RE/MAX Western Canada Broker Owner Retreat Monday, June 3, 2014 Walter Schneider, President & Co-Founder, RE/MAX INTEGRA Group of Companies Agenda • • • • Personal History Market Update - North America, Europe Market Trends Opportunities and Strategies for RE/MAX Broker/Owners The Founders Frank Polzler Walter Schneider The Schneider's Simon Shelby Walter Maria Conrad RE/MAX Ontario Leadership Team Frank Polzler Chairman & Co-Founder David Brown EVP of Promotions Shelby Schneider Director of Public Relations & Communications Nancy Sears Business Development Consultant Walter Schneider President & Co-Founder Lisa Clark Vice President Administration Carrie Manson Director of Marketing & Sponsorship Christopher Alexander Pamela Alexander CEO Dolores Doherty Vice President Finance Gurinder Sandhu EVP - Regional Director Marianne Thompson Director of Special Events and Meeting Planning Graeme Canivet Director of IT Valerie Garcia Director of Training Franchise Sales Consultant Michelle Goodridge Executive Assistant RE/MAX Around the World RE/MAX Integra and Europe AUSTRIA SWITZERLAND MINNEAPOLIS TORONTO BOSTON INDIANAPOLIS As of May 31, 2014 OFFICES Ontario-Atlantic (1980) 392 New England (1986) 222 North Central (1987) 179 Indiana (1988) 75 Europe (1994) 1,524 AGENTS 9,745 2,642 2,350 1,293 12,475 2,392 28,500 RE/MAX Integra and Europe Ontario-Atlantic New England North Central Indiana Europe (37 countries) GRAND TOTAL TOTAL COMMISSIONS 1,010,441,414.6 260,620,095.38 231,642,572.20 106,028,762.18 1,608,732,844.45 TOTAL TRANSACTIONS 135,974.87 40,041.04 47,418.50 28,054.75 251,489.16 1,935,992,909.67 376,605.03 RE/MAX INTEGRA sells a property every 75 seconds Underground Economies The alleged extent of under-the-table commerce in OECD countries Percent of official GDP* 31% Greece 28% 27.5% Hungary Italy 23% 22.5% Spain Belgium 19% 19% 18% Sweden Norway Denmark 16% 14.5% 14.5% 14.25% 14% 14% 14% 13.5% Ireland Germnay Canada France Poland Australia Netherlands United Kingdom 12% Japan United States Austria Switzerland 8.5% 8.5% 7.5% SOURCE: Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development ONTARIO-ATLANTIC CANADA INC. We didn’t just make the list. We dominated it! Canadian Top 250 Real Estate Brokerages ranked by average transaction per agent.* 159 25 20 13 Royal LePage Coldwell Banker Keller Williams Brokerages Report based on 2013 closed residential transactions for participating brokerages. Real Trends is an unbiased, independent third party. 8 Century 21 6 Sutton Group BROKER COMMENTS Broker Comments Barrie, Ontario – 3 Offices – 158 Agents – 128,430 Population Average Sale Price $325,494 • We continue to see tight inventory (3 or less months) – lowest I’ve ever seen it- price increase of 10% YOY • I’m seeing some “silly high” prices being paid for RES properties • Majority of our agents have a solid # of sellers in the hamper so I expect to see a strong spring flurry of activity in next few weeks • Agent community as a whole is very positive & bullish about 2014 – all are either busy or expecting to be soon Mark Pauli, Manager of Brokerage RE/MAX Chay Realty Inc., Brokerage Broker Comments Stratford, Ontario – 5 Offices – 66 Agents – 30,886 Population Average Sale Price $254,156 • Slow since November partially attributed to the long winter conditions. New builds are finally increasing; job stability and buyer confidence is on the rise. • Region has been slow to recover but is definitely coming around. I would estimate a spring rush but steady the rest of the way. • Farm sales and prices are at all-time highs – land values have jumped from $12K/15K an acre to $20,000 an acre – this is likely the most volatile area of our business. John Wolfe, Broker/Owner RE/MAX A-B Realty Inc., Brokerage Broker Comments Toronto, Ontario – 3 Offices – 124 Agents – 2.5M Population Average Sale Price $521,268 • • • • • Market really consists of three markets: rentals, resales and new sales. The rental market is now larger than the resale market on TREB – about two times as big. Challenge is how do brokers make money-a sale commission is nine times bigger than a rental commission. Condo re-sales are 6% higher than the same year to date period in 2013. March new condo sales were 20% higher than condo re-sales. What happens when these units enter the resale market in four years? People moving to live downtown is not slowing down/ growing. The preference for many is freehold properties (multiple offers), the reality is that many will end up in condos as a cheaper alternative. Hence long term, the whole condo market is very positive. Jamie Johnston, Broker of Record/Owner RE/MAX Condos Plus Broker Comments Windsor, Ontario – 2 Offices – 122 Agents – 216,470 Population Average Sale Price $178,251 • • • • • A delayed market that is a sellers' market and in 30-45 days should again be a balance market. Windsor & Essex County, an automotive/manufacturing city and about the last 2-6 years ago was known to be the worst city economically in Canada. Knowing we had a great location weather wise and on the American border with shopping, Pro sports, restaurants etc. has worked to attract the Baby Boomers across Canada who are retiring. Great value for retirees Your sellers sell for $600,000 -$1,000,000 or higher. Buy the equivalent for $200300,000 here. Condo down south and money in the bank on top of their savings. I believe almost 3-6% of our business over the last 2 years. Not big but put us back on the map economically! Glen Muir, Broker of Record/Owner RE/MAX Preferred Realty Ltd., Brokerage Why I Have Concerns? 1. 2. 3. 4. Market affordability Global concerns (U.S. and China/India debt) Provincial debt/taxes New buyers/realtors do not understand higher interest 5. Geo political situations/stock market 6. Press is pounding negativity 7. Buyer fatigue Why I Am Optimistic? 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 8. Interest rates A new generation of buyers Economy is stable USA is doing well Best known Real Estate brand in Canada RE/MAX global powerhouse Immigration Broader buyer pool INFORMATION RE/MAX Across Canada Total Agents - 19,189 Ontario 9,836 – 51% As of May 31, 2014 Western Canada 6,084 – 32% Quebec 3,269/17% RE/MAX AGENTS SELL MORE PROPERTIES THAN OTHER AGENTS. Canadian Top 250 Real Estate Brokerages ranked by average transaction per agent.* 16.1 14.7 13.6 Coldwell Banker Sutton Group Brokerages Report based on 2013 closed residential transactions for participating brokerages. Real Trends is an unbiased, independent third party. 12.0 Royal LePage 11.4 Century 21 10.4 Keller Williams Industry Productivity TREB = 75% of Realtors in Ontario Distribution of Teams CONDO COMMENTS New Condo Sales Rebalance in 2013 Annual New Condo Apartment Sales Toronto CMA: 2004 to 2013 35,000 30,000 10-yr avg. = 17,727 25,000 5-yr avg. = 19,090 28,190 20,491 17,997 20,000 14,792 15,000 13,965 10,000 5,000 Source: Urbanation Inc. Urbanation 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 0 2013 Investor Share Pegged at 3044%: Industry Survey Results What Share of New Condo Buyers were Investors in 2013? 40% 33% 35% 28% 30% 25% 19% 20% 15% 10% 11% 8% 5% 0% Less than 30% 30% to 44% 45% to 59% 60% to 74% Source: Urbanation Industry Survey Urbanation 75% or more Resale Prices Holding Steady Average Annual Growth in Resale Condo Prices (psf) Toronto CMA: 2004 to 2013 12.0% 11.1% 9.6% 10.0% 7.9% 8.0% 6.0% 4.8% 6.0% 5.8% 5.0% 4.5% 4.0% 2.3% 2.0% 2012 2013 2.0% 0.0% 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 Source: Urbanation Inc., TREB Urbanation 2010 2011 Record Level of MLS Transactions: Combined Rental & Resale Condo Apartment Resale and Rental Transactions Toronto CMA: 2010 to 2013 40,000 30,647 13,674 15,355 16,976 15,292 15,698 2013 27,180 25,000 20,000 30,650 2012 30,000 35,326 Resale 2011 35,000 Rental 10,630 19,628 15,000 10,000 16,550 5,000 2010 0 Source: Urbanation Inc., Toronto Real Estate Board Urbanation LUXURY COMMENTS Luxury Market in 2013 • • • • 1,908 units +$1.5MM in GTA 18% increase over 2012 Bridal Path SOLD $13.4 MM Bridal Path Listing for $25.8 MM ONTARIO-ATLANTIC CANADA INC. 10 Must Dos for Franchise Owners 1. Upgrade the physical quality of your office 2. Lower the average age of your office 3. Develop a real recruiting pipeline (conventions not for working/don’t want to host) 4. Nothing stays static 5. Understand fear 10 Must Dos for Franchise Owners 6. 7. 8. 9. Never the right time RE/MAX is a simple business Marketshare Elevate your game/how are you identified in the market? 10.What does your world look like in 5 years You’re Invited October 16 & 17, 2014 JW Marriott Resort & Spa, Minett Ontario You’re Invited World’s Largest Pool, Suing, China *Globe and Mail – August 2011 Muskoka