COMET Executive Board 2-3 June 2010 Dr. Timothy Spangler The COMET Program FY10 Cluster Accomplishments and Module Demonstrations 2 Pat Parrish’s Cluster C • • • • • Jennifer Frazer Maria Frostic Vickie Johnson David Russi Andrea Smith (.5 FTE) • NEEF and environmental education • NWS International Activities Office • International Projects • Australian Bureau of Meteorology • WMO • NOAA Tsunami • Translations • Special Projects 3 Cluster C FY10 Accomplishments • The Amazon Rainforest and Climate Change (NEEF – English and Portuguese) • Flash Flood Early Warning Systems Reference Guide (NWS IAO) • Virtual Basic Hydrologic Sciences Courses (NWS IAO – VCP) • Basic Hydrologic Sciences Distance Learning Course - International adaptation and 1 new module (NWS IAO VCP) 4 Cluster C FY10 Accomplishments • WMO critical eLearning Programs (NWS IAO VCP) • Module compilation and adaptation: Fog: Its Processes and Impacts to Aviation and Aviation Forecasting • Group on Earth Observations (GEO) Water Cycle Capacity Building Workshop meeting support (NWS IAO VCP) • Hurricane Strike! – module update (NWS IAO – VCP) • Community Hurricane Preparedness module update (NWS) • Radar Signatures for Severe Weather (BoM) 5 Cluster C FY10 Accomplishments • Role of the Skywarn Spotter (NWS) • Skywarn Spotter Convective Basics (NWS) • Tsunami Science (NWS) • Tsunami Warning System (NWS) • HYSPLIT Applications for Emergency Decision Support (NWS) • Recognition and Impact of Vorticity Maxima and Minima (EUMETSAT) • ASMET Phase 2 6 Climate Change Usage 1 May 2009 – 30 April 2010 Total: 7,649 sessions 7 2010 Spanish Translations Cluster C Redacción de pronósticos de aeródromo para tiempo convectivo (Writing TAFs for Convective Weather) Introducción a la meteorología tropical, capítulo 10: Ciclones tropicales (Introduction to Tropical Meteorology, Chapter 10: Tropical Cyclones) Comprensión de los sistemas de asimilación: cómo los modelos crean sus propias condiciones iniciales, versión 2 (Understanding Assimilation Systems: How Models Create Their Initial Conditions – version 2) S290 Unidad 7: Sistemas de vientos (S290 Unit 7: Wind Systems) Principios de convección II: uso de la hodógrafa (Principles of Convection II: Using Hodographs) ¿Cómo producen los modelos la precipitación y las nubes? versión 2 (How Models Produce Precipitation and Clouds version 2) ¿Veremos una sonda atmosférica avanzada en el GOES? (Toward an Advanced Sounder on GOES?) Definición de mesoescala (Definition of the Mesoscale) Impacto de la física del modelo en los pronósticos numéricos, versión 2 (Influence of Model Physics on NWP Forecasts version 2) Impacto de la estructura y dinámica de los modelos: versión 2 (Impact of Model Structure and Dynamics version 2) Recursos sobre alertas de tsunami (Tsunami Warning Guide) Máximos de vorticidad y estructuras en coma (Vorticity Maxima and Comma Patterns) Uso inteligente de los productos derivados de los modelos, versión 2 (Intelligent Use of Model Derived Products version 2) Fundamentos de los modelos: versión 2 (Model Fundamentals version 2) JASON-2: Uso de la altimetría satelital en observaciones oceánicas (JASON-2: Using Satellite Altimetry to Monitor the Ocean) Huracanes: Preparación de la comunidad (Community Hurricane Preparedness) 8 Cluster C 2010 French Translation Plan Frontogenetical Circulations and Stability Satellite Feature Identification: Blocking Patterns JASON-2: Using Satellite Altimetry to Monitor the Ocean Deformation Zone Distribution Heavy Banded Snow Satellite Feature Identification: Ring of Fire Dynamic Feature Identification: The Satellite Palette Gap Winds The "Ten" Commandments of the Satellite Palette Hurricanes Canadian Style: Extratropical Transition Note: Completion of these French translations is now likely to occur in FY11. It is dependent on work to be accomplished by MSC and final EUMETSAT contract 9 Wendy’s Cluster A • • • • • • • Patrick Dills Lon Goldstein Matt Kelsch Dolores Kiessling (.6 FTE) Arlene Laing Amy Stevermer Marianne Weingroff • Satellite Meteorology • NPOESS • NESDIS/GOES-R • EUMETSAT • Hydrology • Air Force Weather • Tropical Textbook • Climate 10 Cluster A FY10 Accomplishments • • • • • • • • Climate Variability and Change Virtual Course Climate Services and Outreach WAS*IS August 2010 Workshop recordings (pending) Flash Flood/QPE Residence Course QPF for Hydrologic Modeling Virtual Course Precipitation Estimates, Part 2: Analysis QPF Verification: Challenges and Tools Distributed Hydrologic Models for Flow Forecasts: Part 2 11 Cluster A FY10 Accomplishments (cont.) • • • • • • • • River Ice Process Short Version Techniques in Hydrologic Forecast Verification Environmental Satellite Resource Center, V 2.0 2010 Satellite Community Training Meeting Toward an Advanced Sounder on GOES? GOES Channel Selection – Version 2 Forecasting Dust Storms (DoD Update and International Adaptation) Multispectral Satellite Applications: RGB Products Explained 12 Cluster A FY10 Accomplishments (cont.) • Introduction to Tropical Meteorology, Chapter 11: Observations, Analysis, and Prediction of Tropical Weather • Snowpack and Its Assessment • Avalanche Weather Forecasting 13 Modules containing LEO or GEO data Cluster A Precipitation Estimates, Part 2: Analysis Avalanche Weather Forecasting A Forecaster’s Overview of the Northwest Pacific Flash Flood/QPE Residence Course QPF Verification 1, Challenges and Tools Satellite Feature Identification: Short Waves and Cyclogenesis Introduction to Hydrography Snowpack and Its Assessment QPF Virtual Course: Understanding Assimilation Systems: How Models Create Their Initial Conditions, Version 2 Tsunami Warning System Introduction to Tropical Meteorology, Chapter 11: Observations, Analysis, and Prediction of Tropical Weather Community Hurricane Preparedness (Module update) S-290 Unit 7: Wind Systems COMAP 10 MSC Winter Weather Effective Use of Highresolution Models QPF for Flow Forecasts Writing TAFs for Ceilings and Visibility 14 Greg’s Cluster B • • • • • • • • • Alan Bol Bill Bua Bryan Guarente Stephen Jascourt Cody Kirkpatrick (post-doc) Dave Linder Liz Page Warren Rodie Tsvetomir Ross-Lazarov • • • • • Fire Weather MSC Focused Topics NWP Mesoscale Meteorology Oceanography & Other NMOC Focused Topics • Aviation 15 Cluster B FY10 Accomplishments • Distance Learning Aviation Course-2 (DLAC-2): Terminal Forecasting, Writing TAFs for Ceilings and Visibility • S-290: Introduction • S-290: Unit 6: Atmospheric Stability • S-290: Unit 7: Wind Systems • S-290: Unit 10: Fuel Moisture • S-290: Unit 11: Extreme Wildland Fire Behavior • S-290: Unit 12: Gauging Fire Behavior and Guiding Fireline Decisions 16 Cluster B FY10 Accomplishments • Boundary Layer Processes Virtual Course • COMAP 10 • NWP Course Unit 1: Overview and Orientation • NWP Course Unit 2 • NWP Course Unit 3 • Ongoing NWP Matrix Maintenance • Introduction to Hydrography • Introduction to Ocean Acoustics • Arctic Ecosystems • Radar Signatures for Winter Weather 17 Cluster B FY10 Accomplishments • Forecaster’s Overview of the Northwest Pacific • Mountain Weather Virtual Course Development • Dynamic Feature Identification: Short Waves and Cyclogenesis • Alberta Clipper Case and Supporting Material 18 FY10 Review and Summary 19 COMET Organization Director’s Office Tim Spangler – Director Elizabeth Lessard – Business Manager Lorrie Alberta Michelle Harrison Hildy Kane Elllen Martinez Deputy Director Joe Lamos Operations Manager Operations Project Management Cluster A Cluster B Cluster C IT Wendy Abshire Greg Byrd Pat Parrish Tim Alberta Media Development Group Bruce Muller Patrick Dills Lon Goldstein Matt Kelsch Dolores Kiessling Arlene Laing Amy Stevermer Marianne Weingroff Alan Bol Bill Bua Bryan Guarente Stephen Jascourt Cody Kirkpatrick Dave Linder Tsvetomir Ross-Lazarov Elizabeth Page Warren Rodie Jennifer Frazer Maria Frostic Vickie Johnson David Russi Andrea Smith Robert Bubon James Hamm Ken Kim Mark Mulholland Malte Winkler Chris Weber (student) Victor Taberski (student) Steve Deyo Seth Lamos Brannan McGill Dan Riter Carl Whitehurst 20 20 Lesson from Flight 1549 Training is about getting people ready to execute and put their training to the test when the organization needs it the most. 21 COMET Executive Board COMET Advisory Panel BPS COMET Program 22 Executive Board Role Review status of Program and provide recommendations Assist UCAR in resolving major budgetary issues regarding the relative role of sponsors Advise UCAR on the selection of the COMET Director Create subcommittees as needed Hold at least one meeting per year • i.e. Budget and Priority Subcommittee 23 Executive Board Members Dr. Rick Anthes Chair, President, UCAR - Mr. Gary Davis Director, OSD/NESDIS Alternate: Mr. Jim Gurka Dr. Jack Fellows Director, UCAR Community Programs - Mr. David Grimes Assistant Deputy Minister, MSC Alternative: Mr. Jaymie Gadal Dr. Jack Hayes Assistant Administrator, NOAA/NWS Alternate: Mr. David Caldwell Alternate: Mr. LeRoy Spayd Mr. Carl Hoffman Integrated Program Office, NPOESS Alternate: Mr. John Furgerson Dr. Fred Lewis (General, Retired) Director, AFW Alternate: Lieutenant Colonel Jeffery Cox Dr. Alexander MacDonald Deputy Administrator, OAR; Director, ESRL, NOAA Alternate: Dr. Steve Koch Mr. Greg Mandt GOES-R System Program Director, NOAA Alternate: Mr. James Gurka Ms. Deborah Sliter Vice President for Programs, NEEF - Dr. Roger Wakimoto Director, NCAR Alternate: Dr. Maura Hagan Rear Admiral Jonathan White Commander, NMOC Alternate: Commander John Daziens 24 Award Winning Program For Polar Lows Ungava Bay 01 December 2000 2004 Louis J. Battan Authors Award, K-12 Category for Hurricane Strike!™ 2000 Hurricane Conference Outstanding Achievement Award for Community Hurricane Preparedness Finalist Recognition International Science & Engineering Visualization Challenge 2009 2009 National Weather Association Public Education Award American Geophysical Union Excellence in Geophysical Education Award 2006 2005 Honorable Mention in the non-interactive media category of the Science & Engineering Visualization Challenge 2008 NSF and the Journal Science International Science & Engineering Visualization Challenge: Semi-Finalist Bronze Medal for Boundary Detection & Convection Initiation 25 Review and recommend a program plan to the Executive Board Coordinate funding with all sponsors of the program and recommend annual budgets to the Executive Board Relieve the COMET Director from negotiating funding levels Membership: Designated sponsor representatives Budget Priority Subcommittee (BPS) Role 26 Advisory Panel Role Promote maintenance of high scientific and professional standards Review and advise on the policies, instructional programs, and priorities of the COMET Program Prepare an annual evaluation of the COMET Program and provide recommendations Recommend candidates for members-at-large Review the COMET Program Plan The Panel meets at least once a year 27 Advisory Panel Members Mr. Stephen Augustyn AFWA Representative Mr. Kenneth Carey Private Sector Representative Dr. Vilma Castro At-Large Representative Mr. Jaymie Gadal MSC Representative Dr. Andrew Gibbons Education Representative Mr. James Gurka NESDIS Representative Dr. John Gyakum University Representative LCDR Matthew Henigan NMOC Representative Dr. John Horel University Representative Mr. Rodney Jacques NMOC Representative Mr. Ryan Knutsvig NWS Representative Mr. Bill Mahoney NCAR Representative Mr. Gary McWilliams NPOESS Representative Dr. Mohan Ramamurthy UOP Representative Maj. Wendy Seaman AFWA Representative Dr. Sepidah Yalda, Chair University Representative 28 Director’s Report 29 FY10 Accomplishments Publication of new content - 56 hours Update of existing content - 26 hours (satellite, hurricane, NWP) Note: All projected accomplishments are estimates based on project status as of 1 June. Adaptation of existing content - 8 hours (hydro, aviation) Spanish translations - 35 hours French translation - 1.5 (modules in process are pending MSC input) ESRC Version 2.0 Maintain NPOESS Userport (begin evaluation to convert/update Userport and exiting modules to JPSS) Infuse satellite data into new modules Flash Flood Reference Guide (~208 page printed guide – available by print, PDF and CD) 30 FY10 Accomplishments 3 week COMAP course 2 week Winter Weather course 3 day Flash Flood/QPE course International Basic Hydrology virtual course Boundary Layer Processes virtual course Climate Variability and Change virtual course QPF for Hydrologic Modeling virtual course 31 32 Metrics 33 Metrics Terminology Registrant • Someone who has registered in the website User • Someone who has actually been in a module Session • A visit to a module by a User that is greater than 1 minute 34 MetEd Dashboard Worldwide Meted Users (example) 35 MetEd Dashboard Monthly Totals of New Meted Users http://inside.comet.ucar.edu/dashboard/index.php 36 Total Registration 140,000 MetEd Statistics as of 1 June 2010 Total International Users 47,000 Total Countries 200 Total US Universities 1,075 37 COMET Modules By Topic as of May 2010 Modules can be double counted because they appear in multiple categories Topic Modules Approximate Content Hours Aviation Weather 41 117 Climate 20 26 Coastal Weather 25 39 Convective Weather 31 91 Emergency Management 18 38 Environment & Society 16 31 Fire Weather 34 43 Fog & Low Stratus 25 55 Hydrology/Flooding 47 60 Marine Meteorology/Oceans 41 64 Mesoscale Meteorology 34 78 Mountain Meteorology 16 25 NWP (Modeling) 68 129 Other 24 60 QPF (Precipitation) 19 26 Radar Meteorology 5 14 Satellite Meteorology 72 112 Space Weather 4 9 Tropical/Hurricane 33 72 Winter Weather 42 90 38 Format of Monthly Report Distributed to Sponsors March ‘10 2nd Quarter FY10 Grand Total through March New Registrants / Total Registered Users: 6,020 15,863 129,885 New Countries / Total Countries Represented: 6 8 237 New Universities / Total Universities Represented: 24 68 1052 New/Total International Registrants: 2,194 5509 43,258 Unique MetEd Users This Month: 8,742 Unique MetEd Users (> 1 minute)/Total Unique: 6,534 13,698 84,172 Module Sessions (> 1 minute): 23,142 61,915 557,313 Avg Time Spent in Module (minutes): 52 53 51 Hours of Online Education: 20,403 55,516 487,731 Modules Downloaded: 2,592 7,810 56833 Print Versions Accessed: 6,847 15,960 92,608 Quizzes Started: 4,112 11,177 115,160 39 Module Content Hours by Year 40 Total Registrants by Affiliation 29 January 2007 – 30 April 2010 41 Total Registrants by Affiliation (without Education ) 29 January 2007 – 30 April 2010 42 Module Access Statistics 1 May 2009 – 30 April 2010 1 May 2008 – 30 April 2009 53 53 Number of Print Versions 49,202 31,061 Number of Downloads 24,824 20,230 Number of Quizzes Completed 37,049 30,724 Average Time in Module in minutes 43 Module Available on MetEd by Language as of April 2010 as of 30 April 2009 English Spanish French Portuguese Russian Indonesian Total 275 241 73 60 19 17 2 1 2 2 1 - 372 321 44 User Sessions 1 May 2009 – 30 April 2010 45 45 Top 10 Modules 1 May 2009 – 30 April 2010 Modules 1 May 2008 – 30 April 2009 Sessions Modules Sessions 1 Skew-T Mastery 10,131 Anticipating Hazardous Weather and Community Risk 14,020 2 Anticipating Hazardous Weather and Community Risk 9,862 Skew-T Mastery 13,684 3 Hurricane Strike! 9,642 Hurricane Strike! 11,052 4 Climate Change: Fitting the Pieces Together 7,649 Community Hurricane Preparedness 9,882 5 Community Hurricane Preparedness 6,509 Introduction to Tropical Meteorology, Chapter 10: Tropical Cyclones 3,900 6 Operational Models Matrix: Characteristics of Operational NWP Models 7 Antarctica: Challenging Forecasts for a Challenging Environment 8 9 10 A Convective Storm Matrix: Buoyancy/Shear Dependencies Introduction to Tropical Meteorology, Chapter 10: Tropical Cyclones Principles of Convection I: Buoyancy and CAPE 3,748 2,648 Operational Models Matrix: Characteristics of Operational NWP Models 2,472 Introduction to Climatology 3,535 2,291 Introduction to Tropical Meteorology, Chapter 5: Tropical Variability 3,507 2,289 Impact of Model Structure & Dynamics 3,438 2,259 A Convective Storm Matrix: Buoyancy/Shear Dependencies 3,079 46 Total Registrants by Education Sub-Affiliation as of 30 April 2010 47 New Education Users by Sub-Affiliation 1 May 2009 – 30 April 2010 1 May 2008 – 30 April 2009 College/University/Faculty 1,988 1,679 College/University/Student 8,940 7,079 International/Faculty 342 270 International/Student 875 692 K-12 Educator 1,202 1,310 K-12 Student 2,284 2,211 Other 1,203 1,023 Total 16,834 14,264 Sub-Affiliation 48 Sessions by Education Users 1 May 2009 – 30 April 2010 49 Sessions by Canadian Users 1 May 2009 – 30 April 2010 50 New NOAA Registrants by Sub-Affiliations Sub-Affiliation National Environmental Satellite Data and Information Service National Marine Fisheries Service National Ocean Service National Weather Service Office of Education Office of Marine and Aviation Operations Office of Oceanic and Atmospheric Research Other Programming Planning and Integration Total 1 May 2009 – 30 April 2010 1 May 2008 – 30 April 2009 96 79 37 11 124 693 18 54 561 16 14 5 72 69 69 46 2 5 1,125 846 51 Total Registrants by NOAA Sub-Affiliation 1 January 2007 – 1 January 2010 National Environmental Satellite Data and Information Service 227 National Marine Fisheries Service 47 National Ocean Service 161 National Weather Service 3,368 Office of Education 33 Office of Marine and Aviation Operations 30 Office of Oceanic and Atmospheric Research 168 Other 313 Programming Planning and Integration 12 52 Sessions by NOAA Users 1 May 2009 – 30 April 2010 53 Total Registrants by DoD SubAffiliations 29 January 2007 – 30 April 2010 54 New Registrants by Sub-Affiliation DoD 1 May 2009 – 30 April 2010 1 May 2008 – 30 April 2009 Air Force 624 742 Army 281 280 Navy 547 507 Other 123 100 USMC 90 138 Total 1,665 1,767 Sub-Affiliation 55 Sessions by DoD/Air Force/Navy Users 1 May 2009 – 30 April 2010 56 Agency Totals On MetEd Website On Service Website Navy Air Force 1 May 2009 - 1 May 2008 – 30 April 30 April 2010 2009 Navy 3,124 user sessions 5,326 user sessions Air Force 4,085 user sessions 5,387 user sessions NOAA 24,485 user sessions 30,382 user sessions 1 May 2009 – 30 April 2010 1 May 2008 – 30 April 2009 ~4,000 course completions ~4,000 course completions 766 user sessions 511 user sessions Does not include download and archive usage 57 AFW user Principal of Convection I: Buoyancy and CAPE Question 6: What did you like least about this module or webcast? How could it be improved? “It was amazing. I love it in every way.” 58 Total Registrants by US State or Local Gov’t Sub-Affiliations 29 January 2007 - 30 April 2010 59 Sessions by US State or Local Government 1 May 2009 – 30 April 2010 60 Total Registrants by Private Sector Sub-Affiliations 29 January 2007 – 30 April 2010 61 New Users by Sub-Affiliation Private Sector Sub-Affiliation 1 May 2009 – 1 May 2008 – 30 April 2010 30 April 2009 Agriculture 52 60 Aviation 350 314 Broadcasting 313 404 Ground Transportation 75 83 1,463 1,654 135 144 2,388 2,659 Other Utilities Total 62 Sessions by Private Sector Users 1 May 2009 - 30 April 2010 63 Sessions by International Users 1 May 2009 – 30 April 2010 64 Top 10 Spanish Module Usage by Country 1 May 2009 – 30 April 2010 1 May 2008 – 30 April 2009 Country Sessions Country Sessions Spain 2,792 Spain 2,940 Mexico 2,525 México 2,771 Colombia Argentina Perú Chile United States Venezuela Ecuador Portugal 1,424 1,323 1,036 888 523 377 346 262 Colombia Chile Perú Argentina Venezuela United States Bolivia El Salvador 1,316 1,009 997 909 660 553 357 262 65 Top 10 Modules in Spanish 1 May 2009 – 30 April 2010 Sessions 1 May 2008 – 30 April 2009 Sessions Dominio del diagrama oblicuo T-log p 1,453 Introducción a la meteorología tropical, Capítulo 6: Distribución de humedad y precipitación 1,165 Procesos de escorrentía 599 Dominio del diagrama oblicuo T-log p 1,031 Cambio climático: Cómo encajan las piezas 540 Tránsito de avenidas 471 Matriz de modelos operativos: características de los modelos de PNT operativos Tipos de olas y sus características Comprensión del ciclo hidrológico 458 Introducción a las corrientes oceánicas 446 Matriz de modelos operativos: características de los modelos de PNT operativos 458 Ondas de montaña y vientos de ladera descendentes 389 Tipos de olas y sus características 438 Comprensión del ciclo hidrológico 380 Introducción a la meteorología tropical, Capítulo 6: Distribución de humedad y precipitación 431 Consideraciones de meteorología sinóptica: pronósticos de nieblas y estratos bajos 373 422 Procesos de escorrentía 354 414 Teoría del hidrograma unitario 302 Introducción a la meteorología tropical, Capítulo 3: Aplicaciones de percepción remota en los trópicos Ondas de montaña y vientos de ladera descendentes 482 464 66 Pre/Post Tests as of May 2010 Pre-test Sample Size Pre-test Average Score 145 61 61 91 1153 65 543 74 Ensemble Forecasting Explained 1,086 52 487 77 Fire Behavior 388 59 385 75 Flash Flood Processes 933 65 1,171 89 Flood Frequency Analysis 589 59 553 84 Introduction to Distributed Hydrologic Modeling 20 59 51 82 Introduction to Ocean Models 377 63 269 77 Introduction to Verification of Hydrologic Forecasts 190 45 60 80 Precipitation Estimates, Part 1: Measurement 415 54 357 82 Distributed Hydrologic Models for Flow Forecasts - Part 1 DLAC 2 Unit 1 - Basic Terminal Forecast Strategies Post-test Post-test Sample Average Size Score 67 Pre/Post Tests as of May 2010 Pre-test Sample Size Pre-test Average Score Post-test Post-test Sample Average Size Score Precipitation Estimates, Part 2: Analysis 84 42 50 73 Rip Currents Forecasting 202 50 175 79 Runoff Processes 1041 67 848 84 S-290 Unit 12: Gauging Fire Behavior and Guiding Fireline Decisions 42 57 45 77 Snowmelt Processes 415 59 387 80 Using the WRF Mesoscale Model 24 58 75 73 68 Pre/Post Assessment Scores for those who have completed both as of April 2010 Pre Avg Post Avg Count 66 90 37 65 78 279 58 79 256 Fire Behavior 62 78 167 Flash Flood Processes 63 89 522 Flood Frequency Analysis Introduction to Distributed Hydrologic Modeling Introduction to Ocean Models Introduction to Verification of Hydrologic Forecasts Precipitation Estimates, Part 1: Measurement 60 86 270 66 81 14 66 80 123 47 78 41 54 86 166 Distributed Hydrologic Models for Flow Forecasts - Part 1 DLAC 2 Unit 1 - Basic Terminal Forecast Strategies Ensemble Forecasting Explained 69 Pre/Post Assessment Scores for those who have completed both as of April 2010 (continued) Pre Avg Post Avg Count Precipitation Estimates, Part 2: Analysis 46 78 15 QPF Verification: Challenges and Tools 0 0 1 Rip Currents Forecasting 51 81 69 Runoff Processes 68 88 473 S-290 Unit 12: Gauging Fire Behavior and Guiding Fireline Decisions 57 80 32 Snowmelt Processes 59 81 171 Using the WRF Mesoscale Model 56 76 18 70 Top Ten Modules by Affiliation 1 May 2009 – 30 April 2010 71 Budget 72 Staffing History 73 FY10 and FY11 Funding FY10 Actual Grand Total NOAA NWS Aviation $ NOAA Tsunami $ NWS Hydrology $ NWS Outreach $ NWS NWP $ NWS IAO $ NWS Core Funding $ NWS Courses $ NWS International (PNS IA01) $ Virtual Classroom Setup $ SOO Focal Point Workstation $ NWS FY10 Projects Funded in FY09 $ NESDIS (includes international projects funded in$FY09) NWS IMET (Fire Weather) $ NPOESS $ NOS Disaster Risk Reduction (FY10 portion of $25K project) $ Non-NOAA Air Force Weather Agency $ Meteorological Service of Canada $ NMOC $ EUMETSAT $ NEEF Brazil Climate $ Univ. of WI (SARP Sea Grant) $ BoM Australia $ WMO Virtual Hydro Course $ NFS Fire Behavior Field Guide $ NYU - Arctic Ecosystems $ FY10 Funding $ Anticipated F&10 Carryforward Projects into FY11$ Available FY10 Funding $ 300,000 300,205 402,000 450,000 324,500 398,549 1,671,000 94,000 25,000 68,000 12,000 947,000 364,000 400,000 265,000 10,000 291,263 335,000 300,000 50,977 FY11 Projected Funding NOAA NWS Aviation NOAA Tsunami NWS Hydrology (Amount tentative) NWS Outreach (Office of Science and Technology) NWS NWP NWS Module O&M NWS Core Funding NWS IAO NWS Climate NWS IMET (Fire Weather) NESDIS JPSS Non-NOAA Air Force Navy Meteorological Service of Canada EUMETSAT ASMET Phase 2 Module 2 WMO Subtotal Anticipated FY10 Carryforward Projects into FY11 FY11 Anticipated Funding with Carryforward Grand Total $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ 300,000 190,000 125,000 450,000 335,000 125,000 1,946,000 328,000 TBD 175,000 350,000 265,000 TBD $ 315,000 $ $ $ $ $ $ 345,000 36,000 18,000 5,303,000 385,000 5,688,000 31,514 100,000 35,000 8,595 11,799 39,376 7,234,778 (385,000) 6,849,778 74 FY10 Funding Breakdown 75 FY11 Spending Plan Salaries and Benefits Materials and Supplies Purchased Services Travel Participant Support Cost Travel Equipment UCAR Overhead $ 4,412,754 $ 131,410 $ 442,830 $ 167,671 $ 14,000 $ 33,651 $ 1,580,975 Total Expenses $ 6,783,291 76 Budget Status FY10 Starting Reserve $ Starting Carry-Forward $ 2,849,000 Income $ 4,400,000 Committed Carry-Forward $ Available after Committed CarryForward 0 (345,000) $ 6,912,000 Expenses $ (6,750,000) Reserve Applied $ 0 New Anticipated Reserve $ 162,000 77 Budget Retreat Conclusions NWS pays full base costs NWS Programs pay the MDG and Cluster costs NOAA Programs pay MDG and cluster costs and 10% for base (retained for reserve) Non-NOAA Program pay MDG and cluster costs + 20% for base One Time Grants pay incremental costs (may have minimal base recovery if it can be supported under proposal) 78 Base Services Business Management IT Infrastructure Program Management/Development MetEd Website Budget/Agreements Management AWIPS Support NSTEP Process Case Studies Program Plan Office Services International Representation Field Support FDTB Support 79 Funding Agreement Status Navy AFW MSC • IPAs end June 2011 • Contract worked in FY10 • FY11 - Pending • 5 year Contribution Agreement pending BoM Australia EUMETSAT • Contracts working • Exploring more flexible blanket agreement • Contract working well Considering task order agreements 80 NMOC Funding in FY11 and beyond IPAs • Increase IPAs to full-time through May • Extend Rodie IPA through Sept 2011 • New funding mechanism would begin Oct 2011 • 3 of 4 IPAs cannot be extended past May 2011 Contract (begin either June or Oct 2011) • Requires careful planning and flexibility • Decreases flexibility and requires SME commitment to timelines Grant or Cooperative Agreement (begin either June or Oct 2011) • Would require different “color of money” • Provides the most flexibility 81 Status of the CI vs. CA – Fellows/Spayd/Contorno NOAA Research Council rejected proposal to allow university consortiums to be eligible for hosting a CI Alternatives for COMET support NWS proceeds with a Sole Source Cooperative Agreement for FY12-FY16 Competitive Bid for a new 5-yr CA: -One year ’no-cost’ extension for current CA -New CA would be for FY13-FY17 82 Agency Presentations 83 FY11 Plans 84 FY11 Expected Accomplishments 65+ hours of new module content anticipated Winter Weather course Flash Flood/QPE course 10+ hours of updates to existing materials Boundary Layer Processes virtual course Virtual QPF and Flash Flood Forecasting course 2 International Hydrologic Science Virtual courses Advanced Hydrologic Science blended course Climate Variability and Change Course (possible advanced course as well) 85 FY11 Expected Accomplishments continued PDS development support EM Academy Meeting and conference support Fire Weather training curriculum development New community pages Tropical Meteorology course development JPSS integration and updates to existing materials 86 Aviation Meteorology Project Title FY Project Initiated Length Expected Primary Delivery Agency Volcanic Ash (Subject area) FY10 or FY11 3-4 hrs FY11 NOAA Pending DLAC-3: Improving Aviation Weather Services: Managing an Effective Aviation Program FY11 or FY12 2 hrs FY12 or FY13 NOAA Delayed by volcanic ash module Comments 87 Climate and Climatology Project Title Coastal Climate Change Climate Variability and Change Virtual Course Advanced Climate Variability and Change Course FY Project Initiated Length Expected Delivery Primary Agency Comments FY10 2-2.5 hrs FY11 NOAA SARP Module Title TBD FY11 3 days FY11 NOAA Two offerings may be funded FY11 TBD FY11 NOAA Pending Final Approval 88 Dispersion Project Title HYSPLIT Applications for Nuclear Incident Response FY Project Length Initiated FY11 1-1.5 hrs Expected Primary Delivery Agency FY11 NOAA Comments Pending 89 Environment and Society Project Title Integrating Social Science into Forecast Operations FY Project Initiated Length Expected Delivery Primary Agency Comments FY10 ~4 hrs FY11-12 NOAA Pending 90 Fire Weather Project Title FY Project Expected Primary Length Initiated Delivery Agency IMET PDS Development FY11 N/A FY11 NOAA Develop Wildland Fire Community Page on MetEd FY11 N/A FY11 NOAA Develop EM Academy – Interagency Fire Weather Resource Use FY11 N/A FY11 NOAA Fire Weather Training Curriculum Development FY11 N/A FY11 NOAA Comments Topics TBD based on outcome of PDS requirements Partner with other agencies to coordinate access to training resources Based on Fire Weather PDS 91 Fire Weather Savings Five-year period Advanced Fire Weather Course NWS Required Participants (170) $ 460,000 NWS Desirable Participants (900) $2,400,000 Total $2,860,000 S290 NWS Required Participants (1,160) $ 1,160,000 Government-wide Required Participants (20,000) $20,000,000 Total $21,160,000 92 Hydrometeorology Project Title FY Project Expected Primary Length Initiated Delivery Agency QPF Verification II: Working with Discontinuous Fields FY11 1-1.25 hrs FY11 NOAA Virtual QPF and Flash Flood Forecasting Course FY11 3 days FY11 NOAA Advanced Hydrologic Science Blended Course FY11 2 weeks FY11 NOAA Flash Flood/QPE Residence Course FY10 1 wk FY10 NOAA Comments Postponed Depends on prioritization by NSTEP Process 93 International Activities Project Title Translation of COMET MetEd Distance Learning Modules Cooperation with WMO to Develop Critical eLearning Programs (Aviation Focus) FY Project Length Initiated Ongoing N/A Expected Delivery Primary Agency Comments Ongoing NWS IAO VCP Typically 15-20 hrs of material FY11 NWS IAO VCP 2nd year of a three year project 2 courses funded (WMO will provide additional support) Partner: University of West Indies FY11 N/A International Hydrologic Sciences Virtual Courses FY11 two 4 wk courses FY11 NWS IAO VCP WMO Support for RA-IV Online Degree Programs: Tropical Meteorology Course FY11 N/A FY12 NWS IAO VCP WMO Disaster Risk Reduction (DRR) Meeting Support FY11 N/A FY11 NWS IAO VCP 94 International Activities Continued 95 Mesoscale Meteorology Project Title Boundary Layer Processes Virtual Course FY Project Initiated FY11 Length 3 days Expected Primary Delivery Agency FY11 NOAA Comments Second course pending NSTEP presentation 96 Numerical Weather Prediction FY Project Initiated Length Optimizing the Use of Model Data Products FY10 1 – 1.25 hrs FY11 NOAA Recognizing Where and When the Human can Add Value to NWP FY10 1 – 1.25 hrs FY11 NOAA NWP Unit 4: NWP Use in Gridded Forecast Generation & NWP Unit 5: Special Forecast Problems FY11 8-12 hrs FY12 NOAA Project Title Expected Primary Delivery Agency Comments 97 Oceanography/ Marine FY Project Initiated Length Ensemble Forecasting of Winds and Seas FY10 1.25 – 1.5 hrs FY11 NMOC Sea Ice FY10 1 hr FY11 NMOC Marine Module update FY11 Module Updates FY11 NOAA Project Title Expected Primary Delivery Agency Module Topics TBD Marine PDS update FY11 N/A FY11 Comments NMOC Topics for FY11 are pending NOAA Depends on prioritization by NSTEP Process 98 Radar Meteorology Project Title Radar Signatures for Winter Weather FY Project Initiated Length Expected Delivery Primary Agency FY10 1-2 hrs FY11 MSC Comments 99 Regional Phenomena Project Title Arctic Meteorology and Oceanography FY Project Initiated Length Expected Delivery Primary Agency FY10 .75 – 1hr FY11 NMOC Western Pacific meteorology and oceanography series Ongoing TBD Ongoing NMOC Arctic Meteorology and Oceanography FY10 .75 – 1hr FY11 NMOC Potential topic areas, specific topics will be determined in consultation with NMOC 100 Satellite Meteorology Project Title Include and Highlight GOES and POES Satellite data into all relevant COMET projects ESRC support, updates marketing, submission QA FY Project Expected Length Initiated Delivery Primary Agency Comments FY11 N/A FY11 NESDIS GOES Ongoing Effort FY11 N/A FY11 NESDIS GOES NPOESS Ongoing Effort Significant delays caused by lack of SME resources Module may be split into two parts Climate Monitoring from Satellites FY09 1 hr FY11 EUMETSAT NPOESS Dynamic Feature Identification: Conveyor Belts FY10 1 hr FY11 MSC Dynamic Feature Identification: Jet Streaks FY11 .75 hrs FY11 MSC Dynamic Feature Identification: Topics TBD FY11 TBD FY11 MSC Topics TBD 101 Satellite Meteorology Project Title 2011 Satellite Curriculum Development Workshop GOES-R JPSS module FY Project Initiated Length Expected Delivery Primary Agency FY11 4 days FY11 NESDIS GOES JPSS FY11 TBD FY11 Comments NESDIS GOES-R Benefits of satellite to transportation industry? JPSS Topics TBD (Possible revival of NPP: On the Road to JPSS) FY11 TBD FY11 JPSS Topic TBD in consultation with new JPSS Program office JPSS Userport Maintenance FY11 N/A FY11 JPSS TBD EUMETSAT Webcast FY11 TBD FY11 EUMETSAT Topic and Funding TBD ASMET Support FY11 2-3 hrs FY11 EUMETSAT Should COMET meet regarding DWSS training with NWS, Air Force and Navy? 102 Spotter Training Project Title Additional Skywarn Spotter Training Modules (winter weather, hurricanes, marine, etc.) FY Expected Primary Project Length Delivery Agency Initiated FY11 or FY12 1.5 hrs FY11 or FY12 NOAA Comments Pending 103 Tropical Meteorology Project Title FY Project Expected Primary Length Initiated Delivery Agency Comments Introduction to Tropical Meteorology, Chapter 1: Introduction FY10 TBD FY11 UCAR Funded through PDA* Introduction to Tropical Meteorology, Chapter 4: Global Circulation FY10 TBD FY11 UCAR Funded through PDA* FY10 TBD FY11 UCAR Funded through PDA* FY11 TBD FY11 UCAR Funded through PDA* Introduction to Tropical Meteorology, Chapter 9: Tropical Weather Systems Introduction to Tropical Meteorology, Chapter 7: Vertical Transport of Energy and Moisture Launch of Version 2.0 of Tropical Textbook Support for RA-IV Online Degree Programs: Tropical Meteorology Course *COMET Program Development Account FY11 N/A FY12 NWS IAO VCP Coding Update for Textbook Partner: University of West Indies (also mentioned in International section) 104 Tsunami FY Project Initiated Length Expected Delivery Primary Agency Tsunami Strike! (title tentative) FY10 2-3 hrs FY11 NOAA Community Tsunami Preparedness FY10 1 hr FY11 NOAA Includes Spanish translation Tsunami Strike! Caribbean Version (Title tentative) FY11 2-3 hrs FY11 NOAA Includes Spanish translation Project Title Comments Tsunami animation 105 Winter Weather FY Project Initiated Length Expected Delivery Primary Agency MSC Winter Weather Course FY10 2 Week FY11 MSC Mountain Weather Workshop Presentations FY10 or FY11 12-16 hrs FY11 MSC Project Title AFW Projects TBD Comments Pending Placeholder for AFW projects TBD in this or another topic area 106 Unresolved Sponsor Plans Navy: 3 modules beginning in FY10 will publish in FY 11 Still Needed: Guidance for new module topics to total ~2 hours of instruction. MSC Satellite Feature ID: Conveyor belts will publish in FY 11 FY 11 Plans: • • • • • Satellite Feature ID: Jet Streaks 2-week Winter Weather Course Radar Feature ID module for Winter Weather Depending on the final scope known modules an additional 1-2 hours of capacity may be available. Need priorities • • Feature ID modules New topic AFW No guidance on new topics or funding level NEEF Proposal and other projects pending 107 Outreach Program 108 Outreach Program Established to bridge gap between research and operations University researchers team with weather service offices Benefits • Ability to quickly fund applied research projects • Scientific support for forecast offices • Students often become NWS employees • Better appreciation of operational constraints by university researchers • Improved forecasting 109 Outreach Program Projects Cooperative Projects: Partners Projects: • Broad multi-year interactions between university meteorology program and local weather service office • Focuses on single large research effort or on several smaller, regional forecasting problems • Average funding ~ $35,000 per year • One year collaboration between a single university professor or laboratory researcher and an operational forecaster • Focuses on: • Topic of mutual interest • Sponsor regional workshops • Research conducted generally focuses on case studies rather than the broader research goals of the typical Cooperative Project • Average funding ~ $12,000 110 FY10 Outreach Program 111 FY10 Outreach Program 112 Main Comments about Outreach Program Benefits WFO Universities • Receive help understanding particular problem • Increased interest in science among staff • Gain understanding of constraints forecasters work under 113 FY10 Outreach Program Five Cooperative Projects FY10 Cooperative Projects NWS Flash Flood Forecasting in Two Hydrologically Distinct Regions Using an Improved Distributed Hydrologic Model Improving Clear air Turbulence Forecasts at the AWC University University of Arizona, Penn State University of Georgia -Athens Evaluation of High-Resolution WRF Simulations for use in Operational Forecasting Oklahoma State University A Storm Tide Observation, Analysis and Forecast System for NWLON Water Level Stations in Coastal Oceans and Estuaries Virginia Institute of Marine Science Development of a High-resolution Ensemble Kalman Filter for Operational Analysis and Short-term Forecasting at the National Weather Service University of Washington 114 FY10 Outreach Program Eight New Partners Projects FY10 Partners Projects University Meteorological Conditions Influencing Sea Breeze Convergence and Resulting Rainfall Patterns and Hazards in Pinellas County, FL University of South Florida Warning System Considering Social Characteristics Regarding Population at Risk University of South Florida Improved Integration of Slosh Model Simulations and Local Landmark Data in a Hurricane Surge Visualization Model College of Charleston Development of a Heat/Health Watch-Warning System for Glasgow, MT University of Miami A Composite Analysis of Major Ice Storm Events in the County Warning Area of Springfield, MO Identifying and Understanding Displacement Biases in Numerical Forecasts of Elevated Convective Systems Saint Louis University Texas A&M Development of the WN09 Dry Thunderstorm Forecast Procedure Desert Research Institute Vertically Pointing Radar Reflectivity and Rainfall Measurements at Different Heights and Comparison with a Tipping Bucket Rain Gauge and WSR-88D Level II Reflectivity University of Texas at San Antonio 115 FY11 Outreach Program Expect 10-12 new Partners Projects Funding will likely remain level 4-6 new Cooperative Projects will be awarded (Spring 2011) 116 Significant Issues 117 We’re Moving! 118 Support for Large and New Communities Wildland Fire Community: ~100,000 Spotter training: ~300,000 Disaster Risk Reduction: ~1,000,000 119 New Strategies for NWS: Smart Readiness and Learning Objects Need operational definition Challenge to decompose modules into learning objects Evaluation methods 120 Improved Support for University Instruction Introductory Course Curriculum Integration Paul Quelet, Community College Instructor Identifying on line materials supporting elements of course outline Primarily COMET, but some from other sources Will complete this summer Identifying Learning Objects to Support Dynamics Courses PDA Activities New Website Features John Cahir, Penn State On line tropical textbook development Media search: 11660+ images and animations now accessible via MetEd Search Developing learning objects to support dynamics courses New module template: bookmarking for all pages in a module, fully accessible content via enhanced print version Identified learning objects from COMET modules, including: thermal wind, transport phenomena, general circulation 121 Module Obsolescence NWS funds $125K for FY11 FY11 priority: Marine 122 Succession Planning No one has volunteered to leave! 123 Project Management Improved internal tracking New project progress milestones 124 Online Degrees Dynamics learning objects Tropical course with UWI WMO consortium MSU and ASU 125 International Growth Funding more consistent now NWS and UCAR provide line items Requests to attend meetings exceeds resources 126 MetEd Redesign 127 MetEd Redesign: Why? Advisory Panel Recommendations from 2009 Educational Strategies, Design Strategies, and University Support Recommendation 2: COMET should continue to study the comparative values of incorporating new Web technologies and services especially those that facilitate social interaction of developers, instructors, students, and experts in instructional conversations. Recommendation 3: COMET should explore the idea of producing materials for specific user groups in such a way that they can be tailored and exported for blended learning solutions. Recommendation 9: COMET should provide catalogs of educational resources, and their key features. This catalog should cross-reference educational resources closely related in subject matter (ontology service). 128 It's old: 7-year old design, dated content areas, hasn't evolved with our program It's not extensible: too many constraints with current database structure and page-level programming schemes MetEd Redesign: Why? Module publication process lacks integration with project management and development databases 129 MetEd Redesign: How? Rebuild of databases: tighter integration with our project management databases, more extensible schema. New look and feel: better access to module information, better usability, easier integration for new and future functionality. To address the recommendations and concerns, the MetEd redesign includes the following: Updated programming approach to reduce maintenance and allow for easier updating. Addition of social networking and productivity tools: user ratings and comments, module bookmarking and notes, sharing of custom distance learning courses. http://dev-meted2.comet.ucar.edu 130 MetEd Improvements 2010 Media integrated into MetEd search Clean up of thousands of records: 11,660+ images and animations searchable Eases search and reuse of media both internally and externally Provides the foundation for creating automated media galleries for all modules (part of MetEd redesign) 131 MetEd Improvements 2010 New module template in full use Provides bookmarking of all module pages Automates creation of module download file More conservative use of Flash without sacrificing interactivity Easier process for updating modules Provides for easier reuse of content 132 Budget 133 FY10 and FY11 Funding FY10 Actual Grand Total NOAA NWS Aviation $ NOAA Tsunami $ NWS Hydrology $ NWS Outreach $ NWS NWP $ NWS IAO $ NWS Core Funding $ NWS Courses $ NWS International (PNS IA01) $ Virtual Classroom Setup $ SOO Focal Point Workstation $ NWS FY10 Projects Funded in FY09 $ NESDIS (includes international projects funded in$FY09) NWS IMET (Fire Weather) $ NPOESS $ NOS Disaster Risk Reduction (FY10 portion of $25K project) $ Non-NOAA Air Force Weather Agency $ Meteorological Service of Canada $ NMOC $ EUMETSAT $ NEEF Brazil Climate $ Univ. of WI (SARP Sea Grant) $ BoM Australia $ WMO Virtual Hydro Course $ NFS Fire Behavior Field Guide $ NYU - Arctic Ecosystems $ FY10 Funding $ Anticipated F&10 Carryforward Projects into FY11$ Available FY10 Funding $ 300,000 300,205 402,000 450,000 324,500 398,549 1,671,000 94,000 25,000 68,000 12,000 947,000 364,000 400,000 265,000 10,000 291,263 335,000 300,000 50,977 FY11 Projected Funding NOAA NWS Aviation NOAA Tsunami NWS Hydrology (Amount tentative) NWS Outreach (Office of Science and Technology) NWS NWP NWS Module O&M NWS Core Funding NWS IAO NWS Climate NWS IMET (Fire Weather) NESDIS JPSS Non-NOAA Air Force Navy Meteorological Service of Canada EUMETSAT ASMET Phase 2 Module 2 WMO Subtotal Anticipated FY10 Carryforward Projects into FY11 FY11 Anticipated Funding with Carryforward Grand Total $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ 300,000 190,000 125,000 450,000 335,000 125,000 1,946,000 328,000 TBD 175,000 350,000 265,000 TBD $ 315,000 $ $ $ $ $ $ 345,000 36,000 18,000 5,303,000 385,000 5,688,000 31,514 100,000 35,000 8,595 11,799 39,376 7,234,778 (385,000) 6,849,778 134 Current Outstanding Proposals 135 Pending Proposals • NOAA Climate - $500K (pending) • NWS Social Sciences (WAS*IS) ~ $320K (pending) • NWS Saudi WRF support $160K (pending) • NEEF NOAA Education - $151K (pending) 136 Business Development Priorities 2011 137 Discussion 138 Executive Session 139 140 141 142 143