PRINCIPLES OF ECONOMICS Class 11 International trade, Taxation, Distribution of income dr. sc. Tomislav Herceg International trade • International trade has to take into account different culture and exchange rates. • Sources of I.T. are different costs, natural resources and tastes. • Absolute advantages (Adam Smith): countries can have mutually beneficial trade if countries specialize in production at which they are the best. • Comparative advantages (David Ricardo): countries can have mutually beneficial trade even if some countries are less productive in all production if they differ in productivity ratio 2 Protectionism • It is a set of activities made by the state in order to protect young industries and increase domestic income and employment. • Forms of protectionism: 1. Tariffs (preferred by World Trade Organisation) are taxes on I.T. 2. Quotas are quantity limitations on I.T. 3. Subsidies • All these interventions cause dead weight loss (DWL) 3 Import tariff analysis Autarky: p CSA = f, PSA = g + i + l, p*, q* Open economy (pW) IMW = qd – qs (๐ด๐ต) ps f p* g pt pw i l A 0 qs qd CSW = f + g + h + i + j + T + k PSW = l E C j h T D k B qs’ q* qd’ pd q Import tariff (t or t%) ๐๐ก = ๐๐ + ๐ก = ๐๐ (1 + ๐ก%) IMW = qd’ – qs’ (๐ถ๐ท) CSW = f + g + h PSW = i + l DWL = j + k State income = T 4 Taxation • Taxes are the income of the state (price of public goods) • An instrument of fiscal policy • Taxation principles: 1. Utility (those who use more public goods should pay more) 2. Ability to pay (taxes should be proportional to the payment ability) 3. Horizontal justice (those who have equal income should pay equal T) and vertical justice (those who have more should pay more) 5 Direct and indirect taxes • Direct taxes are taxes charged to specific entity (company: profit tax (20%), person: income tax (12%, 25%, 40%), property tax(0%) ) • Indirect taxes are taxes are charged on goods and services: • VAT in Croatia: 25%, 13% (tourism) and 5% (basic food, baby items) • Beverage taxes (3%) • Real estate sales tax (5%) 6 Tax progression • Marginal tax rate (Mt%) is a tax rate in a specific tax class (e.g. 0% up to 2200 HRK, 40% above 13200 HRK, etc.) • Average tax rate (At%) is the total tax paid divided by the tax base: At% = T/B • Progressive tax: a tax under which At% increases • Regressive tax: a tax under which At% decreases • Proportional tax: a tax under which At% is constant • Important: under all taxes those who have more pay more, even in regressive tax! 7 Tax progressivity Progressive At% Proportional Regressive Tax base (B) 8 Laffer effect • Laffer effect: at low At% tax revenues at first increase and under high At% they start decreasing. T Laffer curve O 100% At% • It is crucial to find At% at which tax revenues are at its maximum 9 10 Supply side economics •Reagan and Thatcher faced AS contraction in the 70’s (oil shocks) •They assumed that UK and USA are at A and thought that decline in At% would move their countries to B •In reality Laffer curve was assymetric and their actions moved them to C (deficit went up) T B A C O 50% 75% 100% At% Ramsey rule p s d 0 q •When Es > Ed then consumers pay more •When Es < Ed then sellers pay more •Ramsey rule: Taxation of perfectly inelastic supply and demand is the most efficient 11 Distribution of income • Basic trade off: justice and efficiency • Welfare state: the government redistributes the income • People differ with respect to their income and wealth. • Wealth: financial and material property minus loans taken • Disposable income: w, i, r, Pf, TR 12 Poverty • Absolute poverty is a state at which somebody cannot cover their own food, housing and clothing • Existential minimum: food expenditures × 3. • Consumer basket contains expenditures for food, housing, clothing, health, education and entertainment (culture, sport) • Relative poverty is a state at which the income is less then consumer basket. 13 Lorenz curve and Gini coefficient • Lorenz curve shows a share of first n poorest quintiles in the total income or wealth. Absolute inequality line • Absolute equality line (AEL) (everybody has and earns the Lorenz curve same) – Diagonal (G = 0) • Absolute inequality line (AIL) is a lower and left border of the box (1 has everything) – (G = 1) • Gini coefficient is a share of the area between AEL and Lorenz curve in the lower triangle: 0≤G≤1 14 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 0% Distribution of wealth and income • The greater the inequality, the greater the curvature of Lorenz curve • Wealth is more unevenly distributed than income • Inequality rises with industrialization and falls in highly developed countries Income distribution Wealth distribution 15 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Sources of wage and wealth differences Sources of wage differences are: • Skills • Intensity of labour • Education • Supply and demand for certain occupation • Discomfort of the job • Discrimination Sources of wealth differences are: • Savings • Entrepreneurship • Inheritance 16 Redistribution of income • State ensures justice by taking care of the people who cannot cover their basic needs: some of the money has to be taken from the rich and given to the poor • Okun’s leaky bucket: redistribution costs • How to redistribute? Progressive taxation and transfer payments • Side effects: transfer payments discourage working • Benefits: better education and health care increase human capital which increases future production 17 Income of the poorer half Redistribution costs diagram E Z B A 45° 45° • Point A: efficiency with no redistribution • Ideally a country should be at E • Redistribution costs so equality can be reached only at Z • B is a trade off between efficiency and justice where redistribution does not cost so much Income of the richer half 18 Friedman’s income tax Gross salary Net salary Net salary Income tax Unemployment aid 45° O Y0 Gross salary • Idea: negative tax (transfers) bellow certain income level, postive tax above it: T = (Y – Y0)×t% 19 Exercise 1: absolute advantages • France has 1000 working hours and Scotland 500. Maximum production of wool and wine is the following: France Scotland wine 5000 500 wool 500 1000 20 solution • Productivity of labour: France Scotland wine 5000/1000 = 5 wool 500/1000 = 0,5 500/500 = 1 1000/500 = 2 • Scotland is 4× better at wool (2>0.5) and France is 5× better at wine ( 5>1). Hence France sould produce only wine and Scotland only wool. Graph wool 500 PPFFRC 5000 0 wine wool 1500 PPFFRC A wool 1000 1000 PPFŠKT PPFŠKT 0 5000 5500 wine 0 500 wine 22 Problem 2: comparative advantages • Croatia has 400 working hours and Slovenia 200. Maximum olive and salt production is the following: Croatia Slovenia Olives 800 320 Salt 600 150 23 Solution: • Productivity of labour is: Croatia Slovenia Olives 800/400 = 2 320/200 = 1,6 Salt 600/400 = 1,5 150/200 = 0,75 • Croatia is 25% more productive in olives (2>1,6), and 100% more productive in salt ( 1,5>0,75). Croatian superiority is more intensive in salt, hence Slovenia should specialize in olives. Olives 800 Graph PPF HRV 0 600 Salt Olives 1120 PPF HRV Olives A 320 320 PPFSLO PPFSLO 0 600 750 Salt 25 0 150 Salt Exercise 3 The income and the corresponding taxes paid are given in the table below. Find average and marginal tax rate. Income Tax 1000 0 2000 200 3000 500 4000 800 At% Mt% • Average tax rate: At% = T/Y • Marginal tax rate : Mt% = ΔT/ ΔY Income Tax At% Mt% 1000 0 0% 0% 2000 200 10% 20% 3000 500 16,7% 30% 4000 800 20% 30% • At% increases (progressive tax) • Income tax is a direct tax Problem 4: Friedman’s tax Let 3000 HRK be a 0 tax income. Friedman’s income tax is 20%. How much taxes would be paid if the income were 0, 2000 or 6000 HRK? Unemployed: T = (0 – 3000)×20% = -600 HRK (600 HRK of unemployment aid) 2000 HRK: T = (2000 – 3000)×20% = -200 HRK (200 kn of transfers) 6000 HRK: T = (6000 – 2000)×20% = 800 HRK taxes Problem 5 • Demand and supply are as follows: P Qs (supplied quantity) Qd (demanded quantity) 5 0 150 10 20 120 15 40 90 20 60 60 25 80 30 a) If the world price were pw = 10 HRK what would be the amount of export/import? b) If the government introduces a tariff equal to 5 HRK what would be the amount of export/import? P Qs (supplied quantity) Qd (demanded quantity) Difference 5 0 150 Import = 150 10 20 120 Import = 100 15 40 90 Import = 50 20 60 60 Equilibrium 25 80 30 Export = 50 a) At price p = 10 HRK the import would be 100. b) Import tariff increases price: pt = 10+5 = 15, hence 50 pieces would be imported. Tariff revenue: T = 5×50 = 250 Problem 6 • Consumer’s basket in Croatia was 6700 kuna in 2014, where 40% were food expenditures. A. Find absolute and relative poverty line. B. Is a family with income of 7000 HRK poor? Solution a) • Absolute poverty line • 6700×0,4×3 = 8040 HRK • Relative poverty line = 6700 HRK. b) • 7000 HRK is above relative poverty line, but bellow absolute poverty line. Problem 7 • Distribution of income and wealth is given in the following table. Draw Lorenz curves. Where is Gini coefficient greater? % population …owns income: …owns wealth: The poorest 20% 5% 1% 20-40% 10% 4% 40-60% 15% 5% 60-80% 20% 20% 80-100% 50% 80% % population …owns income: …owns wealth: Income cumulative Wealth cumulative The poorest 20% 5% 1% 5% 1% 20-40% 10% 4% 15% = 10+5 5% = 1+4 40-60% 15% 5% 30% = 15+15 10% = 5+5 60-80% 20% 20% 50% = 30+20 30% = 10+20 80-100% 50% 80% 100% = 50+50 100% = 30+70 • First find cumulative for both wealth and income! 34 Lorenz curve 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% Income 50% Wealth 40% Absolute equality 30% 20% 10% 0% 0 0.5 1 • The farther Gini coefficient from the diagonal the greater the value of G and greater the inequality. • Wealth inequality is greater Problem 8 What kind of takeover would it be if Tesco bought: a) Carrefour b) Rijeka Shipyard c) Postira tuna fish industry Solution: a) Horizontal acquisition b) Conglomerate c) Vertical acquisition Why would some governments demand Tesco to sell some of their Carrefour shops? Because of the HHI index