The Solar System at ~10 mas perspectives for a Fresnel imager Paolo Tanga Marco Delbò Laboratoire Cassiopée, OCA Observational challenges Hi-res atmospheric activity & aurorae (UV) on Jupiter, Saturn Atmospheric activity on the remote planets Evolution of fine structures in Saturn’s rings … Trans-Neptunian Object population: Asteroids: Inventory Size (albedo) Anomalous orbits Inventory at small sizes Internal structure (mass, size, shape) Cometary activity Comets Evolution of chemicals after sublimation Giant planets UV features: HST, H2 emission (160 nm) Aurorae Upper atmospheric features (40-100 mb) Interest Connection to magnetosphere Coupling to other wavelengths Our nearby prototype of extrasolar planets! The importance of asteroids… The great issues: Origin: collisional life, related physics Dynamical processes: transport, mixing in the primitive nebula, origin of meteorites Impact risks and mitigation strategy The problem… Very limited knowledge of basic properties: density, porosity… Spectral types and connection to composition Shapes, satellites Size distribution Itokawa as seen by Hayabusa Is this a cohesionless « gravitational aggregate »? 540 m How much is/will be known Property today after Gaia shapes, poles 100 ~100,000 rotation periods 1000 10,000 satellites ~ 20 (MBA) ? New constraints! surface properties ~ 1000 ~200,000 astrometry ~ 0"5 0"005 masses, s < 50% ~ 50 150 ~2000 3000 size / albedos Ceres ~200 asteroids 1 x 106 (?) Neptune Jupiter Mars 1 x 106 (?) Angular size as a function of distance for objects of 10 and 100 km. The two « p » curves represent the limit size at V=20 (at opposition) for two extreme albedo values. Areas open to a Fresnel imager Size inventory/improvement 10-100 km Macroscopic shapes 10-100 km Cometary activity (OH at 308 nm) Binary asteroids Discovery Orbits Binary asteroids Importance: Linked to the collisional physics past history of the belt Period + separation mass If size is known density (internal properties) Properties: Wide range of separations and size ratios! 16% of objects at D<30 km? Binary asteroids – the Fresnel imager domain radar/ lightcurves Imaging (AO) How many asteroids at V=20 ? Evolution of the number of entries H < Hlim old files retrieved by D. Hestroffer in the IMCCE archives Geometric observability of orbits Sun 45° L2 Velocity distribution simulation 5 4 on 5,000 objects 3 % main-belt, 2 NEOs 1 0 -40 -30 -20 -10 0 mas/s 10 s ~ 12 mas/s 20 30 40 Possible problems related to motion Possible strategies: Priority given to Solar System objects Exceptional events (comets, storms on the main planets…) Specific long-term monitoring programs « Opportunity » targets ~50 asteroids V<20 in 1 sq. degree Few requirements on pointing Conclusions Asteroids offer a wide variety of targets Binary objects Cometary activity Giant planets Interesting features at all wavelengths Can help in modeling extrasolar planet observations Configuration space period-diameter no very fast rotator due to centrifugal force lack of global cohesion Today The occultation revival poor predictability for objects <50 km bright Hipparcos/Tycho stars favoured ~0.1 events/objects/year Current practical limit: 100 km at 10% accuracy After Gaia (100 X orbit improvement): Uncertainty smaller than the asteroid at >20 km Light curves Asteroid’s magnitude function of: shape, rotation period, direction of spin axis Direct problem: model of light curves for different shapes and rotation Inverse problem: find the rotation parameters from photometric data strongly non linear not well conditioned if period unknown Animation: M. Delbo