Preferences Molly W. Dahl Georgetown University Econ 101 – Spring 2009 1 Rationality in Economics Behavioral Assumption: A decisionmaker always chooses the most preferred alternative from the set of available alternatives. To determine what a person chooses, we must determine what a person prefers. That is, to model choice we must model preferences. 2 Preference Relations Comparing two different consumption bundles, x and y: strict x is more preferred than is y. weak preference preference x is as at least as preferred as is y. indifference x is exactly as preferred as is y. 3 Preference Relations Strict preference, weak preference, and indifference are all preference relations. Particularly, they are ordinal relations they state only the order in which bundles are preferred. 4 Preference Relations x denotes strict preference p p y means that bundle x is preferred strictly to bundle y. 5 Preference Relations x denotes strict preference p p y means that bundle x is preferred strictly to bundle y. f denotes weak preference ~f x y means x is preferred at least as much ~ as is y. 6 Preference Relations x denotes strict preference p p y means that bundle x is preferred strictly to bundle y. f denotes weak preference ~f x y means x is preferred at least as much ~ as is y. ~ denotes indifference x ~ y means x and y are equally preferred. 7 Preference Relations f x imply x ~ y. xf y and y ~ ~ 8 Preference Relations f x imply x ~ y. xf y and y ~ ~ x f y and (not y f x) imply x ~ ~ p y. 9 “Axioms” of Consumer Theory Completeness: For any two bundles x and y it is always possible to make the statement that either x f ~ y or y f x. Any ~ two bundles are comparable. 10 “Axioms” of Consumer Theory Reflexivity: Any bundle x is always at least as preferred as itself; i.e. x f x. ~ 11 “Axioms” of Consumer Theory Transitivity: If x is at least as preferred as y, and y is at least as preferred as z, then x is at least as preferred as z; i.e. x f y and y f z ~ ~ x f z. ~ 12 “Axioms” of Consumer Theory Completeness Reflexivity Transitivity If the Axioms of Consumer Theory hold, then there will be an ordering of all alternatives. Preferences are razor sharp. 13 Indifference Curves Consider some bundle x’. An indifference curve contains the set of all bundles equally preferred to x’ (including x’ itself) That is all bundles y such that y ~ x’. 14 Indifference Curves x2 x’ ~ x” ~ x”’ x’ x” x”’ x1 15 Indifference Curves p x z x p x2 y z y x1 16 Indifference Curves I1 x2 All bundles in I1 are strictly preferred to all in I2. x z I2 y I3 All bundles in I2 are strictly preferred to all in I3. x1 17 Indifference Curves x2 WP(x), the set of x bundles weakly preferred to x. WP(x) includes I(x) I(x). x1 18 Indifference Curves x2 SP(x), the set of x bundles strictly preferred to x, does not include I(x) I(x). x1 19 Indifference Curves Cannot Intersect x2 I1 I2 From I1, x ~ y. From I2, x ~ z. Therefore y ~ z. x y z x1 20 Indifference Curves Cannot Intersect I1 I2 From I1, x ~ y. From I2, x ~ z. Therefore y ~ z. But from I1 and I2 we see y z, a contradiction. x y p x2 z x1 21 Two “Goods” When more of a commodity is always preferred, the commodity is a good. If every commodity is a good then indifference curves are negatively sloped. 22 Two “Goods” Good 2 Two goods a negatively sloped indifference curve. Good 1 23 A “Bad” and a “Good” If less of a commodity is always preferred then the commodity is a bad. 24 A “Bad” and a “Good” Good 2 One good and one bad a positively sloped indifference curve. Bad 1 25 Satiation A bundle strictly preferred to any other is a satiation point or a bliss point. Ice cream and chocolate sauce What do indifference curves look like for preferences exhibiting satiation? 26 Indifference Curves Exhibiting Satiation x2 Better Satiation (bliss) point x1 27 Indifference Curves Exhibiting Satiation x2 Better Satiation (bliss) point x1 28 Perfect Substitutes If a consumer always regards units of commodities 1 and 2 as equivalent, then the commodities are perfect substitutes only the total amount of the two commodities in bundles determines their preference rankorder. Blue or black pens Fiji Water or SmartWater 29 Perfect Substitutes x2 15 I2 8 I1 Slopes are constant at - 1. Bundles in I2 all have a total of 15 units and are strictly preferred to all bundles in I1, which have a total of only 8 units in them. x1 8 15 30 Perfect Complements If a consumer always consumes commodities 1 and 2 in fixed proportion (e.g. one-to-one), then the commodities are perfect complements only the number of pairs of units of the two commodities determines the preference rankorder of bundles. Right and left shoes 31 Perfect Complements x2 45o 9 5 Each of (5,5), (5,9) and (9,5) contains 5 pairs so each is equally preferred. I1 5 9 x1 32 Perfect Complements x2 Since each of (5,5), (5,9) and (9,5) contains 5 pairs, each is less I2 preferred than the bundle (9,9) which I1 contains 9 pairs. 45o 9 5 5 9 x1 33 Well-Behaved Preferences A preference relation is “well-behaved” if it is both monotonic and convex. Monotonicity: More of any commodity is always preferred (i.e. no satiation and every commodity is a good). More is better 34 Well-Behaved Preferences Convexity: Mixtures of bundles are (at least weakly) preferred to the bundles themselves. E.g., the 50-50 mixture of the bundles x and y is z = (0.5)x + (0.5)y. z is at least as preferred as x or y. Averages are at least as good as extremes. 35 Well-Behaved Preferences -- Convexity x x2 x+y is strictly preferred z= 2 to both x and y. x2+y2 2 y y2 x1 x1+y 1 2 y1 36 Well-Behaved Preferences -- Convexity x x2 z =(tx1+(1-t)y1, tx2+(1-t)y2) is preferred to x and y for all 0 < t < 1. y y2 x1 y1 37 Well-Behaved Preferences -- Convexity x x2 y2 x1 Preferences are strictly convex when all mixtures z are strictly z preferred to their component bundles x and y. y y1 38 Well-Behaved Prefs - Weak Convexity Preferences are weakly convex if at least one mixture z is equally preferred to a component bundle. x’ z’ x z y y’ 39 Non-Convex Preferences x2 The mixture z is less preferred than x or y. z y2 x1 y1 40 More Non-Convex Preferences x2 The mixture z is less preferred than x or y. z y2 x1 y1 41 Slopes of Indifference Curves The slope of an indifference curve is its marginal rate-of-substitution (MRS). How can a MRS be calculated? 42 Marginal Rate of Substitution x2 MRS at x’ is the slope of the indifference curve at x’ x’ x1 43 Marginal Rate of Substitution x2 dx2 x’ dx1 dx2 = MRS dx1 so, at x’, MRS is the rate at which the consumer is only just willing to exchange commodity 2 for a small amount of commodity 1. x1 44