DJJDP’s Comprehensive Delinquency Prevention & Intervention Strategy Buddy Howell Pinehurst, NC buddyhowell@nc.rr.com The Need For a Comprehensive Strategy • • • • • Poor matching of prevention programs with risk factors for delinquency Poor targeting of serious, violent and chronic offenders Little use of risk and needs assessments Poor matching of offenders with the level of service Over-use of detention and incarceration NC’s Comprehensive Strategy for Juvenile Delinquency Problem Behavior > Noncriminal Misbehavior > Delinquency > Serious, Violent, and Chronic Offending Prevention Graduated Sanctions Target Population: At-Risk Youth Programs for All Youth > Programs for Youth at Greatest Risk > Immediate Intervention Target Population: Delinquent Youth > Intermediate Sanctions Community > Confinement > Training Schools > Aftercare Preventing youth from becoming Improving the juvenile justice system delinquent by focusing prevention response to delinquent offenders programs on at-risk youth through a system of graduated sanctions and a continuum of treatment alternatives Prevention and Intervention Windows of Opportunity Risk and Protective Factors Family Age 3 Conduct Problems Peer Group School Age 6 Age 9 Elementary School Failure Prevention Source: Howell (2003) Individual Community Characteristics Age 12 Child Delinquency Early Intervention Age 15 Gang Member Age 18 Serious and Violent Delinquency Treatment & Sanctions Integrated Prevention and Intervention Risk/protective factors in the individual, family, peer group, school, neighborhood Conduct Disorder Prevention Intervention Early Delinquency Prevention Intervention Serious and Violent Juvenile Offending Prevention Intervention Comprehensive Strategy Mantra Researchbased Outcomefocused Datadriven Juvenile Offender Court Careers Chronic Serious 15% 34% C,S & V Violent 4% 64% Non-Serious Non-Violent Non-Chronic 8% Source: Snyder (1998) Maricopa Co. Study (N=151,209) Pathways to Boys’ Chronic, Serious, Violent Delinquency Age of Onset % Boys Late Few Violence (rape, attack, strongarm) Moderate to Serious Delinquency (fraud, burglary, serious theft) Physical Fighting Property Damage (physical fighting, gang fighting) (vandalism, firesetting) Minor Aggression (bullying, annoying others) Overt Pathway Authority Avoidance Minor Covert Behavior (shoplifting, frequent lying) (truancy, running away, staying out late) Covert Pathway Defiance/Disobedience Early Stubborn Behavior Authority Conflict Pathway (Before Age 12) Many Risk Factors for Delinquency Developed by the Jordan Institute for Families Risk factors, indicators, & data are accessible online: http://www.unc.edu/ncjcp/ Individual Risk Factors Birth–6 7–11 12–16 • • • • Constitutional Factors Behavior problems in school Academic failure Early conduct problems • Gang membership Family Risk Factors Birth–6 7–11 12–16 • • • • Prenatal factors Family management problems Parent problems Family conflict & disruption Peer Group Risk Factors Birth–6 7–11 12–16 • Peer rejection • Peer delinquent behavior School-level Risk Factors Birth–6 7–11 12–16 • School & classroom size • Disruptive school environment Community Risk Factors Birth–6 7–11 12–16 • • • • Impoverished neighborhood Community drug & alcohol use Community crime & violence Presence of gangs • Availability of guns Percent of All Serious Violent Offenses Committed by Gang Members Sample Offenses Rochester 31% 82% Sample Offenses 14% Denver 79% Sample Offenses 15% Source: Thornberry, 1998 Seattle 85% (Robberies Only) 8th Graders’ Position in the Gang 5 4 3 2 1 12% 17% 28% 23% 20% Source: Lynskey et al. (2000); NB: Ever or current members of a delinquent gang A Graduated Sanctions Model Residential Placement Increasing Sanctions Decreasing Sanctions CB Resid. Intensive PS Probation Youth Court Diversion Intensive PS Day/Eve Report. Probation Group Counseling Mentoring Structured Decision Making Tools Detention screening instruments Intake screening instruments Research-based risk risk assessments Objective assessments of youth and family strengths and needs A placement matrix for recommending court dispositions Standardized case plans Routine assessment of case plan progress Key DJJDP SDM Tools • DJJDP has a validated risk assessment instrument • DJJDP has a needs/strengths assessment instrument • The JJ Reform Act provided a Disposition Matrix • The Disposition Matrix and risk assessment instrument are functioning well in guiding offender placements Disposition Matrix • A disposition matrix organizes sanctions and programs by risk level and offense severity. • It places offenders along a continuum of programs and sanctions • Research shows that a reliable risk assessment instrument predicts different recidivism rates at various risk levels. Key Points of the Disposition Matrix • Low risk offenders are placed in community programs with minimal supervision • Medium risk offenders are typically placed in more structured community programs with intensive probation supervision • High risk offenders may be placed in Youth Development Centers North Carolina Offender Disposition Matrix Risk Level Offense Low Medium High Violent Level 2 or 3 Level 3 Level 3 Serious Level 1 or 2 Level 2 Level 2 or 3 Minor Level 1 Level 1 or 2 Level 2 Level 1 Community Level 2 Intermediate Level 3 Commitment to Youth Development Center Disposition of NC Court Referrals by Risk Level Dispositional Levels Risk Level by Disposition Low Medium High Total % % % % Level 1 – Community 65% 31% 3% 100% Level 2 – Intermediate 27% 47% 26% 100% Level 3 – Commitment 7% 23% 70% 100% Protective Supervision 47% 49% 4% 100% Total 49% 38% 14% 100% Recidivism by Risk Level in North Carolina (percent with new court complaints) 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% Low Medium High Admissions to the North Carolina Youth Development Centers, 1998-2002 1,600 1,360 1,400 1,217 1,200 Number of Admissions 975 1,000 800 659 536 600 400 200 0 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 NC Youth Development Center Admissions (1998-2002) 100% 47 78 90% 239 469 438 80% 70% 60% 343 434 50% 560 40% 712 619 30% 20% 10% 122 112 95 110 108 0% 1 2 3 Violent Serious 4 Minor Offenses 5 A Practical Approach To Evaluating and Improving Juvenile Justice Programs Utilizing The Standardized Program Evaluation Protocol The Lipsey-Howell Project Participating Organizations • Department of Juvenile Justice and Delinquency Prevention • Vanderbilt Institute for Public Policy • This project is funded by the Governor’s Crime Commission & DJJDP. Project Team • • • • • Dr. Mark Lipsey (Vanderbilt Univ.) Dr. James “Buddy” Howell (NC) Dr. Simon Tidd (Vanderbilt Univ.) Mr. Ron Mangum, M.A. (NC) Dr. James “Jim” Palmer (NC) DJJDP • Ms. Susan Whitten, State Administrator, Intervention & Prevention Division Pilot Counties Robeson Rockingham Yancey Pitt Buncombe Guilford Nash Vance DJJDP & JCPC Evaluation Requirements in 1998 Juvenile Justice Reform Act DJJDP & JCPCs have responsibility for evaluating JCPC-funded programs DJJDP has responsibility for identifying “best practices” North Carolina’s Practical Approach to Improving Juvenile Justice System Programs • Most juvenile justice programs reduce recidivism--at least slightly. • The most practical and cost-effective approach is to improve existing programs. • This can be done by applying researchbased knowledge of the features of effective programs. Standardized Program Evaluation Protocol Development: The Evidence Base Dr. Mark W. Lipsey Vanderbilt University 1589 Observed Effects from 556 Outcome Studies Four Main Characteristics Of Effective Programs 1. The Program Type (primary intervention) 2. Supplementary Services 3. Amount of Service 4. Characteristics of Clients Comparison of Programs with Varying Numbers of Favorable Characteristics Proportion of practical programs with different numbers of favorable characteristics and associated change in recidivism rates relative to control group Number of Favorable Characteristics Distribution of Programs Percentage of Change in Recidivism 0 7% +12% 1 50% -2 % 2 27% -10% 3 15% -20% 4 2% -24% The Standardized Program Evaluation Protocol (SPEP) What is it? A practical method for evaluating juvenile justice and delinquency prevention programs against best practices The SPEP provides a scheme (protocol) for assigning points to programs according to how closely their characteristics match those associated with the best outcomes in research. The SPEP cont’d How was the SPEP developed? Dr. Lipsey maintains and analyzes the only database of more than 600 evaluated juvenile justice programs. The SPEP contains the main features of effective evaluated programs that are similar to North Carolina programs. Point allocations are based on research results that are “standardized” across studies, showing the added increment of delinquency reduction each program feature produces, on average. What the SPEP is NOT It is not a whole blueprint for a program. It measures only the delinquency reduction potential a program type has, on average, based on prior research. It will not provide a treatment plan for individual clients, only a framework within which treatment can be planned. Primary Program Types for SPEPs (A separate SPEP for each) Individual counseling Group counseling Family counseling Parent training/counseling Restitution Interpersonal skills Tutoring/remedial education Mentoring Employment related Drug/alcohol therapy/counseling Other Services that may Supplement Primary Programs Behavior management Life skills Intensive supervision Cognitive behavioral Prevention Programs: Service Categories Effective, and above average Parent training/counseling Interpersonal skills training Tutoring Effective, and about average Group counseling Drug/alcohol therapy/counseling Employment-related Effective, but below average Individual counseling Mentoring Family counseling Court Supervised Delinquency Programs: Service Categories Effective, and above average Family counseling Tutoring Mentoring Effective, and about average Parent training/counseling Interpersonal skills training Drug/alcohol therapy/counseling Effective, but below average Individual counseling Group counseling Employment-related Restitution Three Sets of SPEPs for the NC Juvenile Justice Continuum Delinquency Prevention Court Delinquency Supervision Commitment Programming & Aftercare Expected Recidivism with Features of Effective Prevention Programs Comparable Juvs not in Evaluated Program 30% Average Prevention Program in Database 27% Effective, Above Average Program (EAP) 25% EAP+Best Supplemental Service (BSS) 20% EAP+BSS+Optimal Service Amount (OSA) 17% EAP+BSS+OSA+Appropriate Clients 13% Expected Recidivism with Features of Effective Court Delinquency Supervision Programs Comparable Juveniles not in a Program 40% Average Supervision Program in Database 34% Effective, Above Average Program (EAP) 32% EAP+Best Supplemental Service (BSS) 28% EAP+BSS+Optimal Service Amount (OSA) 24% EAP+BSS+OSA+Appropriate Clients 21% PROGRAM IMPROVEMENT & CONTINUUM BUILDING PROCESS DELINQUENCY PREVENTION Skill Enhancement Community Day Progs. COURT DELINQUENCY SUPERVISION Counseling Progs. Intensive Supervision COMMITMENT PROGRAMING & AFTERCARE Confinement Commitment Progs. Behavioral Management Group Counseling Drug Health Education Academic Achievement Cognitive Behavior Individual Counseling Interpersonal Skills Next Steps in the Pilot Counties (September-October) Program Improvement • SPEP evaluation of individual JCPC programs using client tracking information • Engage service providers in making program improvements to conform more closely with best practices Next Steps cont. (September-October) Continuum Building •Identify local existing program types •Identify primary interventions within program types •Identify supplementary interventions within program types •Analysis of risk and needs assessments (Vanderbilt) •Engage JCPCs in continuum building Statewide Roll-out (October-March) • 4 Area Meetings (June) • SOS & Prevention/Intervention Area Conferences (Sept.) • Training on Overview of SPEP Applications (Oct.-Nov.) (Details TBD) • Train DJJDP’s Dissemination of Information and Skills Teams (TBD) • Program ratings (Jan.-Feb.) • Train judges (TBD)