COMMON MISTAKES ON THE AP MACRO EXAM Compiled by: John Ostick Malvern Prep Malvern, PA 19355 The difference between a change in demand and the resultant movement along a demand curve vs. Shifting of the demand curve GRAPHING DEMAND Price of Corn P CORN P $5 4 3 2 1 QD 10 20 35 55 80 $5 4 3 2 What if Demand Increases? 1 o D 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 Quantity of Corn Q GRAPHING DEMAND Price of Corn Increase in Quantity Demanded P CORN P $5 4 3 2 1 QD 10 30 20 40 35 60 55 80 80 + $5 4 3 2 1 o Increase in Demand 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 Quantity of Corn D’ D Q The difference between a change in supply and the resultant movement along a supply curve vs. Shifting of the supply curve GRAPHING SUPPLY Price of Corn P $5 4 3 2 S What if Supply Increases? 1 o 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 Quantity of Corn CORN P QS $5 4 3 2 1 Q 60 50 35 20 5 GRAPHING SUPPLY Price of Corn P $5 4 3 2 1 Increase in Supply S S’ CORN P QS $5 4 3 Increase 2 in Quantity 1 Supplied o 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 Quantity of Corn Q 60 80 50 70 35 60 20 45 5 30 Mislabeling or NOT labeling graphs correctly EQUILIBRIUM: REAL OUTPUT AND THE PRICE LEVEL Price Level P AS Equilibrium in the Intermediate Range Pe P1 AD Q1 Qe Q2 Real Domestic Output, GDP Q GROWTH IN THE AD-AS MODEL ASLR1 ASLR2 C Price Level Capital Goods A B D Consumer Goods Q1 Q2 Real GDP ECONOMIC GROWTH IN THE EXTENDED AD – AS MODEL ASLR1 ASLR2 AS2 Price Level AS1 P2 P1 AD2 AD1 o Q1 Real GDP Q2 Rate of interest, i (percent) THE MONEY MARKET Sm1 Sm 10 7.5 ie 5 Dm 2.5 0 A temporary shortage of money will require the sale of some assets to meet the need. 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 Amount of money demanded (billions of dollars) Net effects of Monetary Policy and/or Fiscal Policy on Interest Rate (I%) FISCAL POLICY, AGGREGATE SUPPLY AND INFLATION Price level AS Fiscal Policy And Inflation P1 AD1 AD2 $495 $505 $515 Real GDP (billions) Expansionary Fiscal Policy >> Interest Rate INCREASE Draw Money Market Increase Spending (AD)>>Increase Demand for Money>>Increase Interest Rate Higher Price Level>>Increase Demand for Money>>Increase Interest Rate Expansionary Monetary Policy>> Interest Rate DECREASE MONETARY POLICY AND EQUILIBRIUM GDP Real rate of interest, i Sm1 S m2 10 10 8 8 6 6 Investment Demand Dm 0 Quantity of money demanded and supplied Price level AS P2 P1 0 Amount of investment, i Money Supply Increases If the money supply increases Investment Increases to stimulate the economy... AD & GDP Increases Interest Rate Decreases AD1 AD2 Real domestic output, GDP with slight inflation MONETARY POLICY AND EQUILIBRIUM GDP Real rate of interest, i Sm1 S S m2 m3 10 10 8 8 6 6 Dm 0 Quantity of money demanded and supplied AS Price level Investment Demand P3 P2 P1 0 Amount of investment, i More Money Supply If theInterest moneyRates Lower supply increases More Investment again… AD1 AD2 AD3 Real domestic output, GDP Still higher AD & GDP with significant inflation MULTIPLIER(S) CONFUSION Income (Spending) Multiplier Multiplier = 1/ 1 – MPC or 1/ MPS Initial Change in Spending X MULTIPLIER = Change in Output MONEY MULTIPLIER 1/ Required Reserve Ratio Maximum Multiple $$$ Money Expansion MULTIPLE DEPOSIT EXPANSION PROCESS Bank Acquired reserves Required and deposits reserves Excess reserves Amount bank can lend - New money created $80.00 64.00 51.20 40.96 32.77 26.22 20.98 16.78 13.42 10.74 8.59 6.87 5.50 4.40 17.57 Total amount of money created by the banking system $400.00 A $100.00 B 80.00 C 64.00 D 51.20 E 40.96 F 32.77 G 26.22 H 20.98 I 16.78 J 13.42 K 10.74 L 8.59 M 6.87 N 5.50 Other banks 21.97 $20.00 16.00 12.80 10.24 8.19 6.55 5.24 4.20 3.36 2.68 2.15 1.72 1.37 1.10 4.40 $80.00 64.00 51.20 40.96 32.77 26.22 20.98 16.78 13.42 10.74 8.59 6.87 5.50 4.40 17.57 Balanced Budget Multiplier =1 (Net Result on GDP) Remembering the difference between the Amount of Money Created and the Change in the Money Supply when dealing with the Money Multiplier and Money Creation FEDERAL RESERVE PURCHASE OF BONDS Purchase of a $1000 bond from a bank... New reserves $800 Excess Reserves $4000 Bank System Lending $200 Required reserves $1000 Initial Deposit Total Increase in Money Supply ($5000) Confusing Comparative Advantage Calculations Remembering the difference between Real and Nominal Nominal: with Inflation Real: without Inflation GDP Nominal GDP: GDP measured in terms of current Price Level at the time of measurement. (Unadjusted for inflation) Real GDP: GDP adjusted for inflation; GDP in a year divided by a GDP deflator (Price Index) for that year INCOME NOMINAL INCOME: number of dollars received by an individual or group for its resources during some period of time REAL INCOME: amount of goods and services which can be purchased with nominal income during some period of time; nominal income adjusted for inflation INTEREST RATE (I%) NOMINAL I%: interest rate expressed in terms of annual amounts currently charged for interest; not adjusted for inflation REAL I%: interest rate expressed in dollars of constant value (adjusted for Inflation) and equal to the NOMINAL I% minus the EXPECTED RATE OF INFLATION ANTICIPATED INFLATION 11% = + 5% Nominal Interest Rate Real Interest Rate 6% Inflation Premium WAGES NOMINAL WAGES: amount of money received by a worker per unit of time (hour, day, etc.); Money Wage REAL WAGES: amount of goods and sevices a worker can purchase with their NOMINAL WAGE; purchasing power of the nominal wage. (Real = Nominal – Inflation rate) NOMINAL/REAL TIPs If nominal rates INCREASE and Price Level INCREASE, the CHANGE in Real is “indeterminable.” If nominal Wage rates do NOT change and Price Level fall. REAL WAGES increase. NOMINAL RATES “PIGGY-BACK” REAL RATES & NOT VICE VERSA. Confusing calculations using MPC / MPS to determine changes necessary to correct Recessionary and Inflationary Gaps FULL-EMPLOYMENT GDP Aggregate Expenditures (billions of dollars) Recessionary Gap AE0 AE1 530 510 Recessionary Gap = $5 Billion 490 Full Employment o 45 o 490 510 530 Real domestic product, GDP (billions of dollars) FULL-EMPLOYMENT GDP Aggregate Expenditures (billions of dollars) Inflationary Gap 530 AE2 AE0 Inflationary Gap = $5 Billion 510 490 Full Employment o 45 o 490 510 530 Real domestic product, GDP (billions of dollars) Demand-Pull Inflation vs. Cost-Push Inflation DEMAND-PULL INFLATION ASLR AS2 Price Level AS1 c P3 b P2 a P1 AD2 AD1 o Q1 Real domestic output COST-PUSH INFLATION Occurs when short-run AS shifts left ASLR AS2 Price Level AS1 b P2 a P1 AD1 o Q2 Q 1 Real domestic output COST-PUSH INFLATION Government response with increased AD ASLR AS2 Price Level AS1 c P3 b P2 a P1 Even higher price levels AD2 AD1 o Q2 Q 1 Real domestic output COST-PUSH INFLATION If government allows a recession to occur ASLR AS2 Price Level AS1 b P2 a P1 AD1 o Q2 Q 1 Real domestic output COST-PUSH INFLATION If government allows a recession to occur ASLR AS2 Price Level AS1 b P2 a P1 Nominal wages fall & AS returns to its original location AD1 o Q2 Q 1 Real domestic output Phillips Curve vs. Laffer Curve THE PHILLIPS CURVE CONCEPT Annual rate of inflation (percent) 7 As inflation declines... 6 5 Unemployment increases 4 3 2 1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Unemployment rate (percent) THE LAFFER CURVE Tax rate (percent) 100 l 0 Tax revenue (dollars) THE LAFFER CURVE Tax rate (percent) 100 m l 0 Tax revenue (dollars) THE LAFFER CURVE 100 Tax rate (percent) n m l 0 Tax revenue (dollars) THE LAFFER CURVE Tax rate (percent) 100 n m m Maximum Tax Revenue l 0 Tax revenue (dollars)