantity (units/time) 72 Perfectly Inelastic Supply es is zero when the slope is infinite. Price has no effect on the quantity supplied. e.g.: Once the crop is ready to harvest, the farmer will do so as long as s/he can earn at least the cost of harvesting it. P Smarket period D Pmin 0 Qs Q 73 Determinants of es : The degree of substitutability of resources among different productive activities. Time -- Given more time, producers are able to make more adjustments to their production processes in response to a given change in price. 74 Elasticity and the Burden of a Tax The economic incidence of taxation falls on the persons who suffer reduced purchasing power because of the tax. The legal incidence falls on the persons who are required by law to pay the tax to the government. 75 Tax Burden Demand for Tonic: P = $42 - 3Q Let Supply be: P = -3 + 2Q. (es <1.) Solve for equilibrium quantity: – – – -3 + 2Qe = 42 - 3Qe 5Qe = 45 Qe = 9 pints per day (|ed|<1 if Q>7.) Solve for equilibrium price: – Pe = 42 - 3Qe = 42 - 27 = $15 per pint. 76 Legal incidence on seller: Add the tax to Supply: P= -3+2Q+10=7+2Q Solve for new quantity: – – – 7 + 2Qn = 42 - 3Qn es>1 5Qn = 35 Qn = 7 pints per day (|ed|=1 if Q=7.) Solve for gross & net price: – – Pgross = 42 - 3Qn = 42 - 21 = $21 per pint. Pnet = - 3 + 2Qn = -3 + 14 = $11 per pint. 77 Price ($/pint) Specific Tax on the Seller 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 Demand Supply S + Tax 0 2 4 6 8 Quantity (pints/day) 10 12 14 78 Legal incidence on buyer: Subtract tax from Demand: P= 42-3Q-10 Solve for new quantity: – – – -3 + 2Qn = 32 - 3Qn 5Qn = 35 Qn = 7 pints per week (|ed|=1 if Q=7.) Solve for gross & net price: – – Pgross = 42 - 3Qn = 42 - 21 = $21 per pint. Pnet = 32 - 3Qn = 32 - 21 = $11 per pint. 79 Price ($/pint) Specific Tax on the Buyer 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 Demand Supply D - Tax 0 2 4 6 8 Quantity (pints/day) 10 12 14 80 Compute|ed| and es Before the tax Pe = $15/pint and Qe = 9 pints/week The slope of D = -3, while the slope of S = 2. e d 1 P 1 15 0.56 Slope Q 3 9 1 P 1 15 es Slope Q 2 9 0.83 81 Now Who Pays the Tax? Consumers now pay $21 per pint – Vendors now receive $21 per pint, – – – $6 / pint more than before the tax but must pay the $10 per pint tax. Sellers keep only $11 per pint. $4 / pint less than before Buyers respond less to a change in price, so they pay more of the tax. 82