Emanuel Alvarez Nelida Cortes Alex Galindo Alejandro Guerrero Eddy Song Raymond Ho Wai Yee 1 2 I. Past and Present Situations of Goldman Sachs 3 Goldman Sachs Time-line 1869: Goldman is founded as a small commercial paper deal operating in a one-room office on Pine Street. 1929: GS suffers big losses in the stock market collapse by its investment unit, Goldman Sachs Trading Corp. 1906: GS becomes a major player in the nascent IPO business, handling initial equity sales for companies such as Sears, Roebuck & Co. 1930: Sidney Weinberg takes over Goldman and builds its investment bank 1956: GS is the lead underwriter of Ford’s IPO, a symbol of the firms growing investment banking prowess. 1969: Gus Levy takes over Goldman and builds back up its stock and bonds trading business. 4 Goldman Sachs Time-line 1976: John Weinberg, the son of Sidney Weinberg take over the firm, and continue to expand its investment banking business 1990: Robert Rubin and Stephen Friedman take the helm, focusing on expanding Goldman’s global operations and its mergers & acquisitions advisory business. 1981: Goldman acquires J. Aron & Co., a commodities-trading shop, where current Goldman CEO Lloyd Blankfein worked. Mr. Blankfein joins Goldman 1994: Goldman faces a serious crisis after Goldman’s bets on the bond market suffer big losses. Some partners flee the firm. Jan. 1999: Jon Corzine abruptly steps aside as the firm’s co-head, leaving Henry M. Paulson Jr. the sole chief executive Spring 1999: Goldman becomes a major underwriter of tech company IPOs, including such offerings as eToys 5 Goldman Sachs Time-line May 1999: After much internal debate, Goldman decides to go public. At the time of its IPO, the firm is valued at about $33 billion May/June 2006: Bush administration taps Paulson to be Treasury secretary. Lloyd Blankfein succeeds Paulson as Chairman and CEO December 2007: Goldman reports a record profit of $11.6 billion on revenue of $45.99 billion, on the heels of the credit and housing booms. September 2008: With the financial crisis intensifying, Goldman becomes a bank holding company, entitling it to greater government protection. Fall 2008: The Federal Reserve Bank of New York agrees to pay Goldman and other firms 100 cents on the dollar for its trading position with AIG. September 2008: Warren Buffett invests $5 billion in Goldman. 6 Goldman Sachs Time-line October 2008: The government buys $10 billion worth of preferred shares from Goldman as part of TARP. Jan 2010: Goldman reports a record profit of $13.39 billion. The firm sets aside $16.19 billion for compensation, or 35.8% of its net revenue to pay for compensation and benefits, about $3 billion less than expected. April 2010: The SEC charges Goldman with deceiving clients by selling them mortgage securities secretly designed by a hedge fund run by John Paulson. September 9, 2010: UK’s Financial Services Authority fines Goldman £ 17.5m for not alerting the British authorities about the original SEC probe. 16 July 2010: Goldman agrees to pay a $550 million fine to settle the SEC’s charges over Abacus. The biggest fine ever imposed by SEC. April 14, 2011: The Senate PSI committee accuses Goldman of deliberately selling mortgage-linked derivatives at inflated prices knowing the housing market was about to crash. 7 Mission “Goldman Sachs commits people, capital, and ideas to help our client, shareholders and the communities we serve to grow.” With the reduction of regulation and increases in International agencies, GS main objective is to enable the elite to consolidate wealth from around the globe by continually generating bubbles in different sectors around the globe; reaping the profits in the form of increased ROI, compensation, bonuses and salaries. 8 Overview Goldman, Sachs & Co. (GS&Co.), a limited partnership registered as a U.S. broker-dealer and futures commission merchant, together with its consolidated subsidiaries (collectively, the firm), is an indirectly wholly owned subsidiary of The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. (Group Inc.). The company provides prime brokerage services, financing services and securities lending services to mutual funds, pension funds, hedge funds, foundations and high-networth individuals worldwide. As a result, the firm has positioned itself as a global leader in mergers and acquisitions advice as well as securities underwriting. The firm participates in the following four banking activities 9 Investment Banking Goldman Sachs provides a variety of investment banking services to a diverse group of clients including corporations, financial institutions, investment funds and governments. 10 Institutional Client Services The firm facilitates client transactions and makes markets in fixed income, equity, currency, and commodity products. It also creates markets on major stock, options, and future exchanges worldwide. Goldman Sachs also provides financing, securities lending and prime brokerage services to institutional clients. 11 Investing & Lending Investments and loans are provided to finance clients and are usually long-term. The firm invests with funds managed by them in debt securities, loans, public and private equity securities, real estate and consolidated investment entities. 12 Investment Management The firm provides investment management services across a variety of asset classes to its institutional and individual clients. They also provide advisory services which include financial counseling and portfolio management. 13 Current Performance Objectives Goldman Sachs has been one of the most profitable investment banking and securities firms in history. However, as consumers and businesses spend less, the banks which rely on their borrowing to make money are now hurting. As of October 10, 2011, analysts are predicting Goldman Sachs to post its first loss since 1999. It's important to note that a single-quarter loss is not a trend. One quarter does not warrant any type of panic. Sachs should look at its next two or three quarter results before evaluating their performance following the shrinking of the securities business as a result of increasing financial pressure in the U.S. 14 15 Growth Throughout its storied history, Goldman Sachs has always seen success. It has experienced overall growth since its 1869 beginnings, and established itself as a respected player in the banking industry. Only until recently has its reputation and image been called into question. It is now a turning point for the company as financial regulation increases. It is now a matter of "wait and see" to evaluate how the firm will fair in the upcoming years. 16 Growth Concentric Diversification within its subsidiaries Investment Banking Institutional Client Services Investing and Lending Investment Management 17 18 Differentiation Narrow Market: Provide unique features highly valued by customers Such as: profits, wealth accumulation, status, and power How: attitude, government allies, lots of work and little manipulation. Recruiting brightest and most talented. 19 Differentiation Focus Broad Market: Consumer/Retail Municipal Finance Financial Institutions Natural Resources Financial Sponsors Real Estate Healthcare Technology/Media/Telecom Industrial 20 21 Nature of Market Goldman Sachs provides a wide range of financial services to a substantial and diversified client base that includes: corporations financial institutions governments high-net-worth individuals 22 Geographic Coverage International Goldman Sachs headquartered at 200 West Street in the Lower Manhattan area of New York City. Total of 56 Offices around the world 13 in the US (San Francisco, NY, Dallas, and more in East of US) 43 in foreign country. (Beijing China, Tokyo Japan, Sydney Australia, London) 23 Breadth of Services Investment Banking-Provides advice and services to help organizations with mergers and acquisitions, financing and other transactions. Securities sales and trading Giving our clients multiple ways to strategize, track and execute securities transactions in exchanges around the world. Prime Brokerage Providing services to help hedge funds manage risk, monitor their portfolios, maintain liquidity and build their businesses. Clearing Helping clients execute and settle transactions on over 97% of the world's equities and derivatives exchanges. Product and business Group Providing institutional clients with a wide range of products and services, giving them access to financial instruments and worldwide exchanges. 24 Breadth of Services (cont’d) Investing and Lending Banking , Goldman Sachs Bank USA is a New York State-chartered bank and a member of the Federal Reserve System. Direct Private Investing, Investing in equity and credit across corporate, real estate and infrastructure strategies. Urban Investing. Providing secured asset-based loan financing to financial services and specialty finance companies based in the US and Canada. Lender Finance Providing secured asset-based loan financing to financial services and specialty finance companies based in the US and Canada. Specialty Lending. Providing financing to mid-sized companies in the United States and Canada that are looking to grow. Investment Management Provide investment management services and offer investment products (primarily through separately managed accounts and commingled vehicles, such as mutual funds and private investment funds) across all major asset classes to a diverse set of institutional and individual clients. Also offer wealth advisory services, including portfolio management and financial counseling, and brokerage and other transaction services to high-net-worth individuals and families. Asset Management. Goldman Sachs Asset Management applies insights and risk management expertise to help institutional and individual investors with their financial goals, now and in the future. Private Wealth Management. Help high-net-worth individuals and families along with select foundations and endowments pursue their wealth management goals Research Global Investment Research division provides original, fundamental insights and analysis for clients in the equity, fixed income, currency and commodities markets. Covering areas such as economics, portfolio strategy, derivatives and equity and credit securities in more than 25 stock markets and 50 economies and regions around the world, research reports help investors better understand the issues and trends that affect companies, industries and markets. Degree of Customization In compare with JPMorgan, Goldman Sachs provides a unique customization base on their primary target group. Financial Institutions Governments High-net-worth individuals 26 Pricing Level “Forbidden City” for Poor. Good pricing toward these players Financial Institutions Governments High-net-worth individuals 27 Credit Trading and Principal Investments, Investment Banking Asset Management GOLDMAN, SACHS & CO vs. ALMAH LLC GS was sued by a Manhattan landlord who alleged the bank violated the terms of its rental agreement by failing to share profits from a sublease of the space to AIG Inc. Because it is undisputed that no "payment" was "received" as consideration for the assignment of the lease, tenant GS was entitled to a dismissal of the counterclaim in its entirety Securities Services GS invested $450 million in Facebook before the bank began recruiting investors. 28 Advertising Media Print: -Wall St. Journal -NY Times Internet: -Banner advertisements on various websites 29 Promotion emphasis Pull Strategy to find their clients. “Good companies worry about their competition, great companies worry about their clients.” Pull Strategy to Hiring GS exerts such a strong pull on university graduates. GS encourage many of the top people to try to get a job with the firm. By 2002, the company employed over 20,000 employees in 20 offices around the world, with the reputation of being the very best analysts, traders and associates around. 30 Total Assets and Source of Funds 2010 2500000 2000000 1500000 Goldman Sachs JPMorgan Chase Bank of America 1000000 500000 0 Total Assets Short Term Liabilities Long Term Liabilities Retained Earnings Net Stocks Goldman Sachs 911,332 72,371 188,247 57,163 56,774 JPMorgan Chase 2,117,605 471,358 247,669 73,998 109,320 Bank of America 2,264,909 69,524 448,431 60,849 167,46731 (in millions) Source of Funds % of Total Assets (2010) 25 20 Goldman Sachs 15 JPMorgan Chase Bank of America 10 5 0 Short Term Liabilities Long Term Liabilities Retained Earnings Net Stocks Goldman Sachs 7.94 20.66 6.27 6.23 JPMorgan Chase 22.26 11.7 3.5 5.16 Bank of America 3.07 19.8 2.69 7.39 32 Earnings Per Share and Dividends Per Share 25 20 15 Goldman Sachs JPMorgan Chase 10 Bank of America 5 0 2010 -5 Goldman Sachs JPMorgan Chase Bank of America 2009 2008 EPS DPS EPS DPS EPS DPS 13.18 1.4 22.13 1.05 4.47 1.4 3.96 0.2 2.26 0.2 1.35 1.52 -0.37 0.04 -0.29 0.04 0.54 2.24 33 Dividend Payout Ratio 450 400 350 Goldman Sachs 300 JPMorgan Chase 250 Bank of America 200 150 100 50 0 2010 2009 2008 Goldman Sachs 10.62 4.74 31.3 JPMorgan Chase 5.05 8.84 112.59 Bank of America N/M N/M 414.81 Dividend Payout Ratio = Dividends Per Share / EPS 34 Methods of Growth External Acquisition By focusing on the long-term growth potential of companies Buy a high-quality growth business GS seeks to buy high-quality growth companies that are strong business franchises with favorable long-term growth prospects and excellent management. GS use several different methods, including discounted cash flow analysis, assessment of private market value, and cash flow and earnings multiples, to determine the intrinsic worth of the business. GS then attempt to purchase the stock at a discount to this intrinsic value. 35 36 Past Stock Performance In 2006, GS stock rose from $127 to $199 per stock for a gain of 56.7% In 2007, GS stock encountered a huge drop in price from July to September but finished the year with a gain of about 6%. (All time high) In 2008, GS stock was priced at $205 per share and ended the year at $76 a share for a loss of 63% In 2009, GS started at $86 a share and by the end of the year, GS stock price increased 95% to finish at $169, During the 2010 year, the stock was mostly down, however it recovered in the last quarter of the year for a gain of about 2% 37 YTD Stock performance The stock has dropped 41% from $160 to $94.55 in the 6 months prior and a loss of 43.77% YTD. GS has a bearish trend for 2011, but the stock has experienced a lift in the past month. 38 GS Stock Vs. S&P 500 39 Goldman Sachs vs. Bank of America 40 Goldman Sachs vs. JP Morgan 41 Goldman Sachs vs. Peer 42 Net Revenue Net Revenue (in thousands) 140,000,000 120,000,000 100,000,000 80,000,000 60,000,000 40,000,000 20,000,000 0 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 Goldman Sachs 39,161,000 45,173,000 49,802,000 45,987,000 37,665,000 Bank of America 110,220,000 119,643,000 72,782,000 66,319,000 73,023,000 JP Morgan 102,694,000 100,434,000 67,252,000 71,372,000 61,437,000 43 Net Income Net Income (in thousands) 25,000,000 20,000,000 15,000,000 Goldman Sachs 10,000,000 Bank of America JP Morgan 5,000,000 0 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 -5,000,000 44 Number of Employees 350,000 300,000 Employees 250,000 200,000 150,000 100,000 50,000 - GS 2006 26,467 2007 30,522 2008 30,067 2009 32,500 2010 35,700 BAC 203000 210000 243075 284000 288000 JPM 174,360 180,667 200,000 222,316 239,831 45 Dollar-Profit per Employee Net Income/Number of Employees 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 $(50,000) $- $50,000 $100,000 $150,000 $200,000 $250,000 $300,000 $350,000 $400,000 $450,000 JPM 2006 $82,840 2007 $85,046 2008 $28,025 2009 $52,754 2010 $72,426 BAC $104,103 $71,343 $16,489 $22,099 $(7,771) GS $360,336 $380,021 $77,228 $411,015 $234,006 46 Return On Asset Net Income/Total Assets 1.8 1.6 1.4 Percentage 1.2 1 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.2 0 -0.2 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 GS 1.24 1.17 0.23 1.35 0.95 BAC 1.54 0.94 0.23 0.31 -0.1 JPM 1.13 1.05 0.3 0.56 0.84 47 Return On Equity Net Income/Shareholders Equity 35 30 Percentage 25 20 15 10 5 0 -5 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 GS 29.98 29.04 4.35 19.74 11.28 BAC 17.85 10.62 2.47 3.07 -0.97 JPM 12.95 12.86 3.85 7.06 10.17 48 Average ROE Average ROE Trends 35 U.S. Peers: JPM, BAC, MS, C 30 32.8 32.7 Average Percentage 25 22.5 20 15 17.5 10 11.5 8.4 5 5.9 4.9 0 -5 -5 -10 -1.8 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 GS 32.8 32.7 4.9 22.5 11.5 PEERS 17.5 8.4 -5 -1.8 5.9 49 Common sized Income Statement Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. JPMorgan Chase & Co. Report Date 12/31/2010 12/31/2009 12/26/2008 11/28/2008 11/30/2007 11/24/2006 Currency USD USD USD USD USD USD Scale Millions Millions Millions Millions Millions Millions Total Revenue (100% TR) 100 100 100 100 100 100 Interest Income %TR 26.8 26.9 142.4 66.5 52.3 50.7 Interest Expense %TR 14.8 12.6 84.6 58.5 47.7 45.7 Net Interest Before Provs %TR 12.0 14.3 57.8 8.0 4.5 5.0 Non-Interest Income %TR 73.2 73.1 (42.363) 33.5 47.7 49.3 Employee Costs %TR 33.5 31.3 62.8 20.4 23.0 23.7 Occupancy Costs %TR 2.4 1.8 6.9 1.8 1.1 1.2 Depreciation & Amortization %TR 4.1 3.4 9.4 2.4 0.9 1.0 Other Non-Interest Expense %TR 17.2 12.5 42.5 12.6 7.3 7.4 Non-Interest Expense %TR 57.1 49.0 121.6 37.1 32.3 33.3 Earnings Before Tax %TR 28.0 38.4 (106.160) 4.4 20.0 21.0 Taxation %TR 9.9 12.5 (40.338) 0.0 6.8 7.2 Extraordinary Items %TR 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Accounting Changes %TR 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Net Income %TR 18.2 25.9 (65.823) 4.3 13.2 13.8 Preference Dividends & Similar %TR (1.394) (2.309) (20.928) (0.524) (0.218) (0.200) Net Income to Common %TR 16.8 23.6 (86.751) 3.8 13.0 13.6 Report Date 12/31/2010 12/31/2009 12/31/2008 12/31/2007 12/31/2006 Currency USD USD USD USD USD Scale Millions Millions Millions Millions Millions Total Revenue (100% TR) 100 100 100 100 100 Interest Income %TR 55.2 57.4 71.9 61.4 59.5 Interest Expense %TR 11.1 13.1 33.7 38.7 38.1 Net Interest Before Provs %TR 44.2 44.2 38.2 22.7 21.4 Loan Loss Provisions %TR 14.4 27.7 20.7 5.9 3.3 Net Interest After Provs %TR 29.8 16.6 17.5 16.8 18.1 Non-Interest Income %TR 44.8 42.6 28.1 38.6 40.5 Employee Costs %TR 24.4 23.3 22.4 19.5 21.3 Occupancy Costs %TR 3.2 3.2 3.0 2.2 2.4 Marketing & Advertising %TR 2.1 1.5 1.9 1.8 2.2 Depreciation & Amortization %TR 0.8 0.9 1.2 1.2 1.4 Other Non-Interest Expense %TR 22.5 16.4 14.3 11.1 11.2 Non-Interest Expense %TR 53.0 45.3 42.9 35.8 38.6 Earnings Before Tax %TR 21.5 13.9 2.7 19.6 20.0 Taxation %TR 6.5 3.8 (0.912) 6.4 6.3 Discontinued Operations %TR 0.8 Extraordinary Items %TR 0.0 0.1 1.9 0.0 0.0 Accounting Changes %TR 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Net Income %TR 15.0 10.1 5.5 13.2 14.5 Preference Dividends & Similar %TR (1.391) (2.555) (0.664) 0.050 (0.004) Net Income to Common %TR 13.7 7.6 4.9 13.2 14.5 Common size Income Statement Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. Bank of America Corp. Report Date 12/31/2010 12/31/2009 12/26/2008 11/28/2008 11/30/2007 11/24/2006 Currency USD USD USD USD USD USD Scale Millions Millions Millions Millions Millions Millions Total Revenue (100% TR) 100 100 100 100 100 100 Interest Income %TR 26.8 26.9 142.4 66.5 52.3 50.7 Interest Expense %TR 14.8 12.6 84.6 58.5 47.7 45.7 Net Interest Before Provs %TR 12.0 14.3 57.8 8.0 4.5 5.0 Non-Interest Income %TR 73.2 73.1 (42.363) 33.5 47.7 49.3 Employee Costs %TR 33.5 31.3 62.8 20.4 23.0 23.7 Occupancy Costs %TR 2.4 1.8 6.9 1.8 1.1 1.2 Depreciation & Amortization %TR 4.1 3.4 9.4 2.4 0.9 1.0 Other Non-Interest Expense %TR 17.2 12.5 42.5 12.6 7.3 7.4 Non-Interest Expense %TR 57.1 49.0 121.6 37.1 32.3 33.3 Earnings Before Tax %TR 28.0 38.4 (106.160) 4.4 20.0 21.0 Taxation %TR 9.9 12.5 (40.338) 0.0 6.8 7.2 Extraordinary Items %TR 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Accounting Changes %TR 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Net Income %TR 18.2 25.9 (65.823) 4.3 13.2 13.8 Preference Dividends & Similar %TR (1.394) (2.309) (20.928) (0.524) (0.218) (0.200) Net Income to Common %TR 16.8 23.6 (86.751) 3.8 13.0 13.6 Report Date 12/31/2010 12/31/2009 12/31/2008 12/31/2007 12/31/2006 Currency USD USD USD USD USD Scale Millions Millions Millions Millions Millions Total Revenue (100% TR) 100 100 100 100 100 Interest Income %TR 56.3 51.8 75.8 73.2 67.4 Interest Expense %TR 17.9 20.5 35.7 44.4 37.7 Net Interest Before Provs %TR 38.4 31.3 40.1 28.9 29.7 Loan Loss Provisions %TR 21.2 32.3 23.7 7.0 4.3 Net Interest After Provs %TR 17.2 (0.971) 16.4 21.9 25.4 Non-Interest Income %TR 43.7 48.2 24.2 26.8 32.6 Employee Costs %TR 26.2 21.0 16.2 15.7 15.6 Occupancy Costs %TR 3.5 3.3 3.2 2.5 2.4 Furniture & Equipment %TR 1.8 1.6 1.5 1.2 1.1 Marketing & Advertising %TR 1.5 1.3 2.1 2.0 2.0 Depreciation & Amortization %TR 1.3 1.3 1.6 1.4 1.5 Restructuring & Impairment %TR 9.2 Other Non-Interest Expense %TR 18.4 15.9 12.1 8.2 7.8 Non-Interest Expense %TR 61.9 44.3 36.7 31.1 30.5 Earnings Before Tax %TR (0.986) 2.9 3.9 17.6 27.4 Taxation %TR 0.7 (1.274) 0.4 5.0 9.3 Extraordinary Items %TR 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Accounting Changes %TR 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Net Income %TR (1.668) 4.2 3.5 12.6 18.1 Preference Dividends & Similar %TR (1.011) (5.636) (1.284) (0.153) 51 (0.019) Net Income to Common %TR (2.679) (1.465) 2.3 12.4 18.1 52 Board of Directors Name Title Education Lloyd C. Blankfein Chairman and CEO B.A., J.D. John H. Bryan Presiding Director B.A., M.B.A. Gary D. Cohn President and COO Claes Dahlback Stephen Friedman B.A., Law Degree William W. George B.S., M.B.A. James A. Johnson B.A., M.B.A. Lois D. Juliber B.A., M.B.A. Lakshmi N. Mittal Bachelor of Commerce James J. Schiro B.S. Debora L. Spar B.A., Ph.D. M. Michelle Burns 53 Key Officers Name Title Salary Total Comp. Lloyd C. Blankfein Chairman and CEO $600,000 $14,116,423 Gary D. Cohn President and COO $600,000 $13,863,427 John S. Weinberg Vice Chairman $600,000 $13,810,735 J. Michael Evans Vice Chairman & Global Head of Growth Markets $600,000 $13,927,508 Michael S. Sherwood Vice Chairman David A. Viniar Executive Vice President & CFO $600,00 $13,863,427 Gregory K. Palm Executive V.P. & General Counsel Alan M. Cohen Executive V.P. & Global Head of Compliance John F. W. Rogers Executive V.P. & Chief of Staff Edith W. Cooper Executive V.P. & Global Head of Human Capital Management 54 Committees Name Audit, Compensation, Nomination, and Corporate Governance John H. Bryan Claes Dahlback Stephen Friedman William W. George James A. Johnson Lois D. Juliber Lakshmi N. Mittal James J. Schiro Debora L. Spar 55 Goldman Sachs 56 Lloyd C. Blankfein (Age 56) Chairman of the Board CEO (Chief Executive Officer) since 2006 President & COO since January 2004 Sector: Financial/Diversified Investments Previous salary: $600,000 Salary : increased to more than 2 million as of Jan 1, 2011. 57 Gary Cohn (Age 50) President & Chief Operating Officer Co-head of global Securities, Fixed Income, Currency & Commodities Salary: $1.85 million Effective: Jan 1, 2011 58 David Viniar (Age 55) Executive VP & Chief Financial Officer since 1999 Salary: $1.85 Million Effective: Jan 1, 2011 Head of Operations, Technology, Finance and Services since 2002 59 Michael Evans (Age 53) Vice Chairman & Global Head of Growth Markets Salary: $1.85 million Effective: Jan 1, 2011 Trustee of the Bendheim Center for Finance at Princeton University 60 John Weinberg (Age 52) Vice Chairman Salary: $1.85 million Effective: Jan. 1 2011 Co-headed Investment Banking Division since 2002 Investment Division of the Americas Salaries increases don’t include all other forms of compensation such as stock options an bonuses. 61 Total Asset Turnover Revenue/Total Asset 0.1 0.09 0.08 0.07 0.06 0.05 0.04 0.03 0.02 0.01 0 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 GS 0.09 0.09 0.05 0.05 0.05 BAC 0.08 0.08 0.06 0.07 0.06 JPM 0.08 0.08 0.05 0.05 0.06 62 Cash & Equivalents Turnover Cash & Equivalents/ Current Liabilities 3.5 3 2.5 2 1.5 1 0.5 0 GS 2006 0.93 2007 0.79 2008 0.42 2009 0.51 2010 0.55 BAC 3.18 3.02 2.99 1.95 1.17 JPM 1.77 2.2 0.93 0.91 1.67 63 64 Corporate Culture Goldman Sachs is a Meritocracy. Believe in teamwork, collaboration and integrity. Team’s with different specializations in different regions. Flat organizational structure (everyone is equal). Every individual’s ideas are welcome. No cubicles or offices 65 Corporate Structure Board of Directors contain only a few internal members, including Chairman, President and Presiding Director. Mostly external members who are CEO’s, Presidents, and member of Board for other companies. Many held government positions in the past and many have left GS to take up a high government position. 66 Corporate Resources Financial Resources Research and Development Marketing resources Human Resources Information Technology 67 Common Size Balance Sheet 68 Common Size Balance Sheet 69 Debt to Asset Total Debt/Total Assets 0.930 0.925 0.920 0.915 0.910 0.905 0.900 0.895 0.890 0.885 0.880 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 GS 0.899 0.896 0.903 0.914 0.907 JPM 0.917 0.919 0.923 0.921 0.914 BAC 0.899 0.896 0.903 0.914 0.907 70 Debt To Equity Total Debt/Total Equity 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 GS 26.32 28.16 26.02 36.65 37.01 JPM 11.02 11.28 12.03 11.67 10.67 BAC 8.92 8.6 9.26 10.68 9.79 71 Current Ratio Current Asset/Current Liabilities 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 GS 0.397 0.346 0.599 0.691 0.663 JPM 0.232 0.241 0.311 0.259 0.272 BAC 0.526 0.504 0.09 72 Research and Development Resources Global Investment Research (GIR) Client focused research in equity, fixed income, currency and commodities markets GIR is organized into five groups Equity Research analysts Credit Research analysts Economics Research analysts Portfolio and Strategy Research analysts Commodities Research analysts 73 Global Investment Research Equity Research Credit Research Equity Research analysts Credit Research analysts analyze macro, sector and company fundamentals to identify investment opportunities for the stocks Goldman Sachs cover globally make investment recommendations for the corporate debt and credit derivatives of issuers in various industry sectors 74 Global Investment Research Economic Research Portfolio & Strategy Research Economics Research analysts Portfolio and Strategy formulate macroeconomic forecasts for economic activity, foreign exchange rates and interest rates Research analysts formulate equity market views, forecasts and recommendations on both asset and industry sector allocations for every major market 75 Global Investment Research Commodities Research Markets Institute Commodities Research Markets Institute is the analysts analyze macro fundamentals to formulate forecasts for commodities in six main areas: Oil, Gas, Base Metals, Precious Metals, and Agriculture public policy arm of Goldman Sachs, providing research and high-level advisory services to policymakers, regulators and investors around the world 76 Marketing Resources Niche Marketing http://youtu.be/I-E0zWznXY0 77 Marketing Resources Marketing resources are not a significant part of Goldman Sachs. They do not market to the masses as other banks do. Their sole focus has been on the high end business savvy customers, large firms, and government institutions. In late 2009, the Investing and lending division has committed $500 million over five years to help small businesses in distressed urban and rural communities across America; Called “10,000 Small Businesses” Some said, PR stunt? Just as they were slammed for giving billions in bonuses to employees after receiving a massive federal bailout. 78 Human Resources Diversity Goldman Sachs and their human resources are quite diverse, as they operate around the globe. They have been ranked as one of the top ten most diverse companies in the country over the years and atop of the banking industry. Their ongoing diversity efforts include a commitment to recruiting women, students from historically under-represented backgrounds, the lesbian, gay, bisexual and transgender population and those with disabilities. They also seek candidates from a broad array of academic disciplines and concentrations, such as liberal arts, applied math, sciences, and engineering. 79 Human Resources Quality of work life Goldman Sachs quality of work life is very good but not the best in the industry (according to the Vault Banking Rankings). They are currently ranked 11th out of Vault’s banking 50 while JP Morgan Investment Bank is currently 2nd. 80 Information Technology Resources The Information technology resources at Goldman Sachs are abundant and a great asset. Technology is a core part of Goldman Sachs’ product offering and client experience. Their ability to respond quickly and effectively to address their clients’ needs with customized systems, products and services helps differentiate the firm. 81 Information Technology Resources Goldman Sachs Technology teams are aligned to: Asset Management Equity Trading Fixed Income Currency and Commodities Global Derivatives Firmwide Systems Global Sales Global Securities Investment and Merchant Banking Investment Research Operations Private Wealth Management Technology Infrastructure 82 Global Investment Banking and Brokerage Sector 83 Global Investment Banking & Brokerage Sector % Share, by value (2010) JP Morgan, 6.3% Goldman Sachs, 5.8% Morgan Stanley, 5.3% Bank of America Merrill Lynch, 4.9% Other, 77.7% 84 Competition (Medium) Goldman Sachs, JP Morgan Chase, Bank of America and Morgan Stanley combined share of 22.3% of sector value. All operate on global level and with similar operations. Some seeking increase on margins by service diversification but potential sector growth reduces rivalry. 85 Potential Entrants (medium) High brand loyalty. Large amount of capital needed to enter the sector. Costly IT applications. Economic downturn. Moderate sector growth, tempting for new entrants. 86 Customers (Medium) Investment banking fees average throughout the sector. Banks rely on reputation to attract customers. Large scale institutions buyers (government) bargain and apply favorable terms. 87 Suppliers (High) Banks require advanced software programs. Very few suppliers, banks usually rely on one supplier. Costly to switch suppliers. Employees required training. 88 Substitute Service (Low) Very few substitutes in the sector. 89 Goldman Sachs 90 Socio-cultural Forces Domestic Market: Career expectation Age distribution of population Pension Plans Health care Level of Education Unionization 91 Political-Legal Forces Domestic Market: Environmental Protection Laws Global warning legislation Tax laws Special incentives Laws on hiring and promotion Stability of government 92 Deregulation Martin Feldstein Professor of Economics, Harvard President’s Reagan Chief Economic advisor, architect of deregulation. 1988-2009 Board of directors of AIG and AIG financial products. 93 Deregulation cont. Larry Summers Treasury Secretary played a critical role in the deregulation of derivatives. May millions by consulting for hedge funds mainly for investment banks. In 1999 Summers and Rubin repeal the Glass-Steagall Act of 1933, which protected bank depositors from the additional risk associated with security transactions. The act was dismantled by Gramm-Leach-Bliley Act. GLBA removed the separation that previously existed between investment banking which issued securities and commercial banks which accepted deposits. GS paid Summers 135 k for a single speech in 2008 Summers net worth ~ 16.5 and 39.5 million. Harvard President in 2001 94 The Fantastic 4 Barack Obama argue regulation was needed, after taking office nothing happened. Rating agencies, lobbying and compensation, nothing significant was proposed. Wall Street government, very little room for. Appointed Timothy Geithner as Treasury Secretary. Timothy was President of Federal Reserve during the crisis. Closely worked with Paulson on TARP. Henry M. Paulson former U.S. Treasury Secretary (2006-2009) and chief executive of Goldman Sachs has been appointed as a distinguished senior fellow a the University of Chicago Harris School of Public Policy Studies. Spent 32 years at Goldman Sachs. Key player on the decision to pay Goldman Sachs 100 cents on the dollar for it’s bets against mortgages. Geithner Chief of Staff was Mark Patterson former lobbyist for GS. 95 Current President of New York Fed is William C. Dudley former Chief Economist of Goldman Sachs Worked with Glen Hubbard to promote derivatives. To head the Commodity Futures Trading Commission Obama chose Gary Gensler former GS executive who helped banned regulation of derivatives. 96 97 Technological Forces O-Continue improve on Information Technology should be the core strategic force in banking strategies. O-The ability to syndicate(a combination of bankers or capitalists formed for the purpose of carrying out some project requiring large resources of capital, as the underwriting of an issue of stock or bonds.) large loans swiftly is now the norm and has already changed the basic business model of banking. O-Managing lending risks by hedging with sophisticated analytical models (Currently high risk, highly variable returns” mode) T-Lack of expertise when compare with JP Morgan and BOA. 98 Economic Forces O-Balance sheets and loan syndications are still important, but access to the world’s enormous capital markets is becoming more important. T-Gas Price surge toward $4, threaten economic recovery(high demand and lower supplies, equal higher price) T-Foreign country government regulation. O-Raising capital standards for banks will put a serious crimp in growth in the United States-Knocking 1.5 to 2 percent off GDP in the next few years. (Real GDP was around $12.9 trillion in the first quarter of 2006 and $13.2 trillion in the second quarter of 2010) Raising capital requirements makes bank equity less risky and banks less prone to collapse. (means bank executives do not need to seek risk so aggressively.) 99 Goldman & Carnival Goldman upgraded shares of Carnival from sell to neutral as domestic travel trends begin to improve. Less ships diminishing concerns of oversupply. Upgraded target price $37 per share. Target increased to $55 per share on November 4, 2011 100 Goldman & Apple Goldman Sachs analyst Bill Shope raised twelve month period target from U.S.$480 to $520. Apple’s target price comes with a “Buy” rating. September 21, 2011 price $417.36. Plus, units sold continue to increase. 101 Goldman & Limited Brands GS says Limited Brands is “Too Sexy” Goldman upgraded Limited Brands to neutral. After it had given the firm a Sell rating last fall. Closing price on May 2011 about $39.66 102 103 SWOT ANALYSIS STRENGTHS: WEAKNESSES: 1. 1. 2. 3. 4. Global leaders in mergers & acquisitions advice as well as securities underwriting for firms, governments and high net worth individuals. Ability to adapt in any economic, political or financial environment. Well diversified revenue stream. Highly efficient professional employees mainly from prestigious Universities of which the brightest and talented are recruited. 2. Lack of expertise in the conventional banking industry. A high portion of revenues are highly correlated to the state of the economy. THREATS: OPPORTUNITIES: 1. 1. 2. 3. 4. Negative publicity affects firm’s reputation in terms of the masses affecting Goldman Sachs Banking when increasing on mass deposits. Increasing government and regulatory legislation Litigation issues from misrepresentation that can directly affect Goldman Sachs financial position. Future administration that opposes the firm’s objectives 2. 3. 4. Expand operations globally since emerging markets likely to drive future growth. Developed internet banking operations to diversify their funding base. Further develop their asset management operations. Develop sophisticated analytical models to managed lending risks. 104 RECOMENDATION: Image Industry Expertise • Fixing the image of the company. • Building a positive perception of the firm • Analyze industry and increase deposits • Finance small business owners operations • Expand operations globally • Fund major projects around the globe International • Establish two-tier banking industry. 1. domestic 2. internationally Grounds 105 IMPLEMENTATION: Image Industry Expertise • No longer have revolving door for employment between Goldman Sachs and the government. • Fire CEO, assign someone that understands the American people. • Hire bright, talented individuals specialized in the conventional Banking industry. • As of 2009, small businesses (10,000) have been helped. This number must increase. • Acquire and create partnerships with firms in international emerging markets. • Transfer their expertise from Banking in the U.S., create partnerships with other firms around the globe to finance sustainable projects globally. International • Separate domestic and international business management in trying to cope with Grounds differentials in international rules and regulations. 106 Goldman Sachs The Quantitative Easing 107