Observations of Wind in Nares Strait There is incidental evidence that winds are strong … but how strong? And why? Observations of surface wind are very sparse 3 November 2006 01:06 UTC Numerical simulation demonstrates that wind along the strait increases with end-to-end sea-level pressure drop High terrain in northern Canada & Greenland can facilitate a close juxtaposition of disparate SLP anomalies – here 41 mb 3 November 2006 00:00 UTC Surface weather has been routinely observed by field teams operating from PCSP camps along Nares Strait Atkinson, D.E., B. Alt and K. Gajewski. 2000. A new database of High Arctic climate data from Polar Continental Shelf Project archives. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc. 81(11), 2621-2629. 83 N 8 2N Lincoln Bay Beaufort Lakes Fort Conger 8 1N Carl Ritter Bay Lafayette Bay Camp April 2005 80N Scoresby Bay Dobbin Bay 79N PCSP Camps, Nares Strait Pim Island Cape Herschel 68W 72W 60W 64W 76W 7 8N Lincoln Bay: 1974 Beaufort Lakes: 1981 Fort Conger: 1977-1979, 1981-1982 Carl Ritter Bay: 1978 Scoresby Bay: 1983 Dobbin Bay: 1985 Pim Island: 1990 Cape Herschel: 1974-1989 56W 1974-1990 Primarily during late spring & summer Only 2x per day 300 200 Maximum 19 m/s Rare above 15 m/s 100 Number of data Lincoln Bay: 1974 Beaufort Lakes: 1981 Fort Conger: 1977-1979, 1981-1982 Carl Ritter Bay: 1978 Scoresby Bay: 1983 Dobbin Bay: 1985 Pim Island: 1990 Cape Herschel: 1974-1989 Atkinson, D.E., B. Alt and K. Gajewski. 2000. A new database of High Arctic climate data from Polar Continental Shelf Project archives. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc. 81(11), 2621-2629. 0 0.15 PCSP Camps, Nares Strait 160 120 80 0 40 0.05 Number of data 0.10 200 1974 1976 1978 1980 1982 1984 1986 1988 1990 1-Apr 1-May 1-Jun 1-Jul 1-Aug 0.00 Relative frequency of occurrence 0.20 400 But no extreme winds were reported 0 5 10 15 20 Wind Speed (kt) 25 30 35 40 31-Aug Perhaps lack of strong winds reflects indolence? The only other observations were made by 19th century explorers at several overwintering sites 83 N Alert 8 2N Fort Conger Hall Land Polaris Bay 8 1N Hall Expedition, Polaris Bay November 1871 – August 1871 Lafayette Bay Camp April 2005 80N Hall Expedition, Life Boat Cove November 1872 – May 1873 68W 72W 60W 56W 7 8N 64W 24x per day Polaris House 76W Lady Franklin Bay Expedition Fort Conger (Greely during IPY) August 1881 – July 1883 79N 360 270 40 90 180 Speed (m/s) 10 20 30 0 0 1-Dec-71 7 1-Jan-72 6 1-Feb-72 8 1-Apr-72 3 1-May-72 270 Wind at Polaris Bay 1871 - 1872 Hourly average 90th percentile Direction 2 1-Jul-72 2 1-Aug-72 0 6 November 1871 to 31 August 1872 Wind topped 20 m/s once or twice per week, especially during the winter months 1-Sep-72 0 1-Jun-72 Speed on the hour (m/s) 10 20 30 40 3 50 0 90 180 Speed (m/s) 10 20 30 0 1-May-72 5 1-Mar-72 360 7 40 1-Nov-71 0 10 20 30 40 Hourly mean speed (m/s) 50 The maximum hourly speed was about 35 m/s (68 kt) … but stronger winds were missed for operational reasons 0.16 0 <=5 315 >5 - 15 45 Fraction of data 0.08 0.12 >15 - 25 >25 270 20% 90 30% Speed histogram was strongly skewed < 5 m/s for 65% of the time > 20 m/s for 5% 0.04 10% 135 0.00 225 180 10 20 30 Hourly average speed (m/s) 40 0 0.16 0 Speed (m/s) 315 45 Fraction of data 0.08 0.12 Median Maximum 270 0.04 0 0.00 225 10 20 30 Speed on the hour (m/s) 40 20 30 135 180 0 10 Strongest & most common winds blew along the strait 90 40 Polaris Bay 6 November 1871 to 31 August 1872 0 Most of the net atmospheric displacement occurred during winter 15-Nov 15-Dec -10,000 30-Nov 30-Dec 29-Jan 14-Jan -20,000 28-Feb 14-Mar 28-Apr -30,000 29-Mar 13-Apr 12-Jun 28-May 13-May 12-Jul 27-Jul -40,000 North (km) 13-Feb -50,000 6 November 1881 to 31 August 1882 27-Jun 11-Aug 26-Aug -40,000 -30,000 -20,000 East (km) -10,000 0 90 5 0 0 1-Oct-81 1-Nov-81 1-Dec-81 1-Jan-82 1-Feb-82 1-Jun-82 1-Jul-82 1-Aug-82 1-Dec-82 1-Jan-83 1-Feb-83 1-Jun-83 1-Jul-83 1-Aug-83 360 1-Sep-81 270 20 1-Aug-81 1-Apr-82 1-May-82 360 1-Mar-82 1-Oct-82 1-Nov-82 360 1-Sep-82 90 180 Speed (m/s) 10 15 5 1-Feb-83 0 0 Wind topped 20 m/s only twice in 2 years 270 20 1-Aug-82 0 0 5 90 180 Speed (m/s) 10 15 270 20 1-Feb-82 0 0 5 90 180 Speed (m/s) 10 15 15 August 1881 to 31 July 1883 180 Speed (m/s) 10 15 270 20 360 Wind speed at Fort Conger, Discovery Harbour 1-Mar-83 1-Apr-83 1-May-83 The strongest winds were aligned with Nares Strait 0 Direction histogram reflects local terrain Speed histogram is strongly skewed < 5 m/s for 95% of the time <=5 315 >5 - 10 >10 - 15 >15 45 270 10% 225 20% 90 30% 135 Discovery Harbour 180 15 August 1881 to 31 July 1883 0.16 0 Speed (m/s) Median Fraction of data 0.08 0.12 315 Maximum 45 270 10 20 0.04 0 0.00 225 0 10 20 30 Hourly average speed (m/s) 40 135 180 90 30 1-Jan-73 1-Feb-73 1-Apr-73 1-May-73 270 1 November 1872 to 31 May 1873 1-Aug-73 Wind topped 20 m/s infrequently, but low wind speed was uncommon 1-Sep-73 0 1-Jul-73 Speed on the hour (m/s) 10 20 1-Jun-73 30 0 90 180 Speed (m/s) 20 10 0 1-May-73 1-Mar-73 360 1-Dec-72 30 1-Nov-72 0 0 90 180 Speed (m/s) 20 10 270 30 360 Wind speed at Polaris House, Life Boat Cove 0 10 20 Hourly mean speed (m/s) 30 The wind regime was dominated by north-easterlies from Kane Basin 0.20 0 Fraction of data 0.10 0.15 <=5 315 >5 - 15 >15 - 25 >25 45 90 20% 40% 60% 80% Average wind speed is high 0.05 270 135 0.00 225 Speed histogram is bi-modal 180 10 20 30 Hourly average speed (m/s) 40 0 0.40 0 Speed (m/s) 315 45 Fraction of data 0.20 0.30 Median Maximum 270 0.10 0 0.00 225 10 20 30 Speed on the hour (m/s) 40 10 20 30 135 180 0 Strongest winds blow along the strait 90 40 Polaris House 1 November 1872 to 31 May 1873 Histograms of along-channel airflow suggests two regimes of wind 1200 Atmospheric modeling has revealed strong correlation between along-strait airflow & SLP difference. Samelson et al. (2006) 1000 Wind Along Channel 1871-1872 -0.5 m/s Mean 2.0 m/s Stnd dev'n 800 600 400 -7.0 m/s Mean 10.0 m/s Stnd dev'n 200 0 -45 1) Light winds dominate to a degree varying with season & site -35 -25 -15 -5 5 15 Hourly average speed (m/s) 25 35 45 250 3.10 mb Mean 7.33 mb Stnd dev'n 200 Pressure Drop Along Channel 2005-06 150 2) Occasional very Carey Islands 100 Alert minus strong winds follow the 50 Strait 0 25 20 15 10 5 0 -5 Pressure difference (mb) -10 -15 -20 -25 These observations suggest an important role for boundary-layer stability The incidence of light wind at Polaris Bay was much higher than the likely incidence of weak along-channel pressure gradient This suggests a non-linear response of surface wind to pressure forcing The most likely cause of non-linearity under weak forcing is stable stratification of the atmospheric boundary layer This prevalent condition is known as the Polar Inversion. Potential temperature may increase by 20°C in the lowest 300 m of the atmosphere Contributing factors are atmospheric subsidence (adiabatic heating), cloud-free skies, strong long-wave radiative heat loss from the high emissivity snow-surface & weak insolation The resulting stratification in potential density suppresses turbulence generated by shear in airflow near the ground In consequence, momentum is not mixed down to the surface and ground-level wind remains light Strong boundary-layer stratification decouples airflow aloft from surface friction (for a while) Air flow through Nares Strait is not subject to geostrophic control on a synoptic scale Suppression of boundary-layer turbulence permits continued acceleration of airflow aloft Acceleration continues until shear production of TKE via freestream instability (e.g. KH) overcomes buoyancy suppression The atmospheric boundary then becomes turbulent, first intermittently and then explosively as eddies bring high-speed air to the surface 20 10 … and with a composite of windstorms measured at Polaris Bay during the winter of 1871-1872 0 Speed (m/s) 30 40 The implied sudden onset of extreme wind from calm is consistent with events at Lafayette Bay in April 2005 -9 -6 -3 0 3 Elapsed time (hours) 6 9 12 Factors influencing the Polar Inversion affect the wind climate of Nares Strait Snow cover (through surface emissivity) Cloudiness (through down-welling long wave radiation) Solar season Lateral & vertical (viz. subsidence) advection of warm air aloft Nares Strait may harbour a unique wind regime, by virtue of: Its great length (550 km) Its high relief (2000-3000 m) Its strong boundary-layer stratification (Polar Inversion) Its lack of a diurnal cycle in B-L stratification in winter