Lecture 4: Basic Designs for Estimation of Genetic Parameters Heritability Narrow vs. board sense Narrow sense: h2 = VA/VP Slope of midparent-offspring regression (sexual reproduction) Board sense: H2 = VG/VP Slope of a parent - cloned offspring regression (asexual reproduction) When one refers to heritability, the default is narrow-sense, h2 h2 is the measure of (easily) usable genetic variation under sexual reproduction Why h2 instead of h? Blame Sewall Wright, who used h to denote the correlation between phenotype and breeding value. Hence, h2 is the total fraction of phenotypic variance due to breeding values æ(A; P ) æ2A æA r (A; P ) = = = = h æA æP æA æP æP Heritabilities are functions of populations Heritability values only make sense in the content of the population for which it was measured. Heritability measures the standing genetic variation of a population, A zero heritability DOES NOT imply that the trait is not genetically determined Heritabilities are functions of the distribution of environmental values (i.e., the universe of E values) Decreasing VP increases h2. Heritability values measured in one environment (or distribution of environments) may not be valid under another Measures of heritability for lab-reared individuals may be very different from heritability in nature Heritability and the prediction of breeding values If P denotes an individual's phenotype, then best linear predictor of their breeding value A is æ(P ; A) 2 A= (P ° š ) + e = h (P ° š p ) + e p 2 æP The residual variance is also a function of h2: æ2e = (1 ° h 2 )æ2A The larger the heritability, the tighter the distribution of true breeding values around the value h2(P - mP) predicted by an individual’s phenotype. Heritability and population divergence Heritability is a completely unreliable predictor of long-term response Measuring heritability values in two populations that show a difference in their means provides no information on whether the underlying difference is genetic Sample heritabilities People hs Height 0.65 Serum IG 0.45 Back-fat 0.70 Weight gain 0.30 Litter size 0.05 Abdominal Bristles 0.50 Body size 0.40 Ovary size 0.3 Egg production 0.20 Pigs Fruit Flies Traits more closely associated with fitness tend to have lower heritabilities Estimation: One-way ANOVA Simple (balanced) full-sib design: N full-sib families, each with n offspring One-way ANOVA model: zij = m + fi + wij s2f = between-family variance = variance among family means Trait value in sib j from Deviation Common Effect family Mean offor i sibfamily j fromi =the family mean s2w = within-family variance deviation of mean of i from tsshe common mean s2P = Total phenotypic variance = s2f + s2w Covariance between members of the same group equals the variance among (between) groups The variance effects equals the Cov(Full Sib s) = among æ( zi j ; zfamily ik ) covariance =between sibs æ[ (š + ffull i + wi j ); (š + f i + wi k ) ] f i ) + æ( f2i ; wi k ) + æ( 2wi j ; f i ) + æ( wi j ; wi k ) æ2f == æ( æ2 2Af i ;=2 + æD =4 + æE c = æf The within-family variance s2w = s2P - s2f, æ2w ( F S ) = æP2 ° ( æA2 =2 + æ2D =4 + æE2 c ) = æA2 + æ2D + æE2 ° ( æA2 =2 + æ2D =4 + æE2 c ) = (1=2) æA2 + (3=4)æ2D + æE2 ° æ2E c One-way Anova: N families with n sibs, T = Nn Factor Degrees of freedom, df Sums of Squares (SS) Mean sum of squares (MS) E[ MS ] Among-family N-1 SSf = XN SSf/(N-1) s2w SSw/(T-N) s2w n (z i ° z)2 i= 1 Within-family T-N SSW = XN Xn i= 1 j = 1 (zi j ° z i )2 +n s2f Estimating the variance components: Since æ2f = æ2A =2 + æD2 =4 + æE2 c 2Var(f) is an upper bound for the additive variance Assigning standard errors ( = square root of Var) Nice fact: Under normality, the (large-sample) variance for a mean-square is given by 2 2(MS ) x 2 æ (MS x ) ' dfx + 2 ( ( ) • • MSf ° MS w 2(MSw ) 2 Var[ Var(f ) ] =S Var Var(w(F )) ] = Var(MSw ) ' n T N + 2 µ 2 2 Ž 2 (MSf ) (MSw ) ' + 2 n N + 1 T° N + 2 ) Estimating heritability tF S 2 =4 + æ2 æ Var(f ) 1 2 D Ec = = h + Var(z) 2 æz2 Hence, h2 < 2 tFS An approximate large-sample standard error for h2 is given by p SE(h ) ' 2(1 ° t F S )[1 + (n °- 1)t F S ] 2=[N n(n °- 1)] 2 Worked example 10 full-sib families, each with 5 offspring are measured Factor Df SS MS EMS Among-familes 9 SSf = 405 45 Within-families 40 SSw = 800 20 s2w s2w +5 s2f VA < 10 Var(w) = MSw = 20 Var(z) = Var(f ) + Var(w) = 25 h2 < 2 (5/25) = 0.4 p SE(h ) ' 2(1 ° 0:4)[1 + (5 ° 1)0:4] 2=[50(5 ° 1)] = 0:312 2 Full sib-half sib design: Nested ANOVA 1 1 n n 2 1 n 2 Full-sibs o* o* o* o* o. * o. * o* o* o. * o o* 1 1 2 2 3 3 .. .. Half-sibs * * k o k 1 2 .. 3 k ... o* o* o* o* o. * o. * o* o* o. * o* o* o* .. 1 1 2 2 3 3 k .. k 1 2 .. 3 k Estimation: Nested ANOVA Balanced full-sib / half-sib design: N males (sires) are crossed to M dams each of which has n offspring Nested ANOVA model: zijk = m + si + dij+ wijk s2s = between-sire variance = variance in sire family means Effect of sire ofWithin-family idam = deviation j of sire deviation i = deviation of kth Value of the kthEffect offspring Overall mean s2dfrom = variance dams within =sire offor mean of mean ofi i’s of family offspring damsires from j from from theand mean overall of the the kth among dam sire overall mean mean ij-th family variance of dam means for the same sire s2w = within-family variance s2T = s2s + s2d + s2w Nested Anova: N sires crossed to M dams, each with n sibs, T = NMn Factor Df SS MS Sires N-1 SSs = Mi XN X Mn EMS SSs/(N-1) æ2w + næ2d + M næ2s (z i ° z) 2 i= 1 j = 1 Dams(Sires) N(M-1) SSs = XN SSd /(N[M-1]) XM n (z i j ° z i ) 2 æw2 + næd2 i= 1 j= 1 Sibs(Dams) T-NM SSw = XN XM SSw/(T-NM) Xn i= 1 j = 1 k= 1 (zi j k ° zi j )2 æw2 Estimation of sire, dam, and family variances: MSs ° MSd Var (s ) = Mn MSd ° MSw Var(d) = n Var (e) = MSw Translating these into the desired variance components • Var(Total) = Var(between FS families) + Var(Within FS) s2w = s2z - Cov(FS) • Var(Sires) = Cov(Paternal half-sibs) æd2 = æ2z ° æ2s ° æ2w = æ(FS) ° æ(P HS) Summarizing, æ2s = æ(PHS) æw2 = æz2 ° æ(F S) æd2 = æ2z ° æ2s ° æ2w = æ(FS) ° æ(PHS) Expressing these in terms of the genetic and environmental variances, æs2 ' æd2 ' æ2w ' æA2 4 æA2 æD2 + + æE2 c 4 4 æA2 3æ2D + + æ2E s 2 4 Intraclass correlations and estimating heritability tP H S tF S Cov(P HS) Var(s) = = Var (z) Var (z) Cov(F S) Var(s) + Var(d) = = Var(z) Var(z) 4tPHS = h2 h2 < 2tFS Note that 4tPHS = 2tFS implies no dominance or shared family environmental effects Worked Example: N=10 sires, M = 3 dams, n = 10 sibs/dam Factor Df SS MS EMS Sires 9 4,230 470 æw2 + 10æ2d + 30æ2s Dams(Sires) 20 3,400 170 æw2 + 10æ2d Within Dams 270 5,400 20 æw2 æ2w = M S w = 20 M Sd ° M Sw 170 ° 20 2 æd = = = 15 n 10 M Ss ° M Sd 470 ° 170 2 æs = = = 10 Nn 30 æP2 = æ2s + æ2d + æ2w = 45 æ2d = 15 = (1=4)æA2 + (1=4)æD2 + æ2E c = 10 + (1=4)æ2D + æE2 c æ2A = 4æ2s = 40 h2 æA2 40 = 2 = = 0:89 æP 45 æD2 + 4æE2 c = 20 Parent-offspring regression Single parent - offspring regression zo i = š + bojp (zp i ° š ) + ei The expected slope of this regression is: æ(zo ; zp ) E (bojp ) = ' 2 æ (zp ) (æ2A =2) + æ(E o ; E p ) h2 æ(E o ; E p ) = + 2 æz 2 æ2z Residual error variance (spread around expected values) Shared environmental values Ž 2 h 2 2 æ = 1 ° æ Toe avoid this term, typicallyz regressions are male-offspring, as 2 female-offspring more likely to share environmental values µ ( ) Midparent - offspring regression µ zoi = š + boj M P ( zm i + zf i ° š 2 Ž )+e i The expected slope of this regression is h2, as Cov[zo ; (zm + zf )=2] Residual error (spread around expected values) bo k M Pvariance = Var[(zm + zf )=2] Key: Var(MP) = (1/2)Var(P) µ Ž 2 o ; zm ) + Cov(zo ; zf )]=2 [Cov(z h 2 æe2 = 1 °= æ [Var (z) z + Var(z)]=4 ( 2 ) 2Cov(zo ; zp ) = = 2bthere o jp Hence, even when heritability is one, is considerable spread Var(z) of the true offspring values about their midparent values, with Var = VA/2, the segregation variance Standard errors Single parent-offspring regression, N parents, each with n offspring Var(boj p ) ' n(t ° b2o jp ) + (1 ° t ) Nn 8 2 =4 t = h for half-sibs Var(h ) = Var(2b H S < Squared regression slope ojp ) = 4Var (bojp ) 2 Total 2number of offspring Sib correlation t = æ + æ D E c : t F S = h 2 =2 + for full sibs Midparent-offspring regression, 2 æz 2 N sets of parents, each with n offspring Var(h 2 ) = Var(boj M P ) ' 2[n(t F S ° b2ojM P =2) + (1 ° t F S )]) Nn • Midparent-offspring variance half that of single parent-offspring variance Estimating Heritability in Natural Populations A lowersibs bound be placed of heritability using Often, arecan reared in a laboratory environment, parents from nature and regressions their lab-reared offspring, making parent-offspring and sib ANOVA problematic for estimating heritability h 2m i n = (b0oj M P Var n (z) ) Var l (A) 2 Why is this a lower bound? • •2 Covl ; n (A) Var n (z) 0 2 Var n (z) (bojM P ) = Var l (A) Var n (z) Var l (A) ) ( = •2 h 2n Cov l ; n (A) where •= p Var n (A)Var Covariance between breeding value in nature and BV in lab l (A) is the additive genetic covariance between environments and hence g2 < 1