AQA AS Business UNIT 1 REVISION WORKSHOP www.tutor2u.net Today Session 1 2 3 4 5 6 Topic A Viable Business Idea Crunching the Numbers Break Financing the Start-up Understanding the Market Lunch (back for 2.00 p.m.) Quick quiz Why Start-ups Fail Evaluating the Start-up Session 1 A Viable Business Idea www.tutor2u.net Some Important Concepts ENTERPRISE RISK RETURN OPPORTUNITY COST Can you define them? Have a Go! One sentence for each More on Risk Imagine you decide to invest your life savings of £30,000 in setting up a new Subway franchise outlet List 3 risks you are taking Over to You! More on Opportunity Cost Whenever a decision is made in business , there is always an alternative that was not chosen This alternative is called the opportunity cost Why this is important All businesses have Particularly new or small ones! Over to You! Great businesses usually start with a good idea No point creating a product or service unless people want it Found a gap in the Market? But is there a market in the Gap? Assessing a New Business Idea Rapstrap Now Session 2 Crunching the Numbers www.tutor2u.net What You Need to Calculate • • • • • • Revenues (sales) Costs – fixed and variable Profit Contribution & Break-even Cash flow forecasts Market share, size & growth (later) Classifying Costs • Variable costs – Costs which change as output varies – Lower risk for a start-up: no sales = no variable costs • Fixed costs – Costs which do not change when output varies – Fixed costs increase the risk of a start-up Fixed or Variable? Fixed or Variable? Calculating Profit or Loss PROFIT = TOTAL SALES less TOTAL COSTS An Example Sales Costs Profit or Loss? £100,000 £75,000 £25,000 (profit) £100,000 £125,000 £25,000 (loss) Total sales > total costs Total costs > total sales Total sales = total costs = Profit = Loss = Break-even Your Turn! Calculating Profit or Loss £10,000 £6,500 £3,500 Contribution • Contribution looks at the profit made on individual products • It is used in calculating how many items need to be sold to cover all the business' total costs (variable + fixed) • Contribution is the difference between sales and variable costs Contribution - Formulas Contribution = total sales less total variable costs Contribution per unit = selling price per unit less variable costs per unit Total contribution can also be calculated as: Contribution per unit x number of units sold Profit = Contribution less Fixed Costs Contribution – Have a Go! Contribution 4 8,000 11,000 1,250 Breakeven chart Total sales 100 Sales and costs (£’000) 90 80 Total costs 70 60 50 Fixed costs 40 30 Variable costs 20 10 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Units of Output (‘000) 10 Higher or lower? Change Higher selling price Higher variable cost per unit Increase in fixed costs Effect on Contribution per Unit Effect on Break-even Output Higher or lower? Effect on Contribution per Unit Effect on Break-even Output Higher selling price Higher Lower Higher variable cost per unit Lower Higher No change Higher Change Increase in fixed costs Cash flow forecast - example Jan Feb Mar Total CASH INFLOWS Investment Sales 10,000 10,000 2,500 10,000 15,000 27,500 12,500 10,000 15,000 37,500 Raw materials 4,000 5,000 5,000 14,000 Wages & salaries 3,500 4,000 4,000 11,500 Marketing 2,500 1,000 2,000 5,500 Set-up costs 3,000 1,000 0 4,000 Other costs 2,000 1,000 1,000 4,000 Total inflows CASH OUTFLOWS Total outflows 15,000 12,000 12,000 39,000 NET CASH FLOW -2,500 -2,000 3,000 -1,500 0 -2,500 -4,500 -2,500 -4,500 -1,500 Opening balance Closing balance Forecast is normally produced by month Net cash flow is the difference each month between cash inflows and cash outflows Opening balance is the amount the business starts with each month Closing balance = opening balance + net cash flow Negative closing balance suggests business needs bank overdraft or additional financing Complete the missing numbers How did you get on? 43 30 6 -5 1 1 8 Session 3 Financing the Start-up www.tutor2u.net Which of these is a shortQ1 term source of finance? A B Bank overdraft Share capital C D Bank loan Fixed assets A bank loan will NOT usually Q2 involve which of the following? A B Repayments of the loan over its term Payment of dividends out of profits C D Interest on the outstanding amount Security provided to the bank Q3 A B The typical investment by a business angel into a startup is... £5k to £10k Anything above £1m C D £500k to £3.5m £10k to £750k Q4 A B A startup needs finance to buy fixed assets such as computers. What is this known as? Capital expenditure Revenue expenditure C D Working capital Start-up losses A startup will need to Q5 finance... A B Cash sales to customers Interest on cash held at the bank C D Dividends paid to the bank Pre-trading losses Key Issues for Start-up Finance • How much? – Enough v not too much – Safety buffer • When? – All at once – Drip feed / as needed • Challenges – Keeping control – Staying afloat Finance needed for… Business Set-up Day-to-day trading Growth Main sources of start-up finance Internal Sources Founder finance (personal sources of the entrepreneur) Retained profits External Sources Credit cards Bank loan Bank overdraft Friends & family Business angels Loans & grants + Don’t forget “Sweat” Start-up entrepreneurs usually save cash and costs by working long hours for nothing Choosing suitable finance Recommend two sources of finance for each business Be prepared to justify your choices Session 4 Understanding the Market www.tutor2u.net Some key terms Demand Market share Elasticity of demand Niche segment Write a short definition for each Types of market A market is anywhere where buyers and sellers come together to transact with each other Local markets National markets Physical markets Electronic markets Factors that affect demand Factors that affect demand • • • • • • • Prices Incomes Tastes & fashions Competitor actions Social & demographic Seasonal Government action Market segmentation Segment B Segment C Segment D Segment A Attractions of niche for a startup • Smaller & fewer big competitors • Chance to add value = better profit margin • Easier to reach customers • Often higher growth of market Analysing the market There are three calculations you need to be able to complete in order to analyse market data in Unit 1 • Market size (volume and value) • Market growth (percentage growth) • Market share (percentage of the market owned by each product or competitor) Have a go! Dannii & Cheryl are launching a new fitness club in Chelsea. In the first year, they expect to sell 500 memberships at £2,000 each. Next year, the local luxury fitness market is expected to grow to 2,500 memberships (this year – 2,250) Evaluating the market opportunity Watch the video and then plan your answer to the two questions Session 5 Why Start-ups Fail www.tutor2u.net What we’ll cover • Motives for starting a business • Aims and objectives of start-ups • Business planning • What can go wrong Over to you! Motives for being an entrepreneur • Financial – Capital gains – Making a living • Personal – Proving people wrong – Gaining control – Building something • Social – Giving something back Different Types of Start-up Social enterprises Part-time businesses Lifestyle businesses Aims & Objectives Ambitious businesses Business planning • Two main purposes: • A detailed plan for success • A tool to raise finance So what can go wrong with a business plan? Over to you! Why Business Plans go wrong • No market in the gap – Poor market research & unrealistic plan – Competitor response • Good idea, poor execution – Wrong people; poor management – Growth is too quick (overtrading) or too slow – Failure to manage cash flow • External shocks – Economic change (credit crunch, oil prices) – Legal & social change Building a good example answer Silverjet Founded: 2006 Product: Low-cost, executive flights to New York & Dubai Price – from £999 Watch the video - then plan an answer Session 6 Evaluating the Start-up www.tutor2u.net Putting it all together • A tale of two start-ups • Which would you invest in? • Which one succeeded? • Which one failed? • Top tips for Unit 1 evaluation A Tale of Two Start-ups • Here are two reali-life start-up stories • Imagine you are a potential investor • What would you want to know? Mucky Chips ItsAWrap What information would be useful to help you decide whether to invest? Mucky Chips - Introduction A new business for potato farmer Bob Mucky His previous business went bankrupt and his existing business is performing poorly supplying potatoes to supermarkets The plan - use their own potatoes to make hand-fried potato chips Mucky Chips – The Market Market size - £4bn; 10 billion packets per year Dominated by Pepsico (Walkers) who have a 50% market share Many other small handfried chip makers Investment needed - £1m Mucky Chips – The plan Small batch production using a own secret, refined traditional recipe Sell direct to independent retailers (e.g. local delis) Packaging - transparent packets so customers can see what is inside Will start small and test samples with customers before investing in fullscale production facilities Existing farm staff to be trained in all aspects of chip production ItsaWrap - Introduction The ultimate wedding service Idea of fashion expert Suzi Bianchi who has obtained backing from a variety of business angels Product - manage wedding gift lists on behalf of couples Focus on high standards of customer service ItsaWrap – The Market Market size £200m and growing fast But number of weddings in decline Main competitors are mass market department stores – e.g. John Lewis, M&S ItsaWrap – The Plan Strong cash flows – wedding guests pay in advance for their gifts Personal selling via high street showrooms full of stock so customers can browse potential gifts Target customers – 30+ professionals looking for special wedding gifts Expect to manage 2,000 wedding lists p.a - £3,000 each Mucky Chips ItsAWrap Which one do you want to invest in? Mucky Chips ItsAWrap Which one succeeded Which one failed? Tyrrells Wrapit AQA AS Business UNIT 1 REVISION WORKSHOP www.tutor2u.net