The Impact of Agri-Business Processing Firms on the Local Economy Mary Carey Teagasc Rural Economy and Development Programme School of Economics, UCD Supervisors: Prof. Cathal O’Donoghue, Rural Economy Research Centre, Teagasc; Prof. Aisling Reynolds-Feighan, School of Economics, University College Dublin Outline 1. Introduction 2. Research objective 3. Literature 4. Overview of agri-business processing firms settlement type, firm size, ownership) 5. Economic linkages 6. Conclusion 7. Next steps (inputs, labour, outputs) (location, Introduction • Strength of economic linkages between sectors – construction v. manufacturing • Bio-sector and its impact on the economy - low import dependence, high local multiplier & low levels of profit repatriation (Riordan, 2012) • Geographical Spread of the sector highlights significance of the location of agri-business processing firms (Carey & O’Donoghue, 2014) – high LQ in Border region Research Objective 1. Provide an overview of the Irish agri-business processing sector Processing sector includes dairy processing, beef processing, other meat processing, poultry processing, functional ingredients preparation, sea food processing and other consumer foods. 2. Understand the economic linkages of the agri-business processing sector Origin of firm and destination of inputs (upstream purchases), outputs (downstream purchases) and employment flows. Literature • Net income theories – reduce leakage of income and attract external income (Persky et al., 1993) • Degree of ‘Local Economic Integration’ (Courtney et al., 2008) • Sectoral Characteristic - the construction sector is considered to be better integrated than the manufacturing sector (Williams, 1994). • Organisational Characteristics – firm size, ownership and age (Courtney et al., 2008). • Locational (or contextual) Characteristics - settlement type/hierarchy and proximity to urban centres Overview of agri-business processing firms • Teagasc Survey (2014) contains an array of information including: • characteristics of the firm (location, number of employees, turnover, year of establishment, ownership etc.), • inputs (labour, raw material, transport, water, energy, communication, others across the 6 zones) and • outputs sold across 6 zones (A -> F). Location of surveyed processing firms • Geo-reference by Electoral District (ED). • ED with agri-business processing firms are highlighted in red. Table 1: Regional distribution of surveyed processing firms Border West Midland Mid-East South-East Number of firms 31 16 11 26 32 Percentage 13.8 7.1 4.9 11.6 14.3 South-West 56 25.0 Mid-West Dublin Total 24 28 224 10.7 12.5 100 Map by Mary Carey © Ordnance Survey of Ireland and Teagasc Location by settlement type • Census 2011 data used to define the types of settlement based on the population of the Electoral Divisions (ED). • Open countryside or village (less than 1,599 people); small towns (1600-4999 people), medium towns (5000-9999 people) and large towns (greater than 10,000 people and the 5 main cities. • 50 per cent of agri-business processing firms are located in very rural EDs Table 2: Processing firms by settlement type Village Small Town Med Town Large Town Number of firms 111 17 30 21 45 224 Percentage 49.6 7.6 13.4 9.4 20.1 100 Cumulative 49.6 57.1 70.5 79.9 100 City Total Firm size and ownership by settlement type Firm size by number of employees • 32.6 per cent micro (less than 10 employees) • 52.7 per cent SME (10 to 250 employees) • 14.7 per cent large (more than 250 employees) Firm ownership • 94 per cent of agri-business firms are Irish owned • The 5 main cities have the highest percentage of foreign owned agribusiness firms. Table 3: Percentage of firm by size by settlement type Med Large Town Town Table 5: Percentage of firm ownership by settlement type Village Small Town Micro 34.2 41.2 16.7 33.3 35.6 32.6 Irish SME 51.4 52.9 66.7 52.4 46.7 52.7 Large 14.4 5.9 16.7 14.3 17.8 14.7 City Village Small Town Med Town Large Town 94.6 100.0 90.0 100.0 88.9 93.8 Foreign 5.4 0.0 10.0 0.0 11.1 6.3 Number of firms 111 17 30 21 45 224 Total City Total Economic linkages of processing firms • Teagasc Survey (2014) • 224 processing firms reported the distribution of the firm’s inputs (labour and non-labour inputs) and outputs (customers & industry) across 6 zones (A-F). 1. Labour (distance employees travel) 2. Non-labour inputs (raw materials, transport, water, energy, communication, other) 3. Outputs (spatial distribution of customers) Zone A: less than 10km Zone B: between 10-20km Zone C: between 21-40km Zone D: NUTS 3 region Zone E: elsewhere in the ROI Zone F: international Non-labour inputs by zone Zone and Distance Band • Origin of non-labour inputs Non-Labour Input • Almost 40 per cent are sourced within 10km Raw Materials • Almost 76 per cent are sourced within the region Water • Less than 7 per cent sourced internationally Communication • Import (from outside the ROI) is higher for raw materials Average Transport Energy Other Cumulative Share A B C D E 16.3 1020km 8.6 37.8 17.0 15.3 10.3 17.1 3.9 75.6 11.7 4.8 7.9 0.0 0.0 43.8 8.2 16.8 10.9 18.8 1.5 31.0 5.2 12.4 16.4 31.6 3.4 28.6 15.0 18.0 17.3 11.5 9.6 38.9 11.0 13.0 12.9 17.6 6.9 38.9 49.8 62.9 75.8 93.4 100 0-9km 21Region 40km 10.9 14.7 F Note: rows sum to 100 and may not sum exactly to 100 due to rounding effects Rest of ROI 27.0 Imports 23.0 Labour inputs by zone and by settlement type Distance Travelled to Work by Zone and Distance Band • Labour costs accounts for 26 per cent of overall total inputs in the agri-business sector. • 92 per cent of agribusiness’ employees travel less than 20kms. • Settlement type (village to city) does not seem to impact the distance travelled by agri-business’ employees. A B C 2140km 6.8 D E F Labour Village 72.5 1020km 17.5 1.5 Rest of ROI 0.6 Small town 84.5 10.7 4.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 Med town 71.3 17.8 7.1 2.2 1.5 0.2 Large town 84.4 13.4 2.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 Cities 70.2 24.1 4.4 0.9 0.2 0.2 Average 74.0 17.8 5.8 1.2 0.6 0.6 Cumulative share 74.0 91.8 97.6 98.8 99.4 100 0-9km Region Note: rows sum to 1 and may not sum exactly to 1 due to rounding. Imports 1.1 Outputs - Location of customers • Relatively high heterogeneity on main market for output depending on settlement type Zone and Distance Band Output by Settlement type A B C 2140km 10.5 Village 10.7 1020km 9.7 Small town 32.1 19.9 • The agri-business firms in the open countryside and villages have lowest percentage within zone A and highest exports. Med town 17.6 Large town • Agri-business firms in cities reliance on zone A finding contrary to what the literature would suggest. D E F 12.9 Rest of ROI 32.1 14.9 8.3 7.7 0.0 6.2 7.3 13.6 28.7 0.2 45.9 11.2 18.2 10.2 2.6 0.0 Cities 46.1 23.0 6.4 5.9 9.3 0.2 W. Average 23.8 12.8 10.3 11.0 22.4 0.6 Cum. 23.8 36.6 46.9 57.9 80.3 100 0-9km Region Note: rows sum to 1 and may not sum exactly to 1 due to rounding. Exports 1.1 Conclusions • Importance for rural Ireland - 50 per cent of agri-business processing firms are located in the open countryside/village. • Agri-business processing firms in villages and the open countryside have a higher propensity to export and are less reliant on the local market to sell their produce. • Regional significance - 76 per cent of non-labour inputs are sourced within the NUTS3 region and only 7 per cent are imported. • Domestic ownership - 94 per cent of agri-business processing firms are Irish owned. • Commuting patterns are relatively short - over 90 per cent of employees travelling less than 20km to work in an agri-business processing firm. Next steps • Appropriate modelling technique when dealing with shares…. Fractional multinomial/mixed logit? • Estimate regional coefficient which measures the strength of ‘regional economic integration’ • Regional coefficient inserted into the Spatial Input-Output table generated by applying Cross-Industry Location Quotient (CILQ) to the national I-O tables. Thank you! Mary.Carey@ucdconnect.ie or Mary.Carey@teagasc.ie