CHAPTER 12 NATIONAL INCOME ACCOUNTING 2nd Semester, S.Y 2013 – 2014 Pangasinan State University Social Science Department – PSU Lingayen BACHELOR OF ARTS IN ECONOMICS ECON 111 – ECONOMIC ANALYSIS National Income Accounting National income accounting is a framework that summarizes and categorizes productive activity in an economy over a period of time. GDP GNP GDP Per Capita National Income PCI Pangasinan State University Social Science Department – PSU Lingayen BACHELOR OF ARTS IN ECONOMICS ECON 111 – ECONOMIC ANALYSIS GDP: An Economic Barometer What exactly is GDP? How do we use it to tell us whether our economy is in a recession or how rapidly our economy is expanding? And how do we compare economic well-being across countries? How do we take the effects of inflation out of GDP to compare economic well-being over time? Pangasinan State University Social Science Department – PSU Lingayen BACHELOR OF ARTS IN ECONOMICS ECON 111 – ECONOMIC ANALYSIS What is gross domestic product (GDP)? • Currency value (such as Philippine peso) of all final goods and services produced within a country in a given period • Total income of a nation • Measure of nation’s economic well-being • Measure of a nation’s economic growth from one period to the next. Pangasinan State University Social Science Department – PSU Lingayen BACHELOR OF ARTS IN ECONOMICS ECON 111 – ECONOMIC ANALYSIS Gross Domestic Product GDP or gross domestic product is the market value of all final goods and services produced within a country in a given time period. This definition has four parts: Market value Final goods and services Produced within a country In a given time period Pangasinan State University Social Science Department – PSU Lingayen BACHELOR OF ARTS IN ECONOMICS ECON 111 – ECONOMIC ANALYSIS Gross Domestic Product Market value GDP is a market value—goods and services are valued at their market prices. To add apples and oranges, computers and popcorn, we add the market values so we have a total value of output in pesos. Pangasinan State University Social Science Department – PSU Lingayen BACHELOR OF ARTS IN ECONOMICS ECON 111 – ECONOMIC ANALYSIS Gross Domestic Product Final goods and services GDP is the value of the final goods and services produced. A final good (or service) is an item bought by its final user during a specified time period. A final good contrasts with an intermediate good, which is an item that is produced by one firm, bought by another firm, and used as a component of a final good or service. Excluding intermediate goods and services avoids double counting. Pangasinan State University Social Science Department – PSU Lingayen BACHELOR OF ARTS IN ECONOMICS ECON 111 – ECONOMIC ANALYSIS Let’s Check Your Understanding Which of the following are final goods or services, and which are intermediate goods or services? 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. A new automobile An oil filter purchased in a new automobile Banking services Gasoline A processor chip inside the tablet A bread flour Pangasinan State University Social Science Department – PSU Lingayen BACHELOR OF ARTS IN ECONOMICS ECON 111 – ECONOMIC ANALYSIS Gross Domestic Product Produced within a country GDP measures production within a country— domestic production. Pangasinan State University Social Science Department – PSU Lingayen BACHELOR OF ARTS IN ECONOMICS ECON 111 – ECONOMIC ANALYSIS GDP versus GNP Gross Domestic Product is the total market value of all final goods and services produced in a country in a given time period. Gross National Product is the total market value of all final goods and services produced by the citizens of a country in a given time period. GNP equals GDP plus net factor income received from or paid to other countries. Pangasinan State University Social Science Department – PSU Lingayen BACHELOR OF ARTS IN ECONOMICS ECON 111 – ECONOMIC ANALYSIS Gross Domestic Product In a given time period GDP measures production during a specific time period, normally a year or a quarter of a year. Pangasinan State University Social Science Department – PSU Lingayen BACHELOR OF ARTS IN ECONOMICS ECON 111 – ECONOMIC ANALYSIS What’s included in GDP? 𝐺𝐷𝑃 = 𝐶 + 𝐼 + 𝐺 + (𝑋 − 𝑀) Consumption expenditure Investment Government expenditure on goods and services Exports of goods and services Imports of goods and services Pangasinan State University Social Science Department – PSU Lingayen BACHELOR OF ARTS IN ECONOMICS ECON 111 – ECONOMIC ANALYSIS What’s included in GDP? Consumption expenditure is the spending households on consumption goods and services. by Investment is the purchase of new capital goods (tools, instruments, machines, and buildings) and additions to inventories. Government expenditure on goods and services is expenditure by all levels government on goods and services. Net exports of goods and services is the value of exports of goods and services minus the value of imports of goods and services. Pangasinan State University Social Science Department – PSU Lingayen BACHELOR OF ARTS IN ECONOMICS ECON 111 – ECONOMIC ANALYSIS Consumption Expenditure Consumption expenditure is the spending by households on consumption goods and services. Goods: groceries, clothes, gadgets Services: haircuts, oil changes Pangasinan State University Social Science Department – PSU Lingayen BACHELOR OF ARTS IN ECONOMICS ECON 111 – ECONOMIC ANALYSIS What’s included in GDP? Investment by businesses and households Fixed assets for production New homes Inventories Pangasinan State University Social Science Department – PSU Lingayen BACHELOR OF ARTS IN ECONOMICS ECON 111 – ECONOMIC ANALYSIS What’s included in GDP? Government expenditures by local and national government Roads and bridges School buildings Other public services Excluding transfer payments Pangasinan State University Social Science Department – PSU Lingayen BACHELOR OF ARTS IN ECONOMICS ECON 111 – ECONOMIC ANALYSIS What’s included in GDP? Net exports – the value of exports of goods and services minus the value of imports of goods and s Pangasinan State University Social Science Department – PSU Lingayen BACHELOR OF ARTS IN ECONOMICS ECON 111 – ECONOMIC ANALYSIS What are not included in GDP? Intermediate goods Used goods or Second-hand Sales Underground production (black market) Financial transactions Household production and consumption Transfer payments Pangasinan State University Social Science Department – PSU Lingayen BACHELOR OF ARTS IN ECONOMICS ECON 111 – ECONOMIC ANALYSIS What GDP does not tell us? Does not measure income distribution Does not measure non-monetary output or transactions (e.g., barter, household activities) Does not take into account desirable externalities, such as leisure or environment Does not measure social well-being Correlates to standard of living but is not a measure of standard of living Pangasinan State University Social Science Department – PSU Lingayen BACHELOR OF ARTS IN ECONOMICS ECON 111 – ECONOMIC ANALYSIS Real and nominal GDP When GDP is computed in the current year’s prices, rising prices (inflation) can make it difficult to determine if a change in GDP from one year to the next is due to the country’s production of more goods and services or to increases in the price level. Nominal GDP: GDP that is not adjusted for inflation. This reflects the current value of goods and services in current prices. Thus, it ignores the effect of inflation on the growth of GDP. Real GDP: measures the value of goods and services adjusted for change in the price level. It reflects the real change in output. This measure is called constant or adjusted GDP or constant money GDP. Nominal GDP is GDP at current price Real GDP is GDP adjusted for inflation. Pangasinan State University Social Science Department – PSU Lingayen BACHELOR OF ARTS IN ECONOMICS ECON 111 – ECONOMIC ANALYSIS Calculation of Nominal GDP Year Quantity Price Nominal GDP Good A 1,000 850 850,000 Good B 2,000 1,750 3,500,000 Good C 1,500 25,800 38,700,000 Good D 4,000 350 1,400,000 Good E 2,500 755 1,887,500 Good F 1,800 475 855,000 TOTAL 47,192,500 𝑁𝑜𝑚𝑖𝑛𝑎𝑙 𝐺𝐷𝑃 = 𝑃𝑟𝑖𝑐𝑒 𝑥 𝑂𝑢𝑡𝑝𝑢𝑡 Pangasinan State University Social Science Department – PSU Lingayen BACHELOR OF ARTS IN ECONOMICS ECON 111 – ECONOMIC ANALYSIS Calculation of Real GDP Year Quantity (Aggregate Output) Price Nominal GDP Price Index Real GDP 2009 1,000 50 50,000 33 1,500 2010 1,000 100 100,000 67 1,500 2011 1,000 150 150,000 100 1,500 2012 1,000 200 200,000 133 1,500 2013 1,000 250 250,000 167 1,500 𝑅𝑒𝑎𝑙 𝐺𝐷𝑃 = 𝑁𝑜𝑚𝑖𝑛𝑎𝑙 𝐺𝐷𝑃 𝑃𝑟𝑖𝑐𝑒 𝐼𝑛𝑑𝑒𝑥 𝑃𝑟𝑖𝑐𝑒 𝑖𝑛 𝑎 𝑔𝑖𝑣𝑒𝑛 𝑦𝑒𝑎𝑟 𝑃𝐼 = 𝐵𝑎𝑠𝑒𝑑 𝑦𝑒𝑎𝑟 *Base Year is 2011 Pangasinan State University Social Science Department – PSU Lingayen BACHELOR OF ARTS IN ECONOMICS ECON 111 – ECONOMIC ANALYSIS GDP Deflator GDP deflator (implicit price deflator for GDP) is a measure of the level of prices of all new, domestically produced, final goods and services in an economy. It helps to adjust the Nominal GDP to a Real GDP figure 𝑁𝑜𝑚𝑖𝑛𝑎𝑙 𝐺𝐷𝑃 𝐺𝐷𝑃 𝐷𝑒𝑓𝑙𝑎𝑡𝑜𝑟 = 𝑥100 𝑅𝑒𝑎𝑙 𝐺𝐷𝑃 Pangasinan State University Social Science Department – PSU Lingayen BACHELOR OF ARTS IN ECONOMICS ECON 111 – ECONOMIC ANALYSIS GDP and the Circular Flow of Expenditure and Income GDP measures the value of production, which also equals total expenditure on final goods and total income. The equality of income and output shows the link between productivity and living standards. The circular flow diagram illustrates the equality of income, expenditure, and the value of production. Pangasinan State University Social Science Department – PSU Lingayen BACHELOR OF ARTS IN ECONOMICS ECON 111 – ECONOMIC ANALYSIS Approaches in GDP Calculation 1. Expenditure Approach 2. Production Approach 3. Income Approach Pangasinan State University Social Science Department – PSU Lingayen BACHELOR OF ARTS IN ECONOMICS ECON 111 – ECONOMIC ANALYSIS Expenditure Approach The expenditure approach adds all the expenditures of the end-users of the output produced in a given year. It divides GDP into four areas: households (consumption), businesses (investment), government, and foreigners (net exports). Pangasinan State University Social Science Department – PSU Lingayen BACHELOR OF ARTS IN ECONOMICS ECON 111 – ECONOMIC ANALYSIS What are the components of GDP? GDP Personal Consumption Expenditures Investment Government Net Exports (I) (G) (X-M) (C) Fixed Investment Nonresidential Inventories Export s Imports Residential GDP = C + I + G + (X-M) Pangasinan State University Social Science Department – PSU Lingayen BACHELOR OF ARTS IN ECONOMICS ECON 111 – ECONOMIC ANALYSIS How much of GDP is each component? 110% 100% Component % of GDP Government 19% Investment 16% Consumption (PCE) 70 % Net Exports -5% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% -10% GDP 100% Pangasinan State University Social Science Department – PSU Lingayen BACHELOR OF ARTS IN ECONOMICS ECON 111 – ECONOMIC ANALYSIS Production Approach The production approach looks at GDP from the standpoint of value added by each input in the production process. Pangasinan State University Social Science Department – PSU Lingayen BACHELOR OF ARTS IN ECONOMICS ECON 111 – ECONOMIC ANALYSIS Income Approach The income approach divides GDP according to who receives the income from the spending flow. In addition to aggregate income, national income and personal income are also used as measures of income. Pangasinan State University Social Science Department – PSU Lingayen BACHELOR OF ARTS IN ECONOMICS ECON 111 – ECONOMIC ANALYSIS Expenditure and Income Approach GDP Corporate profits Consumption of fixed capital or Depreciation Gross private domestic investment Personal taxes Personal saving Government expenditures Imports Net interest Compensation of employees Rental income Exports Personal consumption expenditure Indirect business taxes Contributions for social security Transfer payments Proprietor's income Amount (Billion Pesos) 305 479 716 565 120 924 547 337 2,628 19 427 2,966 370 394 543 328 Suppose the following are data for a given year from the annual report of NEDA. Calculate GDP using the expenditure approach and income approach Pangasinan State University Social Science Department – PSU Lingayen BACHELOR OF ARTS IN ECONOMICS ECON 111 – ECONOMIC ANALYSIS Expenditure and Income Approach a. Expenditure Approach 𝐺𝐷𝑃 = 𝐶 + 𝐼 + 𝐺 + (𝑋 − 𝑀) = 2,966 + 716 + 924 + (427 − 547) = 4,486 a. Income Approach GDP = 𝑐𝑜𝑚𝑝𝑒𝑛𝑠𝑎𝑡𝑖𝑜𝑛 𝑜𝑓 𝑒𝑚𝑝𝑙𝑜𝑦𝑒𝑒𝑠 + 𝑟𝑒𝑛𝑡𝑠 + 𝑝𝑟𝑜𝑓𝑖𝑡𝑠 + 𝑛𝑒𝑡 𝑖𝑛𝑡𝑒𝑟𝑒𝑠𝑡 + 𝑖𝑛𝑑𝑖𝑟𝑒𝑐𝑡 𝑡𝑎𝑥𝑒𝑠 + 𝑑𝑒𝑝𝑟𝑒𝑐𝑖𝑎𝑡𝑖𝑜𝑛 = 2,628 + 19 + 653 + 337 + 370 + 479 = 4486 Pangasinan State University Social Science Department – PSU Lingayen BACHELOR OF ARTS IN ECONOMICS ECON 111 – ECONOMIC ANALYSIS National Income GDP Corporate profits Consumption of fixed capital or Depreciation Gross private domestic investment Personal taxes Personal saving Government expenditures Imports Net interest Compensation of employees Rental income Exports Personal consumption expenditure Indirect business taxes Contributions for social security Transfer payments Proprietor's income Amount (Billion Pesos) 305 479 716 565 120 924 547 337 2,029 19 427 2,966 370 394 543 328 Using the data in no. 8, compute the national income (NI) by making the required subtraction from GDP. Explain why NI might be a better measure of economic performance than GDP. Pangasinan State University Social Science Department – PSU Lingayen BACHELOR OF ARTS IN ECONOMICS ECON 111 – ECONOMIC ANALYSIS National Income 𝑵𝑰 = 𝑮𝑫𝑷 − 𝑫𝒆𝒑𝒓𝒆𝒄𝒊𝒂𝒕𝒊𝒐𝒏 𝑁𝐼 = 4,486 − 479 𝑁𝐼 = 4,007 Pangasinan State University Social Science Department – PSU Lingayen BACHELOR OF ARTS IN ECONOMICS ECON 111 – ECONOMIC ANALYSIS Personal Income and Disposable Income GDP Corporate profits Consumption of fixed capital or Depreciation Gross private domestic investment Personal taxes Personal saving Government expenditures Imports Net interest Compensation of employees Rental income Exports Personal consumption expenditure Indirect business taxes Contributions for social security Transfer payments Proprietor's income Amount (Billion Pesos) 305 479 716 565 120 924 547 337 2,029 19 427 2,966 370 394 543 328 Again using the data in no. 8, derive personal income (PI) from national income (NI). Then make the necessary adjustments to PI to obtain disposable income (DI). Pangasinan State University Social Science Department – PSU Lingayen BACHELOR OF ARTS IN ECONOMICS ECON 111 – ECONOMIC ANALYSIS Personal Income and Disposable Incom a. Personal income (PI) Personal Income (PI) = 𝑁𝐼 − 𝑃𝑟𝑜𝑓𝑖𝑡𝑠 − 𝐶𝑜𝑛𝑠𝑡𝑟𝑖𝑏𝑢𝑡𝑖𝑜𝑛𝑠 𝑓𝑜𝑟 𝑆𝑜𝑐𝑖𝑎𝑙 𝑆𝑒𝑐𝑢𝑟𝑖𝑡𝑦 + 𝑇𝑟𝑎𝑛𝑠𝑓𝑒𝑟 𝑃𝑎𝑦𝑚𝑒𝑛𝑡𝑠 𝑃𝐼 = 4,007 − 633 − 394 + 543 𝑃𝐼 = 3,523 a. Disposable income (DI) 𝐷𝐼 = 𝑃𝐼 − 𝑃𝑒𝑟𝑠𝑜𝑛𝑎𝑙 𝑡𝑎𝑥𝑒𝑠 𝐷𝐼 = 3,523 − 565 𝑃𝐼 = 2,958 Pangasinan State University Social Science Department – PSU Lingayen BACHELOR OF ARTS IN ECONOMICS ECON 111 – ECONOMIC ANALYSIS