Western Europe From reconstruction to recovery & beyond Cold war tensions Berlin Blockade & Airlift, 1948-49 Korean War Sputnik launched (1957) U-2 incident: American spy plane captured (1958) Cuban missile crisis Berlin Wall constructed, 1961 Cuban Missile Crisis, 1962 Skirmishes & tensions along iron curtain Cold war as source of stability? Divided Europe is a stable Europe Supranational alliances limit options for foreign policy Structures developed • GATT • European Community • EFTA • to facilitate trade Focus primarily on economy, well-being If countries involved in conflict, it is external & concerned with diminishing reach -- e.g. battles over de-colonization Indonesia (Netherlands) Indo-China (France) Malaya (UK) Kenya (UK) Algeria (France) Economic outlook Sustained economic growth in 1950s & ’60s Successful state intervention in most economies: • Counter-cyclical management (Keynsian demand management) • Managed capitalism Voluntary economic planning (France) In some countries, coordination by ‘social partners (trade union federations & employers associations) Governments managing business cycle • Expansion and elaboration of welfare states Full employment & labour shortages by mid ’50s The UK: post-war consensus `Butskellism:’ Labour and Conservatives agree on • Mixed economy, managed to ensure full employment • Desirability of welfare state to ensure minimum levels of subsistence Consensus reflects: • Conservatives’ acceptance of most of Labour’s nationalizations • Labour leadership’s recognition that most of its goals can be achieved in the context of a mixed economy • Agreement on tools of Keynsian economics – demand management 1950s = time of relative prosperity: • Harold MacMillan: ‘you never had it so good’ UK: Economic problems in 1960s Slower rates of economic growth Frequent strikes, troubled labour relations • Strong trade unions, craft-based, frequent jurisdictional disputes Aging industrial plant reflecting • Earlier industrialization • Relative lack of wartime destruction Unsuccessful attempts to imitate France’s indicative (voluntary) economic planning 4th Republic France Ongoing urbanization and industrialization • facilitated by economic planning, state-directed modernization Ongoing conflict over form of government Chronic cabinet instability: • 26 cabinets between 1946 & 1958 Ongoing conflict over decolonization • Indochina • Algeria The Fifth Republic Presidential regime established in 1958, following threatened military coup http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QxqGUJUp0ng&feature=related • De Gaulle summoned back to power • Proposes mixed presidential-parliamentary regime • Negotiates Algerian independence Presidential Republic brings relative stability • Entrenches right: controls Presidency & parliament until 1981 Yet, government nearly toppled in 1968, following massive student strikes, occupation of buildings, demonstrations Federal Republic of Germany (FRG) Under allied guidance, return to earlier constitutionalism Emphasis on rechtstaat – a ‘state of law’ Rapid reduction in the number of political parties • 1949 as “the last election of Weimar” • Introduction of the 5% electoral threshold in 1953 • Rapid elimination of smaller parties Predominance of Christian Democratic Union, Social Democrats, and Free Democrats The economic miracle Cooperation at home • ‘social market economy’ • Cooperation of unions, employers, investment banks Stability of Deutschmark • under watchful eye of Bundesbank (an independent central bank) within new international regime Rapid economic recovery • facilitated through 1961 by influx of refugees from the east • Marshall Plan aid • Recovery elsewhere Cementing Germany into the West Loyal ally: • FRG allowed to join NATO in 1955 • Frontier in Cold War Loyal European: founding member of • European Coal & Steel Community (1951) • Euratom and European Economic Community (EEC), also 1956 The new party politics Ascendency of Christian Democratic Union (CDU) under Konrad Adenauer • CDU as a volkspartei or people’s party, open to all comers (Protestants as well as Catholics) • Campaigns on success of ‘social market economy’ • ‘No experiments’ Social Democrats (SPD) • As before, a Marxist party, but willing to work within the system • Electoral support levels off at ~ 33% • 1959 Party Congress (Bad Godesberg) expunges all references to class conflict Free Democrats (FDP): small liberal party, able to ally with CDU (1949-1966) or later, SPD (1969-82) Germany in the 1950s A sense of exhaustion? Quiescence? • A society turned in on itself • Discomfort with conflict • Comfortable with Adenauer’s campaign promise: “No experiments” Silence: little public or private discussion of holocaust Strong sense of law (rechtstaat) – laws must be obeyed A puzzle: How was it possible to establish liberal democracy in the aftermath of Nazism? Impact of affluence Narrowing of political agenda and political options • Exclusion of extreme parties and options The levelling effects of Nazism (view of Ralf Dahrendorf) Italy Pre-eminent position of Christian Democracy (DC) • Draws support from Vatican, practicing Catholics • Governs, typically in coalition with others • Extends support via clientelismo Principal opposition • Italian Communist Party (PCI) Governing party in Bologna, Emilia Romagna Steady growth through 1970s • Italian Social Movement (MSI) – small ultra right party Persistent North-South & regional divisions A new Europe? By the early 1960s: Most colonies shed, sometimes more smoothly than others: • Britain manages, • traumatic for France, Netherlands, Belgium Earlier cleavages, conflicts for the most part channelled, under control… Governments play active role in economic life Beginnings of affluence New social mores Balance sheet Economic stability Conflicts contained Political stability • Minimal support for extreme politics • Few changes in government: coalitions endure over several elections A Germany, partitioned • • • • which France tolerate with which the west could live that could be integrated into Europe In which normality could prevail (eventually)