Chapter 1 Parks Economics 104 Introduction to the U.S. Economy © OnlineTexts.com p. 1 What is Macroeconomics? • Macroeconomics is the study of the aggregate economy. – It addresses the nature of and causes of the business cycle: waves of output growth and job creation, followed by periods of output contraction and rising unemployment. – It deals with broad issues like • • • • unemployment inflation economic growth budget deficits and trade deficits © OnlineTexts.com p. 2 Unemployment • The unemployment rate is the percentage of the labor force that is unemployed. – Given the U.S. labor force of approximately 150 million people, a one percentage point increase in the unemployment rate implies that an additional 1.5 million workers are unemployed. • Thought question: – What is the unemployment rate that the economy “should” have? Is it zero? © OnlineTexts.com p. 3 Inflation • Inflation is a sustained increase in the overall price level. – Economists measure inflation as the percentage change in a particular bundle of goods and services. • Thought questions: – How much inflation is too much? – What is deflation? © OnlineTexts.com p. 4 Economic Growth • Economic growth results from an increase in production from the economy over a particular period of time. • Thought questions: – How fast should the economy be growing each year? – Can the economy grow too fast? © OnlineTexts.com p. 5 Budget Deficits • A budget deficit is the difference between government outlays and tax receipts. – Deficits result when the government spends more than it collects in taxes, while surpluses result when tax revenues exceed outlays. • Thought questions: – What is the difference between a budget deficit and the national debt? – Why are large budget deficits harmful? © OnlineTexts.com p. 6 Trade Deficits • A trade deficit occurs when a nation imports more goods & services than it exports. – The U.S. has run trade deficits every year since the early 1980s. • Thought questions: – How does the U.S. “finance” the purchase of the surplus imports? – What impact does the trade deficit have on the value of a nation’s currency? © OnlineTexts.com p. 7 Stabilization Policy • One of the primary goals of macroeconomics is to stabilize the business cycle. – That is, reduce the fluctuations in output (and inflation) over time. • Policy makers have two broad tools to help stabilize the economy: – Fiscal Policy – Monetary Policy © OnlineTexts.com p. 8 Fiscal Policy • Fiscal policy is the (federal) government’s manipulation of the budget to attempt to stabilize the nation’s level of output. • The “tools” of fiscal policy include: – changing taxes and transfers – changing the level of government spending • Thought question: – Why in early 2003 did President Bush push through a new tax cut? © OnlineTexts.com p. 9 Monetary Policy • Monetary policy is the central bank’s (Federal Reserve) manipulation of the money supply and/or interest rates to attempt to stabilize the nation’s level of output. – By lowering interest rates, the central bank hopes to spur additional investment and consumption. • Thought question: – What is the federal funds rate? the discount rate? © OnlineTexts.com p. 10 Superb Economic Sites on the Net • The Bureau of Labor Statistics publishes some of the major economic indicators on their Economy at a Glance web page. • The Bureau of Economic Analysis contains up-to-date figures on the nation's output and income. • The Dismal Scientist is an excellent web site giving daily updates and analysis of economic information. • The St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank also has excellent time series of the major macroeconomic data. Look for FRED II (Federal Reserve Economic Data). • ECONOMAGIC.COM is a great site for economic data. © OnlineTexts.com p. 11 Take the quiz… • Where is the U.S. economy now? – Refer to the Chapter 1 quiz questions. – How many can you answer correctly? – http://economagic.com © OnlineTexts.com p. 12 Terms • • • • • • • unemployment inflation GDP and GNP Personal Income Disposable Income money budget deficit recession/boom fiscal policy economic growth Investment trade deficit monetary policy national debt © OnlineTexts.com p. 13