Deconstructing Rapid Reviews • An Exploration of Knowledge, Traits and Attitudes Presented by: Shannon Kelly, CADTH Symposium 2015 – Saskatoon, SK Faculty of Medicine School of Epidemiology, Public Health and Preventive Medicine uOttawa.ca 2 Objectives • To present results from 3 projects on rapid reviews conducted as part of MSc. Epidemiology at uOttawa I. Defining rapid reviews – a consensus approach II. Attitudes and perceptions towards rapid reviews III. Defining rapid reviews – a pragmatic approach uOttawa.ca Why do we care about RAPID REVIEWS? uOttawa.ca What is a rapid review? “…a streamlined approach to synthesizing evidence in a timely manner - typically for the purpose of informing emergent decisions faced by decision makers in health care settings.” ~ Khangura, 2012 uOttawa.ca Khangura S, Konnyu K, Cushman R, Grimshaw J, Moher D. Evidence summaries: the evolution of a rapid review approach. Systematic Reviews. 2012;1:10. Rapid reviews influence decisionmaking in Canada • Knowledge users in Canada (everywhere) need support to make timely, evidence-informed health care decisions • Systematic reviews and HTA often take too long! • Delay important policy decisions • Use less-than-best evidence • Rapid reviews help fill this void • Balance rigour, relevance, timelines …We still need to know so much more… uOttawa.ca What do we know? Ultra-rapid reviews, first test results uOttawa.ca What don’t we know? “In order to consider offering rapid reviews, one first has to be able to define what they are. Previous reviews on the topic of rapid reviews describe them as ‘ill-defined,’ ‘not welldefined,’ lacking a single definition, or ‘varying widely in terms of the language used to describe them.’” (AHRQ, Hartling, 2015) “While the concept of rapid evidence synthesis, or rapid review, is not novel, it remains a poorly understood and yet ill-defined set of disparate methodologies supported by a paucity of published, available scientific literature” (Khangura, 2014) uOttawa.ca “While rapid review approaches are being used by HTA producers across the world in a variety of ways an agreed-upon definition describing its constitution and methods is lacking” (Khangura, 2014) “..evidence is only slowly emerging as to which steps in the systematic review process may be altered by increased speed” (Schünemann, 2015) “There is little empirical evidence comparing the continuum of products among rapid reviews and full systematic reviews, or analysing the diverse methods used in rapid reviews. It is important not only to establish transparent methodologies for rapid reviews, but also to understand the implications of what is lost in terms of rigour, bias, and results when methods associated with full systematic review are streamlined.” (Ganaan, 2010) “…a literature search by the authors does not elucidate any clear or final definition of what a RR is and how exactly the methodology of a RR differs from a full SR.” (Harker, 2012) Needed a research program to improve knowledge on rapid reviews An improved understanding of rapid reviews will help us better meet the needs of decision-makers uOttawa.ca A consensus approach DEFINING RAPID REVIEWS uOttawa.ca Objective • The study will employ a modified Delphi method to survey of experts in the field of evidence synthesis and rapid reviews to discover what they consider the key defining characteristics of rapid reviews to be. Note: For our purposes, defining characteristics are: ‘one of a number of essential features by which a rapid reviews can be recognized’. uOttawa.ca Method: The Delphi Technique Definition: a procedure that structures a communication process among a group of experts.(Linstone & Turoff, 1975) Characteristics of the Delphi technique: Staged process, assessment of agreement or consensus Assessment of the group’s view; An opportunity for informants to revise their views; Opportunity to react to and assess differing view points; Anonymity of informants. Panelists are selected based on their expertise in the subject matter; not random. uOttawa.ca Participants Experts targeted for participation were: 1. Subject-matter experts or experienced researchers with knowledge of a variety of evidence synthesis methods and practical experience with rapid reviews; 2. Authors with publications relevant to rapid reviews; and, 3. Delegates presenting pertinent work at recent meetings, workshops, conferences or symposia. • uOttawa.ca International Cochrane Colloquium, Health Technology Assessment international (HTAi), CADTH Symposium, Cochrane Canada Symposium). The Modified Delphi Process ROUND 1: WEB-BASED SURVEY ON KEY RR THEMES STUDY SCOPING AND EXPERT PANEL DEFINITION Pilot 120 POTENTIAL EXPERTS (FluidSurveys) 66 EXPERTS ROUND 2: DRAFT CHARACTERISTIC STATEMENTS Review, summarize, analyze, draft statements (email) 44 EXPERTS Review agreement, refine statements PUBLICATION PENDING ROUND 3: REVISED STATEMENTS, EXPERT REVISION OF AGREEMENT FINAL 11 CHARACTERISTIC STATEMENTS Summarize results Review agreement CONSENSUS ON 10 OF 11 STATEMENTS Consensus level = 70%, Approved by TOHREB uOttawa.ca (email) 26 EXPERTS Results: Key Characteristics (1) Rapid reviews: • Conducted in less time than a systematic review; • Have a protocol (at least describing objectives, scope, PICO, approach); • Tailor the explicit, reproducible methods conventionally used in a systematic review in some manner to expedite the process to meet the needs of a decision-maker; • Use a spectrum of approaches to complete an evidence synthesis related to a defined research question(s) using the most systematic or rigourous methods the limited time frame will allow. uOttawa.ca RR time to completion Khangura et al. (2012): SRs take 6 months to 2 years, and RRs ≤ 5 weeks. Delphi panel: Median time for SR is 36 weeks, while median for RR is 9 weeks. Delphi Expert Opinion Systematic Review Rapid Review 0 20 40 60 80 Time (in weeks) 100 120 Previous RR Samples uOttawa.ca GANAAN 2010 HARKER 2012 INAHTA scan 2012 POLISENA 2015 AHRQ 2015 TRICCO (RR SYMP. CADTH) Minimum 3 wk >3 mo 1 wk 1 wk 5 min <1mo Maximum 6 mo < 24 mo 12 mo 12 mo 8 mo 12 mo Min = minute; d = days, wk = week; mo = month; yr = year Results: Key Characteristics (2) • Balance the risk of the yet undetermined impact of workflow adaptations to the validity of the review and its results, with the needs of the knowledge user; • Report methods and findings transparently, with appropriate detail required to – answer the research question; – meet the requirements of the knowledge user and allow assessment of confidence in the results; – inform the audience for which the review is intended; – while meeting delivery time line agreed upon in advance. Consensus (72 - 100%) uOttawa.ca Still up for debate… • Tension: risk of bias/critical appraisal; – individual study or review level – distinct and opposing camps • Achieved consensus on no consensus – RRs as a unique method; • Time is still relative…; • Protocol format, publication/registration; • Peer review; • Unpublished (grey) literature; • Not all rapid reviews meet this definition? Overlap with some key features of SR, HTA. Statements based only on the experience of the expert panel…must be balanced with published literature. uOttawa.ca Exploring attitudes and perceptions towards RAPID REVIEWS uOttawa.ca Method: Q methodology RESEARCH QUESTION A research technique that permits the systematic study of subjectivity (opinions, beliefs and preferences). COLLECTION OF OPINION STATEMENTS: CONCOURSE DEFINING STUDY PARTICIPANTS: P SET DEVELOPMENT OF REPRESENTATIVE STATEMENTS: Q SET RANK ORDER OF THE STATEMENTS: Q SORT FACTOR ANALYSIS INTERPRETATION *Adapted from Amin, 2000 uOttawa.ca Conceptual Q sort layout We replicated this process using online Q methodology tools: uOttawa.ca Sample statements • When time allows, a comprehensive systematic review of all available evidence should always be conducted. • Further research comparing the methods and results of rapid reviews and systematic reviews is required before I decide how I feel about rapid reviews. • Rapid reviews mean different things to different people. • Rapid reviews should only precede a more comprehensive and rigorous systematic review. • The opportunity cost of a comprehensive SR or HTA is too high and it is more advantageous to conduct rapid reviews when timeliness is a factor. • All evidence synthesis products, including rapid reviews, SRs, or HTAs, can be conducted very well or very poorly. • Rapid reviews are comparable to SRs except they are done in a more timely fashion. • Rapid reviews are ‘quick and dirty' systematic reviews. • Rapid reviews need to be tailored to the specific needs of the knowledge user. • Rapid reviews meet the needs of knowledge users. • It is always appropriate to conduct a rapid review. • It is important to have minimum standards for the reporting of rapid reviews (e.g., a PRISMA-RR). • Standardization of rapid review methods may conflict with the needs of knowledge users • A good quality review of evidence is determined by the methods used, not by the speed at which it is completed. • It is difficult to tell a rapid review from a systematic review unless very specific nomenclature is used in the title or description of methods. • A rapid review cannot be a systematic review. uOttawa.ca Summary Geographic Location Canada Age: • 11 participants performed the online Q sort • 50 statements representing a range of viewpoints and and subjective opinion on RRs • Following factor analysis 3 factors extracted n (%) 18 to 35 2 (18.2) 36 to 50 4 (36.4) 50 or above 5 (45.5) Female 8 (72.7) Sex: n (%) Education: n (%) Doctorate 7 (63.6) Masters 3 (27.3) Undergraduate 1 (9.1) Consider Themselves: n (%) Researcher/Producer 8 (72.7) Knowledge User 2 (18.2) Neither Have ever been the author of a rapid review 1 (9.1) n (%) Yes 7 (63.6) No 4 (36.4) Unsure Have used a rapid review to aid in a policy or decision-making? 0 (0) n (%) Yes 7 (63.6) No 3 (27.3) Unsure uOttawa.ca n (%) 11 (100) 1 (0.9) Title uOttawa.ca Title uOttawa.ca Factor 3. “Pragmatism over principle” uOttawa.ca Consensus Statements Agree 6. Rapid reviews mean different things to different people. Disagree 7. 34. 42. 43. uOttawa.ca Rapid reviews should only precede a more comprehensive and rigorous systematic review. It is appropriate to endeavor to define a single, unique methodology for rapid reviews. Any review of evidence that takes longer than 3 months to produce is not a rapid review. Any review of evidence that takes longer than 1 month to produce is not a rapid review. A pragmatic approach DEFINING RAPID REVIEWS uOttawa.ca Summary of results • Review of RRs published in journals or as reports by various agencies and organizations worldwide; – Supplemented with INAHTA scan to query HTA agencies. • Screened 1,800+ database records and grey literature results - Single reviewer, checking by a second; • Included RR samples were examined for completion time, nomenclature, study characteristics, approach/tailoring and other relevant features, including whether the results are contextualized or framed with policy implications. uOttawa.ca In general • Findings matched previous work on RR methods: – “ One species, many breeds” Heterogeneity of approaches, nomenclature – supports the evidence continuum concept; – May find more than one approach within a single organization (e.g., CADTH); – Methods not well-reported; Self-identifying RRs with no way to assess what was tailored. • In addition: – RRs are getting published; – Need to focus on contextualization of results, policy implications for end-user; – Starting to see RR protocols published (n=4) or registered in PROSPERO (n=3). uOttawa.ca Summary • Addressed RR knowledge gaps with 3 separate but interrelated studies; • Experts have identified defining characteristics that may help differentiate RRs from other evidence synthesis approaches; • Agree to disagree in some areas; • Three distinct viewpoints on RRs were ascertained during a Q methodology study of subjective opinion; • A selection of RR samples show that there is room for improvement (without compromising on the needs of endusers). uOttawa.ca A special thank you to Dr. Tammy Clifford and Dr. David Moher, to CADTH for the initial funding for this student project, and everyone who has participated in surveys, piloted questionnaires, shared data and supported this research with their own time Questions? Thoughts? uOttawa.ca