CHAPTER 1 INTRODUCTION TO ECONOMIC ANALYSIS 2nd Semester, S.Y 2013 – 2014 Pangasinan State University Social Science Department – PSU Lingayen BACHELOR OF ARTS IN ECONOMICS Econ 111 – ECONOMIC ANALYSIS What is Economics? The study of how individuals and societies choose to allocate and use scarce resources to satisfy unlimited wants. Economics is about economizing; that is, about choice among alternative uses of scarce resources. Choices are made by millions of individuals, businesses, and government units. Economics examines how these choices add up to an economic system, and how this system operates. (L.G. Reynolds). Pangasinan State University Social Science Department – PSU Lingayen BACHELOR OF ARTS IN ECONOMICS Econ 111 – ECONOMIC ANALYSIS Concept of Scarcity Scarcity exists because individuals want more than can be produced • Scarcity means the goods available are too few to satisfy individuals’ desires The degree of scarcity is constantly changing The quantity of goods, services and usable resources depends on technology and human action Pangasinan State University Social Science Department – PSU Lingayen BACHELOR OF ARTS IN ECONOMICS Econ 111 – ECONOMIC ANALYSIS Microeconomics vs. Macroeconomics Microeconomics focuses on the individual parts of the economy. – How households and firms make decisions and how they interact in specific markets Macroeconomics looks at the economy as a whole. – Economy-wide phenomena, including inflation, unemployment, and economic growth Pangasinan State University Social Science Department – PSU Lingayen BACHELOR OF ARTS IN ECONOMICS Econ 111 – ECONOMIC ANALYSIS Scope of Microeconomics Microeconomics studies Buying decisions of the individual Consumers’ satisfaction Buying and selling decisions of the firm The determination of prices and in markets The quantity, quality and variety of products Profits Pangasinan State University Social Science Department – PSU Lingayen BACHELOR OF ARTS IN ECONOMICS Econ 111 – ECONOMIC ANALYSIS Scope of Macroeconomics Macroeconomics studies Economic growth Unemployment and inflation Aggregate demand and aggregate supply Economic policies – fiscal and monetary International trade – exports and imports Money supply Pangasinan State University Social Science Department – PSU Lingayen BACHELOR OF ARTS IN ECONOMICS Econ 111 – ECONOMIC ANALYSIS Microeconomics vs. Macroeconomic Questions Should I go to business school or take a job right now? How many people are employed in the economy as a whole this year? What determines the salary offered by San Miguel Corporation to Juan Dela Cruz, a new MBA? What determines the overall salary levels paid to workers in a given year? What determines the cost to a university or college of offering a new course? What determines the overall level of prices in the economy as a whole? What government policies should be adopted to make it easier for low-income students to attend college? What government policies should be adopted to promote employment and growth in the economy as a whole? What determines whether BPI opens a new Branch in Shanghai? What determines the overall trade in goods, services, and financial assets between the Philippines and the rest of the world Pangasinan State University Social Science Department – PSU Lingayen BACHELOR OF ARTS IN ECONOMICS Econ 111 – ECONOMIC ANALYSIS Let’s Check Your Understanding! Which of the following questions involve microeconomics, and which involve macroeconomics? In each case, explain your answer. A. Why did consumers switch to smaller cars in 2012? B. Why did overall consumer spending slow down in 2012? C. Why did the standard of living rise more rapidly in the current administration compared to previous administration? D. Why have starting salaries for students with geology degrees risen sharply of late? E. What determines the choice between rail and road transportation? F. Why has salmon got cheaper over the past 20 years? G. Why did inflation fall in the 1990s? Pangasinan State University Social Science Department – PSU Lingayen BACHELOR OF ARTS IN ECONOMICS Econ 111 – ECONOMIC ANALYSIS Ten Principles of Economics • A household and an economy face many decisions: – Who will work? – What goods and how many of them should be produced? – What resources should be used in production? – At what price should the goods be sold? Pangasinan State University Social Science Department – PSU Lingayen BACHELOR OF ARTS IN ECONOMICS Econ 111 – ECONOMIC ANALYSIS Ten Principles of Economics Society and Scarce Resources: – The management of society’s resources is important because resources are scarce. – Scarcity. . . means that society has limited resources and therefore cannot produce all the goods and services people wish to have. Pangasinan State University Social Science Department – PSU Lingayen BACHELOR OF ARTS IN ECONOMICS Econ 111 – ECONOMIC ANALYSIS Ten Principles of Economics How people make decisions. – People face tradeoffs. – The cost of something is what you give up to get it. – Rational people think at the margin. – People respond to incentives. Pangasinan State University Social Science Department – PSU Lingayen BACHELOR OF ARTS IN ECONOMICS Econ 111 – ECONOMIC ANALYSIS Ten Principles of Economics • How people interact with each other. – Trade can make everyone better off. – Markets are usually a good way to organize economic activity. – Governments can sometimes improve economic outcomes. Pangasinan State University Social Science Department – PSU Lingayen BACHELOR OF ARTS IN ECONOMICS Econ 111 – ECONOMIC ANALYSIS Ten Principles of Economics The forces and trends that affect how the economy as a whole works. – The standard of living depends on a country’s production. – Prices rise when the government prints too much money. – Society faces a short-run tradeoff between inflation and unemployment. Pangasinan State University Social Science Department – PSU Lingayen BACHELOR OF ARTS IN ECONOMICS Econ 111 – ECONOMIC ANALYSIS Principle #1: People Face Tradeoffs “There is no such thing as a free lunch!” Pangasinan State University Social Science Department – PSU Lingayen BACHELOR OF ARTS IN ECONOMICS Econ 111 – ECONOMIC ANALYSIS Principle #1: People Face Tradeoffs To get one thing, we usually have to give up another thing. – Guns v. butter – Food v. clothing – Leisure time v. work – Efficiency v. equity Making decisions requires trading off one goal against another. Pangasinan State University Social Science Department – PSU Lingayen BACHELOR OF ARTS IN ECONOMICS Econ 111 – ECONOMIC ANALYSIS Principle #1: People Face Tradeoffs Efficiency v. Equity – Efficiency means society gets the most that it can from its scarce resources. – Equity means the benefits of those resources are distributed fairly among the members of society. Pangasinan State University Social Science Department – PSU Lingayen BACHELOR OF ARTS IN ECONOMICS Econ 111 – ECONOMIC ANALYSIS Principle #2: The Cost of Something Is What You Give Up to Get It. Decisions require comparing costs and benefits of alternatives. – Whether to go to college or to work? – Whether to study or go out on a date? – Whether to go to class or sleep in? The opportunity cost of an item is what you give up to obtain that item. Pangasinan State University Social Science Department – PSU Lingayen BACHELOR OF ARTS IN ECONOMICS Econ 111 – ECONOMIC ANALYSIS Opportunity Cost Opportunity cost is the benefit forgone of the next-best alternative to the activity you have chosen Opportunity cost should always be less than the benefit of what you have chosen Opportunity cost is the basis of cost/benefit economic reasoning Pangasinan State University Social Science Department – PSU Lingayen BACHELOR OF ARTS IN ECONOMICS Econ 111 – ECONOMIC ANALYSIS Marginal Costs and Marginal Benefits Using economic reasoning, decisions are often made by comparing marginal costs and marginal benefits Marginal cost is the additional cost or sacrifice one makes of participating in an activity or purchasing a product. Marginal benefit is the additional satisfaction or value one obtains from an activity or product. Pangasinan State University Social Science Department – PSU Lingayen BACHELOR OF ARTS IN ECONOMICS Econ 111 – ECONOMIC ANALYSIS Marginal Costs and Marginal benefits The economic decision rule: If the marginal benefits of doing something exceed the marginal costs, do it. MB > MC Do it! If the marginal costs of doing something exceed the marginal benefits, don’t do it. MC > MB Don’t do it! Pangasinan State University Social Science Department – PSU Lingayen BACHELOR OF ARTS IN ECONOMICS Econ 111 – ECONOMIC ANALYSIS Opportunity Cost Examples of opportunity cost: 1. Individual decisions • The opportunity cost of college includes: • Items you could have purchased with the money spent for tuition and books • Loss of the income from a full-time job 2. Government decisions • The opportunity cost of money spent on the war on terrorism is less spending on health care or education Pangasinan State University Social Science Department – PSU Lingayen BACHELOR OF ARTS IN ECONOMICS Econ 111 – ECONOMIC ANALYSIS Principle #2: The Cost of Something Is What You Give Up to Get It. LA Laker basketball star Kobe Bryant chose to skip college and go straight from high school to the pros where he has earned millions of dollars. Pangasinan State University Social Science Department – PSU Lingayen BACHELOR OF ARTS IN ECONOMICS Econ 111 – ECONOMIC ANALYSIS Principle #3: Rational People Think at the Margin. • Marginal changes are small, incremental adjustments to an existing plan of action. People make decisions by comparing costs and benefits at the margin. Pangasinan State University Social Science Department – PSU Lingayen BACHELOR OF ARTS IN ECONOMICS Econ 111 – ECONOMIC ANALYSIS Principle #4: People Respond to Incentives. • Marginal changes in costs or benefits motivate people to respond. • The decision to choose one alternative over another occurs when that alternative’s marginal benefits exceed its marginal costs! Pangasinan State University Social Science Department – PSU Lingayen BACHELOR OF ARTS IN ECONOMICS Econ 111 – ECONOMIC ANALYSIS Principle #5: Trade Can Make Everyone Better Off. • People gain from their ability to trade with one another. • Competition results in gains from trading. • Trade allows people to specialize in what they do best. Pangasinan State University Social Science Department – PSU Lingayen BACHELOR OF ARTS IN ECONOMICS Econ 111 – ECONOMIC ANALYSIS Principle #6: Markets Are Usually a Good Way to Organize Economic Activity A market economy is an economy that allocates resources through the decentralized decisions of many firms and households as they interact in markets for goods and services. – Households decide what to buy and who to work for. – Firms decide who to hire and what to produce. Pangasinan State University Social Science Department – PSU Lingayen BACHELOR OF ARTS IN ECONOMICS Econ 111 – ECONOMIC ANALYSIS Principle #6: Markets Are Usually a Good Way to Organize Economic Activity • Adam Smith made the observation that households and firms interacting in markets act as if guided by an “invisible hand.” – Because households and firms look at prices when deciding what to buy and sell, they unknowingly take into account the social costs of their actions. – As a result, prices guide decision makers to reach outcomes that tend to maximize the welfare of society as a whole. Pangasinan State University Social Science Department – PSU Lingayen BACHELOR OF ARTS IN ECONOMICS Econ 111 – ECONOMIC ANALYSIS Principle #7: Governments Can Sometimes Improve Market Outcomes • Market failure occurs when the market fails to allocate resources efficiently. • When the market fails (breaks down) government can intervene to promote efficiency and equity. Pangasinan State University Social Science Department – PSU Lingayen BACHELOR OF ARTS IN ECONOMICS Econ 111 – ECONOMIC ANALYSIS Principle #7: Governments Can Sometimes Improve Market Outcomes • Market failure may be caused by – an externality, which is the impact of one person or firm’s actions on the well-being of a bystander. – market power, which is the ability of a single person or firm to unduly influence market prices. Pangasinan State University Social Science Department – PSU Lingayen BACHELOR OF ARTS IN ECONOMICS Econ 111 – ECONOMIC ANALYSIS Principle #8: The Standard of Living Depends on a Country’s Production Standard of living may be measured in different ways: – By comparing personal incomes. – By comparing the total market value of a nation’s production. Pangasinan State University Social Science Department – PSU Lingayen BACHELOR OF ARTS IN ECONOMICS Econ 111 – ECONOMIC ANALYSIS Principle #8: The Standard of Living Depends on a Country’s Production • Almost all variations in living standards are explained by differences in countries’ productivities. • Productivity is the amount of goods and services produced from each hour of a worker’s time. Pangasinan State University Social Science Department – PSU Lingayen BACHELOR OF ARTS IN ECONOMICS Econ 111 – ECONOMIC ANALYSIS Principle #8: The Standard of Living Depends on a Country’s Production • Standard of living may be measured in different ways: – By comparing personal incomes. – By comparing the total market value of a nation’s production. Pangasinan State University Social Science Department – PSU Lingayen BACHELOR OF ARTS IN ECONOMICS Econ 111 – ECONOMIC ANALYSIS Principle #9: Prices Rise When the Government Prints Too Much Money Inflation is an increase in the overall level of prices in the economy. One cause of inflation is the growth in the quantity of money. When the government creates large quantities of money, the value of the money falls. Pangasinan State University Social Science Department – PSU Lingayen BACHELOR OF ARTS IN ECONOMICS Econ 111 – ECONOMIC ANALYSIS Principle #10: Society Faces a Short-run Tradeoff Bet. Inflation and Unemployment • The Phillips Curve illustrates the tradeoff between inflation and unemployment: Inflation Unemployment It’s a short-run tradeoff! Pangasinan State University Social Science Department – PSU Lingayen BACHELOR OF ARTS IN ECONOMICS Econ 111 – ECONOMIC ANALYSIS Thinking Like an Economist • Economics trains you to. . . . – Think in terms of alternatives. – Evaluate the cost of individual and social choices. – Examine and understand how certain events and issues are related. Pangasinan State University Social Science Department – PSU Lingayen BACHELOR OF ARTS IN ECONOMICS Econ 111 – ECONOMIC ANALYSIS The Economist As a Scientist • The economic way of thinking . . . – Involves thinking analytically and objectively. – Makes use of the scientific method. Pangasinan State University Social Science Department – PSU Lingayen BACHELOR OF ARTS IN ECONOMICS Econ 111 – ECONOMIC ANALYSIS Economic Model This is a simple analytic frame which shows the relationship between the main factors, and explains the behavior of an economic theory or phenomenon. Economists use economic models to simplify reality and to facilitate the understanding of the actual world economic inconveniences. Pangasinan State University Social Science Department – PSU Lingayen BACHELOR OF ARTS IN ECONOMICS Econ 111 – ECONOMIC ANALYSIS Types of Economic Model Descriptive – Like the Circular Flow Analytical – Assumptions – Mathematical model ( functions and equations) – Graphical analysis Pangasinan State University Social Science Department – PSU Lingayen BACHELOR OF ARTS IN ECONOMICS Econ 111 – ECONOMIC ANALYSIS First Model: The Circular-Flow Diagram • The circular-flow diagram is a visual model of the economy that shows how income flows through markets among households and firms. Pangasinan State University Social Science Department – PSU Lingayen BACHELOR OF ARTS IN ECONOMICS Econ 111 – ECONOMIC ANALYSIS First Model: The Circular-Flow Diagram Wages, rent, and profit Factors of production MARKETS FOR FACTORS OF PRODUCTION •Households sell •Firms buy HOUSEHOLDS •Buy and consume goods and services •Own and sell factors of production Goods and services bought Spending Income Labor, land, and capital FIRMS •Produce and sell goods and services •Hire and use factors of production MARKETS FOR GOODS AND SERVICES •Firms sell •Households buy Goods and services sold Income = Flow of inputs and outputs = Flow of Money Pangasinan State University Social Science Department – PSU Lingayen BACHELOR OF ARTS IN ECONOMICS Econ 111 – ECONOMIC ANALYSIS General Features of Economic Model All economic models incorporate three common elements: 1. The ceteris paribus (other things the same) assumption; 2. The supposition that economic decision makers seek to optimize something; 3. A careful distinction between “positive” and “normative” questions. Pangasinan State University Social Science Department – PSU Lingayen BACHELOR OF ARTS IN ECONOMICS Econ 111 – ECONOMIC ANALYSIS Ceteris Paribus Assumption The ceteris paribus (other things the same) assumption – which allows analysis of the effect of a change in one factor by holding all other relevant factors unchanged. Pangasinan State University Social Science Department – PSU Lingayen BACHELOR OF ARTS IN ECONOMICS Econ 111 – ECONOMIC ANALYSIS Optimization Assumption 2. The supposition that economic decision makers seek to optimize something; Many economic models start from the assumption that the economic actors being studied are rationally pursuing some goal. Pangasinan State University Social Science Department – PSU Lingayen BACHELOR OF ARTS IN ECONOMICS Econ 111 – ECONOMIC ANALYSIS Positive versus Normative Analysis Positive economics are statements that attempt to describe how the economy functions and the the world as it is. – Called descriptive analysis Normative economics are statements about how the economy or world should be which relies on value judgments to evaluate or recommend alternative policies. – Called prescriptive analysis Pangasinan State University Social Science Department – PSU Lingayen BACHELOR OF ARTS IN ECONOMICS Econ 111 – ECONOMIC ANALYSIS Positive versus Normative Analysis Positive or Normative Statements? If the minimum wage increases, then firms’ cost of production rises. POSITIVE Higher budget deficits will cause interest rates to increase. POSITIVE Pangasinan State University Social Science Department – PSU Lingayen BACHELOR OF ARTS IN ECONOMICS Econ 111 – ECONOMIC ANALYSIS Positive versus Normative Analysis Positive or Normative Statements? The minimum wage in Metro Manila should increase to P600. NORMATIVE The government should be allowed to collect from tobacco companies the costs of treating smoking-related illnesses among the poor. NORMATIVE Pangasinan State University Social Science Department – PSU Lingayen BACHELOR OF ARTS IN ECONOMICS Econ 111 – ECONOMIC ANALYSIS Let’s Check You Understanding! Which of the following statements is a positive statement? Which is a normative statement? A. Society should take measures to prevent people from engaging in dangerous personal behavior. B. People who engage in dangerous personal behavior impose higher costs on society through higher medical costs. Pangasinan State University Social Science Department – PSU Lingayen BACHELOR OF ARTS IN ECONOMICS Econ 111 – ECONOMIC ANALYSIS